Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2020
River Flood Warning 21, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Jan 2, 2020, 7:52 PM CST for Adams County, Wilkinson County, Mississippi; Concordia Parish, Louisiana. It took effect at Jan 12, 2020, 6:00 AM CST. It was in force for .
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 2, 2020, 7:52 PM CST (01:52 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 12, 2020, 6:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Jan 8, 2020, 11:06 AM CST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Concordia Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS
The river
Written for the forecast point Mississippi River at Natchez (NTZM6).
- Action stage
- 38 ft
- Minor stage
- 48 ft
- Moderate stage
- 51 ft
- Major stage
- 57 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07290880, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
370
WGUS84 KJAN 030152
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
752 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Mississippi...
Big Sunflower River At Sunflower affecting Sunflower County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours.
Additional information is available at:
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
MSC133-030222-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-200107T1800Z/
/SUNM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
752 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Big Sunflower River At Sunflower.
* At 7:00 PM Thursday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 19.9 feet
early Saturday morning.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Big Sunflower River
Sunflower 21 19.1 Thu 07 PM 19.4 19.9 19.9
&&
LAT...LON 3324 9081 3363 9062 3388 9075 3399 9059
3363 9048 3324 9064
$$
LAC029-MSC001-157-040751-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200112T1200Z-200114T1200Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200112T1200Z.200112T1200Z.200114T0000Z.NO/
752 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020
* At 7:00 PM Thursday the stage was 42.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Sunday
morning.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Lower Mississippi River
Natchez 48 42.2 Thu 07 PM 41.8 40.8 40.4 48.0 06 AM 01/12
&&
LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
3130 9147 3100 9154
$$11 follow-up statements
507
WGUS84 KJAN 030315
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
915 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Mississippi..
Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia...Adams and
Wilkinson Counties/Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.
Additional information is available at:
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
LAC029-MSC001-157-040914-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200112T1200Z-200114T1200Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200112T1200Z.200112T1200Z.200114T0000Z.NO/
915 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Mississippi River At Natchez
* from Sunday January 12 to Tuesday January 14.
* At 8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 42.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Sunday
January 12.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Lower Mississippi River
Natchez 48 42.2 Thu 08 PM 41.8 40.8 40.4 48.0 06 AM 01/12
&&
LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
3130 9147 3100 9154
$$456
WGUS84 KJAN 031719
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1119 AM CST Fri Jan 3 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Mississippi...
Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia...Adams and
Wilkinson Counties/Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.
Additional information is available at:
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
LAC029-MSC001-157-042318-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200113T1200Z-200120T1200Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200113T1200Z.200116T0000Z.200120T0000Z.NO/
1119 AM CST Fri Jan 3 2020
...Flood Warning extended until Monday January 20...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Mississippi River At Natchez
* from Monday January 13 to Monday January 20.
* At 11:00 AM Friday the stage was 42.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Monday January 13
and will continue to rise to near 48.5 feet Thursday January 16.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Lower Mississippi River
Natchez 48 42.5 Fri 11 AM 42.3 42.1 42.5 48.5 12 AM 01/16
&&
LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
3130 9147 3100 9154
$$922
WGUS84 KJAN 040259
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
859 PM CST Fri Jan 3 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Mississippi..
Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia...Adams and
Wilkinson Counties/Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.
Additional information is available at:
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
LAC029-MSC001-157-050858-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200113T1200Z-200120T1200Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200113T1200Z.200116T0000Z.200120T0000Z.NO/
859 PM CST Fri Jan 3 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Mississippi River At Natchez
* from Monday January 13 to Monday January 20.
* At 8:00 PM Friday the stage was 42.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Monday January 13
and will continue to rise to near 48.5 feet Wednesday January 15.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Lower Mississippi River
Natchez 48 42.7 Fri 08 PM 42.8 42.6 42.7 48.5 06 PM 01/15
&&
LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
3130 9147 3100 9154
$$869
WGUS84 KJAN 041731
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1131 AM CST Sat Jan 4 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Mississippi...
Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia...Adams and
Wilkinson Counties/Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.
Additional information is available at:
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
LAC029-MSC001-157-052330-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200115T0000Z-200117T1800Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200115T0000Z.200116T0000Z.200117T0600Z.NO/
1131 AM CST Sat Jan 4 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Mississippi River At Natchez
* from Tuesday January 14 to Friday January 17.
