Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Warnings in 2020

Tornado Warning 12, NWS Jackson, MS

February 5, 2020Simpson County, Smith County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this tornado warning at Feb 5, 2020, 3:02 PM CST for Simpson County, Smith County, Mississippi. It was in force for 58 min. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 5, 2020, 3:02 PM CST (21:02 UTC)
Expired
Feb 5, 2020, 4:00 PM CST
In force
58 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Observed
Hail
1.0 in

Counties Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 5, 3:03 PM CSTTORNADO4 Ene Martinville, MSTREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ALONG HWY 540, STORM CHASER ALSO HAD VISUAL CONFIRMATION OF TORNADO.
Feb 5, 3:20 PM CSTTORNADO3 Sse Burns, MSA BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN JUST WEST OF HIGHWAY 35 WHICH WAS EVIDENT BY THE TORNADIC DEBRIS SIGNATURE. AS IT CROSSED THE HIGHWAY, A FEW TREES WERE UPROOTED. A FEW MORE WERE UPROOTED EAST OF THE HIGHWAY, ALONG GOVERNMENT ROAD, WITH ONE BLOCKING THE ROAD. THE
Feb 5, 3:20 PM CSTTORNADO3 Sse Burns, MSTHE TORNADO STARTING POINT WAS CONFIRMED BY DRONE FOOTAGE JUST WEST OF BIENVILLE NATIONAL FOREST RD 527. IT MOVED NORTHEAST, SNAPPING AND UPROOTING MULTIPLE TREES IN A CONVERGENT PATTERN AS IT CROSSED THIS ROAD. TREE DAMAGE RAMPED UP CONSIDERABLY JUST EAST OF
Feb 5, 3:22 PM CSTTORNADO3 Se Burns, MSTREES DOWN ACROSS THE ROAD AT HIGHWAY 35 NORTH AROUND THE SHONGELO COMMUNITY.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 4 storm reports to this tornado warning; the first came 1 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Feb 5, 11:49 AM CSTTornado WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 53 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2020-02-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 788 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2020-02-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 172 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
788 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-6 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
590 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
172 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
221 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
3.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

667 
WFUS54 KJAN 052102
TORJAN
MSC127-129-052200-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0012.200205T2102Z-200205T2200Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
302 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northeastern Simpson County in central Mississippi...
  Northern Smith County in central Mississippi...

* Until 400 PM CST.
        
* At 302 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located over Martinville, or
  8 miles north of Magee, moving northeast at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This tornadic storm will be near...
  White Oak around 310 PM CST.
  Raleigh around 320 PM CST.
  Burns around 325 PM CST.
  Pineville around 335 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3196 8973 3200 8976 3205 8973 3209 8973
      3222 8958 3222 8944 3216 8940 3204 8938
      3199 8956
TIME...MOT...LOC 2102Z 238DEG 30KT 3199 8971 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

NF
4 follow-up statements
246 
WWUS54 KJAN 052107
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
307 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

MSC127-129-052200-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-200205T2200Z/
Simpson MS-Smith MS-
307 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CST FOR
NORTHEASTERN SIMPSON AND NORTHERN SMITH COUNTIES...
    
At 307 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located near White Oak, or 10
miles northeast of Magee, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornado will be near...
  Raleigh around 320 PM CST.
  Burns around 325 PM CST.
  Pineville around 335 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3197 8969 3203 8974 3205 8973 3209 8973
      3222 8958 3222 8944 3216 8940 3204 8938
      3199 8956
TIME...MOT...LOC 2107Z 238DEG 30KT 3202 8966 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

NF
181 
WWUS54 KJAN 052113
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
313 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

MSC127-052123-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-200205T2200Z/
Simpson MS-
313 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN SIMPSON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for central
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3202 8963 3205 8966 3211 8968 3222 8958
      3222 8944 3216 8940 3206 8938 3202 8956
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 237DEG 34KT 3205 8960 

$$

MSC129-052200-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-200205T2200Z/
Smith MS-
313 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CST FOR NORTHERN
SMITH COUNTY...
    
