Alert archive / Colorado / Red Flag Warnings in 2020
Red Flag Warning 59, NWS Pueblo, CO
NWS Pueblo, CO issued this red flag warning at Oct 12, 2020, 3:00 PM MDT for 5 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Oct 13, 2020, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 12, 2020, 3:00 PM MDT (21:00 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 13, 2020, 12:00 PM MDT
- Expired
- Oct 13, 2020, 6:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Pueblo, CO
Counties Chaffee County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Lake County, CO, Teller County, CO
The radar
The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 229 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2860 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 80 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 125 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 217 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
858 WWUS85 KPUB 122100 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 300 PM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020 ...A Red Flag Warning is in effect from noon until 6 PM today for gusty winds, low relative humidity, and dry fuels for fire weather zones 220, 221, 222, 225, 226, 227, 229, 234, 236 and 237 which includes the Sangre de Cristo and Wet Mountains, Lake, Chaffee, El Paso, Fremont, Teller, Huerfano, Kiowa, Prowers and Baca Counties... ...A Red Flag Warning has been issued for Tuesday from noon until 6 PM for gusty winds, low relative humidity, and dry fuels for fire weather zones 220, 221, 222, 226 and 227, which includes, Lake, Chaffee, Fremont, Teller and El Paso Counties... COZ220>222-226-227-131300- /O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0042.201013T1800Z-201014T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0059.201013T1800Z-201014T0000Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0058.000000T0000Z-201013T0000Z/ Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee County- Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant Fossil Beds National Monument- Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek- Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs- 300 PM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...226 AND 227... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222... 226 AND 227... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag Warning, which is in effect from noon to 6 PM MDT Tuesday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...226 and 227. * Winds...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ COZ225-229-234-236-237-130000- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0058.000000T0000Z-201013T0000Z/ Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet Mountains/La Veta Pass-Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Kiowa County Including Eads-Prowers County Including Lamar- Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands- 300 PM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 225 AND 229... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 225...229...234...236 and 237. * Winds...Southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 10 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
4 follow-up statements
260 WWUS85 KPUB 130014 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 614 PM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020 ...A Red Flag Warning has been issued for Tuesday from noon until 6 PM for gusty winds, low relative humidity, and dry fuels for fire weather zones 220, 221, 222, 226 and 227, which includes, Lake, Chaffee, Fremont, Teller and El Paso Counties... ...A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening for gusty winds, low relative humidity values and dry fuels for fire weather zones 220 through 222, 224 through 237...which includes the Central Mountains, San Luis Valley, Sangre de Cristo and Wet Mountains, Fremont County, and all of the southern Colorado Plains... COZ220>222-226-227-131615- /O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0058.000000T0000Z-201013T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0043.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0059.201013T1800Z-201014T0000Z/ Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee County- Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant Fossil Beds National Monument- Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek- Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs- 614 PM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...226 AND 227... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...226 AND 227... ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...226 AND 227... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Fire Weather Watch for gusty winds, low relative humidity and dry fuels, which is in effect from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...226 and 227. * Winds...For Tuesday west 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph. For Wednesday, west 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * Relative Humidity...5 to 10 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ COZ225-229-234-236-237-131615- /O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0058.000000T0000Z-201013T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0043.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/ Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet Mountains/La Veta Pass-Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Kiowa County Including Eads-Prowers County Including Lamar- Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands- 614 PM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 225...229...234...236 AND 237... ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 225 AND 229... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Fire Weather Watch for gusty winds, low relative humidity and dry fuels, which is in effect from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 225...229...234...236 and 237. * Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * Relative Humidity...5 to 10 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ COZ224-228-230>233-235-131615- /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0043.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/ San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- Crowley County Including Ordway- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- Bent County Including Las Animas- 614 PM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224...228...230...231...232...233 AND 235... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Fire Weather Watch for gusty winds, low relative humidity and dry fuels, which is in effect from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224...228...230...231... 232...233 and 235. * Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * Relative Humidity...5 to 10 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$
