Alert archive / Colorado / Red Flag Warnings in 2020
Red Flag Warning 30, NWS Pueblo, CO
NWS Pueblo, CO issued this red flag warning at May 19, 2020, 3:49 AM MDT for 17 counties in Colorado. It took effect at May 20, 2020, 11:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 19, 2020, 3:49 AM MDT (09:49 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 20, 2020, 11:00 AM MDT
- Expired
- May 20, 2020, 9:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Pueblo, CO
Counties Alamosa County, CO, Chaffee County, CO, Conejos County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Crowley County, CO, Custer County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Lake County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Mineral County, CO, Otero County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Rio Grande County, CO, Saguache County, CO, Teller County, CO
The radar
The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 00:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 272 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 513 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -83 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 3173 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 88 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 232 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.1
The text
As transmitted.
858 WWUS85 KPUB 190949 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 349 AM MDT Tue May 19 2020 ...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect from noon until 8 PM Today, for gusty winds, low humidity, high Haines indices, and dry fuels for fire weather zones 220, 222, 224, 229 and 230, which includes the Upper Arkansas River Valley, Fremont county, the San Luis Valley and the southern I-25 corridor in Huerfano and Las Animas counties... ...A Red Flag Warning has been issued from 11 AM until 9 PM Wednesday, for gusty winds, low humidity, high Haines indices and dry fuels for fire weather zones 220 through 233, which includes all the mountains and high valleys, the I-25 corridor Counties, and Crowley and Otero Counties... COZ220-222-224-229-230-200200- /O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0021.200520T1800Z-200521T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0030.200520T1700Z-200521T0300Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0029.200519T1800Z-200520T0200Z/ Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee County-Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek- San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- 349 AM MDT Tue May 19 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND HIGH HAINES INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...222...224...229 AND 230... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND HIGH HAINES INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...222...224...229 AND 230... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag Warning for gusty winds, low relative humidity, and high haines indices, which is in effect from 11 AM to 9 PM MDT Wednesday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...222...224...229 and 230. * Winds...South 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph today and South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph on Wednesday. * Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition, growth, and spread of fires today and again on Wednesday. * Haines...6. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ COZ221-223-225>228-231>233-200200- /O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0021.200520T1800Z-200521T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0030.200520T1700Z-200521T0300Z/ Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant Fossil Beds National Monument- Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf Creek Pass and Creede- Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet Mountains/La Veta Pass- Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Crowley County Including Ordway- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- 349 AM MDT Tue May 19 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND HIGH HAINES INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...223...225...226...227...228...231... 232 AND 233... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag Warning for gusty winds, low relative humidity, and high haines indices, which is in effect from 11 AM to 9 PM MDT Wednesday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 221...223...225...226... 227...228...231...232 and 233. * Winds...South 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 10 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition, growth, and spread of fires. * Haines...6. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
6 follow-up statements
230 WWUS85 KPUB 192103 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 303 PM MDT Tue May 19 2020 ...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect until 8 PM today, for gusty winds, low humidity, high Haines indices, and dry fuels for fire weather zones 220, 222, 224, 229 and 230, which includes the Upper Arkansas River Valley, Fremont county, the San Luis Valley and the southern I-25 corridor in Huerfano and Las Animas counties... ...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect from 11 AM until 9 PM Wednesday, for gusty winds, low humidity, high Haines indices and dry fuels for fire weather zones 220 through 233, which includes all the mountains and high valleys, the I-25 corridor Counties, and Crowley and Otero Counties... COZ220-222-224-229-230-201315- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0029.000000T0000Z-200520T0200Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0030.200520T1700Z-200521T0300Z/ Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee County-Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek- San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- 303 PM MDT Tue May 19 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, HIGH HAINES INDICES, AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...222...224...229 AND 230... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, HIGH HAINES INDICES, AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...222...224... 229 AND 230... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...222...224...229 and 230. * Winds...South 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition, growth, and spread of fires today and again on Wednesday. * Haines...6. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ COZ221-223-225>228-231>233-201315- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0030.200520T1700Z-200521T0300Z/ Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant Fossil Beds National Monument- Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf Creek Pass and Creede- Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet Mountains/La Veta Pass- Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Crowley County Including Ordway- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- 303 PM MDT Tue May 19 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, HIGH HAINES INDICES, AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...223...225... 226...227... 228...231...232 AND 233... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 221...223...225...226... 227...228...231...232 and 233. * Winds...South 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 10 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition, growth, and spread of fires. * Haines...6. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