At 313 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Raleigh, or 14 miles northeast of Magee, moving
northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Burns around 320 PM CST.
  Pineville around 335 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3202 8963 3205 8966 3211 8968 3222 8958
      3222 8944 3216 8940 3206 8938 3202 8956
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 237DEG 34KT 3205 8960 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

NF
991 
WWUS54 KJAN 052123 CCA
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
323 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

MSC127-052123-
/O.COR.KJAN.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-200205T2200Z/
Simpson MS-
323 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SIMPSON COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for central
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3202 8963 3205 8966 3211 8968 3222 8958
      3222 8944 3216 8940 3206 8938 3202 8956
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 230DEG 31KT 3205 8960 

$$

MSC129-052200-
/O.COR.KJAN.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-200205T2200Z/
Smith MS-
323 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CST FOR NORTHERN
SMITH COUNTY...
        
At 322 PM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Burns, or 17 miles south of Forest, moving northeast at
35 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may 
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes 
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, 
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction 
         is possible.

The tornado will be near...
  Pineville around 335 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3202 8963 3205 8966 3211 8968 3222 8958
      3222 8944 3216 8940 3206 8938 3202 8956
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 230DEG 31KT 3205 8960 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

NF
721 
WWUS54 KJAN 052138
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
338 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

MSC129-052147-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-200205T2200Z/
Smith MS-
338 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHERN SMITH COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornado threat has diminished and the Tornado Warning has been 
cancelled. However, damaging winds remain likely and a Severe 
Thunderstorm Warning remains in effect for the area.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for central
Mississippi.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Jackson.

Remember, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for
northeast Smith County until 415 PM CST.

LAT...LON 3202 8963 3205 8966 3211 8968 3222 8958
      3222 8944 3216 8940 3206 8938 3202 8956
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 230DEG 31KT 3218 8941 

$$

NF

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Feb 5, 11:43 AM CST, 3 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 5, 11:43 AM CST, 3 hours 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1143 AM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

...SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE TODAY...

.UPDATE...
Updated for 18Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF discussion:
A mix of flight conditions will exist throughout today as a
frontal boundary and severe weather affects the region. The front
has already passed through GLH and GWO so that winds are from the
north- northwest now. As the front passes through this afternoon,
southerly winds at the rest of the TAF sites will rotate to a
northerly direction as well. Expect ceilings to drop universally
throughout the afternoon to IFR as scattered to numerous storms
ramp up and move across the region from southwest to northeast.
The severe storms will wane by 06Z with showers lingering through
much of Thursday. This will keep ceilings and visibilities low
through at least 18Z tomorrow. /10/

&&

.DISCUSSION...

An active weather day is on tap today & will bring severe weather
& flash flooding potential across the region. Severe weather,
including tornadoes & some possibly strong, is likely & some flash
flooding is possible.

Wednesday: This morning the mid-level ridge axis is centered over
the Caribbean Islands, leading to a an influx of sufficient low-
level southerly return flow of warmth & moisture. Surface analysis
this morning indicates a surface low & baroclinic zone across the
ArklaMiss Delta, ArkLaTex to mid-South & will only deepen through
the afternoon, while cooler conditions exist in the wake of the
boundary in the northwest Delta. The synoptic pattern consists of
a longwave amplification with the spoke of energy & jet streak
energy through southern Plains & northern Mexico. This will
continue to swing out along the base of the trough & eject
northeast across the ArkLaMiss region. In conjunction with low-
level deepening & surface cyclogenesis, strong reflection in the
low-level wind field response will occur. Morning sounding
analysis shows near the high end or climatological maximum in low-
level observed destabilization (i.e. LCH surface based CAPE ~2500
J/kg & JAN surface/mix-layer CAPE around 800-1000 J/kg). This
juxtaposition of steep mid-level lapse rates & strong mid-deep
layer shear (i.e. 6.5 deg C/km lapse rates @ 700-500mb & 40-70kts+
effective bulk shear @ 0-3km & 0-6km, respectively) continue to
support higher end severe weather potential.

