Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 257, NWS Anchorage, AK

March 28, 2021

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Mar 28, 2021, 3:48 PM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 28, 2021, 3:48 PM AKDT (23:48 UTC)
Expired
Mar 30, 2021, 3:30 AM AKDT
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

841 
FZAK51 PAFC 282348
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
348 PM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-291245-
348 PM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front enters the western Gulf this afternoon and moves to the
central Gulf Monday morning. A 1005 mb low forms 80 nm southwest
of Middleton Island Tue afternoon.


$$

PKZ119-291245-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
348 PM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Along the coast, variable wind 10 kt in the
evening becoming SE 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Along the coast, SE wind 25 kt becoming SW 20
kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-291245-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
348 PM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-291245-
Resurrection Bay-
348 PM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-291245-
Prince William Sound-
348 PM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind up to 15 kt becoming NW 10 kt after 
midnight. Seas 2 ft. 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-291245-
Port Valdez-
348 PM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-291245-
Valdez Narrows-
348 PM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-291245-
Valdez Arm-
348 PM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-291245-
Passage Canal-
348 PM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming E. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-291245-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
348 PM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-291245-
Barren Islands East-
348 PM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-291245-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
348 PM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-291245-
Chiniak Bay-
348 PM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-291245-
Marmot Bay-
348 PM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-291245-
Shelikof Strait-
348 PM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-291245-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
348 PM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind up to 15 kt becoming SW after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft
building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-291245-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
348 PM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters
2 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas in
ice free waters 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-291245-
Kachemak Bay-
348 PM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
3 follow-up statements
503 
FZAK51 PAFC 291139
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
339 AM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-300045-
339 AM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1008 mb low develops 80 nm south of Seward Tuesday morning and 
moves to 60N 146W at 992 mb Wednesday morning. 

$$

PKZ119-300045-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
339 AM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt...except E wind 20 kt near the coast during
the morning. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ120-300045-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
339 AM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-300045-
Resurrection Bay-
339 AM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-300045-
Prince William Sound-
339 AM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-300045-
Port Valdez-
339 AM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow
showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-300045-
Valdez Narrows-
339 AM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-300045-
Valdez Arm-
339 AM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-300045-
Passage Canal-
339 AM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow
showers.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-300045-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
339 AM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-300045-
Barren Islands East-
339 AM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-300045-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
339 AM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-300045-
Chiniak Bay-
339 AM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-300045-
Marmot Bay-
339 AM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-300045-
Shelikof Strait-
339 AM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-300045-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
339 AM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-300045-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
339 AM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas in
ice free waters 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-300045-
Kachemak Bay-
339 AM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt becoming SW wind 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
462 
FZAK51 PAFC 292351
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
351 PM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-301300-
351 PM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front will remain nearly stationary over the central Gulf
through Tue, then exit to the eastern Gulf Tue night. An 1007 mb 
low develops in the vicinity of the Barren Islands Tue morning 
and moves to 30 nm south of Cordova at 996 mb Tue afternoon. 
A weak low then lingers over the northern Gulf through Wed 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-301300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
351 PM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt except less than 10 kt N of Middleton
Island. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ120-301300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
351 PM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-301300-
Resurrection Bay-
351 PM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-301300-
Prince William Sound-
351 PM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-301300-
Port Valdez-
351 PM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow
showers.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-301300-
Valdez Narrows-
351 PM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-301300-
Valdez Arm-
351 PM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-301300-
Passage Canal-
351 PM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow
showers.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-301300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
351 PM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-301300-
Barren Islands East-
351 PM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-301300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
351 PM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-301300-
Chiniak Bay-
351 PM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-301300-
Marmot Bay-
351 PM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-301300-
Shelikof Strait-
351 PM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of western bays and
passes. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-301300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
351 PM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-301300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
351 PM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas in
ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-301300-
Kachemak Bay-
351 PM AKDT Mon Mar 29 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft building to 6 ft after midnight.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
601 
FZAK51 PAFC 301130
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
330 AM AKDT Tue Mar 30 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-310015-
330 AM AKDT Tue Mar 30 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

An 1007 mb low 30 nm northeast of Kodiak City this morning will 
move 80 nm southwest of Cordova at 994 mb Wednesday morning. The 
low then moves 240 nm south of Cordova at 995 mb Thursday morning.

$$

PKZ119-310015-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
330 AM AKDT Tue Mar 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-310015-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
330 AM AKDT Tue Mar 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-310015-
Resurrection Bay-
330 AM AKDT Tue Mar 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-310015-
Prince William Sound-
330 AM AKDT Tue Mar 30 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Snow.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-310015-
Port Valdez-
330 AM AKDT Tue Mar 30 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow
showers.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-310015-
Valdez Narrows-
330 AM AKDT Tue Mar 30 2021

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.WED...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Snow.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-310015-
Valdez Arm-
330 AM AKDT Tue Mar 30 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-310015-
Passage Canal-
330 AM AKDT Tue Mar 30 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow
showers.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-310015-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
330 AM AKDT Tue Mar 30 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-310015-
Barren Islands East-
330 AM AKDT Tue Mar 30 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-310015-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
330 AM AKDT Tue Mar 30 2021

