Red Flag Warning 4, NWS Springfield, MO

Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Benton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

242 
WWUS83 KSGF 081450
RFWSGF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Springfield MO
950 AM CDT Sun Mar 8 2020

...Critical Fire Weather Conditions Again This Afternoon...

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ066-082300-
/O.EXA.KSGF.FW.W.0004.200308T1700Z-200309T0000Z/
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Vernon-
950 AM CDT Sun Mar 8 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
STRONG SOUTH WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

The National Weather Service in Springfield has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect until 7 PM CDT this evening. 

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 055, 056, 057, 058, 067, 
  068, 069, 070, 071, 077, 078, 079, 080, 081, 082, 088, 089, 
  090, 091, 092, 093, 094, 095, 096, 097, 101, 102, 103, 104, 
  and 105. 

* WIND...South winds of 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to around 40 
 mph.

* HUMIDITY...Afternoon humidity values will fall to 20 to 30 
  percent. Some locations could fall into the upper teens.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
 Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

MOZ055>058-067>071-077>082-088>097-101>105-082300-
/O.CON.KSGF.FW.W.0004.200308T1700Z-200309T0000Z/
Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-
Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-Laclede-Texas-Jasper-Dade-Greene-
Webster-Wright-Newton-Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-McDonald-
Barry-Stone-Taney-Ozark-
950 AM CDT Sun Mar 8 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG SOUTH WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... 

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 055, 056, 057, 058, 067, 
  068, 069, 070, 071, 077, 078, 079, 080, 081, 082, 088, 089, 
  090, 091, 092, 093, 094, 095, 096, 097, 101, 102, 103, 104, 
  and 105. 

* WIND...South winds of 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to around 40 
 mph.

* HUMIDITY...Afternoon humidity values will fall to 20 to 25 
 percent. Some locations could fall into the upper teens.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
 Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

DSA

373 
WWUS83 KSGF 082355
RFWSGF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Springfield MO
655 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2020

...Red Flag Warning Allowed to Expire...

.Conditions will continue to improve through the evening hours.

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>082-088>097-101>105-090100-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-200309T0000Z/
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-Lawrence-
Christian-Douglas-Howell-McDonald-Barry-Stone-Taney-Ozark-
655 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR 
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 055, 056, 057, 058, 066, 067, 068, 069, 070, 
071, 073, 077, 078, 079, 080, 081, 082, 088, 089, 090, 091, 092, 
093, 094, 095, 096, 097, 097, 101, 101, 102, 103, 104, AND 105...

Relative Humidity values will continue to increase for the 
evening, while at the same time, surface winds are diminishing to 
10-20 mph. Thus the Red Flag Warning will be allowed to expire at
7 pm. 

$$

Raberding

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1119 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2020

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 230 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2020

A short wave upper level ridge was building over the Ozarks today
with surface high pressure pushing east of the area. This
combination was allowing for mostly sunny skies and breezy
southerly winds to continue this afternoon. This has resulted in
temperatures climbing into the upper 50s to lower 60s, making for
a rather nice mild day.

As we head into this evening and into Sunday morning the ridge
will move east of the area as an upper level trough digs across
the plains. This will allow a surface low to move across the
plains as well and tighten the surface pressure gradient,
bringing gusty winds to the area. Winds will gust from 25 to
30mph at times overnight.

The good part of the winds is that they with remain southerly
which will continue to bring moisture into the area and warmer
air as we head into Sunday. The increasing moisture will aid in
fire weather conditions across the area.

Initially, locations from Southeastern Kansas to Central missouri
north of of I-44 will see elevated fire weather to near Red Flag
criteria. The increasing moisture through the morning in advance
of a storm system that will towards the area late Sunday, should
mitigate fire weather concerns by early in the afternoon. We will
continue to monitor however. Winds will continue to be breezy
with gust around 30-35mph possible.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 230 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2020

A storm system will swing across the plains an into the Ozarks
Late Sunday evening into Monday morning. Rain is expected to
overspread the region by Monday morning with occasional moderate
period of rain around three quarters of an inch of rain forecast.
The system did slow a little with the latest models which made
the start time Sunday evening later but will also linger the rain
into Tuesday morning. Instability with this system is lacking,
though an isolated rumble of thunder may occur.

We will briefly dry out Tuesday before another quick moving system
slides into the area Wednesday morning and exits the area that
evening. This system looks a bit more dynamic with showers and
thunderstorms expected. Storms will most likely be focused across
far southern Missouri.

Yet another storm system will then make a bee line towards the
Ozarks for the end of the will with little in the way of a break
from the Wednesday system. Overall, this coming week looks rather
wet.

Through the week temperatures will be rather mild with overnight
lows in the 40s and highs in the 60s for the most part.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1116 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2020

Increasing low- level winds continue to be the main forecasting
concern during this TAF period. As of 05z, the surface pressure
gradient was tightening in response to a 30-40 kt southwest-to-
northeast oriented low- level jet nosing into southwest Missouri.
Some low- level wind shear is likely in the lowest 3 kft for JLN.

Surface winds will become gusty between 12z and 18z Sunday across
the regional terminals with frequent southwest gusts between
20-30 kts.

Beyond 00z, clouds will begin to filter in and ceilings will
gradually lower as a frontal system draws closer to the area.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Hatch
LONG TERM...Hatch
AVIATION...Albano

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
733 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2020

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-090145-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
733 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

  No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

  Gusty southerly winds will occur again on Sunday, with gusts up
  to 35 mph expected at times. The strongest winds will be across
  southeastern Kansas and western Missouri. A dry and warm air
  mass will once again be in place leading to elevated to
  significant fire weather conditions again Sunday afternoon.

  A few thunderstorms will be possible late Sunday night and
  into Monday and Monday night as low pressure and a front track
  through the outlook area. Additional isolated thunderstorms
  will be possible at times throughout the week and into next
  weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Albano