Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2021

Gale Warning 655, NWS Anchorage, AK

October 8, 2021

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 8, 2021, 4:06 PM AKDT. It was in force for 35 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 8, 2021, 4:06 PM AKDT (00:06 UTC)
Expired
Oct 10, 2021, 3:30 AM AKDT
In force
35 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

223 
FZAK51 PAFC 090006
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-091330-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 979 mb low 25 nm north of Middleton Island tracks inland over 
Cordova at 982 mb Fri night and dissipates Sat morning. Its front 
reaches the east Gulf Coast Fri evening. A 985 mb low 80 nm west of 
Seward Sat morning tracks along the north Gulf Coast through Sat and
weakens to 1008 mb 45 nm south of Yakutat Sun morning. 

$$

PKZ119-091330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight...except E
wind 35 kt along the coast east of Montague Island through early 
evening. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-091330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-091330-
Resurrection Bay-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-091330-
Prince William Sound-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-091330-
Port Valdez-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-091330-
Valdez Narrows-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-091330-
Valdez Arm-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-091330-
Passage Canal-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-091330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-091330-
Barren Islands East-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-091330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-091330-
Chiniak Bay-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-091330-
Marmot Bay-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-091330-
Shelikof Strait-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-091330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-091330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft subsiding after midnight.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-091330-
Kachemak Bay-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt during the evening. 
Seas 3 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
3 follow-up statements
910 
FZAK51 PAFC 091151
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
351 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-100015-
351 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 991 mb low over Cook Inlet this morning will move 295 nm
southeast of Cordova Sunday morning. The low then moves inland 
Sunday night. A second 986 mb low will move 120 nm southeast of
Kodiak City Monday morning.

$$

PKZ119-100015-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
351 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Along the coast, SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 15 kt
in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Along the coast, E wind 15 kt becoming N
after midnight. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-100015-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
351 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-100015-
Resurrection Bay-
351 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-100015-
Prince William Sound-
351 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind up to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-100015-
Port Valdez-
351 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-100015-
Valdez Narrows-
351 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-100015-
Valdez Arm-
351 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-100015-
Passage Canal-
351 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt early becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 
2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt in the evening becoming W 15 kt.
Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-100015-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
351 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-100015-
Barren Islands East-
351 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-100015-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
351 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ136-100015-
Chiniak Bay-
351 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-100015-
Marmot Bay-
351 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-100015-
Shelikof Strait-
351 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-100015-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
351 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-100015-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
351 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-100015-
Kachemak Bay-
351 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
847 
FZAK51 PAFC 100006
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
406 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-101330-
406 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 994 mb low 40 nm south of Seward exits into the eastern Gulf Sun 
morning. A North Pacific low moves to 100 nm south of Middleton 
Island at 980 mb Mon afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-101330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
406 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Along the coast, E wind 15 kt becoming N
after midnight. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 55 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-101330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
406 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-101330-
Resurrection Bay-
406 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-101330-
Prince William Sound-
406 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-101330-
Port Valdez-
406 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-101330-
Valdez Narrows-
406 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-101330-
Valdez Arm-
406 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after 
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-101330-
Passage Canal-
406 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt in the evening becoming W 15 kt.
Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt becoming E 10 kt in the evening. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-101330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
406 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft 
subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ131-101330-
Barren Islands East-
406 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-101330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
406 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft...except 20 ft S of Dangerous
Cape during the evening.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ136-101330-
Chiniak Bay-
406 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-101330-
Marmot Bay-
406 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-101330-
Shelikof Strait-
406 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-101330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
406 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-101330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
406 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-101330-
Kachemak Bay-
406 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
342 
FZAK51 PAFC 101130
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
330 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-110000-
330 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1011 mb low 220 nm southeast of Cordova this morning will 
dissipate by Sunday night. A second 993 mb low will develop 310 nm
southwest of Cordova Monday morning and move 290 nm southeast of
Cordova at 974 mb Tuesday morning.

