Small Craft Advisory 579, NWS Anchorage, AK

420 
FZAK52 PAFC 242344
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-251215-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1014 mb low 70 nm northeast of Shemya moves to 100 nm northwest
of Cold Bay at 1006 mb Sun night. The low then crosses into the 
North Pacific about 140 nm south of Sand Point at 1009 mb Mon 
afternoon. A 1012 mb low 120 nm southwest of Shemya enters the 
western Aleutians Sun night and then drifts to 160 nm north of Adak 
Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-251215-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-251215-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. From the
Shumagin Islands E, variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ160-251215-
Bristol Bay-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-251215-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. From Port Moller E, variable wind 10 kt
becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-251215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ171-251215-
Unalaska Bay-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog.
Rain.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot
building to 3 ft in the afternoon. Areas of fog. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-251215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-251215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ174-251215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
Areas of fog.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ175-251215-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft after midnight.
Areas of fog.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ176-251215-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ177-251215-
Adak to Kiska-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ178-251215-
Kiska to Attu-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ179-251215-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Areas
of fog. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ180-251215-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ181-251215-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-251215-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

104 
FZAK52 PAFC 251115
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-260000-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1010 mb low 170 nm north of Unalaska on Sun afternoon moves to
208 nm south of Cold Bay at 1009 mb by Mon afternoon. A 1010 mb
low moves to 135 nm west of Shemya on Sun afternoon moves to 225 
nm north of Adak at 1012 mb by Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-260000-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ155-260000-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon.
From the Shumagin Islands E, variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas 
of fog.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ160-260000-
Bristol Bay-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 foot.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-260000-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt except SE 15 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 2
ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-260000-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ171-260000-
Unalaska Bay-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-260000-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ173-260000-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ174-260000-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...W wind 15 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ175-260000-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ176-260000-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ177-260000-
Adak to Kiska-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ178-260000-
Kiska to Attu-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 8 ft. 
Areas of fog.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ179-260000-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Areas of dense fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-260000-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ181-260000-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-260000-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

540 
FZAK52 PAFC 252342
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-261245-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA 
WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1009 mb low 75 nm southeast of Saint George moves into the North  
Pacific by Mon morning. A second 1009 mb low 125 nm southwest of 
Shemya moves to 125 nm southwest of Adak at 1012 mb Mon afternoon, 
then weakens into a trough. A separate front moves into the northern 
Bering Tue morning.

$$

PKZ150-261245-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ155-261245-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ160-261245-
Bristol Bay-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
1 foot.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-261245-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-261245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ171-261245-
Unalaska Bay-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of dense fog. Rain.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of
dense fog.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-261245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ173-261245-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ174-261245-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ175-261245-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ176-261245-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ177-261245-
Adak to Kiska-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ178-261245-
Kiska to Attu-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ179-261245-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-261245-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-261245-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ185-261245-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

633 
FZAK52 PAFC 261137
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-270045-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A weak trough moves across the Bering through Tuesday afternoon. A
separate front moves into the northern Bering Tuesday morning.

$$

PKZ150-270045-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ155-270045-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ160-270045-
Bristol Bay-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 foot.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-270045-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-270045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ171-270045-
Unalaska Bay-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-270045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ173-270045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ174-270045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ175-270045-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ176-270045-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ177-270045-
Adak to Kiska-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ178-270045-
Kiska to Attu-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ179-270045-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ180-270045-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-270045-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ185-270045-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...S 30 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
409 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

Continue to watch two low pressure areas, one over the northern
Bering, the other over the western Gulf, with high pressure
remaining over the interior. In the eastern Bering, gap winds of
around 20-30 kts are occurring with the northwest winds making it
to the surface. In the easterly flow between the high pressure
area and the low over the northern Gulf, a shortwave is moving
through from the eastern interior into Southcentral. Showers and
thunderstorms are occurring with this feature, with the activity
over Southcentral limited to light rain showers.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models are in fairly good agreement with the synoptic features,
although there are differences with how they handle the smaller
shortwaves. The main concerns continue to be how the shortwaves
in the easterly flow are handled and what kind of an impact, if
any, will occur in the Anchorage area which appears to be on the
cusp. All in all, can expect generally cool, wet conditions with
cloudy conditions and mainly scattered showers.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...Predominantly VFR conditions will continue through the TAF
period, although areas of light rain with brief MVFR conditions
aren't out of the question. Turnagain Arm winds have, at least,
briefly redeveloped, albeit lighter than yesterday. While it will
likely weaken some later this afternoon, winds are expected to
increase again this evening, then should continue through the
early overnight hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: This
afternoon through Monday)...

