Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 21, NWS Jackson, MS

January 2, 2020Adams County, Wilkinson County, Mississippi; Concordia Parish, Louisiana

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Jan 2, 2020, 7:52 PM CST for Adams County, Wilkinson County, Mississippi; Concordia Parish, Louisiana. It took effect at Jan 12, 2020, 6:00 AM CST. It was in force for .

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 2, 2020, 7:52 PM CST (01:52 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 12, 2020, 6:00 AM CST
Expired
Jan 8, 2020, 11:06 AM CST
In force
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Concordia Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS

The river

Written for the forecast point Mississippi River at Natchez (NTZM6).

Action stage
38 ft
Minor stage
48 ft
Moderate stage
51 ft
Major stage
57 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07290880, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

370 
WGUS84 KJAN 030152
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
752 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Big Sunflower River At Sunflower affecting Sunflower County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. 

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC133-030222-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-200107T1800Z/
/SUNM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
752 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Big Sunflower River At Sunflower.
* At  7:00 PM Thursday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 19.9 feet 
  early Saturday morning.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Big Sunflower River 
Sunflower      21  19.1 Thu 07 PM  19.4  19.9  19.9            


&&


LAT...LON 3324 9081 3363 9062 3388 9075 3399 9059
      3363 9048 3324 9064             



$$

LAC029-MSC001-157-040751-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200112T1200Z-200114T1200Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200112T1200Z.200112T1200Z.200114T0000Z.NO/
752 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

* At  7:00 PM Thursday the stage was 42.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Sunday
  morning.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Lower Mississippi River 
Natchez        48  42.2 Thu 07 PM  41.8  40.8  40.4  48.0 06 AM 01/12


&&


LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
      3130 9147 3100 9154             



$$
11 follow-up statements
507 
WGUS84 KJAN 030315
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
915 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...Mississippi..

  Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia...Adams and 
  Wilkinson Counties/Parishes 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred 
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

LAC029-MSC001-157-040914-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200112T1200Z-200114T1200Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200112T1200Z.200112T1200Z.200114T0000Z.NO/
915 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mississippi River At Natchez
* from Sunday January 12 to Tuesday January 14.
* At  8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 42.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Sunday
  January 12.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Lower Mississippi River 
Natchez        48  42.2 Thu 08 PM  41.8  40.8  40.4  48.0 06 AM 01/12


&&


LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
      3130 9147 3100 9154             



$$
456 
WGUS84 KJAN 031719
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1119 AM CST Fri Jan 3 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...Mississippi...

  Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia...Adams and 
  Wilkinson Counties/Parishes 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred 
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

LAC029-MSC001-157-042318-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200113T1200Z-200120T1200Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200113T1200Z.200116T0000Z.200120T0000Z.NO/
1119 AM CST Fri Jan 3 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Monday January 20...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mississippi River At Natchez
* from Monday January 13 to Monday January 20.
* At 11:00 AM Friday the stage was 42.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Monday January 13 
  and will continue to rise to near 48.5 feet Thursday January 16.  
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Lower Mississippi River 
Natchez        48  42.5 Fri 11 AM  42.3  42.1  42.5  48.5 12 AM 01/16


&&


LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
      3130 9147 3100 9154             



$$
922 
WGUS84 KJAN 040259
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
859 PM CST Fri Jan 3 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...Mississippi..

  Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia...Adams and 
  Wilkinson Counties/Parishes 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred 
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

LAC029-MSC001-157-050858-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200113T1200Z-200120T1200Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200113T1200Z.200116T0000Z.200120T0000Z.NO/
859 PM CST Fri Jan 3 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mississippi River At Natchez
* from Monday January 13 to Monday January 20.
* At  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 42.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Monday January 13 
  and will continue to rise to near 48.5 feet Wednesday January 15.  
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Lower Mississippi River 
Natchez        48  42.7 Fri 08 PM  42.8  42.6  42.7  48.5 06 PM 01/15


&&


LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
      3130 9147 3100 9154             



$$
869 
WGUS84 KJAN 041731
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1131 AM CST Sat Jan 4 2020




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...Mississippi...

  Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia...Adams and 
  Wilkinson Counties/Parishes 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred 
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

LAC029-MSC001-157-052330-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200115T0000Z-200117T1800Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200115T0000Z.200116T0000Z.200117T0600Z.NO/
1131 AM CST Sat Jan 4 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mississippi River At Natchez
* from Tuesday January 14 to Friday January 17.
* At 11:00 AM Saturday the stage was 42.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Tuesday January 14
  and will continue to rise to near 48.5 feet Wednesday January 15.  
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Lower Mississippi River 
Natchez        48  42.7 Sat 11 AM  43.2  43.7  44.2  48.5 06 PM 01/15


&&


LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
      3130 9147 3100 9154             



$$
241 
WGUS84 KJAN 050117
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
717 PM CST Sat Jan 4 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...Mississippi..

  Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia...Adams and 
  Wilkinson Counties/Parishes 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred 
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

LAC029-MSC001-157-060717-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200115T0000Z-200117T1800Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200115T0000Z.200116T0000Z.200117T0600Z.NO/
717 PM CST Sat Jan 4 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mississippi River At Natchez
* from Tuesday January 14 to Friday January 17.
* At  7:00 PM Saturday the stage was 42.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Tuesday January 14
  and will continue to rise to near 48.5 feet Wednesday January 15.  
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Lower Mississippi River 
Natchez        48  42.8 Sat 07 PM  43.1  43.7  44.2  48.5 06 PM 01/15


&&


LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
      3130 9147 3100 9154             



$$
782 
WGUS84 KJAN 060144
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
744 PM CST Sun Jan 5 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...Mississippi...

  Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia...Adams and 
  Wilkinson Counties/Parishes 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred 
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

LAC029-MSC001-157-070744-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200114T2100Z-200117T1200Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200114T2100Z.200116T0000Z.200117T0000Z.NO/
744 PM CST Sun Jan 5 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mississippi River At Natchez
* From Tuesday January 14 to Friday January 17.
* At  7:00 PM Sunday the stage was 42.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Tuesday January 14
  and will continue to rise to near 48.6 feet Wednesday January 15.  
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Lower Mississippi River 
Natchez        48  42.8 Sun 07 PM  43.2  43.8  44.4  48.6 06 PM 01/15


&&


LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
      3130 9147 3100 9154             



$$
144 
WGUS84 KJAN 061618
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1018 AM CST Mon Jan 6 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...Mississippi..

  Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia...Adams and 
  Wilkinson Counties/Parishes 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred 
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

LAC029-MSC001-157-072217-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200114T2100Z-200117T1200Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200114T2100Z.200116T0000Z.200117T0000Z.NO/
1018 AM CST Mon Jan 6 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mississippi River At Natchez
* from Tuesday January 14 to Friday January 17.
* At 10:00 AM Monday the stage was 43.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Tuesday January 14
  and will continue to rise to near 48.6 feet Wednesday January 15.  
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Lower Mississippi River 
Natchez        48  43.1 Mon 10 AM  43.8  44.4  44.9  48.6 06 PM 01/15


&&


LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
      3130 9147 3100 9154             



$$
063 
WGUS84 KJAN 070124
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
723 PM CST Mon Jan 6 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...Mississippi...

  Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia...Adams and 
  Wilkinson Counties/Parishes 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred 
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

LAC029-MSC001-157-080723-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200114T0600Z-200119T2100Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200114T0600Z.200117T1200Z.200119T0900Z.NO/
723 PM CST Mon Jan 6 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday January 19...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mississippi River At Natchez
* From Tuesday January 14 to Sunday January 19.
* At  7:00 PM Monday the stage was 43.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Tuesday January 14
  and will continue to rise to near 48.5 feet Friday January 17.  
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Lower Mississippi River 
Natchez        48  43.3 Mon 07 PM  43.6  44.3  45.0  48.5 06 AM 01/17


&&


LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
      3130 9147 3100 9154             



$$
519 
WGUS84 KJAN 071806
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1206 PM CST Tue Jan 7 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...Mississippi...

  Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia...Adams and 
  Wilkinson Counties/Parishes 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred 
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

LAC029-MSC001-157-090006-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200115T0000Z-200115T1800Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200115T0000Z.200115T0000Z.200115T0600Z.NO/
1206 PM CST Tue Jan 7 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mississippi River At Natchez
* from Tuesday January 14 to Wednesday January 15.
* At 11:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 43.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Tuesday January 14.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Lower Mississippi River 
Natchez        48  43.7 Tue 11 AM  44.3  45.0  45.8  48.0 06 PM 01/14


&&


LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
      3130 9147 3100 9154             



$$
862 
WGUS84 KJAN 080124
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
724 PM CST Tue Jan 7 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...Mississippi..

  Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia Parish and 
  Adams and Wilkinson Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred 
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

LAC029-MSC001-157-090723-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0021.200115T0000Z-200115T1800Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.200115T0000Z.200115T0000Z.200115T0600Z.NO/
724 PM CST Tue Jan 7 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mississippi River At Natchez
* from Tuesday January 14 to Wednesday January 15.
* At 7:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 43.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 48 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near 48 feet
  around Tuesday January 14th.
* Impact...At 48 feet...Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Lower Mississippi River 
Natchez        48  43.9 Tue  7 PM  44.3  45.0  45.8  48.0  6 PM 1/14

&&


LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
      3130 9147 3100 9154             



$$

DL
483 
WGUS84 KJAN 081706
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1106 AM CST Wed Jan 8 2020


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Louisiana...Mississippi...
 
  Mississippi River At Natchez affecting Concordia...Adams and 
  Wilkinson Counties/Parishes


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. 

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

LAC029-MSC001-157-081736-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-200115T1800Z/
/NTZM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1106 AM CST Wed Jan 8 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Mississippi River At Natchez.
* At 10:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 44.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will now crest below flood stage at 47.5 feet 
  early Tuesday afternoon. Rainfall over the weekend and next weekend
  could produce a higher crest.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Lower Mississippi River 
Natchez        48  44.2 Wed 10 AM  44.9  45.5  46.2  47.5 06 PM 01/14


&&


LAT...LON 3101 9170 3130 9167 3193 9129 3187 9114
      3130 9147 3100 9154             



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 2, 5:29 PM CST, 2 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 2, 5:29 PM CST, 2 hours 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
529 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

.UPDATE...
Updated for 00Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF discussion:
Low clouds and widespread rain with embedded thunderstorms will
keep most TAF sites between IFR and LIFR through much of the
period. After 03/17Z, conditions begin to improve as the
precipitation diminishes to scattered showers and visibilities
rise to VFR. While some rise will occur in ceilings, MVFR
conditions will still dominate./GG/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Tonight and tomorrow...

Showers and thunderstorms lingering through tonight and into
tomorrow for most of the region. A weak system is relatively slow
moving, and associated with a chance for a lot of rain. Concerns for
flooding potential will keep that Flash Flood Watch in place for a
large portion of JAN CWA. Southerly wind flow into the region will
continue to feed moisture and higher RH ahead of the storm system
and keep the clouds/precipitation in place. The overnight lows will
not vary too much from the day, dropping into the low to mid 50s.
Majority of the severe threat will dwindle overnight, though the
showers and scattered thunderstorms will continue through tomorrow.
As a result, the flood threat will outlast any severe threat
tonight.  Tomorrow will be much of the same, without the severe
threat.  Cloudy and showery activity throughout Friday through the
area, southerly winds keeping the high temperatures into the low to
mid 60s.