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-310015-
Chiniak Bay-
330 AM AKDT Tue Mar 30 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-310015-
Marmot Bay-
330 AM AKDT Tue Mar 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ138-310015-
Shelikof Strait-
330 AM AKDT Tue Mar 30 2021

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-310015-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
330 AM AKDT Tue Mar 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-310015-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
330 AM AKDT Tue Mar 30 2021

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-310015-
Kachemak Bay-
330 AM AKDT Tue Mar 30 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft building to 6 ft after midnight.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Mar 28, 4:50 AM AKDT, 10 hours 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 28, 4:50 AM AKDT, 10 hours 58 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
450 AM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

An upper level low over the western Bering/Aleutians continues to
move northeastward. This low is beginning to weaken as the center
of cyclonic circulation is now displaced farther from the core of
the jet compared to 24 hours ago. This means that the synoptic
scale forcing for cyclonic motion is weakening and thus allowing
the low to begin to gradually weaken. An upper level ridge has
become more pronounced compared to 24 hours ago as the ridge now
extends from the central North Pacific through the western North
Slope. The overall Rossby Wave pattern has become more amplified
compared to the past 24 hours as the Pacific North American
Pattern (PNA) strengthened in the negative phase. A second upper
level low in the southeastern Gulf continues to move
southeastward. The jetstream currently extends northeastward from
the tropical west Pacific through the Seward Peninsula. The
jetstream then extends southeastward from the Seward Peninsula
through northern Washington State/southern British Columbia.

Closer to the surface, observations show blizzard conditions in
the western Kuskokwim Delta, especially in coastal locations.
Farther inland, observations show lighter winds and less
restricted visibility.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Guidance remains in good agremeent with the placement and
intensity of synoptic scale features at both the surface and the
upper levels. Due to the high degree of continuity, forecast
confidence remains high at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds persist through 02z.
Ceilings will fall to 3500ft around 02z with light snow developing
and reducing visibility. Southeasterly winds at 10-15kts will gust
to 20-25kts at times beginning at 02z.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

A front will sweep into Southcentral Alaska from the west today
and bring in a surprisingly tricky forecast. This front is moving
slightly faster that it looked yesterday so snowfall may begin in
Anchorage late this afternoon instead of this evening. That also
means the front will moves over Anchorage sooner so snow should
end in the early morning hours Monday. Easterly Turnagain Arm
winds will be blowing overnight tonight but won't make it into the
Anchorage Bowl until the front passes through. A number of the
forecast models are keeping the snow going for a few more hours as
these gusty southeast winds move into town, but that would be
very unusual, so am going with snow ending as with SE winds kick
in. Winds will switch to the South over Cook Inlet during the day
on Monday and remain gusty. The uncertainty here is how warn the
air will be moving up the Inlet. There are large differences in
models with how warm the air will be with some expecting
temperatures in Kenai and Anchorage to be into the lower 40s.
Others just have mid 30s. Ended up with most areas in the upper
30s to 40, but there is a chance they could warm into the lower to
even mid 40s along Cook Inlet tomorrow.

Snow will be more persistent the farther north one goes this
afternoon into Tuesday. Temperatures will also be cooler and
precipitation type is expected to be all snow in the Mat-Su
valleys. Palmer and Wasilla are right on the edge of things, so
while it looks like they will get snow through early Monday
morning and then it will end, it could linger there longer.
Hatcher Pass is ideally situated with this set up to get
persistent snow tonight into Tuesday and two feet or more of snow
is possible there tonight through Monday night.

Winds will increase from the south along the Copper River tonight
and bring those gusty winds into Glennallen overnight. This should
help keep their temperatures a but warmer than last night as well
as downslope out and precipitation at the lower elevations of the
Copper River Basin.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

The front associated with a strong storm system over the western
Bering is moving onshore the Kuskokwim Delta Coast this morning.
High clouds are spreading inland across the Middle Kuskokwim
Valley and Bristol Bay as the front continues moving eastward. One
quarter mile visibility and heavy snow is currently being
observed along the Kuskokwim Delta Coast from Toksook Bay to
Hooper Bay this morning. These conditions are expected to continue
along the coastline this morning as well as spread inland. A
Blizzard Warning is in effect for the Kuskokwim Delta Coast
through this afternoon for one quarter mile visibility in blowing
snow. Temperatures are expected to slowly rise throughout the day
reaching near to slightly above freezing late this afternoon. Snow
may mix with rain for the Kuskokwim Delta Coast late this
afternoon into this evening as warmer air moves in through a
deeper layer of the atmosphere. A general 4 to 8 inches with
locally up to 10 inches is expected across the Kuskokwim Delta.
There will be a prolonged period of deep southwesterly flow aimed
at the Kuskokwim Delta Coast to Bristol Bay today through Monday
afternoon. However, think there is enough sea ice to help keep any
coastal flooding at a minimum.