134 WWUS85 KPUB 130948 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 348 AM MDT Tue Oct 13 2020 ...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect today from noon until 6 PM for gusty winds, low relative humidity, and dry fuels for fire weather zones 220, 221, 222, 226 and 227, which includes, Lake, Chaffee, Fremont, Teller and El Paso Counties... ...A Fire Weather Watch remains in effect for Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening for gusty winds, low relative humidity values and dry fuels for fire weather zones 220 through 222, 224 through 237...which includes the Lake, Chaffee, Fremont, and Teller Counties, the San Luis Valley, Sangre de Cristo and Wet Mountains, the I-25 corridor and the southeast plains... COZ220>222-226-227-140200- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0059.201013T1800Z-201014T0000Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0043.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/ Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee County- Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant Fossil Beds National Monument- Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek- Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs- 348 AM MDT Tue Oct 13 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...226 AND 227... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...226 AND 227... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...226 and 227. * Winds...South to southwest this afternoon 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. On Wednesday, west winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ COZ224-225-228>237-140200- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0043.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/ San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet Mountains/La Veta Pass-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- Crowley County Including Ordway- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas- Prowers County Including Lamar- Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands- 348 AM MDT Tue Oct 13 2020 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224...225...228...229...230... 231...232...233...234...235...236 AND 237... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224...225...228...229... 230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237. * Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph along the I-25 corridor, in the San Luis Valley and over the Sangre de Cristo and Wet mountains, and gusts up to 30 mph over the southeast plains. * Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$
361 WWUS85 KPUB 132101 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 301 PM MDT Tue Oct 13 2020 ...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect through 6 PM for gusty winds, low relative humidity, and dry fuels for fire weather zones 220, 221, 222, 226 and 227, which includes, Lake, Chaffee, Fremont, Teller and El Paso Counties... ...A Red Flag Warning has been issued for Wednesday from 10 AM to 8 PM for gusty winds, low relative humidity values and dry fuels for fire weather zones 220 through 222, 224 through 237...which includes the Lake, Chaffee, Fremont, and Teller Counties, the San Luis Valley, Sangre de Cristo and Wet Mountains, the I-25 corridor and the southeast plains... COZ220>222-226-227-141315- /O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0043.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0060.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0059.000000T0000Z-201014T0000Z/ Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee County- Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant Fossil Beds National Monument- Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek- Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs- 301 PM MDT Tue Oct 13 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...226 AND 227... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221... 222...226 AND 227... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag Warning, which is in effect from 10 AM to 8 PM MDT Wednesday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...226 and 227. * Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * Timing... * Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ COZ224-225-228>237-141315- /O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0043.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0060.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/ San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet Mountains/La Veta Pass-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- Crowley County Including Ordway- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas- Prowers County Including Lamar- Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands- 301 PM MDT Tue Oct 13 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224...225... 228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 AND 237... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag Warning, which is in effect from 10 AM to 8 PM MDT Wednesday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224...225...228...229... 230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237. * Winds...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. * Timing... * Relative Humidity...As low as 6 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