This low-level feed of high Theta E is leading convection
development across areas in south-central to western Louisiana is
serving as the impetus for convective development. This will
continue to spread to the east-northeast across the region, with
hi-res CAM guidance indicative of storms along the northern
gradient of the significant tornado parameter gradient (STP).
Local HRRR guidance is definitely showing the potential for some
1500-2000+ J/kg surface based CAPE along & southeast of that
frontal & baroclinic zone & storms potentially riding along &
southeast of that boundary. SPC mesoanalysis & forecast indicate
nearly 2-3 STP along the Natchez Trace Corridor & especially from
near Winnsboro up towards Columbus & to the south. This area also
has pressure falls of 3-6mb as the surface low deepens. Hi-res
CAM guidance continues to paint area in this vicinity with the
highest potential for tornadoes, including some possibly strong.
Exact storm mode may be somewhat of a question, per some other
local CAM guidance, but there will be some potential for higher-end
severe weather. This environment is anomalously destabilized &
sheared. In conjunction with SPC, introduced an "Enhanced" severe
risk area from near Vicksburg to the Jackson Metro & to the
northeast to including near Grenada to the Golden Triangle. For
now, all modes of severe weather are possible. Due to the strong
clockwise curving hodographs, tornadoes are likely & some possibly
strong. Damaging winds up to 70mph & large hail of up to golf
ball size are also possible. These will be reflected in the
HWO/graphics.

In addition, the flash flooding potential remains across the area
as there will be high moisture in conjunction with a deepening
synoptic jet, upper diffluence along the low & also any convective
potential. In conjunction with anomalous deep layer moisture &
very wet antecedent conditions, especially from any heavy rain
this morning, will keep potential around. Due to that, rainfall
of 1-3 inches, with locally higher amounts, is possible across the
region. Local hi-res CAM guidance & HREF suite continues to
support this. No flash flood watch is needed for now as this
mesoscale driven & some details are not as clear. Kept the
HWO/graphics the same as before.

Lastly, due to a strong developing pressure gradient some gusts
upward of 25-30mph can't be ruled out. Expect these winds to really
ramp up into the afternoon as the surface low rapidly deepens &
moves through the Delta. For now, winds don't seem to ramp up
enough for a wind advisory or mention in the HWO/graphics. /DC/

Prior discussion below:

Today and tonight: Severe storms including locally heavy rain will
be possible across our CWA generally this afternoon and evening.
Early morning surface analysis had a stalled front across our Delta
region nearly along a line from Grenada, Mississippi to Bastrop,
Louisiana. This stalled front will move little today and the
greatest potential for severe weather will be along and south of
this boundary. Early morning satellite imagery/RAP analysis showed
the circulation around a deep upper level trough that extended
southwest from the Central Plains to the Baja region. This upper
trough will shift east through tonight and help develop a surface
low over Louisiana this morning that will track to the northeast
along the stalled boundary. The surface low will shift northeast of
our CWA this evening and drag the trailing cold front across our
southeast most zones well before sunrise. The warm sector ahead of
the surface low will feature PWATs greater than an inch and a half
with mid 60 dew points. MLCAPE values are expected to be 500-
1000j/kg while deep layer shear increases this afternoon into the
evening to support storm organization. There will be the potential
for severe storms capable of damaging winds a few tornadoes. Mid
level lapse rates look to limit large hail development but hail to
the size of quarters will also be possible. In addition, locally
heavy rainfall will accompany the storms and may result in some
flash flooding where the storms can train over the same area. Hi-res
models suggest the heaviest rainfall amounts will fall over our
northeast this afternoon and southeast this evening. Temperatures
will continue much warmer than normal today but the cooler air in
the wake of the cold front will knock temperatures down closer to
normal by morning, especially over the northwest half of the CWA.
/22/

Thursday through next Tuesday: Chances for rain will continue
Thursday into Thursday evening behind the cold front as cold
advection continues. Highs Thursday will range from the mid 40s
west to the mid 50s east. Expect a brief period of dry weather and
seasonable temperatures Friday and Friday night, with showers
returning Saturday as another system quickly moves into the
region. Another short period of dry weather will return Sunday as
high pressure influences the region. Unsettled weather returns to
the region Monday and Tuesday, along with continued warming as
another frontal system approaches the region. Highs by Tuesday
look to range from the lower 60s northwest to the lower 70s
southeast. /27/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       74  46  50  33 /  86  92  64   6
Meridian      72  52  55  34 /  89  95  77  11
Vicksburg     72  45  48  35 /  92  73  49   1
Hattiesburg   74  53  56  34 /  86  94  78   7
Natchez       73  44  48  33 /  93  76  51   1
Greenville    65  41  44  33 /  93  69  48   4
Greenwood     67  42  47  33 /  94  76  62  10

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 5, 10:59 AM CST, 4 hours 3 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1059 AM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-MSZ018-061700-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-Bolivar-
1059 AM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Remainder of today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Remainder of today

Remainder of today through tonight, isolated severe thunderstorms
are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind
gusts and hail.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Remainder of today, localized flash flooding is possible,
particularly in low lying and urban areas. Heavy rainfall of one
to three inches with locally higher amounts is possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region rest of
today through tonight.