* At 11:00 AM Saturday the stage was 42.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Tuesday January 14
and will continue to rise to near 48.5 feet Wednesday January 15.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Crest Time Date
Lower Mississippi River
Natchez 48 42.7 Sat 11 AM 43.2 43.7 44.2 48.5 06 PM 01/15
&&
LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
3130 9147 3100 9154
$$241
WGUS84 KJAN 050117
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
717 PM CST Sat Jan 4 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Mississippi..
Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia...Adams and
Wilkinson Counties/Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.
Additional information is available at:
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
LAC029-MSC001-157-060717-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200115T0000Z-200117T1800Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200115T0000Z.200116T0000Z.200117T0600Z.NO/
717 PM CST Sat Jan 4 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Mississippi River At Natchez
* from Tuesday January 14 to Friday January 17.
* At 7:00 PM Saturday the stage was 42.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Tuesday January 14
and will continue to rise to near 48.5 feet Wednesday January 15.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Crest Time Date
Lower Mississippi River
Natchez 48 42.8 Sat 07 PM 43.1 43.7 44.2 48.5 06 PM 01/15
&&
LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
3130 9147 3100 9154
$$782
WGUS84 KJAN 060144
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
744 PM CST Sun Jan 5 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Mississippi...
Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia...Adams and
Wilkinson Counties/Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.
Additional information is available at:
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
LAC029-MSC001-157-070744-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200114T2100Z-200117T1200Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200114T2100Z.200116T0000Z.200117T0000Z.NO/
744 PM CST Sun Jan 5 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Mississippi River At Natchez
* From Tuesday January 14 to Friday January 17.
* At 7:00 PM Sunday the stage was 42.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Tuesday January 14
and will continue to rise to near 48.6 feet Wednesday January 15.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed Crest Time Date
Lower Mississippi River
Natchez 48 42.8 Sun 07 PM 43.2 43.8 44.4 48.6 06 PM 01/15
&&
LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
3130 9147 3100 9154
$$144
WGUS84 KJAN 061618
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1018 AM CST Mon Jan 6 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Mississippi..
Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia...Adams and
Wilkinson Counties/Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.
Additional information is available at:
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
LAC029-MSC001-157-072217-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200114T2100Z-200117T1200Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200114T2100Z.200116T0000Z.200117T0000Z.NO/
1018 AM CST Mon Jan 6 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Mississippi River At Natchez
* from Tuesday January 14 to Friday January 17.
* At 10:00 AM Monday the stage was 43.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Tuesday January 14
and will continue to rise to near 48.6 feet Wednesday January 15.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu Crest Time Date
Lower Mississippi River
Natchez 48 43.1 Mon 10 AM 43.8 44.4 44.9 48.6 06 PM 01/15
&&
LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
3130 9147 3100 9154
$$063
WGUS84 KJAN 070124
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
723 PM CST Mon Jan 6 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Mississippi...
Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia...Adams and
Wilkinson Counties/Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.
Additional information is available at:
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
LAC029-MSC001-157-080723-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200114T0600Z-200119T2100Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200114T0600Z.200117T1200Z.200119T0900Z.NO/
723 PM CST Mon Jan 6 2020
...Flood Warning extended until Sunday January 19...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Mississippi River At Natchez
* From Tuesday January 14 to Sunday January 19.
* At 7:00 PM Monday the stage was 43.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Tuesday January 14
and will continue to rise to near 48.5 feet Friday January 17.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu Crest Time Date
Lower Mississippi River
Natchez 48 43.3 Mon 07 PM 43.6 44.3 45.0 48.5 06 AM 01/17
&&
LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
3130 9147 3100 9154
$$519
WGUS84 KJAN 071806
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1206 PM CST Tue Jan 7 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Mississippi...
Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia...Adams and
Wilkinson Counties/Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.
Additional information is available at:
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
LAC029-MSC001-157-090006-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200115T0000Z-200115T1800Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200115T0000Z.200115T0000Z.200115T0600Z.NO/
1206 PM CST Tue Jan 7 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Mississippi River At Natchez
* from Tuesday January 14 to Wednesday January 15.
