Brisk Wind Advisory 86, NWS Fairbanks, AK

343 
FZAK51 PAFG 272251
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
151 PM AKST Sat Feb 27 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-281530-
151 PM AKST Sat Feb 27 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A ridge of high pressure north of the Arctic Coast of Alaska will
persist through Mon. A tight pressure gradient along the Chukchi
Sea coast will allow for strong winds through 3am Sun. The 
pressure gradient along the Brooks Range on Mon will allow for 
stronger winds along the eastern Beaufort and Chukchi coast.

$$

PKZ225-281530-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
151 PM AKST Sat Feb 27 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SUN...NE winds 20 kt. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. 
.MON...NE winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. 
.THU...E winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ230-281530-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
151 PM AKST Sat Feb 27 2021

.TONIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.SUN...N winds 10 kt. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.MON...NE winds 25 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ235-281530-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
151 PM AKST Sat Feb 27 2021

.TONIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.SUN...N winds 10 kt. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.MON...NE winds 15 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. 
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ240-281530-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
151 PM AKST Sat Feb 27 2021

.TONIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.SUN...NE winds 5 kt. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.MON...NE winds 25 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. 
.TUE...E winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. 
.WED...E winds 10 kt. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ245-281530-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
151 PM AKST Sat Feb 27 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.SUN...N winds 10 kt. 
.SUN NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. 
.MON...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE...E winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.WED...W winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 25 kt.  

$$

Feb 21

525 
FZAK51 PAFG 281524
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
624 AM AKST Sun Feb 28 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-010330-
624 AM AKST Sun Feb 28 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1016 mb low 200 NM north of Barter Island will weaken to 1020 mb
by 3pm then drift north tonight. A ridge of high pressure over the
Chukchi Sea and North Slope of Alaska will move north of the Arctic
Coast of Alaska tonight and then persist into Tue. 

$$

PKZ225-010330-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
624 AM AKST Sun Feb 28 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 25 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. 
.MON...NE winds 30 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM
or less. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 35 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ230-010330-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
624 AM AKST Sun Feb 28 2021

.TODAY...NE winds 10 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. 
.MON...NE winds 25 kt. Freezing fog. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.WED...N winds 10 kt. 
.THU...E winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ235-010330-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
624 AM AKST Sun Feb 28 2021

.TODAY...N winds 10 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Freezing fog. 
.MON...NE winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. 
.WED...N winds 10 kt. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ240-010330-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
624 AM AKST Sun Feb 28 2021

.TODAY...NE winds 5 kt becoming W. Freezing fog. 
.TONIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Freezing fog. 
.MON...NE winds 25 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. 
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 10 kt. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ245-010330-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
624 AM AKST Sun Feb 28 2021

.TODAY...SE winds 15 kt becoming W. Freezing fog. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. 
.MON...E winds 25 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. 
.TUE...E winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.WED...W winds 10 kt. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

Feb 21

989 
FZAK51 PAFG 282315
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
215 PM AKST Sun Feb 28 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-011515-
215 PM AKST Sun Feb 28 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A ridge of high pressure over the Chukchi Sea and North Slope of 
Alaska will move north of the Arctic Coast of Alaska tonight and 
then persist into Tue.

$$

PKZ225-011515-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
215 PM AKST Sun Feb 28 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. 
.MON...NE winds 30 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM
or less. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 35 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 25 kt. 
.FRI...SE winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ230-011515-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
215 PM AKST Sun Feb 28 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. 
.MON...NE winds 25 kt. Freezing fog. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 25 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ235-011515-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
215 PM AKST Sun Feb 28 2021

.TONIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Freezing fog. 
.MON...NE winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ240-011515-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
215 PM AKST Sun Feb 28 2021

.TONIGHT...S winds 5 kt becoming E. Freezing fog. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. 
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 10 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ245-011515-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
215 PM AKST Sun Feb 28 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW winds 15 kt becoming SE. Freezing fog. 
.MON...E winds 25 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. 
.TUE...E winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.WED...W winds 10 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 25 kt.  

$$

Feb 21

937 
FZAK51 PAFG 011419
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
519 AM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-020315-
519 AM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A ridge of high pressure north of the Arctic Coast of Alaska 
will persist into Wed. A weather front over Southwest Alaska will
move northeast over Interior Alaska through tonight, and over the 
Eastern Arctic Coast of Alaska Tue and Wed. A very strong low in
the Western Bering Sea will move to the Central Bering Sea by 3pm
Mon, to Bristol Bay by Tue morning, and then move east into the
Gulf of Alaska Tue night. 

