Alert archive / North Carolina / Beach Hazards Statements in 2020
Beach Hazards Statement 33, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued this beach hazards statement at Aug 3, 2020, 8:16 PM EDT for 4 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 24 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 3, 2020, 8:16 PM EDT (00:16 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 4, 2020, 7:52 PM EDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC
Counties Carteret County, NC, Dare County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Onslow County, NC
The radar
The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 00:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1058 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 755 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 143 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 162 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.7
- Supercell composite
- 4.2
The text
As transmitted.
608 WHUS42 KMHX 040016 CFWMHX Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 816 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020 NCZ195-196-199-204-041230- /O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0032.000000T0000Z-200804T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0033.200804T0016Z-200805T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.200804T0400Z-200804T1800Z/ West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Ocracoke Island- 816 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 2 PM EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 7 to 10 feet expected in the surf zone. For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Ocracoke Island and Core Banks beaches, and Crystal Coast beaches. * WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, from midnight tonight to 2 PM EDT Tuesday. For the Beach Hazards Statement, through Tuesday evening. * IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide, which will occur around 01:22 PM Tuesday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to dangerous surf conditions. Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. When out of the current, swim back to shore. If tired, float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$ NCZ203-205-041230- /O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0032.000000T0000Z-200804T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0033.200804T0016Z-200805T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.200804T0800Z-200804T1800Z/ Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island- 816 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 2 PM EDT TUESDAY... ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT HAS EXPIRED... * WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 4 to 8 feet expected in the surf zone. For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...The beaches north of Cape Hatteras. * WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, from 4 AM to 2 PM EDT Tuesday. For the Beach Hazards Statement, through Tuesday evening. * IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide, which will occur around 01:45 PM Tuesday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to dangerous surf conditions. Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. When out of the current, swim back to shore. If tired, float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$
4 follow-up statements
610 WHUS42 KMHX 040819 CFWMHX Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 419 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 NCZ195-196-199-204-042030- /O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-200804T1800Z/ /O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0033.000000T0000Z-200805T0000Z/ West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Ocracoke Island- 419 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 7 to 10 feet in the surf zone. For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Ocracoke Island and Core Banks beaches, and Crystal Coast beaches. * WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, until 2 PM EDT this afternoon. For the Beach Hazards Statement, through this evening. * IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide, which will occur around 1:30 PM today. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to dangerous surf conditions. Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. When out of the current, swim back to shore. If tired, float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$ NCZ203-205-042030- /O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-200804T1800Z/ /O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0033.000000T0000Z-200805T0000Z/ Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island- 419 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 4 to 8 feet in the surf zone. For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...The beaches north of Cape Hatteras. * WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, until 2 PM EDT this afternoon. For the Beach Hazards Statement, through this evening. * IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide, which will occur around 1:45 PM today. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to dangerous surf conditions. Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. When out of the current, swim back to shore. If tired, float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$
043
WHUS42 KMHX 041513
CFWMHX
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1113 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020
NCZ205-042200-
/O.NEW.KMHX.CF.Y.0014.200804T1513Z-200804T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-200804T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0033.000000T0000Z-200805T0000Z/
Hatteras Island-
1113 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
* WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 5 to
8 feet in the surf zone. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to 2
feet of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways. Water levels will be receding
over the next few hours. For the Beach Hazards Statement,
dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves in the surf
zone.
* WHERE...Hatteras Island.
* WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, until 2 PM EDT this
afternoon. For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT
this evening.
* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated
road closures expected on the sound side of Hatteras Island
north of Avon. Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and
localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best
swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore
break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom
causing neck and back injuries.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
which will occur around 1:30 PM today.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.
Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current remain calm.
Don't fight the current. Swim in a direction following the
shoreline. When out of the current, swim back to shore. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.
&&
$$
NCZ203-042200-
/O.NEW.KMHX.CF.Y.0014.200804T1513Z-200804T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-200804T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0033.000000T0000Z-200805T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-
1113 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
* WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 4 to
6 feet in the surf zone. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to 2
feet of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways. Water levels will be receding
over the next few hours. For the Beach Hazards Statement,
dangerous rip currents.
* WHERE...Northern Outer Banks.
* WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, until 2 PM EDT this
afternoon. For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT
this evening.
* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated
road closures expected on the sound side of the Outer Banks.
Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach
erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from
shore into deeper water.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
which will occur around 1:30 PM today.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.
Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current remain calm.
Don't fight the current. Swim in a direction following the
shoreline. When out of the current, swim back to shore. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Oregon Inlet NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 3.0 ft, Moderate 4.5 ft, Major 5.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 ft, Moderate 3.9 ft, Major 4.9 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
04/09 AM 3.6 3.0 2.7 2-3 Minor
04/10 PM 2.0 1.4 0.8 1-2 None
05/10 AM 1.7 1.1 0.8 1 None
05/10 PM 2.0 1.4 0.9 1 None
06/10 AM 1.8 1.2 0.9 1 None
06/11 PM 2.0 1.4 0.9 1 None
&&
$$
NCZ195-196-199-042200-
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-200804T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0033.000000T0000Z-200805T0000Z/
West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
1113 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
* WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 5 to
8 feet in the surf zone. For the Beach Hazards Statement,
dangerous rip currents.
* WHERE...Crystal Coast beaches, and Core Banks beaches.
* WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, until 2 PM EDT this
afternoon. For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT
this evening.
* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and
localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best
swimmers away from shore into deeper water.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
which will occur around 2:30 PM today.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.
Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current remain calm.
Don't fight the current. Swim in a direction following the
shoreline. When out of the current, swim back to shore. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
&&
$$
NCZ204-042200-
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-200804T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0033.000000T0000Z-200805T0000Z/
Ocracoke Island-
1113 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
* WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 5 to
8 feet in the surf zone. For the Beach Hazards Statement,
dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves in the surf
zone.
* WHERE...Ocracoke Island beaches.
* WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, until 2 PM EDT this
afternoon. For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT
this evening.
* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and
localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best
swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore
break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom
causing neck and back injuries.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
which will occur around 1:30 PM today.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.
Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current remain calm.
Don't fight the current. Swim in a direction following the
shoreline. When out of the current, swim back to shore. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.
&&
$$200 WHUS42 KMHX 041815 CFWMHX Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 215 PM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 NCZ205-050000- /O.EXP.KMHX.CF.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-200804T1800Z/ /O.EXP.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-200804T1800Z/ /O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0033.000000T0000Z-200805T0000Z/ Hatteras Island- 215 PM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves in the surf zone. * WHERE...Hatteras Island beaches. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom causing neck and back injuries. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide, which will occur around 2:30 this afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. When out of the current, swim back to shore. If tired, float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at all times. && $$ NCZ203-050000- /O.EXP.KMHX.CF.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-200804T1800Z/ /O.EXP.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-200804T1800Z/ /O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0033.000000T0000Z-200805T0000Z/ Northern Outer Banks- 215 PM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Northern Outer Banks beaches. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide, which will occur around 2:30 this afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. When out of the current, swim back to shore. If tired, float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$ NCZ195-196-199-050000- /O.EXP.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-200804T1800Z/ /O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0033.000000T0000Z-200805T0000Z/ West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow- 215 PM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Crystal Coast beaches, and Core Banks beaches. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide, which will occur around 2:30 this afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. When out of the current, swim back to shore. If tired, float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$ NCZ204-050000- /O.EXP.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-200804T1800Z/ /O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0033.000000T0000Z-200805T0000Z/ Ocracoke Island- 215 PM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves in the surf zone. * WHERE...Ocracoke Island beaches. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom causing neck and back injuries. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide, which will occur around 2:30 this afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. When out of the current, swim back to shore. If tired, float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at all times. && $$
291 WHUS42 KMHX 042352 CFWMHX Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 752 PM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 NCZ195-196-199-203>205-050100- /O.CAN.KMHX.BH.S.0033.000000T0000Z-200805T0000Z/ West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Northern Outer Banks- Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island- 752 PM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS CANCELLED... Swell from Isaias is quickly subsiding. There is a moderate risk for rip currents Wednesday. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this beach hazards statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this beach hazards statement went out at Aug 3, 4:55 PM EDT, 3 hours 21 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 3, 4:55 PM EDT, 3 hours 21 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
455 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020
.SYNOPSIS...