LAZ008-015-MSZ019-034-061700-
West Carroll-Richland-Sunflower-Washington-
1059 AM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, and northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Remainder of today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Remainder of today

Remainder of today through tonight, severe thunderstorms and
tornadoes are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging
winds to 60 mph and hail at least to the size of quarter to golf
ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Remainder of today, localized flash flooding is possible,
particularly in low lying and urban areas. Heavy rainfall of one
to three inches with locally higher amounts is possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region rest of
today through tonight.

LAZ025-MSZ027>033-035>039-041>050-053-054-059-061700-
Tensas-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-
Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-
Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Claiborne-Copiah-
Jefferson-
1059 AM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
northeast Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Remainder of today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Remainder of today through Tonight

Remainder of today through tonight, severe thunderstorms are
likely and tornadoes are possible, with some possibly strong.
Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and
large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Remainder of today through tonight, localized flash flooding is
possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Heavy
rainfall of one to three inches with locally higher amounts is
possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region rest of
today through tonight.

LAZ009-016-023-024-026-MSZ025-026-040-051-052-055>058-060>066-
072>074-061700-
East Carroll-Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Concordia-Leflore-
Grenada-Issaquena-Newton-Lauderdale-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-
Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-
Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
1059 AM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and
south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Remainder of today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Remainder of today through Tonight

Remainder of today through tonight, severe thunderstorms and
tornadoes are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging
winds to 60 mph and hail at least to the size of quarter to golf
ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Remainder of today through tonight, localized flash flooding is
possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Heavy
rainfall of one to three inches with locally higher amounts is
possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region rest of
today through tonight.

23

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 5, 1:00 PM CST, 2 hours 2 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
100 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

LAZ023-024-051930-
Catahoula LA-Franklin LA-
100 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN CATAHOULA AND
SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN PARISHES UNTIL 130 PM CST...

At 100 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Aimwell, or 23 miles south of Columbia, moving northeast at 65
mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Sherwood and Rosefield around 110 PM CST.
  Enterprise around 115 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Harrisonburg and
Sicily Island.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for northeastern
Louisiana.

LAT...LON 3193 9201 3193 9190 3197 9190 3197 9189
      3200 9190 3204 9190 3207 9192 3208 9191
      3208 9190 3209 9187 3213 9188 3213 9187
      3214 9187 3186 9157 3168 9201
TIME...MOT...LOC 1900Z 228DEG 55KT 3176 9205

NF
Special weather statement, Feb 5, 1:20 PM CST, 1 hour 42 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
120 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

LAZ007>009-051945-
Morehouse LA-East Carroll LA-West Carroll LA-
120 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN MOREHOUSE...NORTH
CENTRAL EAST CARROLL AND WEST CARROLL PARISHES UNTIL 145 PM CST...

At 120 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Goodwill, or 17 miles east of Bastrop, moving northeast at 50
mph.

Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Goodwill around 125 PM CST.
  Oak Grove around 140 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Kilbourne, Pioneer and
Forest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for northeastern
Louisiana...and west central Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3301 9145 3300 9117 3299 9117 3296 9120
      3295 9120 3293 9121 3292 9121 3290 9118
      3290 9115 3292 9113 3298 9113 3294 9108
      3259 9160 3267 9160 3267 9164 3264 9165
      3273 9175
TIME...MOT...LOC 1920Z 225DEG 43KT 3272 9161

GRG
Special weather statement, Feb 5, 1:53 PM CST, 1 hour 9 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
153 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

MSZ054-055-062-063-052030-
Lawrence MS-Copiah MS-Lincoln MS-Simpson MS-
153 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN SIMPSON...
NORTHEASTERN LINCOLN...NORTHWESTERN LAWRENCE AND EASTERN COPIAH
COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM CST...

