Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Warnings in 2020

Tornado Warning 6, NWS Kansas City, MO

July 1, 2020Jackson County, Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this tornado warning at Jul 1, 2020, 5:29 AM CDT for Jackson County, Missouri. It was in force for 16 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 1, 2020, 5:29 AM CDT (10:29 UTC)
Expired: Jul 1, 2020, 5:45 AM CDT
In force: 16 min
Issued by: NWS Kansas City, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Radar indicated
Hail: 0.0 in

County Jackson County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 30, 11:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 125 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 4036 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -98 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1256 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 52 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 171 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 7.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

511 
WFUS53 KEAX 011029
TOREAX
MOC095-011045-
/O.NEW.KEAX.TO.W.0006.200701T1029Z-200701T1045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
529 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2020

The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northeastern Jackson County in west central Missouri...

* Until 545 AM CDT.
    
* At 528 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located over Buckner, moving southeast at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
  Independence, Blue Springs, Grain Valley, Oak Grove, Buckner,
  Sibley and Levasy.

This includes Interstate 70 in Missouri between mile markers 23 and
26.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3915 9429 3916 9425 3919 9422 3910 9410
      3904 9411 3902 9413 3901 9423
TIME...MOT...LOC 1028Z 327DEG 27KT 3914 9424 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN

$$

Kurtz

2 follow-up statements

207 
WWUS53 KEAX 011035
SVSEAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
535 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2020

MOC095-011045-
/O.CON.KEAX.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-200701T1045Z/
Jackson MO-
535 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2020

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 AM CDT FOR EAST
CENTRAL JACKSON COUNTY...
    
At 534 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Buckner, moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Oak Grove and Buckner. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3911 9423 3915 9417 3910 9410 3904 9411
      3902 9413 3902 9416
TIME...MOT...LOC 1034Z 321DEG 28KT 3910 9418 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN

$$

Kurtz

090 
WWUS53 KEAX 011044
SVSEAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
544 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2020

MOC095-011053-
/O.EXP.KEAX.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-200701T1045Z/
Jackson MO-
544 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2020

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL JACKSON COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
545 AM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 600 AM CDT for
west central Missouri.

Remember, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for 
eastern Jackson county through 615 AM CDT.

LAT...LON 3911 9423 3915 9417 3910 9410 3904 9411
      3902 9413 3902 9416
TIME...MOT...LOC 1043Z 327DEG 27KT 3905 9413 

$$

Kurtz

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Jul 1, 1:21 AM CDT, 4 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 1, 1:21 AM CDT, 4 hours 8 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
121 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2020

.Discussion...
Issued at 121 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2020

Forecast focus is on the ongoing MCS In Nebraska and its potential
impact on northeastern Kansas and western Missouri.

Through 1 AM CDT... a stout line of convection has continued across
eastern Nebraska, moving ever so slowly eastward toward the NE/IA
border. Storms fired earlier this afternoon along a surface front
stretched north and south across Nebraska into South Dakota. The
larger parent surface trough stretches south across Kansas, turning
back toward the Llano Estacado. Classic MCS structure this morning
as it's riding along the 1000-500mb Thickness axis. Radar
indications through the midnight hour suggest it's beginning to make
a slow turn to the southeast, as expected. CAMs are in just enough
agreement that storms will begin to advance into far northeastern
Kansas and northwestern Missouri between 2 and 3 AM. The current
line of convection has kicked an outflow just ahead of the main
line, visible on KOAX, but overall it hasn't increased in separation
in the past 30 minutes or so, so their appears to be supportive cold
pool balance for continued maintenance downstream. 0-3km shear
vectors seem to be enough for the moment, this could be a limiting
factor moving through the morning for MO/KS as the low level jet
weakens toward daybreak, resulting in weakening of the line. Forward
propagating Corfidi vectors lend confidence to the southeastern
progression as does the massive amounts of MUCAPE in residence
across the region, well over 2000 J/Kg.