792 WWUS85 KPUB 200135 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 735 PM MDT Tue May 19 2020 ...A Red Flag Warning will expire at 8 PM for fire weather zones 220, 222, 224, 229 and 230, which includes the Upper Arkansas River Valley, Fremont county, the San Luis Valley and the southern I-25 corridor in Huerfano and Las Animas counties... ...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect from 11 AM until 9 PM Wednesday, for gusty winds, low humidity, high Haines indices and dry fuels for fire weather zones 220 through 233, which includes all the mountains and high valleys, the I-25 corridor Counties, and Crowley and Otero Counties... COZ220-222-224-229-230-201745- /O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0029.000000T0000Z-200520T0200Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0030.200520T1700Z-200521T0300Z/ Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee County-Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek- San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- 735 PM MDT Tue May 19 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...222...224...229 AND 230... ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...222...224... 229 AND 230... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...222...224...229 and 230. * Winds...South 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition, growth, and spread of fires today and again on Wednesday. * Haines...6. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ COZ221-223-225>228-231>233-201745- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0030.200520T1700Z-200521T0300Z/ Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant Fossil Beds National Monument- Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf Creek Pass and Creede- Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet Mountains/La Veta Pass- Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Crowley County Including Ordway- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- 735 PM MDT Tue May 19 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...223...225...226... 227...228...231...232 AND 233... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 221...223...225...226... 227...228...231...232 and 233. * Winds...South 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 10 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition, growth, and spread of fires. * Haines...6. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ Hodanish
284 WWUS85 KPUB 200258 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 858 PM MDT Tue May 19 2020 ...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect from 11 AM until 9 PM Wednesday, for gusty winds, low humidity, high Haines indices and dry fuels for fire weather zones 220 through 233, which includes all the mountains and high valleys, the I-25 corridor counties, and Crowley and Otero Counties... COZ220>233-201900- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0030.200520T1700Z-200521T0300Z/ Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee County- Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant Fossil Beds National Monument- Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek- Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf Creek Pass and Creede- San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet Mountains/La Veta Pass- Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- Crowley County Including Ordway- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- 858 PM MDT Tue May 19 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...222...224...229 AND 230... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...223... 224...225...226...227...228...229...230...231...232 and 233. * Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition, growth, and spread of fires today and again on Wednesday. * Haines...6. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
282 WWUS85 KPUB 201012 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 412 AM MDT Wed May 20 2020 ...A Red Flag Warning is in effect from 11 AM MDT today until 9 PM MDT this evening, for gusty winds, low humidity, high Haines indices and dry fuels for fire weather zones 220 through 233, which includes all the mountains and high valleys, the I-25 corridor counties as well as Crowley and Otero counties... COZ220>233-210215- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0030.200520T1700Z-200521T0300Z/ Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee County- Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant Fossil Beds National Monument- Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek- Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf Creek Pass and Creede- San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet Mountains/La Veta Pass- Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- Crowley County Including Ordway- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- 412 AM MDT Wed May 20 2020 ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...223... 224...225...226...227...228...229...230...231...232 AND 233. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...223... 224...225...226...227...228...229...230...231...232 and 233. * Winds...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts around 40 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition, growth, and spread of fires today and this evening. * Haines...6. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
