Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2021

Gale Warning 275, NWS Anchorage, AK

March 5, 2021

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Mar 5, 2021, 3:53 PM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 5, 2021, 3:53 PM AKST (00:53 UTC)
Expired
Mar 7, 2021, 3:35 AM AKST
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

889 
FZAK51 PAFC 060053
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-061400-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 985 mb low 165 nm South of Kodiak City exits the Southern Gulf 
Fri night. Its front dissipates over the Central Gulf for Sat 
morning. A 993 mb low 120 nm West of Sitka moves to 80 nm West of 
Yakutat at 1006 mb Sat night then dissipates into a trough that 
stretches across the Northern Gulf through Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-061400-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near the Copper River Delta
after midnight. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Gust to 40 kt near the Copper River Delta. 
Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 45 kt near the Copper River 
Delta. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ120-061400-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of Resurrection Bay. Seas 9 
ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of Resurrection Bay.
Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ121-061400-
Resurrection Bay-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-061400-
Prince William Sound-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-061400-
Port Valdez-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-061400-
Valdez Narrows-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-061400-
Valdez Arm-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt decreasing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 
4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-061400-
Passage Canal-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight.
Seas building to 4 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-061400-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 11
ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-061400-
Barren Islands East-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt increasing to 40 kt in the evening. Seas 11
ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-061400-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, NE wind 25 kt becoming
NW 40 kt in the evening. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ136-061400-
Chiniak Bay-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the evening. Seas 4 
ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-061400-
Marmot Bay-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt in the evening. Seas 4 
ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-061400-
Shelikof Strait-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of western bays and 
passes. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of western bays and passes. Seas
7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 
5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-061400-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-061400-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt after
midnight. Snow.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt.
.WED...N wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ141-061400-
Kachemak Bay-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray W of Homer. 
Snow.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray W of Homer in the
morning.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$
3 follow-up statements
538 
FZAK51 PAFC 061230
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-070100-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 994 mb low 90 nm southwest of Yakutat moves to 90 nm southeast
of Cordova at 1006 mb Sat night then dissipates into a trough 
that stretches across the Northern Gulf through Mon morning.

$$

PKZ119-070100-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the Copper River Delta. 
Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-070100-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 8 
ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-070100-
Resurrection Bay-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 6 ft. Freezing
spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-070100-
Prince William Sound-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-070100-
Port Valdez-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-070100-
Valdez Narrows-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-070100-
Valdez Arm-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-070100-
Passage Canal-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 5 
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-070100-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-070100-
Barren Islands East-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 
11 ft subsiding to 8 ft after midnight.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-070100-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-070100-
Chiniak Bay-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-070100-
Marmot Bay-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-070100-
Shelikof Strait-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft Freezing spray along the Alaska
Peninsula coast.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-070100-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Patchy freezing fog.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Freezing spray and patchy freezing fog.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-070100-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 10 kt.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Patchy freezing fog.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt.
.WED...N wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ141-070100-
Kachemak Bay-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. 
Snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$
887 
FZAK51 PAFC 070038
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-071400-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A trough lingers across the Northern Gulf through Mon afternoon. A
new front approaches the Western Gulf for Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-071400-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the Copper River Delta.
Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of the Copper River
Delta. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-071400-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of Resurrection Bay. Seas
8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-071400-
Resurrection Bay-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-071400-
Prince William Sound-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. N of Naked Island, N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft
subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-071400-
Port Valdez-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-071400-
Valdez Narrows-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-071400-
Valdez Arm-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-071400-
Passage Canal-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 
ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ130-071400-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt decreasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 9 
ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-071400-
Barren Islands East-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt decreasing to 25 kts after midnight. Seas 
11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-071400-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 
6 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-071400-
Chiniak Bay-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt decreasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-071400-
Marmot Bay-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-071400-
Shelikof Strait-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kts through western bays and 
passes in the evening. Freezing Spray along the Alaska Peninsula
coast. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-071400-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Patchy freezing fog.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Freezing spray and patchy freezing fog.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-071400-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Patchy freezing fog.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt.
.WED...N wind 10 kt.
.THU...N wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ141-071400-
Kachemak Bay-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
288 
FZAK51 PAFC 071235
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-080200-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A trough lingers across the Northern Gulf through Mon morning. A 
front approaches the Western Gulf for Mon afternoon. 1013 mb low 
forms 70 nm west of Akhiok Mon night and moves to 70 nm west of 
Kodiak City at 1013 mb by Tue morning. 