* At 11:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 43.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage
Tuesday January 14.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Lower Mississippi River
Natchez 48 43.7 Tue 11 AM 44.3 45.0 45.8 48.0 06 PM 01/14
&&
LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
3130 9147 3100 9154
$$862
WGUS84 KJAN 080124
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
724 PM CST Tue Jan 7 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Mississippi..
Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia Parish and
Adams and Wilkinson Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.
Additional information is available at:
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
LAC029-MSC001-157-090723-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200115T0000Z-200115T1800Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200115T0000Z.200115T0000Z.200115T0600Z.NO/
724 PM CST Tue Jan 7 2020
The Flood Warning continues for
The Mississippi River At Natchez
* from Tuesday January 14 to Wednesday January 15.
* At 7:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 43.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 48 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near 48 feet
around Tuesday January 14th.
* Impact...At 48 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Lower Mississippi River
Natchez 48 43.9 Tue 7 PM 44.3 45.0 45.8 48.0 6 PM 1/14
&&
LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
3130 9147 3100 9154
$$
DL483
WGUS84 KJAN 081706
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1106 AM CST Wed Jan 8 2020
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Louisiana...Mississippi...
Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia...Adams and
Wilkinson Counties/Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours.
Additional information is available at:
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
LAC029-MSC001-157-081736-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-200115T1800Z/
/NTZM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1106 AM CST Wed Jan 8 2020
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Mississippi River At Natchez.
* At 10:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 44.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will now crest below flood stage at 47.5 feet
early Tuesday afternoon. Rainfall over the weekend and next weekend
could produce a higher crest.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Lower Mississippi River
Natchez 48 44.2 Wed 10 AM 44.9 45.5 46.2 47.5 06 PM 01/14
&&
LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
3130 9147 3100 9154
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 2, 5:29 PM CST, 2 hours 23 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 2, 5:29 PM CST, 2 hours 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
529 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020
.UPDATE...
Updated for 00Z aviation discussion
&&
.AVIATION...
00Z TAF discussion:
Low clouds and widespread rain with embedded thunderstorms will
keep most TAF sites between IFR and LIFR through much of the
period. After 03/17Z, conditions begin to improve as the
precipitation diminishes to scattered showers and visibilities
rise to VFR. While some rise will occur in ceilings, MVFR
conditions will still dominate./GG/
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Tonight and tomorrow...
Showers and thunderstorms lingering through tonight and into
tomorrow for most of the region. A weak system is relatively slow
moving, and associated with a chance for a lot of rain. Concerns for
flooding potential will keep that Flash Flood Watch in place for a
large portion of JAN CWA. Southerly wind flow into the region will
continue to feed moisture and higher RH ahead of the storm system
and keep the clouds/precipitation in place. The overnight lows will
not vary too much from the day, dropping into the low to mid 50s.
Majority of the severe threat will dwindle overnight, though the
showers and scattered thunderstorms will continue through tomorrow.
As a result, the flood threat will outlast any severe threat
tonight. Tomorrow will be much of the same, without the severe
threat. Cloudy and showery activity throughout Friday through the
area, southerly winds keeping the high temperatures into the low to
mid 60s.
/HJS/
Friday night through Wednesday night...An upper short wave and
associated cold front will move into the delta Friday evening and
move across the area through the overnight hours. Currently it looks
like there will be just enough moisture available for mainly light
rainshowers with the boundary. In the wake of the boundary on
Saturday, the winds may become gusty out of the northwest during the
late morning into the afternoon hours, but high pressure ridging will
quickly build in by early Saturday evening. Highs will only climb
into the 50s for much of the area Saturday afternoon. Surface
ridging will continue to prevail across the area on Sunday with
the surface flow becoming more southerly. The surface ridge will
continue to prevail across the area into Monday, but a short wave
will bring another cold front into the area by Monday evening.
Highs on Sunday and Monday will climb into the 60s, with overnight
lows in the 30s Sunday morning and around 40 Monday morning.
