Red Flag Warning 3, NWS Tulsa, OK

245 
WWUS84 KTSA 082324
RFWTSA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
624 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2020

ARZ001-002-010-011-090030-
/O.EXP.KTSA.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-200308T2300Z/
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-
624 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR VERY DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS
FOR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...

While conditions still remain dry across the region, wind speeds
have come down some as we approach sunset. Therefore, the Red Flag
warning was allowed to expire.

$$

Lacy

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1124 AM CDT Sun Mar 8 2020

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
Eastern edge of stratus associated with returning low level
moisture has recently begun to mix out with prevailing mid and
high level cloudiness poised to increase through the day.
Dewpoints notably higher across E OK compared to yesterday with
lower humidities likely to remain across W AR through the
afternoon. Latest data continue to support high rain chance
tonight into Monday. Update will address cloud cover trends and
minor adjustments to fire weather parameters, otherwise fcst is
tracking well.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   67  55  71  41 /  10 100  90   0
FSM   69  53  66  47 /   0  80 100  30
MLC   66  55  69  46 /   0 100 100  10
BVO   67  54  69  38 /  10 100  80   0
FYV   67  52  62  44 /   0 100 100  50
BYV   68  52  61  43 /   0  80 100  50
MKO   66  54  66  42 /   0 100  90  10
MIO   68  52  64  39 /   0 100 100  20
F10   65  55  71  42 /  10 100 100   0
HHW   66  55  67  51 /   0  90 100  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...07

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
441 AM CDT Sun Mar 8 2020

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-091000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
441 AM CDT Sun Mar 8 2020

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Late Morning.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...North of Interstate 40.
	ONSET...Late Morning.

DISCUSSION...
Near critical fire spread rates will be possible across portions
of northeast Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas this afternoon,
largely in part due to strong and gusty southerly winds. Wind
gusts will range from 30 to 40 mph in northeast Oklahoma, with
gusts from 25 to 30 mph elsewhere. The lowest humidities this
afternoon will be found in areas with relatively lower wind
speeds, and this offset should slightly limit the overall threat,
especially compared to yesterday.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
An active weather pattern will develop across the region for the
upcoming work week, featuring multiple chances for showers and
thunderstorms. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible Monday
afternoon and into the evening, with a brief lull expected during
the day Tuesday. Thunderstorm chances will increase once again
late Tuesday night and continue through Thursday night, especially
across southeast Oklahoma, as a front stalls across North Texas.
Most of the area will see thunderstorm chances Friday and into the
early part of the weekend as a strong upper level disturbance
moves through the area. Available moisture will support a heavy
rain threat during this time frame.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.