$$

PKZ119-080200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the Copper River Delta.
Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta in the evening. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-080200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Gusts 
to 35 kt out of Resurrection Bay in the morning. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-080200-
Resurrection Bay-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 
ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-080200-
Prince William Sound-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-080200-
Port Valdez-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-080200-
Valdez Narrows-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-080200-
Valdez Arm-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-080200-
Passage Canal-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ130-080200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt in the morning becoming N 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming NE 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ131-080200-
Barren Islands East-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 kt in the morning increasing to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-080200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ136-080200-
Chiniak Bay-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 kt in the morning increasing to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-080200-
Marmot Bay-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft building to
2 ft after midnight.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft in the morning building to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-080200-
Shelikof Strait-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft 
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 25 kt. Seas 2 ft in
the morning building to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-080200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-080200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Patchy freezing fog.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Areas of freezing fog.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Areas of freezing fog.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt.
.THU...N wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ141-080200-
Kachemak Bay-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Mar 5, 5:46 AM AKST, 10 hours 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 5, 5:46 AM AKST, 10 hours 7 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
546 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A front moving eastward from Southwest to Southcentral Alaska
continues to be the main weather maker across the region this
morning. This system brought blizzard conditions and advisory
level snowfall to the Southwest mainland yesterday afternoon, with
conditions improving through the morning hours today as the front
weakens. Quiet conditions across Southcentral are coming to an end
this morning as the aforementioned front approaches.  A triple
point low has developed near Kodiak Island overnight with a long
fetch of moisture being pulled in from about 45N visible on
infrared imagery. Farther west, strong winds and snowfall brought
reduced visibility to the Pribilofs as a quick moving system
moved over the Bering, which are slowly improving this morning.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models are still doing well in the short term with synoptic
features. However, models are still having trouble with the small
scale features as the front weakens and moves over Southcentral
today. The biggest uncertainty is the chance for snowfall across
the Anchorage Bowl and Kenai Peninsula into Saturday morning.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist. Chances for
snowfall return tonight, but should not significantly worsen
conditions.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2: Today
through Saturday Night)...

A front and associated low have moved into Southcentral this
morning. The forecast remains largely unchanged for Kodiak Island.
Snow has begun across all of Kodiak and Afognak Islands, and will
persist through at least midday for most areas, though the falling
snow may end by late morning across the southern portions of the
island. Temperatures are right around freezing, and the snow and
cloud cover should hold them right around there through the end of
significant precipitation around midday. Strong northwesterly
winds behind the front will usher in a renewed colder air mass,
which will result in widespread freezing spray across the marine
areas around Kodiak Island tonight through Saturday morning. These
winds may pick up some of the snow from this morning and blow it
around, resulting in localized reductions in visibility,
especially around Akhiok. See the Winter Weather Advisory for more
details.

Agreement in the guidance farther north regarding snow for the
mainland has improved significantly overnight, likely due to the
development of the initial band, which is evident over the
Sterling and Soldotna area as of this writing, which extends
north into the Susitna Valley. Therefore, confidence in a
widespread 2 to 5 inches of accumulation across the Western Kenai
Peninsula has also greatly increased. The uncertainty continues to
reside with any localized atmospheric disturbances that may
impact the band, which are notoriously difficult to forecast. As a
result, the confidence on which areas are closer to 5 inches of
accumulation remains fairly low. However, from Homer through
Cooper Landing, at least 2 inches of accumulation by Saturday
morning for most areas is expected. See the Special Weather
Statement for more details.

Elsewhere across Southcentral, there remains some uncertainty with
the band's impact across the Susitna Valley. In general, with a
slow westward drift expected with the band, most of the Parks
Highway should see only a light accumulation. The heavier snow
will set up west of the Parks.

Confidence is also much higher for the forecast for Anchorage and
the Valley. Essentially, the area now looks to escape much, if not
all snow with this band, as it all stays west of the area.
Therefore, chances of snow and accumulations have been reduced
significantly. With some shower activity developing on the eastern
side of the band, a stray flurry or snow shower cannot be ruled
out today. When the cold air moves in late Friday night through
Saturday morning, the northwesterly flow may allow for some
upslope to produce up to an inch of snow along the Hillside, but
that is also fairly uncertain.

Skies will clear for most areas Saturday night. The gap winds
will be going with near gale force winds expected through Seward
and Whittier, and gale force gusts likely through Thompson Pass
and the Copper River Delta. Elsewhere, expect another cold night
Saturday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 2)...

An occluded front extends from Yukon Delta through AKPEN this
morning, where steady light snow continued to fall east of
Nushagak Hills, including Sleetmute and Iliamna. Cold air
advection will remain over the region, with the next wave of much
colder air advection moving across Nunivak Island and Kuskokwim
Bay tonight into Saturday. A warm front moving in from the western
Bering will drive warmer temperatures around Kuskokwim Bay and
Kuskokwim Delta by Saturday morning. However, strong winds aloft
combined with CAA will produce snow accumulation up to 3 inches
for Kuskokwim Delta on Saturday.