735 WWUS85 KPUB 132359 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 559 PM MDT Tue Oct 13 2020 ...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for Wednesday from 10 AM to 8 PM for gusty winds, low relative humidity values and dry fuels for fire weather zones 220 through 222, 224 through 237...which includes the Lake, Chaffee, Fremont, and Teller Counties, the San Luis Valley, Sangre de Cristo and Wet Mountains, the I- 25 corridor and the southeast plains... COZ220>222-226-227-141600- /O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0059.000000T0000Z-201014T0000Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0060.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/ Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee County- Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant Fossil Beds National Monument- Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek- Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs- 559 PM MDT Tue Oct 13 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...226 AND 227... ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...226 AND 227... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...226 and 227. * Winds...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts over 55 mph. * Relative Humidity...5 to 10 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ COZ224-225-228>237-141600- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0060.201014T1600Z-201015T0200Z/ San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet Mountains/La Veta Pass-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- Crowley County Including Ordway- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas- Prowers County Including Lamar- Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands- 559 PM MDT Tue Oct 13 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224...225...228...229...230... 231...232...233...234...235...236 AND 237... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224...225...228...229... 230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237. * Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * Relative Humidity...5 to 10 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Oct 12, 11:47 AM MDT, 3 hours 13 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 12, 11:47 AM MDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 1147 AM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020 .SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight) Issued at 339 AM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020 ...High Fire Danger Continues Today... Current water vapor imagery and upper air analysis has moderate to strong northwest flow aloft across the region this morning, with yesterday's passing trough continuing to translate east across the Upper Midwest and High Plains at this time. GOES data has also indicated the Wild Horse wildfire hot spot across southwestern El Paso County flaring up at times through out the overnight hours. At the surface, yesterday's passing cold front has pushed well south of the area into west central Texas and southeastern New Mexico, with generally light winds (save for the breezy westerly winds across the higher terrain) and a dry atmosphere in place across the region, leading to cool temperatures early this morning with readings in the 20s and 30s across the higher terrain, and mainly in the 30s and 40s across the lower elevations. For Today and Tonight...Northwest flow aloft to slowly moderate and become more westerly through tonight, as more eastern Pacific energy is progged to translate across the Northern Tier of States. This will allow for lee troughing to develop and strength along the I-25 Corridor through the late morning and afternoon, leading to breezy westerly winds aloft mixing down, as well as breezy westerly gap flows developing, across portions of the mid and upper Arkansas river valley, as well as portions of the Rampart Range, the Sangre de Cristo and Wet Mountains and Wet Mountain Valley this afternoon. Also should see breezy southerly winds developing along and south of the Palmer Dvd, as well as across the far southeast plains through the afternoon, though latest model guidance is suggesting winds across the far southeast plains may not be as strong as previously thought. At any rate, with the dry atmosphere in place, should see critical fire weather conditions develop across the previously mentioned areas, and have kept current Red Flag Warning in place from noon to 6 PM for Fire Weather Zones 220, 221, 222, 226, 227, 234, 236 and 237 which includes the central mountains, El Paso, Fremont, Teller, Kiowa, Prowers and Baca Counties. I also added Zone 225, which includes the Sangres and Wets and the Wet Mt Valley, as well as Zone 229, which includes Walsenburg, where westerly gap flows look to develop this afternoon. Could also see critical fire weather conditions across northern portions of the San Luis Valley and western portions of Pueblo and Las Animas Counties, though conditions do not look to be widespread enough to include at this time. Highs today cool some 5-10F from yesterday though will still be generally above seasonal levels, in the upper 60s to upper 70s across the plains, in 50s and 60s across the higher terrain and 30s and 40s at the peaks. Lows tonight to be around seasonal levels, with 20s and 30s across the higher terrain and high mountain valleys, with 30s and 40s across the plains. .LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday) Issued at 339 AM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020 Dry weather is expected Tue through Sun, with fire weather concerns mainly on Tue and Wed. On Tue, min RH values are expected to be below 15% over the lower elevations, and about 15-25% over the high elevations. Gusty winds are expected in some areas Tue afternoon, but it looks like they could be strong enough to create high fire danger in portions of Lake and Chaffee Counties, and in Fremont, Teller and El Paso Counties, and will issue a Fire Weather Watch for these areas. Conditions look a little marginal in El Paso County, as they may not reach the gust criteria for long enough in the afternoon. Spotty critical conditions may also occur in a limited portion of