Please see latest advisories from the National Hurricane Center
concerning TC Isaias which is expected to make landfall near
the North Carolina/South Carolina border late tonight and move
inland on Tuesday before moving well north of the area by
Tuesday night. A front will linger near or over the area from
mid through late week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 455 PM Mon...The center of TC Isaias is currently about
60 miles SSE of Charleston, SC. Radar and satellite show it
becoming more organized as it moves over the Gulf Stream. Isaias
will continue to lift NNE along the SE coast this afternoon and
NHC has it making landfall as a hurricane near the SC/NC border
tonight. The bulk of the impacts will be felt overnight into
Tuesday morning. A dramatic increase in the winds expected
across ENC after 00Z as the center of Isaias moves inland near
the NC/SC border and moves up the I-95 corridor. Tropical Storm
Force winds are expected across the area, peaking late tonight
and Tue morning. Showers and storms beginning to blossom across
the area and offshore this afternoon, with some cells beginning
to show weak rotation. The tornado threat remains a sig concern
with the entire forecast area along and right of the storm's
path through early Tuesday morning. Tornado Watches will likely
be needed later. STP numbers get into the 4-5 range overnight
with 0-1 km SRH values 400-500 m2/s2. Main tornado threat looks
to be between 10pm-8am as the center lifts into the NC coastal
plain. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect with QPF totals 3-5
inches over the western tier of the CWA in a short amount of
time given the fairly rapid movement of Isaias. Heavy rainfall
rates expected with PWATs climbing to 2.5". Storm Surge Watches
and Warnings continue for portions of the area, with surge
peaking late tonight and Tue morning. See CF section below for
details.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY/...
As of 3 PM Mon...The current Isaias track has it moving into SE
VA Tue morning and racing into the Delmarva area by early
afternoon. Lingering impacts expected in the morning, esp across
the N/NE forecast area, but conditions will be quickly
improving from south to north late morning and afternoon.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 300 AM Monday...A mid to upper level trough will remain
in place through the weekend, allowing for deep SW flow accompanied
with Gulf moisture, leading to scattered showers and thunderstorms
each day.
Tuesday night through Friday... A trough aloft will remain in across
the eastern half of the CONUS allowing for a deep SW flow coupled
with Gulf moisture (precip waters AOA 2.0 inches) feed into the
region. While at the surface, a cold front will move into the region
and stall between central and eastern NC. The latest models don't
have a good agreement where the boundary will stall, but think it
will be more of a quasi-stationary front. With this synoptic setup,
this will allow for showers and thunderstorms to occur each day.
Saturday through Monday...Models disagree further in what will
happen to the stationary boundary. The Euro model has the boundary
pushing a cold front Saturday morning, while the GFS still has it as
a stationary boundary. Will continue to use WPC guidance for this
time frame.
In general, temperatures during the long term forecast period will
be near climatology with highs in the upper 80s to around 90 and
lows mainly in the low to mid 70s.
&&
.AVIATION /21Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Short Term /through 18Z Tuesday/...
As of 150 PM Monday...Conditions will begin to deteriorate this
afternoon and especially tonight as Tropical Cyclone Isaias
moves inland and across the Carolinas. Increasing winds, and
rain along with lowered ceilings and visibilities are expected
by evening. After 0Z MVFR to occasional IFR conditions will
prevail with sustained winds at 40 knots with gusts up to 60
knots from especially after midnight into the early morning
hours. Winds and precipitation should start to subside fairly
quickly from daybreak as the circulation of Isaias moves north
into Virgina. MVFR ceilings are likely to linger through the
morning with Pred VFR developing in the afternoon.
Long Term /Tuesday night through Saturday/...
As of 150 PM Monday... Outside of scattered, mainly diurnally
driven convection, and the potential for brief early morning
fog or low clouds, VFR conditions are expected through the
period.
&&
.MARINE...
Short Term /through Tuesday/...