974 WWUS85 KPUB 202044 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 244 PM MDT Wed May 20 2020 ...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect until 9 PM MDT this evening, for gusty winds, low humidity, high Haines indices and dry fuels for fire weather zones 220 through 233, which includes all the mountains and high valleys, the I-25 corridor counties as well as Crowley and Otero Counties... ...A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for Friday afternoon and evening due to gusty winds, low relative humidity, high Haines indices, and dry fuels for fire weather zones 224, 230, and 233, which includes the San Luis Valley and lower elevations of Las Animas County... COZ224-230-233-211245- /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0022.200522T1900Z-200523T0300Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0030.000000T0000Z-200521T0300Z/ San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- 244 PM MDT Wed May 20 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND HIGH HAINES INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224...230 AND 233... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND HIGH HAINES INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224...230 AND 233... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Fire Weather Watch for gusty winds, low relative humidity, and high haines indices, which is in effect from Friday afternoon through Friday evening. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224...230 and 233. * Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 4 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition, growth, and spread of fires today and this evening. * Haines...6. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ COZ220>223-225>229-231-232-210300- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0030.000000T0000Z-200521T0300Z/ Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee County- Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant Fossil Beds National Monument- Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek- Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf Creek Pass and Creede- Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet Mountains/La Veta Pass- Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Crowley County Including Ordway- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- 244 PM MDT Wed May 20 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND HIGH HAINES INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...223...225...226...227... 228...229...231 AND 232... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...223... 225...226...227...228...229...231 and 232. * Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition, growth, and spread of fires today and this evening. * Haines...6. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
011 WWUS85 KPUB 210257 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 857 PM MDT Wed May 20 2020 ...A Fire Weather Watch remains in effect for Friday afternoon and evening due to gusty winds, low relative humidity, high Haines indices, and dry fuels for fire weather zones 224, 230, and 233, which includes the San Luis Valley and lower elevations of Las Animas County... COZ224-230-233-211900- /O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0030.000000T0000Z-200521T0300Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0022.200522T1900Z-200523T0300Z/ San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- 857 PM MDT Wed May 20 2020 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, HIGH HAINES INDICES AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224...230 AND 233... ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224...230 AND 233... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224...230 and 233. * Winds...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. * Relative Humidity...near 5 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition, growth, and spread of fires today and this evening. * Haines...6. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ COZ220>223-225>229-231-232-210400- /O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0030.000000T0000Z-200521T0300Z/ Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee County- Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant Fossil Beds National Monument- Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek- Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf Creek Pass and Creede- Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet Mountains/La Veta Pass- Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Crowley County Including Ordway- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- 857 PM MDT Wed May 20 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...223...225...226...227... 228...229...231 AND 232... Winds will continue to subside and humidity values will rise over the next couple of hours, therefore, the Red Flag Warning has been allowed to expire. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at May 18, 11:15 PM MDT, 4 hours 34 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 18, 11:15 PM MDT, 4 hours 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 1115 PM MDT Mon May 18 2020 .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday) Issued at 244 PM MDT Mon May 18 2020 Red Flag conditions have been observed over the San Luis Valley, the southern I-25 corridor, and the upper Arkansas River Valley this afternoon, so the Red Flag Warning has been necessary. Critical fire weather conditions are expected to continue into the evening. There is a small chance of an isolated storm over the southern I-25 corridor this evening, but confidence is low. Tomorrow will be another warm day with the potential for showers and thunderstorms during the later afternoon. First, the fire weather potential. There has been a Red Flag Warning issued for the San Luis Valley, the upper Arkansas River Valley, the I-25 corridor portions of Huerfano and Las Animas Counties, and Fremont County tomorrow from 12 PM MDT through 8PM MDT. Confidence is high that the mountain valleys will experience critical fire weather conditions, but the southern I-25 corridor has a bust potential, since convection is expected to develop near that region. If storms do develop over the southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains, the surface temperatures will cool and therefore the relative humidity values will increase, bringing Huerfano and Las Animas Counties out of critical fire weather conditions. Now for the thunderstorm potential. All models, including the HREF members are picking up on some sort of convection developing off a surface boundary over the eastern plains. On the east side of the boundary CAPE values ranging from 1000 to 2000 J/kg and on the west side there will be very little CAPE. A low amplitude shortwave is expected to propagate over Colorado, which may be enough to spark some thunderstorms. The variable holding back the storms is the CIN located over the region. If the wave comes through early enough and surface heats up enough, severe storms are not out of the question. If those storms do form, the shear values are on the low side, with 0-6km bulk shear values around 25-35 kts, so the storms will be outflow dominated and will likely dissipate quickly. The LCLs will also be around 8-10kft, so there is a lot of strong downdraft potential. Very warm temperatures are expected tomorrow. Alamosa will be close to breaking a record