fire zone 225 and 223, but it doesn't look widespread enough to include in a highlight at this time. In general, temps on Tue are expected to be 10+ degrees above average, with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s over the plains, in the 70s in the high valleys, and in the 60s to around 70 in Teller County. The gradient over the area will increase on Wed ahead of an upper trof to the north, which will bring stronger winds to the area. Afternoon min RH values are expected to be below 15% again over the plains and in the high valleys. At this time, it looks like the combination of gusty winds and low RH values could result in critical fire weather conditions over the high valleys, and the I-25 corridor, and portions of the southeast plains, but it is too early to issue a fire weather highlight. A dry front is forecast to move into the southeast plains late in the afternoon and in the early evening, but ahead of this front, high temps on Tue should be well above average again with 80s to near 90s over the plains, in the 70s in the high valleys and in the mid 60s to around 70 in Teller County. For Thu the upper trof will be to the east of CO, with dry northwest flow aloft over the area. Temps will be cooler all across southern CO, but most noticeably over the plains where high temps are expected to be in the mid 50s to lower 60s which is about 25-30 degrees cooler than Wed. The high valleys should see highs in the 60s, with upper 40s to lower 50s in Teller County. RH values will be higher on Thu across eastern areas and therefore there shouldn't be any fire wx concerns. One area that may still have some spotty critical conditions will be portions of western Saguache County where RH values will still be low and winds could be a bit gusty. Thu night looks like the coolest night across most of southern CO, with lows in the upper 20s to lower 20s over the plains, and in the 20s in the high valleys. Dry northwest flow aloft will still be over the area on Fri. Winds shouldn't be all that strong and fire concerns look low. Temps will be a little warmer over eastern areas on Fri. On Sat a dry front is forecast to back into the southeast plains in the late morning and early afternoon hours, bringing some breezy northeast to easterly winds. Dry weather will continue on Sun. High temps over the weekend are forecast to be around to a little above average. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon) Issued at 1146 AM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020 .AVIATION... VFR conditions are expected at ALS, COS and PUB over the next 24 hours. Lee troughing across the I-25 corridor should result in gusty south to southwesterly flow at COS and PUB this afternoon, with gusty west winds expected to mix down at ALS. Around 0Z winds should die down a fair amount and become more variable overnight and into early tomorrow. && .PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Red Flag Warning until 6 PM MDT this evening for COZ220>222- 225>227-229-234-236-237. Fire Weather Watch Tuesday afternoon for COZ220>222-226-227. && SHORT TERM...MW LONG TERM...28 AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 12, 4:25 AM MDT, 10 hours 35 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Pueblo CO 425 AM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020 COZ058>089-093>099-131030- Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet- Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet- Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet- Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet- Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet- Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet- Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet- La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Southern San Luis Valley- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet- Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet- Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet- Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet- Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between 7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet- Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County- Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Feet- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet- Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County- Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- 425 AM MDT Mon Oct 12 2020 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east central...south central and southeast Colorado. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Critical fire weather conditions can be expected today across much of south central and southeast Colorado, as gusty west to southwest winds of 15 to 30 mph develop along and west of the I-25 corridor this afternoon. Breezy southerly winds of 15 to 25 mph will also develop this afternoon across the far southeast plains. These winds, combined with low humidity levels, and dry vegetation will lead to conditions favorable for fire spread and growth across the Sangre de Cristo and Wet Mountains, Lake, Chaffee, El Paso, Fremont, Teller, Huerfano, Kiowa, Prowers and Baca Counties. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday High fire danger will be possible Tuesday afternoon in Lake, Chaffee, Fremont, Teller and El Paso Counties, as winds become gusty and humidity values fall below 15%. Increasing winds on Wednesday across much of the area, along with low humidities, could lead to high fire danger over much of the area, but especially over the San Luis and upper Arkansas River valleys, Teller and Fremont Counties and the I-25 corridor. On Thursday, there could be some spotty areas of high fire danger in western Saguache County. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters will not be needed today or tonight. 23/28
The office that day
Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 3:38 AM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | PUB | Chaffee, El Paso, Fremont, Lake, Teller | 11 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2020Every red flag warning in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.