/HJS/

Friday night through Wednesday night...An upper short wave and
associated cold front will move into the delta Friday evening and
move across the area through the overnight hours. Currently it looks
like there will be just enough moisture available for mainly light
rainshowers with the boundary. In the wake of the boundary on
Saturday, the winds may become gusty out of the northwest during the
late morning into the afternoon hours, but high pressure ridging will
quickly build in by early Saturday evening. Highs will only climb
into the 50s for much of the area Saturday afternoon. Surface
ridging will continue to prevail across the area on Sunday with
the surface flow becoming more southerly. The surface ridge will
continue to prevail across the area into Monday, but a short wave
will bring another cold front into the area by Monday evening.
Highs on Sunday and Monday will climb into the 60s, with overnight
lows in the 30s Sunday morning and around 40 Monday morning.

The front will move across the area Monday night into Tuesday and
with limited moisture/instability, it currently looks like there
will be mainly just light rainshowers with the front. As the short
wave/frontal boundary move east, high pressure ridging will once
again re-establish itself over the area Tuesday night into
Wednesday. Highs will be in the 50s both Tuesday and Wednesday,
with overnight lows falling back into the 30s both Tuesday night
and Wednesday night. /15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       56  65  43  55 /  97  72  47   7
Meridian      58  65  45  55 /  92  94  51   8
Vicksburg     54  66  42  56 /  97  55  31   5
Hattiesburg   60  66  47  58 /  92  85  20   6
Natchez       55  66  43  57 /  97  50  25   5
Greenville    53  61  41  51 /  87  61  37   5
Greenwood     53  63  41  51 /  97  74  52   9

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for MSZ019-025>057-
     059>065.

LA...Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for LAZ009-016-023>026.

AR...None.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 2, 11:29 AM CST, 8 hours 23 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1129 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-008-015-MSZ018-019-025-034-031730-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-Richland-Bolivar-Sunflower-
Leflore-Washington-
1129 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, north central Mississippi, and
northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Today through tonight, localized flash flooding is possible,
particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding
is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Wednesday.

LAZ016-MSZ027>030-032-035-036-040>042-031730-
Madison LA-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Choctaw-Humphreys-
Holmes-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-
1129 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
northeast Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Today through tonight, isolated severe thunderstorms are
possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts
and hail. A tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Today through tonight, areas of flash flooding likely and some
roads could be flooded or closed. Some structures may be
potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is
also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

LAZ024-025-MSZ031-033-037>039-043-044-047-048-053-031730-
Catahoula-Tensas-Lowndes-Oktibbeha-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-
Madison MS-Leake-Warren-Hinds-Claiborne-
1129 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, northeast Mississippi, and
southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Today through tonight, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds from 60
to 70 mph and hail at least to the size of quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Today through tonight, areas of flash flooding likely and some
roads could be flooded or closed. Some structures may be
potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is
also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

LAZ009-023-031730-
East Carroll-Franklin LA-
1129 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Today through tonight, isolated severe thunderstorms are
possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts
and hail. A tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Today through tonight, localized flash flooding is possible,
particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding
is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

LAZ026-MSZ045-046-049>052-054>057-059>064-031730-
Concordia-Neshoba-Kemper-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Copiah-
Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-
Jefferson Davis-
1129 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, south
central Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today through Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today through tonight, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds from 60
to 70 mph and hail at least to the size of quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Today through tonight, areas of flash flooding likely and some
roads could be flooded or closed. Some structures may be
potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is
also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained
winds up to 20 mph and wind gusts around 30 mph. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

MSZ058-065-066-072>074-031730-
Clarke-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
1129 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today through tonight, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds from 60
to 70 mph and hail at least to the size of quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Today through tonight, localized flash flooding is possible,
particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding
is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained
winds up to 20 mph and wind gusts around 30 mph. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

MSZ026-031730-
Grenada-
1129 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Today through tonight, areas of flash flooding likely and some
roads could be flooded or closed. Some structures may be
potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is
also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Wednesday.