At 153 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Wesson, or 8 miles northeast of Brookhaven, moving northeast at
45 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Rockport and Oma around 210 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Beauregard and
Georgetown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for central and
south central Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3157 9037 3166 9049 3197 9027 3177 8997
TIME...MOT...LOC 1953Z 227DEG 39KT 3169 9037

NF
Special weather statement, Feb 5, 2:02 PM CST, 1 hour before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
202 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

ARZ075-MSZ034-052030-
Chicot AR-Washington MS-
202 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN CHICOT AND CENTRAL
WASHINGTON COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM CST...

At 202 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles northwest of Glen Allan, or 8 miles south of Avon, moving
northeast at 55 mph.

Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Avon around 210 PM CST.
  Hollandale and Wayside around 215 PM CST.
  Estill around 220 PM CST.
  Darlove around 225 PM CST.
  Tribbett around 230 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Arcola.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for central and
west central Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3327 9076 3327 9072 3326 9073 3323 9073
      3321 9071 3310 9090 3310 9091 3309 9092
      3301 9104 3301 9114 3312 9124 3351 9076
TIME...MOT...LOC 2002Z 230DEG 49KT 3311 9110

GRG
Local storm report, Feb 5, 2:12 PM CST, 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
212 PM CST WED FEB 5 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0142 PM     HAIL             2 SSW CHICKASAW         32.94N 91.35W
02/05/2020  E1.00 INCH       WEST CARROLL       LA   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED NEAR TERRY, LA.

&&

JNE
Special weather statement, Feb 5, 2:43 PM CST, 19 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
243 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

LAZ009-016-MSZ040>042-047-052115-
Madison LA-East Carroll LA-Sharkey MS-Warren MS-Yazoo MS-
Issaquena MS-
243 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN EAST CARROLL AND
NORTHEASTERN MADISON PARISHES...NORTHWESTERN WARREN...WEST CENTRAL
YAZOO...SOUTHERN ISSAQUENA AND SOUTHERN SHARKEY COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM
CST...

At 242 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Mansford, or 7 miles northeast of Tallulah, moving northeast at
55 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Valley Park around 300 PM CST.
  Holly Bluff around 315 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Richmond.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for northeastern
Louisiana...and central and west central Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3227 9123 3246 9126 3290 9072 3269 9052
TIME...MOT...LOC 2042Z 231DEG 49KT 3248 9109

GRG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 5, 4:29 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeake, Madison46 min
Feb 5, 4:52 AM CSTTornado WarningJANLeake22 min
Feb 5, 6:55 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANLowndes35 min
Feb 5, 1:30 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCovington, Smith6 hr
Feb 5, 1:53 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANCopiah37 min
Feb 5, 1:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson50 min
Feb 5, 2:02 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANWashington28 min
Feb 5, 2:07 PM CSTTornado WarningJANCopiah, Lawrence, Lincoln, Rankin, Simpson53 min
Feb 5, 2:55 PM CSTTornado WarningJANSimpson, Smith44 min
Feb 5, 3:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANIssaquena, Sharkey, Warren, Yazoo44 min
Feb 5, 3:05 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Lawrence, Lincoln41 min
Feb 5, 3:10 PM CSTTornado WarningJANCopiah, Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson22 min
Feb 5, 3:21 PM CSTTornado WarningJANYazoo54 min
Feb 5, 3:33 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJasper, Newton, Scott, Smith42 min
Feb 5, 3:42 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANClaiborne, Jefferson, Warren48 min
Feb 5, 3:55 PM CSTTornado WarningJANAttala, Holmes, Leake, Madison65 min
Feb 5, 3:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar, Marion61 min
Feb 5, 4:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Hinds, Warren32 min
Feb 5, 4:41 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Madison49 min
Feb 5, 4:52 PM CSTTornado WarningJANAttala, Choctaw, Winston35 min
Feb 5, 5:09 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANRankin36 min
Feb 5, 5:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANOktibbeha35 min
Feb 5, 5:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeake, Madison44 min
Feb 5, 5:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANOktibbeha26 min
Feb 5, 5:34 PM CSTTornado WarningJANLeake, Neshoba56 min
Feb 5, 5:41 PM CSTTornado WarningJANClay, Lowndes, Oktibbeha49 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Mississippi, 2020Every tornado warning in 2020Tornadoes in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.