$$

PKZ119-110000-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
330 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Along the coast, SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft
subsiding to 6 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft
building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 55 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-110000-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
330 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt in the morning increasing to 35 kt. Seas 6 ft 
building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-110000-
Resurrection Bay-
330 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-110000-
Prince William Sound-
330 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt in the evening increasing to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.MON...E wind 20 kt in the morning increasing to 30 kt. Seas 4 ft 
building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-110000-
Port Valdez-
330 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-110000-
Valdez Narrows-
330 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-110000-
Valdez Arm-
330 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-110000-
Passage Canal-
330 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after 
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-110000-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
330 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft 
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt in the evening increasing to 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-110000-
Barren Islands East-
330 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft
subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-110000-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
330 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ136-110000-
Chiniak Bay-
330 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-110000-
Marmot Bay-
330 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-110000-
Shelikof Strait-
330 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-110000-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
330 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft 
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft
building to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-110000-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
330 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-110000-
Kachemak Bay-
330 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 8, 5:22 AM AKDT, 10 hours 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 8, 5:22 AM AKDT, 10 hours 44 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
522 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A large low pressure system currently over Etolin Strait is
continuing to move northeastward toward the Alaskan mainland. The
jetstream remains south of 50N west of 160W, then extends
northeastward to the AlCan Border and then extends southeast to
the Pacific Northwest. Closer to the surface, radar shows
widespread rain moving northeastward across the northern Gulf of
Alaska, Prince William Sound, the Kenai Peninsula, Cook Inlet, the
Matauska Valley and Susitna Valley. Radar also shows showers
moving northeastward across the Kuskokwim Delta and Bristol Bay.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Guidance is in good agreement with respect to the placement and
intensity of synoptic scale features at both the surface and in
the upper levels over the next 3 days. Forecast confidence remains
above average.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions will persist through 08th/23z, then ceilings
will fall to 3000ft (MVFR conditions) from 08th/23z through
09th/06z, then ceilings will rise above 3000ft after 09th/06z.
Light winds this morning will have temporary gusts into the
upper 10s(kts) from 13z through 15z.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2: Today
through Sunday morning)...

A weather front attached to an occluded low near Nunivak Island
extends southeast into the western Gulf this morning.
Precipitation, in the form of rain and high elevation snow, is
pushing across Southcentral ahead of the front with areas of
moderate to heavy rain along the eastern Kenai Peninsula and
western Prince William Sound. Southeasterly gap winds have also
developed out ahead of the front, with gusty winds through
Turnagain Arm and the Copper River Basin this morning.

A triple-point low will develop along the front later this
morning south of the Kenai Peninsula and strengthen as it lifts
toward Prince William Sound. The southeasterly flow aloft will
also strengthen, allowing precipitation to wane due to
downsloping along the lee of the Kenai and Chugach Mountains. Gap
winds will also diminish due to a deepening north/south surface
pressure gradient.

This low and its associated upper-level trough push onshore by
late Friday evening. This will result in the upper-level flow
becoming southwesterly along the coast and across Cook Inlet,
allowing for precipitation to redevelop over the previously
downsloped areas. A secondary surface trough moves north into
Prince William Sound for Saturday, with rain and mountain snow to
persisting along the coast. By Saturday night, the upper-level
trough axis slides east and the resulting northwesterly flow will
begin to usher in drier and cooler air. Snow showers will linger
across the mountains Sunday with northwesterly gales over the
Gulf and gusts along the immediate coast.

&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 to 2: Today through
Saturday)...

A strong low pressure system which has dropped into the mid 960s
mb range early this morning is near Nunivak Island. This low will
move across Nunivak Island over the next few hours before moving
inland towards Bethel by this afternoon. The low continues moving
eastward over the Kuskokwim/Kilbuck Mountains Friday night and
then to the western Alaska Range Saturday morning while slowly
weakening. Basically, expect continued on and off rain shower
activity to continue today through Saturday. Most of the
population centers across Southwest will remain too warm for any
snow with snow remaining at higher elevations of 1500-2500 feet.
Colder air begins to move across the Kuskokwim Delta Saturday
afternoon and evening but any precipitation in valley locations is
expected to remain warm enough for the time being to remain
liquid, though, a few wet snowflakes cannot be ruled out. Breezy
conditions with gusts of 25 to 35 mph are also expected today
through tonight for areas of Southwest especially the coastal
communities.

Lastly, persistent southwesterly flow into Bristol Bay today
through tonight will yield to the concern of coastal flooding.
Therefore, a Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect for the
area. See the advisory for more details.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 to 2: Today
through Saturday)...