with a forecast of 80F in the forecast, the eastern plains will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s, Teller County will be in the 70s, the upper Arkansas River Valley will be in the mid to upper 70s, and the mountains will be in the 50s to 60s. .LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Monday) Issued at 244 PM MDT Mon May 18 2020 Most, if not all showers/storms are expected to end by around midnight Tue night and most locations should see above average overnight low temps. The forecast models are indicating the potential for low stratus Tue night/Wed morning over much of the plains. On Wed an upper trof is forecast to extend from an upper low over ID, through UT, with increasing southerly flow over CO. Breezy to windy conditions are expected over most of southern CO Wed afternoon, in addition to much of the area seeing RH values fall below 15%, with the exception of the eastern border area where some low clouds may hang on longer and better low level moisture will mean higher RH values. However, more widespread critical fire weather conditions are expected on Wed. At this time, the weather looks dry on Wed over most of the area, with highs in the 80s over the plains, upper 60s and lower 70s in the high valleys, and 60s to around 70 in Teller County. A front is expected to move through the southeast plains Thu morning, and the upper trof will be moving across CO through the day. The GFS and NAM basically show dry weather on Thu, while the ECMWF shows isolated to scattered precip chances. Will probably stick with the NBM which has low, to no precip. Winds should be lighter on Thu with higher humidity and only some spotty areas of critical fire weather conditions, mostly in the San Luis Valley. Fri looks like a quiet weather day ahead of the next upper system over the northwest U.S.. There could be some spotty critical fire weather conditions in the San Luis Valley again, but the winds look too light elsewhere. That next upper trof is then expected to extend form MT, through western WY and into UT, by Sat evening. Again, southern CO looks to be dry with increasing winds as the upper trof approaches, and the potential for more widespread fire weather concerns. A front moves through early Sun with the passage to the north, of an upper disturbance, while another upper trof moves across CO during the day and into the evening, leading to better chances for precip across much of the area, and more limited fire weather concerns. By Mon an shortwave ridge is expected to build over the area with a return to dry weather and lighter winds. && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night) Issued at 1112 PM MDT Mon May 18 2020 VFR conditions anticipated across much of the forecast area over the next 24 hrs, including the 3 main TAF sites of KCOS, KPUB and KALS. The one exception will be along the eastern border in the vcnty of KLAA, where lower cigs may push in from the east overnight tonight, producing MVFR to IFR cigs between 09z and 15z. Isolated convection may fire up across the plains tomorrow late aftn, but at this time is expected to develop east of the TAF sites. Moore && .PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Fire Weather Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday evening for COZ220>233. Red Flag Warning from noon to 8 PM MDT Tuesday for COZ220-222- 224-229-230. && SHORT TERM...SKELLY LONG TERM...28 AVIATION...MOORE
Hazardous weather outlook, May 18, 7:58 PM MDT, 7 hours 51 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Pueblo CO 758 PM MDT Mon May 18 2020 COZ058>089-093>099-191300- Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet- Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet- Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet- Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet- Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet- Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet- Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet- La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Southern San Luis Valley- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet- Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet- Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet- Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet- Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between 7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet- Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County- Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Feet- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet- Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County- Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- 758 PM MDT Mon May 18 2020 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east central...south central and southeast Colorado. .DAY ONE...Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday Many southern Colorado locations will experience elevated fire danger concerns from Tuesday into the weekend, with the most widespread near critical to critical fire weather conditions expected Wednesday and Saturday. In addition, isolated afternoon and evening thunderstorms, capable of producing hazardous lightning, small hail, gusty winds and brief periods of moderate rainfall are possible over primarily select eastern locations from Tuesday into Saturday with an increase of shower and thunderstorm activity anticipated Sunday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters will not be needed tonight. 27/34
The office that day
Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2:58 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Pueblo | 32 min |
| May 19, 3:15 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Pueblo | 30 min |
| May 19, 3:26 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | El Paso | 34 min |
| May 19, 3:53 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Crowley | 37 min |
| May 19, 3:55 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | El Paso | 35 min |
| May 19, 4:21 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Crowley, Pueblo | 39 min |
| May 19, 4:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | El Paso | 28 min |
| May 19, 4:46 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | El Paso | 29 min |
| May 19, 4:54 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Crowley | 36 min |
| May 19, 4:58 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Crowley | 47 min |
| May 19, 5:13 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | El Paso | 47 min |
| May 19, 5:28 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Crowley | 47 min |
| May 19, 5:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Crowley, Otero | 43 min |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2020Every red flag warning in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.