As of 3 PM Mon...Conditions will quickly deteriorate across the
waters this afternoon and evening, becoming very dangerous with
strong winds and double digit seas. Latest obs show SE/S winds
10-20 kt with seas 2-4 ft and seas 4-6 ft south of Lookout. Trop
Storm Warnings continue for the waters, with winds peaking
tonight and early Tue morning. Seas will build quickly this
evening, peaking at 10-20 kt. Conditions will be improving Tue
afternoon, with winds becoming SW 10-20 kt and seas subsiding to
6-9 ft.
Long Term /Tuesday night through Saturday/...
As of 300 AM Monday...Conditions improve fairly rapidly late
Tuesday night as Isaias quickly moves away from the area. Winds
will from the S/SW at 15-20 knots Tuesday night, then becoming
around 10 or less knots for the rest of the period. Some
lingering swell will keep combined seas at 3-5 feet Tuesday
night, then further subsiding to 3-4 ft Wednesday evening
through the end of the week.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 3 PM Mon...Storm Surge Warning continues for areas
adjacent to the inland rivers, Neuse/Bay/Pamlico/Pungo, as well
as the soundside Outer Banks north of Oregon Inlet. Storm Surge
Watches continue for portions of the coast. In general, storm
surge will be 2-4 ft with the greatest inundation along area
beaches south of Cape Hatteras and western Pamlico Sound,
Roanoke and Croatan Sounds including the Pungo and Pamlico
Rivers.
Long period swell from Isaias will continue to impact the
beaches through the middle of the week. These swells will also
lead to a high threat of dangerous rip currents. Very dangerous
surf conditions will continue into Tuesday with breaking waves
8 ft or higher along the coast as Isaias is forecast to pass
just to the W of the region bringing gusty winds and large seas.
&&
.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Tropical Storm Warning for NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-094-
193>196-198-199-203>205.
Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ195-
196-199-203>205.
Storm Surge Watch for NCZ047-195-196-199-204-205.
High Surf Advisory from midnight tonight to 2 PM EDT Tuesday
for NCZ195-196-199-204.
Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday afternoon for NCZ029-044-045-
079-080-090>092-193-198.
Storm Surge Warning for NCZ080-081-094-194-203.
High Surf Advisory from 4 AM to 2 PM EDT Tuesday for NCZ203-
205.
MARINE...Tropical Storm Warning for AMZ131-135>137-150-152-154-156-158-
230-231.
&&
SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...CQD
SHORT TERM...CQD
LONG TERM...BM
AVIATION...JME
MARINE...CQD/BM
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...MHXHazardous weather outlook, Aug 3, 3:18 PM EDT, 4 hours 58 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 318 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020 NCZ081-094-194-041930- Mainland Hyde-Pamlico-Southern Craven- 318 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020 ...STORM SURGE WARNING IN EFFECT... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Storm Surge Warning. Tropical Storm Warning. Tropical Storm Isaias is currently forecast to pass near or just west of the area late tonight and early Tuesday. Locally heavy rain, gusty winds and isolated tornadoes will be possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Storm Surge Warning. Tropical Storm Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ047-041930- Mainland Dare- 318 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...STORM SURGE WATCH IN EFFECT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Storm Surge Watch. Tropical Storm Warning. Tropical Storm Isaias is currently forecast to pass near or just west of the area late tonight and early Tuesday. Locally heavy rain, gusty winds and isolated tornadoes will be possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Storm Surge Watch. Tropical Storm Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ046-041930- Tyrrell- 318 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Tropical Storm Warning. Tropical Storm Isaias is currently forecast to pass near or just west of the area late tonight and early Tuesday. Locally heavy rain, gusty winds and isolated tornadoes will be possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Tropical Storm Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ205-041930- Hatteras Island- 318 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...STORM SURGE WATCH IN EFFECT... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 2 PM EDT TUESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Beach Hazards Statement. Storm Surge Watch. Tropical Storm Warning. High Surf Advisory. Tropical Storm Isaias is currently forecast to pass near or just west of the area late tonight and early Tuesday. Locally heavy rain, gusty winds and isolated tornadoes will be possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Storm Surge Watch. Tropical Storm Warning. High Surf Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ195-199-204-041930- West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Ocracoke Island- 318 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...STORM SURGE WATCH IN EFFECT... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 2 PM EDT TUESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Beach Hazards Statement. Storm Surge Watch. Tropical Storm Warning. High Surf Advisory. Tropical Storm Isaias is currently forecast to pass near or just west of the area late tonight and early Tuesday. Locally heavy rain, gusty winds and isolated tornadoes will be possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Storm Surge Watch. Tropical Storm Warning. High Surf Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ203-041930- Northern Outer Banks- 318 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...STORM SURGE WARNING IN EFFECT... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 2 PM EDT TUESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Beach Hazards Statement. Tropical Storm Warning. Storm Surge Warning. High Surf Advisory. Tropical Storm Isaias is currently forecast to pass near or just west of the area late tonight and early Tuesday. Locally heavy rain, gusty winds and isolated tornadoes will be possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Tropical Storm Warning. Storm Surge Warning. High Surf Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ196-041930- East Carteret- 318 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...STORM SURGE WARNING IN EFFECT... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 2 PM EDT TUESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Beach Hazards Statement. Tropical Storm Warning. Storm Surge Warning. High Surf Advisory. Tropical Storm Isaias is currently forecast to pass near or just west of the area late tonight and early Tuesday. Locally heavy rain, gusty winds and isolated tornadoes will be possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Tropical Storm Warning. Storm Surge Warning. High Surf Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ029-044-045-079-090>092-193-198-041930- Martin-Pitt-Washington-Greene-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Northern Craven- Inland Onslow- 318 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flash Flood Watch. Tropical Storm Warning. Tropical Storm Isaias is currently forecast to pass near or just west of the area late tonight and early Tuesday. Locally heavy rain, gusty winds and isolated tornadoes will be possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flash Flood Watch. Tropical Storm Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ080-041930- Beaufort- 318 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... ...STORM SURGE WARNING IN EFFECT... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flash Flood Watch. Storm Surge Warning. Tropical Storm Warning. Tropical Storm Isaias is currently forecast to pass near or just west of the area late tonight and early Tuesday. Locally heavy rain, gusty winds and isolated tornadoes will be possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flash Flood Watch. Storm Surge Warning. Tropical Storm Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Aug 3, 2:55 PM EDT, 5 hours 21 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
255 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020
NCZ044-091-193-031930-
Lenoir-Northern Craven-Pitt-
255 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN LENOIR...
NORTHWESTERN CRAVEN AND SOUTHEASTERN PITT COUNTIES...
At 253 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Fort Barnwell,
or 13 miles east of Kinston, moving north at 30 mph.
Winds in excess of 30 mph are possible with this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Grifton, Calico, Shelmerdine, Fort Barnwell, Dover, Cove City and
Gardnerville.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They can relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Newport.
LAT...LON 3541 7748 3543 7748 3544 7747 3546 7749
3546 7722 3515 7730 3515 7734 3521 7744
3541 7750
TIME...MOT...LOC 1853Z 179DEG 24KT 3524 7736
mleeThe office that day
Everything else NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 9:31 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | MHX | Hyde, Tyrrell, Washington | 14 min |
| Aug 3, 10:08 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MHX | 52 min | |
| Aug 3, 10:59 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MHX | 91 min | |
| Aug 3, 11:21 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | MHX | Craven, Pamlico | 24 min |
| Aug 4, 12:08 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | MHX | Beaufort | 22 min |
| Aug 4, 12:35 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MHX | 55 min | |
| Aug 4, 12:47 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | MHX | Beaufort, Martin, Washington | 28 min |
| Aug 4, 12:55 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | MHX | Beaufort, Martin, Pamlico, Pitt | 98 min |
| Aug 4, 12:56 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | MHX | Beaufort, Martin, Washington | 19 min |
| Aug 4, 1:17 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MHX | 43 min | |
| Aug 4, 1:29 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | MHX | Hyde, Tyrrell, Washington | 31 min |
| Aug 4, 1:57 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | MHX | Tyrrell, Washington | 18 min |
| Aug 4, 11:07 AM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | MHX | 12 hr | |
| Aug 4, 11:13 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | MHX | Dare | 3 hr |
Nearby
Beach Hazards Statements in North Carolina, 2020Every beach hazards statement in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.