$$

PKZ225-020315-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
519 AM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 35 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM
or less. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 35 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.THU...E winds 30 kt. 
.FRI...SE winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ230-020315-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
519 AM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

.TODAY...NE winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 30 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ235-020315-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
519 AM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

.TODAY...NE winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.THU...E winds 25 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ240-020315-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
519 AM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

.TODAY...E winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. 
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. 
.WED...NE winds 10 kt. Freezing fog. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ245-020315-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
519 AM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. 
.WED...NE winds 10 kt. Freezing fog. 
.WED NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. 
.THU...E winds 25 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 25 kt.  

$$

Mar 21

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1256 PM AKST Fri Feb 26 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
The second in a series of weak low pressure systems is poised to
bring another round of snow over much of the Interior with the
Middle Tanana Valley expected to pick up another 4 to 7 inches and
higher amounts in the Alaska Range through Sunday into Monday.
The Western North Slope, Chukchi Sea Coast and Bering Strait will
remain cold with dangerous wind chills persisting into Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
The 26/12z model suite initialized well against the 12z surface
analysis and verified well against the 18z surface analysis. Much
better agreement on the timing and location of expected snowfall
in the Interior as compared to the last couple of model runs.
Model spread remains reasonable into early next week before
significant spread creeps into the model suite by the middle of
next week.

Aloft at 500 hpa, a trough that extends southwest over Northern
Alaska from an upper level low to the east of Banks Island while
a strong ridge continues to build north into the Northern Gulf of
Alaska and South Central Alaska. This is producing deep and moist
southwest to westerly flow over much of the Alaska Range and
Interior especially to the south of the Yukon River. Enhances
areas of lift are expected to push through the southwesterly flow
bringing periods of enhanced snowfall over much of the Interior
into Sunday. Deep cold will remain in place over the North Slope
with 850 hpa temperatures in the 25 to 28 below range and below
normal surface temperatures in the 30s to 40 below range through
the weekend and into early next week.

On the surface a 990 mb low just east of St Paul Island will
weaken and push inland into the Lower YK Delta and will bring
significant snowfall over much of the Lower YK Delta and southern
portions of the Western Interior today and Saturday and into the
Central and Eastern Interior through Sunday. A 1034 mb high
pressure system over Eastern Siberia will continue to build slowly
east over the Southern Chukchi Sea, the Being Strait, North Slope
and Brooks Range through the weekend. The surface low continues to
push east over South Central Alaska as a 988 mb low on Sunday and
will push into the southwestern Yukon Sunday night and Monday
morning. A strong front rotating around deep low in the Central
Bering Sea pushes into the Lower YK Delta Monday.

Central and Eastern Interior...Snow continues to push into the
Interior today and will continue into Sunday for the Central
Interior and into Monday for the Eastern Interior. Winter weather
advisories are in effect for snow across the Interior with
snowfall totals around generally in the 4 to 8 inches through
Sunday. Heavier amounts of snow are expected near the Alaska
Range where 6 to 12 inches are expected. Winds will also ramp up
over Summits on Saturday along the Elliott and Dalton Highways.
Winds gusting to 30 mph could produce low visibility to one half
mile at times on Saturday. Winter weather advisories continue for
the for the Highway Summits in the Interior. Southerly winds
combined with heavy snow in Isabel Pass will produce considerable
blowing and drifting snow on Saturday. As winds in Isabel Pass
shift to the north and strengthen on Sunday near blizzard
conditions are expected to develop south of Trims Camp. Snow over
the Central Interior will slowly diminish by Sunday night and
will diminish on Monday in the Eastern Interior. Temperatures will
remain around normal over the weekend and slowly drop early next
week.

North Slope and Brooks Range...
Dangerous wind chills continue over the Western North Slope where
Wind Chill Warning remain in effect through noon Saturday. Temperatures
expected to remain well below normal going into early next week.

West Coast and Western Interior...
Low wind chills continue for the Chukchi Sea Coast and the Bering
Strait and will continue through noon on Saturday as low temperatures
and gusty winds continue. Snow continues to push inland ahead of a
developing low near St Paul Island. Storm total snowfall through
Saturday. A brief reprieve on Sunday before a strong front rotating
around deep low in the Central Bering Sea pushes into the Lower
YK Delta on Monday.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Chill Advisory for AKZ207-AKZ213.

Wind Chill Warning for AKZ201.

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ218-AKZ219-AKZ220-AKZ221-AKZ222-
AKZ223-AKZ224-AKZ225-AKZ226-AKZ227.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.
&&

CCC FEB 21