A strong low pressure system currently sitting near Nunivak Island
will continue slowly moving to the east and then onshore the
Kuskokwim Delta coast later this morning into this afternoon. As a
result, most of the Bering Sea including the Pribilof Islands, and
the Alaska Peninsula and Eastern Aleutians can expect strong
gusty westerly winds to continue through tonight before
subsiding heading into Saturday morning. As a result, A High Wind
Warning remains in effect for the Cold Bay area through this
afternoon for gusts up to 75 mph. See warning for further
details. Gusty westerly winds for Dutch Harbor and the Central
Aleutians is expected to continue through tonight. Gusts may
approach upwards of 60 mph throughout the day. Gusty winds are
also expected to continue across the Pribilofs through tonight
with gusts upwards of 55 mph. Wave heights across the Bering will
also be 20 to 28 feet across portions of the Bering with seas
subsiding Friday night into Saturday.

Next, a gale force frontal system is expected to emerge off the
Kamchatka Peninsula this morning which will strengthen as it
tracks towards the Western Aleutians and western Bering Friday
night through Saturday. As a result, expect another round of rain
and winds for these areas during this timeframe as well as another
round of increased wave heights (~20 ft).

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Sunday through Tuesday)...

Bering Sea:
A wind-wrapped low in the Bering Sea spreads high-end gales
across the Bering Sea and westerly gale force winds along the
Aleutians for Sunday morning. This low tracks north of Bristol Bay
Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning, spreading westerly gale
force winds across Bristol Bay for late Monday night, diminishing
Tuesday. Seas to 18 feet across the Bering Sea along the
Aleutians, subsiding Tuesday. A strong, wind-wrapped North Pacific
low approaches the western Aleutians early Monday morning and
moves into the Bering Sea through Tuesday morning. This low
spreads southwesterly storm force winds south of the Aleutians
Monday morning through Tuesday morning, and high-end gales across
the entire Bering Sea Monday night through Tuesday morning. Seas
building to 23 feet south of the Aleutians through Tuesday
morning.

Gulf of Alaska:
Strong westerly gales across the Gulf and northwesterly gale
force gap winds through the Barren Islands Sunday morning,
diminishing Sunday afternoon. Seas to 21 feet spread across the
Gulf, diminishing Sunday afternoon. A well-developed low moves
into the Gulf Monday morning and strengthens through Tuesday
morning. This low spreads storm force winds across the southern
Gulf and southeasterly storm force winds along the East Gulf Coast
Monday night through Tuesday morning. Seas to 19 feet across the
southern Gulf for Tuesday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Monday through Thursday)...

The storm track appears to shift southward next week, with fewer
impacts on the mainland than this weekend. On Monday, a weakening
occluded low tracks eastward into Southwest Alaska, with light to
moderate precipitation expected there, diminishing through
Tuesday. To the southeast, a triple point low develops in the
southern Gulf, bringing rain to Kodiak Island and gusty winds
through gaps and passes along the AKPen in the lee of the cyclone
Monday and Monday night. Model guidance has trended south and
eastward with this system, tracking the system further from the
mainland into the eastern Gulf on Tuesday, however the possibility
of gusty wind and precipitation along the north Gulf coast remain
possible with this system as some uncertainty in the track of the
low remains. Another low moves into the western Bering on Monday.
This low traverses the Bering quickly, crossing into the Gulf near
Kodiak by Wednesday. Supported by a weak shortwave aloft, the
system remains elongated with the bulk of its rain remaining south
of the low center, confining rainfall primarily to the Aleutians,
AKPen, and Kodiak Island, though there is some uncertainty in the
track of the low. By Wednesday, a tight pressure gradient between
the low in the Gulf and ridging in the Bering has the potential to
produce gusty gap winds through the AKPen and eastern Aleutians
once again.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Warning 181.
Coastal Flood Advisory 161.
MARINE...Storm Warning 155 165 170 171 180 414.
Gale Warning 119 131 132 137 138 150 160 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 351 352
412 413.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...ED
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TM
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MV
MARINE/LONG TERM...MK/CQ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 8, 4:10 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC6 days
Oct 8, 4:10 PM AKDTStorm WarningAFC12 hr
Oct 8, 4:13 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC7 days
Oct 9, 3:51 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Oct 9, 3:53 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC4 days
Oct 9, 3:53 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC6 days
Oct 9, 3:56 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC8 days
Oct 9, 3:56 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2021Every gale warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.