Alert archive / Colorado / Red Flag Warnings in 2020

Red Flag Warning 59, NWS Pueblo, CO

October 12, 20205 counties in Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this red flag warning at Oct 12, 2020, 3:00 PM MDT for 5 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Oct 13, 2020, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 12, 2020, 3:00 PM MDT (21:00 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 13, 2020, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Oct 13, 2020, 6:00 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO

Counties Chaffee County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Lake County, CO, Teller County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 229 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2020-10-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2020-10-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 125 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2860 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
80 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
217 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

858 
WWUS85 KPUB 122100
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
300 PM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020

...A Red Flag Warning is in effect from noon until 6 PM today for
gusty winds, low relative humidity, and dry fuels for fire
weather zones 220, 221, 222, 225, 226, 227, 229, 234, 236 and
237 which includes the Sangre de Cristo and Wet Mountains, Lake,
Chaffee, El Paso, Fremont, Teller, Huerfano, Kiowa, Prowers and
Baca Counties...

...A Red Flag Warning has been issued for Tuesday from noon until
6 PM for gusty winds, low relative humidity, and dry fuels for 
fire weather zones 220, 221, 222, 226 and 227, which includes, 
Lake, Chaffee, Fremont, Teller and El Paso Counties...

COZ220>222-226-227-131300-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0042.201013T1800Z-201014T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0059.201013T1800Z-201014T0000Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0058.000000T0000Z-201013T0000Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-
300 PM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220...221...222...226 AND 227...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR 
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222... 226 AND 227...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from noon to 6 PM MDT Tuesday. The 
Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...226 and 
  227.

* Winds...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ225-229-234-236-237-130000-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0058.000000T0000Z-201013T0000Z/
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
300 PM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
225 AND 229...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 225...229...234...236 and 
  237.

* Winds...Southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
4 follow-up statements
260 
WWUS85 KPUB 130014
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
614 PM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020

...A Red Flag Warning has been issued for Tuesday from noon until
6 PM for gusty winds, low relative humidity, and dry fuels for
fire weather zones 220, 221, 222, 226 and 227, which includes,
Lake, Chaffee, Fremont, Teller and El Paso Counties...

...A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for Wednesday morning
through Wednesday evening for gusty winds, low relative humidity
values and dry fuels for fire weather zones 220 through 222, 224
through 237...which includes the Central Mountains, San Luis
Valley, Sangre de Cristo and Wet Mountains, Fremont County, and
all of the southern Colorado Plains...

COZ220>222-226-227-131615-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0058.000000T0000Z-201013T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0043.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0059.201013T1800Z-201014T0000Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-
614 PM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM MDT
TUESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR 
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...226 AND 227... 

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY
FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...226 AND 227... 

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY
WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220...221...222...226 AND 227...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Fire Weather
Watch for gusty winds, low relative humidity and dry fuels, which
is in effect from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...226 and 
  227.

* Winds...For Tuesday west 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph. For
  Wednesday, west 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* Relative Humidity...5 to 10 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ225-229-234-236-237-131615-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0058.000000T0000Z-201013T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0043.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
614 PM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY
FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 225...229...234...236 AND 237...

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 225 AND 229...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Fire Weather
Watch for gusty winds, low relative humidity and dry fuels, which
is in effect from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 225...229...234...236 and 237.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* Relative Humidity...5 to 10 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ224-228-230>233-235-131615-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0043.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Bent County Including Las Animas-
614 PM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY
FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224...228...230...231...232...233 
AND 235...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Fire Weather
Watch for gusty winds, low relative humidity and dry fuels, which
is in effect from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224...228...230...231... 
  232...233 and 235.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...5 to 10 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$
134 
WWUS85 KPUB 130948
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
348 AM MDT Tue Oct 13 2020

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect today from noon until 6 
PM for gusty winds, low relative humidity, and dry fuels for fire 
weather zones 220, 221, 222, 226 and 227, which includes, Lake, 
Chaffee, Fremont, Teller and El Paso Counties...

...A Fire Weather Watch remains in effect for Wednesday morning 
through Wednesday evening for gusty winds, low relative humidity 
values and dry fuels for fire weather zones 220 through 222, 224 
through 237...which includes the Lake, Chaffee, Fremont, and
Teller Counties, the San Luis Valley, Sangre de Cristo and Wet 
Mountains, the I-25 corridor and the southeast plains...

COZ220>222-226-227-140200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0059.201013T1800Z-201014T0000Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0043.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-
348 AM MDT Tue Oct 13 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...226 AND 227...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...226 AND 227...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...226 and 
  227.