A vertically stacked low is slowly moving through the southern
Gulf and will continue to bring rain to Kodiak Island before
tapering off Saturday afternoon as it moves south of the forecast
area. An easterly wave seen especially well at 700mb is slowly
moving across the Copper River Basin and through the Talkeetnas.
This wave is bringing widespread rain to the Copper River Basin
through the Talkeetnas and will move west into the Susitna Valley
tonight. Rain is also expected to move into the MAT valley and
Anchorage sometime near or after midnight although not as much
rain is expected as farther north. This easterly wave will begin
to stall out Saturday around the Susitna Valley and south towards
the Kenai Peninsula as an upper level ridge edges in across the
northern part of the forecast area. This will keep areas of rain
going through around mid-day from the Susitna Valley and south
towards Anchorage and the Kenai Peninsula. This wave will also
keep the area slightly cooler on Saturday. By Saturday afternoon
and evening the wave will begin to weaken with rain decreasing
across the area but the clouds should hang tough most of the day.
As we head into Sunday the upper level ridge will be centered over
the area roughly from the western Alaskan Range to the Talkeetnas
this will allow the area to see breaks in the cloud cover with
spotty showers mainly over the higher elevations and slightly
warmer temperatures. On Monday continued improvement is expected as
the ridge holds steady over Southcentral with a mix of sun and
clouds with more sun in the valleys and warmer temperatures. There
will be a chance of showers on Monday mainly over the higher
terrain, but most areas will remain dry.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Tonight
through Monday)...

Quiet weather is expected for much of Southwest Alaska through the
weekend and into early next week. Expect intervals of clouds and
some sunshine basically throughout the entire forecast package.
Some impulses of upper level energy will move along the western
Alaska Range south to the Aleutian Range through the remainder of
this afternoon and into this evening. There are ongoing rain
showers occurring now for areas around King Salmon north to
Iliamna and east of Pilot Point. These instability driven showers
are expected to continue into the evening hours before
dissipating overnight. A few other weak impulses may move across
the same areas Saturday and Sunday that may cause some rain
showers to develop but this time mainly over the mountains and
higher terrain.

Otherwise, areas of fog will yet again be a threat tonight for
the same areas due to low dew point depressions and due to the
ongoing rain shower activity currently. The one thing that may go
against this for tonight is the weak northerly flow for areas such
as Bethel and Iliamna. Unlike last night with very dense fog for
Iliamna, there will be a slightly more northerly wind component
tonight that might inhibit this, therefore, the forecast for
tonight is low to average confidence. Elsewhere, King Salmon and
along the AKPen, flow will remain more variable and light,
therefore, think this is the area with better risk for the fog
overnight/Saturday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3:
Tonight through Monday)...

An upper level ridge continues to remain in place over the Bering
tonight lending to the usual low stratus and areas of fog
underneath it, dense at times. A transient upper level
trough/shortwave moves into the Western Aleutians this evening and
continues traversing eastward across the Aleutian Chain through
the weekend and into Sunday evening. As a result, expect an
increase in unsettled weather with periods of rain and small craft
advisory winds with low end gale force gusts along the Chain. The
strongest winds are expected to remain on the southern side of
the Aleutians Islands over the marine waters. Timing for these
winds is Saturday afternoon through Sunday afternoon. Behind this
transient shortwave, another upper level ridge will build in from
west to east across the Bering leading to more of the usual low
stratus and areas of fog, dense at times, in the Bering and around
Shemya.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Monday through Wednesday)...

Bering/Aleutians

A front will move through the northern Bering Sea Tuesday
afternoon. Forecast confidence remains low at this time due to
differences in solutions with respect to the intensity of this
front. Winds may exceed gale force in the northern Bering, no high
seas are expected.

Gulf of Alaska

Expect winds less than 35 kts and seas less than 20 ft for the
Day 3 through 5 period.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Tuesday through Friday)...

Looking ahead into the extended forecast, the latest operational
model runs are slowly coming into agreement with the evolution and
progression of the synoptic scale features for the work week but
diverge in the specific details towards the end of the period. The
general pattern will be a broad longwave trough extending from
eastern Siberia into the Bering Sea with a ridge of high pressure
aloft building across the southern mainland toward the Brooks
Range by the middle of next week. An upper level wave rounding the
base of the trough coupled with moist, southwesterly flow and a
surface front will bring cool and wet conditions over the Bering
Sea/Aleutians and Southwest Alaska, with some breaks in between.
With ridging aloft over the southern mainland, expect near or
slightly above normal temperatures under mostly sunny skies and
drier conditions. Additionally, model solutions have a cutoff low
meandering over the southern Gulf while a weak shortwave
associated with the Bering trough moves south across the eastern
Aleutians into the North Pacific and phases with the Gulf low.
Thereafter, increasing uncertainty emerges as there are
differences with the exact trajectory and strength of this low as
it begins migrating toward the north Gulf coast and the ridge axis
shifts east over the AK- Yukon territory. Subsequent model runs
will be needed to iron out these discrepancies including potential
areas of precipitation and unsettled weather returning across
Southcentral by late next week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...NR
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MV
MARINE/LONG TERM...ED/MF