Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2021
Gale Warning 214, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 8, 2021, 3:32 AM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 8, 2021, 3:32 AM AKDT (11:32 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 9, 2021, 3:52 AM AKDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted.
296 FZAK52 PAJK 081132 CWFAEG Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 332 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ099-090545- 332 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A min gale force front over the central gulf will move E over the panhandle Fri afternoon and night. Behind the front, W to SW onshore flow will persist across the gulf into Sun. $$ PKZ041-090545- Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision- 332 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 ...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming S in the morning, then increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft building to 13 ft in the afternoon. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas 12 ft. Rain in the evening. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Showers in the afternoon. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. .SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .MON...W wind 20 kt becoming SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...SE gale to 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt. Seas 19 ft building to 24 ft. $$ PKZ042-090545- Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe- 332 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 ...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming S in the morning, then increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft building to 13 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain in the evening. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. W swell. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...SE gale to 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. $$ PKZ043-090545- Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather- 332 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 ...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. W swell. Rain showers. .SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .MON...S wind 15 kt becoming SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...E gale to 40 kt becoming S 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. $$ PKZ051-090545- Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape- 332 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 ...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING... .TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Rain showers. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON...S wind 15 kt becoming SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...E gale to 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. $$ PKZ052-090545- Icy Cape to Cape Suckling- 332 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. Showers. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...SE wind 20 kt becoming E gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 12 ft. .TUE...E gale to 35 kt becoming N 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$
4 follow-up statements
664 FZAK52 PAJK 081510 CCA CWFAEG Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 332 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ099-090545- 332 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A min gale force front over the central gulf will move E over the panhandle Fri afternoon and night. Behind the front, W to SW onshore flow will persist across the gulf into Sun. $$ PKZ041-090545- Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision- 332 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 ...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming S in the morning, then increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft building to 13 ft in the afternoon. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas 12 ft. Rain in the evening. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Showers in the afternoon. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. .SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .MON...W wind 20 kt becoming SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...SE gale to 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt. Seas 19 ft building to 24 ft. $$ PKZ042-090545- Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe- 332 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 ...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming S in the morning, then increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft building to 13 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain in the evening. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. W swell. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...SE gale to 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. $$ PKZ043-090545- Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather- 332 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 ...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. W swell. Rain showers. .SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .MON...S wind 15 kt becoming SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...E gale to 40 kt becoming S 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. $$ PKZ051-090545- Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape- 332 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 ...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING... .TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Rain showers. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON...S wind 15 kt becoming SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...E gale to 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. $$ PKZ052-090545- Icy Cape to Cape Suckling- 332 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. Showers. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...SE wind 20 kt becoming E gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 12 ft. .TUE...E gale to 35 kt becoming N 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$
414 FZAK52 PAJK 090006 CWFAEG Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ099-091815- 406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A gale force front moves E over the panhandle Fri night. Behind the front, W to SW onshore flow will persist across the gulf into Sun. Outlook. A stronger low will move into the AK Gulf Mon night. $$ PKZ041-091815- Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision- 406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming W in the evening, then diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas 12 ft. Rain in the evening. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. .SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. W swell. .MON...W wind 20 kt becoming SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...SE gale to 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt. Seas 19 ft building to 24 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ042-091815- Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe- 406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming W 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain in the evening. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Showers in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. W swell. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .MON...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...SE gale to 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft subsiding to 15 ft. $$ PKZ043-091815- Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather- 406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. .SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. W swell. Rain showers in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. W swell. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. W swell. .MON...S wind 15 kt becoming SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...E gale to 40 kt becoming S 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 14 ft. $$ PKZ051-091815- Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape- 406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW in the evening, then diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas 13 ft. Rain. Slight chance of thunderstorms late. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. Rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. .SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. Rain showers in the evening. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. .MON...S wind 15 kt becoming SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...E gale to 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ052-091815- Icy Cape to Cape Suckling- 406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. Slight chance of thunderstorms late. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Showers. .SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E late. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. .SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. .MON...SE wind 20 kt becoming E gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 12 ft. .TUE...E gale to 35 kt becoming N 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$