The front will move across the area Monday night into Tuesday and
with limited moisture/instability, it currently looks like there
will be mainly just light rainshowers with the front. As the short
wave/frontal boundary move east, high pressure ridging will once
again re-establish itself over the area Tuesday night into
Wednesday. Highs will be in the 50s both Tuesday and Wednesday,
with overnight lows falling back into the 30s both Tuesday night
and Wednesday night. /15/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson 56 65 43 55 / 97 72 47 7
Meridian 58 65 45 55 / 92 94 51 8
Vicksburg 54 66 42 56 / 97 55 31 5
Hattiesburg 60 66 47 58 / 92 85 20 6
Natchez 55 66 43 57 / 97 50 25 5
Greenville 53 61 41 51 / 87 61 37 5
Greenwood 53 63 41 51 / 97 74 52 9
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for MSZ019-025>057-
059>065.
LA...Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for LAZ009-016-023>026.
AR...None.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 2, 11:29 AM CST, 8 hours 23 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Jackson MS 1129 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020 ARZ074-075-LAZ007-008-015-MSZ018-019-025-034-031730- Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-Richland-Bolivar-Sunflower- Leflore-Washington- 1129 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, north central Mississippi, and northwest Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Today through Tonight Today through tonight, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations is not expected through next Wednesday. LAZ016-MSZ027>030-032-035-036-040>042-031730- Madison LA-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Choctaw-Humphreys- Holmes-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo- 1129 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, northeast Mississippi, and west central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Marginal TIMING...Today through Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today through Tonight Today through tonight, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and hail. A tornado cannot be ruled out. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) Today through tonight, areas of flash flooding likely and some roads could be flooded or closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is also possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today through tonight. LAZ024-025-MSZ031-033-037>039-043-044-047-048-053-031730- Catahoula-Tensas-Lowndes-Oktibbeha-Attala-Winston-Noxubee- Madison MS-Leake-Warren-Hinds-Claiborne- 1129 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, northeast Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Slight TIMING...Today through Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today through Tonight Today through tonight, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds from 60 to 70 mph and hail at least to the size of quarters. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) Today through tonight, areas of flash flooding likely and some roads could be flooded or closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is also possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today through tonight. LAZ009-023-031730- East Carroll-Franklin LA- 1129 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast Louisiana. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Marginal TIMING...Today through Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Today through Tonight Today through tonight, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and hail. A tornado cannot be ruled out. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) Today through tonight, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today through tonight. LAZ026-MSZ045-046-049>052-054>057-059>064-031730- Concordia-Neshoba-Kemper-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Copiah- Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence- Jefferson Davis- 1129 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Slight TIMING...Today through Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today through Tonight NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Limited TIMING...Today Today through tonight, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds from 60 to 70 mph and hail at least to the size of quarters. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) Today through tonight, areas of flash flooding likely and some roads could be flooded or closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is also possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Today, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up to 20 mph and wind gusts around 30 mph. High profile vehicles could also be affected. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today through tonight. MSZ058-065-066-072>074-031730- Clarke-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest- 1129 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Slight TIMING...Today through Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Today through Tonight NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Limited TIMING...Today Today through tonight, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds from 60 to 70 mph and hail at least to the size of quarters. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) Today through tonight, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Today, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up to 20 mph and wind gusts around 30 mph. High profile vehicles could also be affected. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today through tonight. MSZ026-031730- Grenada- 1129 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today through Tonight Today through tonight, areas of flash flooding likely and some roads could be flooded or closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is also possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations is not expected through next Wednesday. 15 && ...HAZARD LEGEND... *FLOODING* Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely. Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely and significant flooding is possible. Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely. Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible. *SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS* High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible. Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are likely with strong tornadoes possible. Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are possible. Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. *NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS* Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts greater than 50 mph. Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in high profile vehicles. Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile vehicles could also be affected. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN Home page... https://www.weather.gov/jan Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page... https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe Latest Weather Briefing... https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing Find NWS JAN on Facebook... https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Twitter... @NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Youtube... https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES... Current Watches and Warnings... https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain Observed Precipitation Images... https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps River Forecast Center... https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/ Significant River Flood Outlook... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml Excessive Rainfall Discussion... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html Day 1 through 7 QPF... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml QPF Discussion... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES... Storm Prediction Center (SPC)... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/ Meso Analysis... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/ Day 1 through 3 Outlooks... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ Storm Reports... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jan 2, 3:15 PM CST, 4 hours 37 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
315 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020
MSZ047-048-053-054-059-022200-
Jefferson MS-Copiah MS-Warren MS-Hinds MS-Claiborne MS-
315 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL WARREN...