Overall, anticipate this MCS to maintain itself just enough, likely
weakening slightly as it pushes south and southeast along the
Missouri River Valley and across northern Missouri. Through Sunrise,
the line could pose a wind threat, with pockets of 50 to 60 mph wind
gusts not out of the question. The far ranging challenge this MCS
poses, is impact to today's temperatures and heat index values. If
any semblance of convection makes it through the KC Metro, it will
considerably cut heat index values for the afternoon, given residual
cloud cover and tempering temperatures in the morning hours. For
this morning, will run with the forecast of showers and
thunderstorms making it to the Missouri River and the KC Metro, this
will cause heat index values to only reach the upper 90s to near
100, but if current trends are correct, Harrisonville and south
could see heat index values creep toward heat advisory criteria. For
now, will continue with an SPS for heat as confidence remains low
due to the chance for showers and thunderstorms this morning.

For Thursday into the weekend, the region remains influenced by a
positively tilted 500mb ridge with weak forcing, at times, for low
shower and thunderstorm chances. Independence Day looks pretty
typical of the Midwest, temperatures near 90, heat index values in
the mid 90s, and it should be dry for the majority of the region,
but there's some hints of a low chance of an isolated shower or
thunderstorms.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday Night)
Issued at 1109 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2020

A line of showers and thunderstorms is expected to move from north
to south through the area early Wednesday morning. Conditions are
expected to deteriorate to MVFR conditions with primary impacts
being gusty winds and heavy rain. Storms are expected to move out
of the area a bit after sunrise Wednesday morning.

VFR conditions are expected to return once storms pass. A wind
shift is anticipated throughout the day Wednesday. Southeasterly
winds slowly transition to northeasterly culminating near the end
of the forecast period. There is some uncertainty in timing of
this shift as it is not certain how the overnight storm system
will influence the mesoscale pattern and kinematics. There is
high confidence that the trend of diurnal cumulus lowering
ceilings will continue as does the favorable conditions for low
cloud development during the overnight hours.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

Discussion...Kurtz
Aviation...CDB/Pesel

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 1, 1:40 AM CDT, 3 hours 49 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
140 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2020

MOZ001-010730-
Atchison MO-
140 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL ATCHISON COUNTY UNTIL 230
AM CDT...

At 140 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles south of Malvern to 7 miles west of
Hamburg to near Cook. Movement was southeast at 25 mph.

Pea size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Tarkio, Rock Port, Rockport, Westboro, Watson and Phelps City.

This includes Interstate 29 between mile markers 105 and 123.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 600 AM CDT for
northwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 4058 9577 4058 9526 4034 9545 4030 9560
      4031 9566 4034 9562 4041 9566 4046 9564
      4046 9568 4048 9570 4049 9568 4051 9569
      4054 9565 4056 9568 4052 9571 4052 9575
      4057 9577
TIME...MOT...LOC 0640Z 312DEG 24KT 4092 9554 4058 9579 4046 9618

Barham

Special weather statement, Jul 1, 2:03 AM CDT, 3 hours 26 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill
203 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2020

KSZ057-060-103>105-MOZ028-029-037-038-043-044-053-054-011500-
Miami-Linn KS-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-Platte-Clay-
Jackson-Lafayette-Cass-Johnson MO-Bates-Henry-
Including the cities of Paola, Osawatomie, Louisburg, Pleasanton,
La Cygne, Mound City, Fort Leavenworth, Leavenworth, Lansing,
Kansas City Kansas, Overland Park, Stanley, Olathe, Shawnee,
Lenexa, Parkville, Platte City, Riverside, Weatherby Lake,
Weston, Gladstone, Liberty, Excelsior Springs, Kansas City,
Independence, Odessa, Higginsville, Lexington, Concordia, Belton,
Raymore, Harrisonville, Pleasant Hill, Warrensburg, Butler,
Adrian, Rich Hill, Clinton, and Windsor
203 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2020

...Hot and Humid Conditions are Possible Today...

Hot and humid conditions are possible Wednesday from late morning
through early evening. Temperatures in the low to mid 90s and humid
conditions will allow for heat index values near 100 approaching
105 degrees during the afternoon hours across east central Kansas
and west central Missouri, including the Kansas City Metro.
However, the increasing likelihood of showers and thunderstorms
moving into the region through sunrise would lessen the
possibility of hot and humid conditions developing. If the
complex of storms builds southward through the morning as
expected, afternoon heat index values will struggle to reach 100
where rain and storms occur.

