Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2020

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 430

August 10, 20204 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 10, 2020, 6:31 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 10, 2020, 6:31 PM CDT (23:31 UTC)
Expired
Aug 11, 2020, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 86 counties

Alexander County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Bartholomew County, IN, Brown County, IN, Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Decatur County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Gibson County, IN, Greene County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Knox County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Martin County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Scott County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Sullivan County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Washington County, IN, Ballard County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Henry County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Meade County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Perry County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 10, 6:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDBrown, Greene, Jackson, Monroe, Owen56 min
Aug 10, 6:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHPerry56 min
Aug 10, 7:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDBartholomew, Brown, Jackson, Jennings, Lawrence, Monroe59 min
Aug 10, 7:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFranklin, Jefferson49 min
Aug 10, 7:16 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningINDBrown, Greene, Johnson, Monroe, Morgan59 min
Aug 10, 7:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHHamilton, Wayne44 min
Aug 10, 7:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFranklin, Jackson, Williamson39 min
Aug 10, 7:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDJackson, Jennings47 min
Aug 10, 8:04 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningINDJackson56 min
Aug 10, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKScott, Washington38 min
Aug 10, 8:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Floyd, Harrison, Washington36 min
Aug 10, 8:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Floyd, Harrison, Washington20 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 231 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2020-08-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1597 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2020-08-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 167 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1597 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-128 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1046 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
167 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
241 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

395 
WWUS20 KWNS 102328
SEL0  
SPC WW 102328
ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-110500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 430
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
630 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2020

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southern Illinois
  Southern Indiana
  Northern and western Kentucky
  Southeastern Missouri

* Effective this Monday night from 630 PM until Midnight CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...An extensive line of thunderstorms with a history of
damaging winds will continue to move southeastward through late
evening and early tonight.  The storm environment should remain
favorable for occasional downbursts with damaging outflow in the
line of storms.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles west of Cape
Girardeau MO to 60 miles north northeast of Louisville KY. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 427...WW 428...WW 429...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
32025.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 10, 10:42 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Champaign, Cook, DeKalb and 36 more93 min
Aug 10, 11:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Watch PDSSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 33 more7 hr
Aug 10, 12:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCRock Island91 min
Aug 10, 1:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 20 more114 min
Aug 10, 2:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Alexander, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass and 42 more2 hr
Aug 10, 2:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Champaign and 37 more6 hr
Aug 10, 3:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Ford, Grundy and 12 more84 min
Aug 10, 5:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Christian, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Coles and 29 more118 min
Aug 10, 2:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Carroll, Cass, Clinton and 24 more92 min
Aug 10, 3:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 45 more5 hr
Aug 10, 4:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Christian, Dade, Douglas, Greene and 7 more85 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2020Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2020Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2020Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.