* Winds...South to southwest this afternoon 15 to 20 mph with
  gusts up to 30 mph. On Wednesday, west winds 20 to 30 mph with 
  gusts of 40 to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ224-225-228>237-140200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0043.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
348 AM MDT Tue Oct 13 2020

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224...225...228...229...230...
231...232...233...234...235...236 AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224...225...228...229... 
  230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph along the I-25
  corridor, in the San Luis Valley and over the Sangre de Cristo
  and Wet mountains, and gusts up to 30 mph over the southeast
  plains.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$
361 
WWUS85 KPUB 132101
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
301 PM MDT Tue Oct 13 2020

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect through 6 PM for gusty 
winds, low relative humidity, and dry fuels for fire weather zones
220, 221, 222, 226 and 227, which includes, Lake, Chaffee, 
Fremont, Teller and El Paso Counties...

...A Red Flag Warning has been issued for Wednesday from 10 AM to
8 PM for gusty winds, low relative humidity values and dry fuels 
for fire weather zones 220 through 222, 224 through 237...which 
includes the Lake, Chaffee, Fremont, and Teller Counties, the San 
Luis Valley, Sangre de Cristo and Wet Mountains, the I-25 corridor
and the southeast plains...

COZ220>222-226-227-141315-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0043.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0060.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0059.000000T0000Z-201014T0000Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-
301 PM MDT Tue Oct 13 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220...221...222...226 AND 227...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221... 222...226 AND 227...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from 10 AM to 8 PM MDT Wednesday. The
Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...226 and 
  227.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* Timing...

* Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ224-225-228>237-141315-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0043.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0060.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
301 PM MDT Tue Oct 13 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224...225... 
228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 AND 237...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from 10 AM to 8 PM MDT Wednesday. The
Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224...225...228...229... 
  230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237.

* Winds...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* Timing...

* Relative Humidity...As low as 6 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
735 
WWUS85 KPUB 132359
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
559 PM MDT Tue Oct 13 2020

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for Wednesday from 10 AM 
to 8 PM for gusty winds, low relative humidity values and dry 
fuels for fire weather zones 220 through 222, 224 through 
237...which includes the Lake, Chaffee, Fremont, and Teller 
Counties, the San Luis Valley, Sangre de Cristo and Wet Mountains,
the I- 25 corridor and the southeast plains...

COZ220>222-226-227-141600-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0059.000000T0000Z-201014T0000Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0060.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-
559 PM MDT Tue Oct 13 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...226 AND 227...

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220...221...222...226 AND 227...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...226 and 
  227.

* Winds...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts over 55 mph.

* Relative Humidity...5 to 10 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ224-225-228>237-141600-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0060.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
559 PM MDT Tue Oct 13 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224...225...228...229...230...
231...232...233...234...235...236 AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224...225...228...229... 
  230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* Relative Humidity...5 to 10 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Oct 12, 11:47 AM MDT, 3 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 12, 11:47 AM MDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1147 AM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 339 AM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020

...High Fire Danger Continues Today...

Current water vapor imagery and upper air analysis has moderate to
strong northwest flow aloft across the region this morning, with
yesterday's passing trough continuing to translate east across the
Upper Midwest and High Plains at this time. GOES data has also
indicated the Wild Horse wildfire hot spot across southwestern El
Paso County flaring up at times through out the overnight hours. At
the surface, yesterday's passing cold front has pushed well south of
the area into west central Texas and southeastern New Mexico, with
generally light winds (save for the breezy westerly winds across the
higher terrain) and a dry atmosphere in place across the region,
leading to cool temperatures early this morning with readings in the
20s and 30s across the higher terrain, and mainly in the 30s and 40s
across the lower elevations.

For Today and Tonight...Northwest flow aloft to slowly moderate and
become more westerly through tonight, as more eastern Pacific energy
is progged to translate across the Northern Tier of States. This
will allow for lee troughing to develop and strength along the I-25
Corridor through the late morning and afternoon, leading to breezy
westerly winds aloft mixing down, as well as breezy westerly gap
flows developing, across portions of the mid and upper Arkansas
river valley, as well as portions of the Rampart Range, the Sangre
de Cristo and Wet Mountains and Wet Mountain Valley this afternoon.
Also should see breezy southerly winds developing along and south of
the Palmer Dvd, as well as across the far southeast plains through
the afternoon, though latest model guidance is suggesting winds
across the far southeast plains may not be as strong as previously
thought.

At any rate, with the dry atmosphere in place, should see critical
fire weather conditions develop across the previously mentioned
areas, and have kept current Red Flag Warning in place from noon to
6 PM for Fire Weather Zones 220, 221, 222, 226, 227, 234, 236 and
237 which includes the central mountains, El Paso, Fremont, Teller,
Kiowa, Prowers and Baca Counties. I also added Zone 225, which
includes the Sangres and Wets and the Wet Mt Valley, as well as Zone
229, which includes Walsenburg, where westerly gap flows look to
develop this afternoon. Could also see critical fire weather
conditions across northern portions of the San Luis Valley and
western portions of Pueblo and Las Animas Counties, though
conditions do not look to be widespread enough to include at this
time.