Kurtz

Special weather statement, Jul 1, 2:39 AM CDT, 2 hours 50 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
239 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2020

KSZ102-MOZ001-002-004-011-012-010845-
Doniphan KS-Atchison MO-Holt MO-Gentry MO-Nodaway MO-Andrew MO-
239 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN DONIPHAN...WEST
CENTRAL GENTRY...ATCHISON...HOLT...NODAWAY AND NORTHWESTERN ANDREW
COUNTIES UNTIL 345 AM CDT...

At 239 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Blanchard to near Tarkio to near Fairfax
to near Shubert. Movement was southeast at 40 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Maryville, Tarkio, Mound City, Rock Port, Oregon, Fairfax, Burlington
Junction, Ravenwood, Maitland, Skidmore, Forest City, Craig,
Fillmore, White Cloud, Rockport, Barnard, Conception Junction,
Bolckow, Graham and Clearmont.

This includes Interstate 29 between mile markers 62 and 118.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 600 AM CDT for
northeastern Kansas...and northwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 4058 9504 4033 9454 4009 9471 3996 9486
      3981 9513 3996 9534 4000 9534 4001 9531
      4004 9542 4012 9539 4018 9548 4024 9547
      4026 9555 4030 9556 4031 9566 4035 9562
      4041 9566 4046 9564 4046 9568 4058 9551
TIME...MOT...LOC 0739Z 305DEG 33KT 4055 9524 4044 9532 4031 9547 4025
9559

Kurtz

Special weather statement, Jul 1, 3:49 AM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
349 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2020

MOZ002>005-011>013-010930-
De Kalb MO-Worth MO-Holt MO-Gentry MO-Nodaway MO-Harrison MO-
Andrew MO-
349 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WORTH...GENTRY...NORTHWESTERN
HARRISON...SOUTHEASTERN HOLT...EASTERN NODAWAY...ANDREW AND WESTERN
DEKALB COUNTIES UNTIL 430 AM CDT...

At 349 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Athelstan to 11 miles northwest of King City to
near Savannah. Movement was east at 30 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Savannah, Albany, Stanberry, King City, Grant City, Ravenwood, Union
Star, Clarksdale, Fillmore, Irena, Barnard, Conception Junction,
Sheridan, Parnell, Bolckow, Rosendale, Cosby, Darlington, Guilford
and Clyde.

This includes Interstate 29 mile marker 65 and near mile marker 72.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 600 AM CDT for
northwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 4057 9410 4001 9431 3977 9452 3981 9460
      3982 9460 3982 9463 4002 9510 4019 9489
      4058 9474
TIME...MOT...LOC 0849Z 290DEG 26KT 4057 9453 4012 9471 3993 9487

Barham

Local storm report, Jul 1, 4:26 AM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
426 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 AM     TSTM WND GST     1 S SAINT JOSEPH        39.75N 94.85W
07/01/2020  M63 MPH          BUCHANAN           MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

&&

JRB

Local storm report, Jul 1, 4:38 AM CDT, 51 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
438 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 AM     TSTM WND GST     1 S SAINT JOSEPH        39.75N 94.85W
07/01/2020  M79 MPH          BUCHANAN           MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            SENSOR ALSO SHOWED 47MPH SUSTAINED.

&&

JRB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 1, 1:40 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Atchison	50 min
Jul 1, 1:49 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Atchison, Nodaway	56 min
Jul 1, 2:39 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Atchison, Holt, Nodaway	66 min
Jul 1, 3:25 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Andrew, Buchanan, Holt	35 min
Jul 1, 3:49 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Andrew, Gentry, Worth	41 min
Jul 1, 3:54 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Andrew, Buchanan, Holt, Platte	51 min
Jul 1, 4:27 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Andrew, Buchanan, Clay, Clinton, DeKalb, Platte	48 min
Jul 1, 5:01 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Caldwell, Clay, Clinton, DeKalb, Jackson, Lafayette and 2 more	44 min
Jul 1, 5:22 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Caldwell, Carroll, Cass, Clay, Jackson, Johnson and 3 more	53 min
Jul 1, 6:14 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Cass, Henry, Jackson, Johnson, Lafayette, Pettis	61 min
Jul 1, 6:25 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EAX	Clay, Jackson	3 hr
Jul 1, 7:10 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Henry	35 min
Jul 1, 2:53 PM CDT	Heat Advisory	EAX	Bates	24 hr

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Missouri, 2020 Every tornado warning in 2020 Tornadoes in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.