Unsettled but generally benign weather will continue across
Southwest Alaska as brisk onshore flow continues over the next
couple days. This will bring snow showers at times, though no
significant snow is expected. We are also monitoring the potential
for coastal flooding along coastal Bristol Bay and the northern
AKPEN on Friday afternoon as strong westerly winds and large long
period westerly swell move into Bristol Bay. As of now the chance
only looks to be marginal at best, though we will continue to
monitor and keep you well advised.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 2)...

Strong gales embedded within the westerly flow trailing a surface
trough east of Pribilof Islands will continue to impact both Saint
Paul and Saint George this morning until winds diminish in the
afternoon. For this reason, the Winter Weather Advisory for
Pribilof Islands was extended until 10 AM AKST this morning to
reflect this situation. Overnight observations from Saint Paul
indicated a maximum sustained wind of 43 knots with high gusts up
to 56 knots. Steady moderate to heavy snow and blowing snow
conditions continued into early this morning, and these conditions
will persist for the next several hours until mid- morning today.

Gales with higher gusts will move across the Bering and around the
Aleutians coast for the next day or two. The presence of heavy
freezing spray along the Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait today
and around Saint Matthew waters today and Saturday should be
closely monitored.

The next frontal system from a low east of Kamchatka will elevate
swells and winds as the front moves east and across the Bering
Sea and the Aleutians through the weekend. The P-type will be
rain/snow mix through Saturday morning, followed by pockets of
rain from the North Pacific in response to a warm front upstream
Saturday afternoon. Overall, the forecast period will remain a
bit active in the next couple days.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Sunday through Tuesday)...

Bering Sea: A Northern Bering low tracks into Northwest Alaska
through Tue. Forecast confidence is good. Widespread small craft
winds and waves with some areas of gale force winds move into the
Northern Bering Sun, diminishing Tue. Seas to 19 feet over the
Central Bering and Pacific side of the Aleutians subsides by Tue.
A new low and front moves across the Central Aleutians and Bering
through Tue. Seas 14 feet Tue.

Gulf of Alaska: A low exits the Gulf late Sun. Forecast
confidence is good. Widespread small craft winds and waves
diminish over the Gulf late Sun. Wave heights 12 feet subsiding. A
new low and front enter the Western Gulf Mon, moving to the
Central Gulf Tue. Widespread small craft winds spread across the
Gulf with the front. Areas of gale force winds with the low center
over the Barren Islands, Southern parts of Shelikof Strait and
around Sitkinak Tue. Waves building to 14 feet for late Mon into
Tue.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Monday through Thursday)...

An Arctic/Siberian upper level low that has been in place across
eastern Russia for quite some time now will continue to remain in
place through the forecast period. However, the one difference is
that this upper level low will finally begin moving northward over
the Arctic Ocean by the Wednesday night into Thursday timeframe.
An upper level ridge in place across much of the Alaska Mainland
early on in the forecast period will move off to the east and be
replaced with another blast of cold air. Although, this time the
air mass doesn't look to be as cold as the current one we are in
but still cold nonetheless. Overall, expect below normal
temperatures for the forecast period with Tuesday being the
closest to near normal temperatures before dropping back down yet
again. Precipitation-wise, a storm system is currently anticipated
to track from the Bering across Southwest Alaska and then through
Southcentral Monday through Tuesday time period with snow chances.
Another storm system is possible behind this one towards the end
of the forecast period bringing the potential for more unsettled
weather.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory 152 171 195.
MARINE...Gales 130-32 150 155 160 165 170-81 185.
         Heavy Freezing Spray 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...ALH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JPW
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CMB
MARINE/LONG TERM...MK/MV

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 5, 10:01 AM AKST, 5 hours 52 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK
1001 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

AKZ181-060300-
Alaska Peninsula-
Including the cities of Cold Bay and Sand Point
1001 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...TRACE ASHFALL POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF VENIAMINOF...

The Alaska Volcano Observatory has detected some activity and low
level ash emission in webcam and satellite data from the
Veniaminof Volcano located north of Perryville. Any ashfall is
expected to be of trace amounts.

Surface winds are expected to briefly be out of the southwest this
morning. Surface winds are then expected to shift northwesterly.
Any potential ashfall would be to the south or southeast of the
volcano.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 5, 3:40 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC12 hr
Mar 5, 3:54 PM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Mar 5, 3:54 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC60 hr
Mar 5, 3:54 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC24 hr
Mar 5, 3:54 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC24 hr
Mar 5, 7:02 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC21 hr
Mar 6, 3:36 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Mar 6, 3:58 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Mar 6, 3:58 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC4 days

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2021Every gale warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.