CLAIBORNE...NORTH CENTRAL JEFFERSON...SOUTHWESTERN HINDS AND
NORTHWESTERN COPIAH COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CST...
At 315 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Port Gibson, or 28 miles south of Vicksburg, moving northeast at
60 mph.
Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Raymond, Port Gibson, Edwards, Utica, Dry Grove, Reganton, Rocky
Springs, Hermanville, Pattison, Newman, Carpenter and Learned.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.
&&
LAT...LON 3199 9112 3199 9110 3201 9108 3203 9108
3240 9053 3220 9032 3177 9094 3198 9114
TIME...MOT...LOC 2115Z 231DEG 52KT 3193 9098
JMSpecial weather statement, Jan 2, 4:16 PM CST, 3 hours 36 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
416 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020
MSZ048-054-022245-
Copiah MS-Hinds MS-
416 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN HINDS AND
NORTHWESTERN COPIAH COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM CST...
At 416 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking strong thunderstorms
along a line extending from near Dry Grove to 6 miles southeast of
Utica to near Dentville. Movement was northeast at 25 mph.
Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.
Strong thunderstorms will be near...
Jackson and Dry Grove around 440 PM CST.
Terry around 445 PM CST.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.
&&
LAT...LON 3189 9066 3202 9057 3222 9045 3227 9020
3218 9022 3218 9024 3216 9024 3215 9025
3215 9024 3213 9025 3212 9024 3211 9025
3210 9024 3196 9028 3191 9043
TIME...MOT...LOC 2216Z 231DEG 21KT 3218 9050 3204 9055 3198 9061
JMSpecial weather statement, Jan 2, 6:17 PM CST, 1 hour 35 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
617 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020
MSZ030-031-033-039-030045-
Lowndes MS-Oktibbeha MS-Noxubee MS-Clay MS-
617 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN NOXUBEE...SOUTHEASTERN
OKTIBBEHA...SOUTHEASTERN CLAY AND LOWNDES COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM
CST...
At 617 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Crawford, or 12 miles southeast of Starkville, moving east at 55
mph.
Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Brooksville and Crawford around 620 PM CST.
Bent Oak and Deerbrook around 630 PM CST.
Other locations impacted by this storm include Artesia.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.
&&
LAT...LON 3325 8831 3317 8881 3328 8873 3351 8872
3361 8827
TIME...MOT...LOC 0017Z 256DEG 47KT 3331 8868
JMLocal storm report, Jan 2, 7:13 PM CST, 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
713 PM CST THU JAN 2 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0630 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 N JACKSON 32.32N 90.18W
01/02/2020 HINDS MS BROADCAST MEDIA
STREET FLOODING ON FAIRBANKS STREET AND ON
WEST STREET NEAR FORTIFICATION.
0615 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 WNW HAWKINS FIELD 32.34N 90.23W
01/02/2020 HINDS MS PUBLIC
CAR STUCK IN A DITCH ON INDUSTRIAL DRIVE.
REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
0615 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NNE LE FLEURS BLUFF 32.36N 90.14W
01/02/2020 HINDS MS PUBLIC
WATER COVERING RIDGEWOOD NEAR SHEFFIELD.
REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
0445 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SE CLINTON 32.33N 90.32W
01/02/2020 HINDS MS EMERGENCY MNGR
STREET FLOODING NEAR HAMPSTEAD BLVD AND
BROADWAY STREET IN CLINTON.
0322 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 N STANTON 31.63N 91.24W
01/02/2020 ADAMS MS EMERGENCY MNGR
A TREE DOWN ACROSS THE NATCHEZ TRACE.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 6:04 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Choctaw, Clay, Lowndes, Noxubee, Oktibbeha, Winston | 3 hr |
| Jan 2, 6:17 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Lowndes | 28 min |
| Jan 2, 6:35 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Leake, Rankin, Scott | 3 hr |
| Jan 2, 8:22 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Adams | 3 hr |
| Jan 2, 8:35 PM CST | Areal Flood Warning | JAN | Hinds, Madison, Rankin | 3 hr |
| Jan 2, 10:30 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Adams | 10 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2020River Flood Warnings in Louisiana, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.