Highs today cool some 5-10F from yesterday though will still be
generally above seasonal levels, in the upper 60s to upper 70s
across the plains, in 50s and 60s across the higher terrain and 30s
and 40s at the peaks. Lows tonight to be around seasonal levels,
with 20s and 30s across the higher terrain and high mountain
valleys, with 30s and 40s across the plains.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 339 AM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020

Dry weather is expected Tue through Sun, with fire weather concerns
mainly on Tue and Wed.

On Tue, min RH values are expected to be below 15% over the lower
elevations, and about 15-25% over the high elevations. Gusty winds
are expected in some areas Tue afternoon, but it looks like they
could be strong enough to create high fire danger in portions of
Lake and Chaffee Counties, and in Fremont, Teller and El Paso
Counties, and will issue a Fire Weather Watch for these areas.
Conditions look a little marginal in El Paso County, as they may not
reach the gust criteria for long enough in the afternoon.  Spotty
critical conditions may also occur in a limited portion of fire zone
225 and 223, but it doesn't look widespread enough to include in a
highlight at this time.  In general, temps on Tue are expected to be
10+ degrees above average, with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s
over the plains, in the 70s in the high valleys, and in the 60s to
around 70 in Teller County.

The gradient over the area will increase on Wed ahead of an upper
trof to the north, which will bring stronger winds to the area.
Afternoon min RH values are expected to be below 15% again over the
plains and in the high valleys.  At this time, it looks like the
combination of gusty winds and low RH values could result in
critical fire weather conditions over the high valleys, and the I-25
corridor, and portions of the southeast plains, but it is too early
to issue a fire weather highlight.  A dry front is forecast to move
into the southeast plains late in the afternoon and in the early
evening, but ahead of this front, high temps on Tue should be well
above average again with 80s to near 90s over the plains, in the 70s
in the high valleys and in the mid 60s to around 70 in Teller County.

For Thu the upper trof will be to the east of CO, with dry northwest
flow aloft over the area.  Temps will be cooler all across southern
CO, but most noticeably over the plains where high temps are expected
to be in the mid 50s to lower 60s which is about 25-30 degrees
cooler than Wed.  The high valleys should see highs in the 60s, with
upper 40s to lower 50s in Teller County.  RH values will be higher
on Thu across eastern areas and therefore there shouldn't be any
fire wx concerns.  One area that may still have some spotty critical
conditions will be portions of western Saguache County where RH
values will still be low and winds could be a bit gusty. Thu night
looks like the coolest night across most of southern CO, with lows
in the upper 20s to lower 20s over the plains, and in the 20s in the
high valleys.

Dry northwest flow aloft will still be over the area on Fri.  Winds
shouldn't be all that strong and fire concerns look low.  Temps will
be a little warmer over eastern areas on Fri.

On Sat a dry front is forecast to back into the southeast plains in
the late morning and early afternoon hours, bringing some breezy
northeast to easterly winds.  Dry weather will continue on Sun. High
temps over the weekend are forecast to be around to a little above
average.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1146 AM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions are expected at ALS, COS and PUB over the next 24
hours. Lee troughing across the I-25 corridor should result in gusty
south to southwesterly flow at COS and PUB this afternoon, with
gusty west winds expected to mix down at ALS. Around 0Z winds should
die down a fair amount and become more variable overnight and into
early tomorrow.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 6 PM MDT this evening for COZ220>222-
225>227-229-234-236-237.

Fire Weather Watch Tuesday afternoon for COZ220>222-226-227.

&&

SHORT TERM...MW
LONG TERM...28
AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 12, 4:25 AM MDT, 10 hours 35 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
425 AM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020

COZ058>089-093>099-131030-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
425 AM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Critical fire weather conditions can be expected today across much
of south central and southeast Colorado, as gusty west to southwest
winds of 15 to 30 mph develop along and west of the I-25 corridor
this afternoon. Breezy southerly winds of 15 to 25 mph will also
develop this afternoon across the far southeast plains. These
winds, combined with low humidity levels, and dry vegetation will
lead to conditions favorable for fire spread and growth across
the Sangre de Cristo and Wet Mountains, Lake, Chaffee, El Paso,
Fremont, Teller, Huerfano, Kiowa, Prowers and Baca Counties.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

High fire danger will be possible Tuesday afternoon in Lake,
Chaffee, Fremont, Teller and El Paso Counties, as winds become
gusty and humidity values fall below 15%. Increasing winds on
Wednesday across much of the area, along with low humidities,
could lead to high fire danger over much of the area, but
especially over the San Luis and upper Arkansas River valleys,
Teller and Fremont Counties and the I-25 corridor. On Thursday,
there could be some spotty areas of high fire danger in western
Saguache County.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters will not be needed today or tonight.

23/28

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 12, 3:38 AM MDTFire Weather WatchPUBChaffee, El Paso, Fremont, Lake, Teller11 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2020Every red flag warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.