954 FZAK52 PAJK 090328 CWFAEG Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED National Weather Service Juneau AK 728 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ099-092130- 728 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A gale force front moves E over the panhandle Fri night. Behind the front, W to SW onshore flow will persist across the gulf into Sun. Outlook. A stronger low will move into the AK Gulf Mon night. $$ PKZ041-092130- Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision- 728 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming W in the evening, then diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas 12 ft. Rain in the evening. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. .SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. W swell. .MON...W wind 20 kt becoming SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...SE gale to 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt. Seas 19 ft building to 24 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ042-092130- Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe- 728 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming W 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain in the evening. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Showers in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. W swell. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .MON...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...SE gale to 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft subsiding to 15 ft. $$ PKZ043-092130- Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather- 728 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .REST OF TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt late. Gusts to 50 kt in the evening. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. .SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. W swell. Rain showers in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. W swell. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. W swell. .MON...S wind 15 kt becoming SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...E gale to 40 kt becoming S 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 14 ft. $$ PKZ051-092130- Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape- 728 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .REST OF TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt diminishing to 25 kt late. Gusts to 60 kt in the evening. Seas 13 ft. Rain. Slight chance of thunderstorms late. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. Rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. .SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. Rain showers in the evening. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. .MON...S wind 15 kt becoming SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...E gale to 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ052-092130- Icy Cape to Cape Suckling- 728 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. Slight chance of thunderstorms late. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Showers. .SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E late. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. .SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. .MON...SE wind 20 kt becoming E gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 12 ft. .TUE...E gale to 35 kt becoming N 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$
622 FZAK52 PAJK 091152 CWFAEG Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 352 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ099-100600- 352 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... W to SW onshore flow will persist across the gulf into Sun night. A gale force low will move into the central AK Gulf Mon night while the associated front moves across the panhandle. $$ PKZ041-100600- Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision- 352 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. .SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. W swell. .MON...S wind 30 kt increasing to gale to 45 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 17 ft. .TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft subsiding to 13 ft. $$ PKZ042-100600- Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe- 352 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Showers in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. W swell. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. W swell. .MON...S gale to 35 kt becoming SE gale to 45 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 18 ft. .TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 13 ft. $$ PKZ043-100600- Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather- 352 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. W swell. Rain showers in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. W swell. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. W swell. .MON...SE gale to 35 kt increasing to gale to 45 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 18 ft. .TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 13 ft. $$ PKZ051-100600- Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape- 352 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. .SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. .MON...SE gale to 35 kt becoming E gale to 45 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 18 ft. .TUE...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ052-100600- Icy Cape to Cape Suckling- 352 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms early in the morning. Showers. .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E late. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. .MON...E gale to 35 kt increasing to gale to 45 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 17 ft. .TUE...E gale to 40 kt becoming N 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 7, 2:21 PM AKDT, 13 hours 11 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 7, 2:21 PM AKDT, 13 hours 11 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
221 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021
.SHORT TERM...Satellite imagery this afternoon showing a weakening
front tracking eastward over the AK Panhandle. This front
produced gale force winds along the Eastern AK Gulf, small craft
to gale force winds over the inner channels, and some strong wind
gusts especially over the southern inner channels. Widespread
rainfall fell over the region with period of moderate to heavy
rain were also produced by this front. As the front exits the
area winds and rain showers will diminish from north to south as a
high pressure ridge over the western AK Gulf moves east. Any
weather breaks will be limited as the next gale force front moves
in Friday, crossing over the area through Saturday.
Similar pattern for the end of the week into the start of the
weekend with low centered near Prince William Sound and associated
front extending southward. Low end gales for the coastal waters
and then small craft winds for the inner channels. For now have
winds gust just below 40 mph overland but coastal and Southern
Panhandle could get some higher gusts. Rain increases through
Friday with period of moderate rain. 24 hour rain amounts only 1
to upwards of 1.5 inches, typical fall system. No significant
breaks in precip Saturday and Sunday as the front passes due to a
low remaining in the NE Gulf with continued onshore flow. With
colder air aloft behind the front this unstable airmass warranted
mention of thunderstorm possibility over the eastern AK gulf and
coastal areas. Model cape and LI moves inland so will keep an eye
on this pushing thunderstorms further inland. Except for the
northern inner channels with winds staying around 15-20 kts due to
pressure gradient, most areas will have a diminishing trend in
winds.
Ensembles and operational models were showing good consistency
through the short term. Not much change run to run so was able to
keep previous forecast mostly as is. Any heavy precip as depicted
by model IVT and ensemble PW was aimed just to the south of the AK
Panhandle, thus limiting any hydrology concerns. Higher
elevations this time of year become a concern with respect to
snowfall amounts but have only a couple of inches at White Pass
due to the warm air advection from the front and rising snow
levels.
.LONG TERM.../Saturday through next Wednesday/ As of 10pm
Wednesday. Saturday will feature a post frontal environment with
CAA and WSW flow at all levels. This will result in numerous rain
showers, especially for communities along W-SW facing slopes.
Locations on the lee side of these mountains may see lighter/fewer
showers. The CAA over the warm ocean and some lift from PVA has
potential for lighting. Have included a slight chance in the
forecast for the northern outside waters starting early Saturday
morning, then shifting SE along the outer coast through the day.
Some of the nearby land areas could be added to the thunderstorm
risk for Saturday with future forecast updates, stay tuned.
A surface low over the northern gulf will keep showers going late
Saturday night. Then the low will weaken as it tracks southeast
along the outer coast through Sunday afternoon. This will cause
greatest showers to be in the SW quadrant of the low, shifting
southward with it through the day. Therefore, improving
conditions are expected through the afternoon for the north along
with decreasing winds and a shift to the N-NE. Breaks in the
clouds and colder air aloft Sunday night will make for another
chilly Monday morning.
Most of Monday is looking like a break day, but some isolated
showers cannot be ruled out. Then the next system to affect the
region moves across the gulf Monday night, making for a wet day
Tuesday. Model spread has increased on the track of the low,
resulting in some uncertainty in wind directions for the inside
waters. The GFS is taking a easterly track across the southern
gulf, which would result in greatest rainfall for the south, less
rain for the northern inner channels and a wind shift to the
north. Meanwhile, the ECMWF tracks the low NE to the northern gulf
which would cause SELY winds and focus rainfall further north and
be more widespread. Timing of the system however remains
relatively similar. This forecast package is a compromise of
those tracks with gale force winds, using WPC and NBM for wind
directions.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind until 7 PM AKDT this evening for AKZ028.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ036-041>043-052.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-013-021-022-031>035-051-053.
&&
PRB/Ferrin
Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/JuneauThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 7:29 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 8 hr | |
| Oct 8, 3:32 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Oct 8, 3:32 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 61 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.