15

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely
 due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts
 greater than 50 mph.
Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due
 to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for
 wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those
 in high profile vehicles.
Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
 sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph.
 High profile vehicles could also be affected.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 2, 3:15 PM CST, 4 hours 37 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
315 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

MSZ047-048-053-054-059-022200-
Jefferson MS-Copiah MS-Warren MS-Hinds MS-Claiborne MS-
315 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL WARREN...
CLAIBORNE...NORTH CENTRAL JEFFERSON...SOUTHWESTERN HINDS AND
NORTHWESTERN COPIAH COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CST...

At 315 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Port Gibson, or 28 miles south of Vicksburg, moving northeast at
60 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Raymond, Port Gibson, Edwards, Utica, Dry Grove, Reganton, Rocky
Springs, Hermanville, Pattison, Newman, Carpenter and Learned.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3199 9112 3199 9110 3201 9108 3203 9108
      3240 9053 3220 9032 3177 9094 3198 9114
TIME...MOT...LOC 2115Z 231DEG 52KT 3193 9098

JM
Special weather statement, Jan 2, 4:16 PM CST, 3 hours 36 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
416 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

MSZ048-054-022245-
Copiah MS-Hinds MS-
416 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN HINDS AND
NORTHWESTERN COPIAH COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM CST...

At 416 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking strong thunderstorms
along a line extending from near Dry Grove to 6 miles southeast of
Utica to near Dentville. Movement was northeast at 25 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Jackson and Dry Grove around 440 PM CST.
  Terry around 445 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3189 9066 3202 9057 3222 9045 3227 9020
      3218 9022 3218 9024 3216 9024 3215 9025
      3215 9024 3213 9025 3212 9024 3211 9025
      3210 9024 3196 9028 3191 9043
TIME...MOT...LOC 2216Z 231DEG 21KT 3218 9050 3204 9055 3198 9061

JM
Special weather statement, Jan 2, 6:17 PM CST, 1 hour 35 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
617 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

MSZ030-031-033-039-030045-
Lowndes MS-Oktibbeha MS-Noxubee MS-Clay MS-
617 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN NOXUBEE...SOUTHEASTERN
OKTIBBEHA...SOUTHEASTERN CLAY AND LOWNDES COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM
CST...

At 617 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Crawford, or 12 miles southeast of Starkville, moving east at 55
mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Brooksville and Crawford around 620 PM CST.
  Bent Oak and Deerbrook around 630 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Artesia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3325 8831 3317 8881 3328 8873 3351 8872
      3361 8827
TIME...MOT...LOC 0017Z 256DEG 47KT 3331 8868

JM
Local storm report, Jan 2, 7:13 PM CST, 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
713 PM CST THU JAN 2 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 N JACKSON             32.32N 90.18W
01/02/2020                   HINDS              MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            STREET FLOODING ON FAIRBANKS STREET AND ON
            WEST STREET NEAR FORTIFICATION.

0615 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 WNW HAWKINS FIELD     32.34N 90.23W
01/02/2020                   HINDS              MS   PUBLIC

            CAR STUCK IN A DITCH ON INDUSTRIAL DRIVE.
            REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

0615 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NNE LE FLEURS BLUFF   32.36N 90.14W
01/02/2020                   HINDS              MS   PUBLIC

            WATER COVERING RIDGEWOOD NEAR SHEFFIELD.
            REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

0445 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SE CLINTON            32.33N 90.32W
01/02/2020                   HINDS              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STREET FLOODING NEAR HAMPSTEAD BLVD AND
            BROADWAY STREET IN CLINTON.

0322 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N STANTON             31.63N 91.24W
01/02/2020                   ADAMS              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A TREE DOWN ACROSS THE NATCHEZ TRACE.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 2, 6:04 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANChoctaw, Clay, Lowndes, Noxubee, Oktibbeha, Winston3 hr
Jan 2, 6:17 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANLowndes28 min
Jan 2, 6:35 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANLeake, Rankin, Scott3 hr
Jan 2, 8:22 PM CSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatJANAdams3 hr
Jan 2, 8:35 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningJANHinds, Madison, Rankin3 hr
Jan 2, 10:30 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANAdams10 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2020River Flood Warnings in Louisiana, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.