Current thinking is that the Middle Kuskokwim Valley will remain
all snow for this event with any rain/snow mix remaining south
over Bristol Bay. However, enough warm air is expected to move in
to change King Salmon over to all rain for a time this evening
through Monday morning.

With the center of the low pressure moving northward towards Nome,
this will keep a fairly moist southwest flow which will keep snow
in the forecast through the forecast period for much of Southwest.
Steadier light snow for the Kuskokwim Delta with more showery
activity east of the Kuskokwim Mountains as this area will be
further away from the main source of energy.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

The well-advertised storm force Bering low is here. Widespread
gale force winds are expected across much of the Bering today with
storm force winds for the southwestern Bering Sea. Wave heights up
to 30 feet are expected on the Pacific side of the Aleutian Island
Chain with waves up to 29 feet in the Bering. The front associated
with this system will continue moving eastward through the
Aleutian Island Chain this morning with some rain showers from
Dutch Harbor this morning to Cold Bay and Sand Point by this
afternoon.

A piece of upper level energy is expected to round the back side
of this low Monday afternoon through Tuesday afternoon/evening
that is expected to bring snow showers and gusty northwesterly
winds to the Eastern Aleutians and AKPEN.

Lastly, another gale force storm system with mild air is expected
to move across the western Bering Tuesday evening into Wednesday
with more unsettled weather and gusty winds for the Aleutian
Island Chain.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Tuesday through Thursday)...

Gulf of Alaska: A low moves over the North Gulf Coast while its
front moves across the Gulf by Thu. Forecast confidence starts
high, but decreases by Thu. Widespread southwesterly small craft
winds and waves move across the Southern Gulf, with small craft
gap winds through Shelikof Strait and Cook Inlet, both diminishing
Tue. After the front passes, small craft winds spread over the
Gulf through Thu. The track of a low coming into the Gulf is
uncertain, but gale force winds look probable for Thu.

Bering: A well developed Norton Sound low continues its track
onshore of western Alaska on Tue. Cold air advection behind this
low, leads to bands of gale force winds tracking down across the
central Bering and Aleutians, along with freezing spray. Forecast
confidence drops Wed through Thu with systems tracking from the
northwest Pacific, then eastward across the Aleutians and Bering
Sea. Generally increasing westerlies, with potential for gale
force winds.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Tuesday Night through
Saturday)...

The upper-level low over western Alaska will weaken and open into
trough as its north/south axis moves east, bisecting the state. As
it does, a shortwave developing at the base of this trough will
lift northeast along the AKPEN and over the north Gulf coast by
late Tuesday / early Wednesday. This feature will spin up a
surface low near Middleton Island, spreading rain and snow across
the immediate Southcentral Coast. The eastward progression of the
main trough, though, looks to kick this system to the eastern Gulf
by late Wednesday. The main trough, however, will remain
negatively tilted over Southcentral, allowing colder air to filter
in along with lingering snow showers, especially for upslope
areas along the western facing mountain ranges. The trough shows
signs of weakening by Thursday; however, a second, potent
shortwave looks to drop southeast from the Bering, re-
establishing the negatively-tilted trough over much of the
Southern Mainland. This feature will spin up yet another gulf low
for Thursday with precipitation along the coast and Copper River
Basin. As both the surface low and trough drift east, colder air
will advect back across Southcentral with northerly gaps winds
once again ramping up.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Blizzard Warning 155.
MARINE...Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 180 185.
Storm Warning 175 177 178 411 413.
Gale Warning 132 150 155 165 170 172 173 174 176 179 180 181 185 351 352 412 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...ED
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MV
MARINE/LONG TERM...MK/TM

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 28, 10:57 AM AKDT, 4 hours 51 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK
1057 AM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

AKZ155-161-291500-
Kuskokwim Delta-Bristol Bay-
Including the cities of Bethel, Hooper Bay, Nunivak Island,
King Salmon, Dillingham, Naknek, and Pilot Point
1057 AM AKDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS EXPECTED TO PUSH WATER THROUGH SEA
ICE OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST AND BRISTOL BAY COAST WEST OF
TOGIAK...

A strong winter storm moving through the Bering Sea is expected to
push water up through fissures and leads in the sea ice along the
Southwest coastline from Togiak to Cape Romanzof today and
Monday. The storm will also break up the sea ice near the edge and
possibly push loose sea ice onshore.

Strong south to southwest winds have moved into the Bering Sea,
and storm surge associated with the low will push under the sea
ice through Monday.

Residents should be cautious if venturing out on the ice or along
the coast. For detailed forecast information please see
www.weather.gov/anchorage.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 28, 3:40 AM AKDTStorm WarningAFC12 hr
Mar 28, 3:42 AM AKDTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Mar 28, 3:42 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days
Mar 28, 1:40 PM AKDTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC32 hr
Mar 28, 3:52 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC4 days
Mar 28, 3:58 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC4 days
Mar 28, 3:58 PM AKDTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.