High Wind Warning 6, NWS Cheyenne, WY

633 
WWUS75 KCYS 151954
NPWCYS

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
1254 PM MST Wed Jan 15 2020

...HIGH WIND WARNING CANCELLED...

WYZ106-116-117-152100-
/O.CAN.KCYS.HW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-200115T2100Z/
Central Laramie Range and Southwest Platte County-
South Laramie Range-South Laramie Range Foothills-
Including the cities of Bordeaux, Buford, Pumpkin Vine, Vedauwoo,
Whitaker, Federal, and Horse Creek
1254 PM MST Wed Jan 15 2020

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Cheyenne has cancelled the High
Wind Warning. 

Winds have eased early this afternoon and are no longer expected
to reach High Wind Warning criteria. Therefore...the warning has
been cancelled early. Wind gusts to 40 to 45 mph will still be
possible through the remainder of the afternoon for the wind prone
areas.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
839 PM MST Tue Jan 14 2020

.UPDATE...
Issued at 823 PM MST Tue Jan 14 2020

Updated some of the areas of Laramie County to include snow
showers this evening as the quick burst of snow that has occurred
in the last half hour prompted a snow squall warning for portions
of Laramie County. The remainder of the forecast area looks good
for the next 6-12 hours in regard to the previous issuance of a
forecast. We will also focus on the current High Wind Watch this
evening to determine whether a cancellation or upgrade will be
necessary.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 330 PM MST Tue Jan 14 2020

Tricky forecast setting up for tonight and Wednesday as a fast
moving upper level trough and Pacific cold front will move across
the area over the next 6 to 10 hours. Winds have continued to be
gusty this afternoon but have remained below 55 mph. Expect a lull
in the winds for a time tonight, but they will likely increase
once again behind the cold front.

Expect snowfall to increase from west to east between 500 pm and
900 pm this evening. Visible Satellite loop shows this area of
snow now pushing into southern Wyoming with snow expected in
Carbon county over the next few hours. Thankfully, this band of
snow will be very fast moving and likely out of most of the area
by midnight tonight. However, snow may be moderate to heavy at
times for most of Carbon and Albany county with snow as far east
as the Interstate 25 corridor. Expect a quick 1 or 2 inches of
snow along and south of I-80 from the I-80 Summit to the Rawlins
area, especially between Laramie and Rawlins, with 3 to 6 inches
of snow for the mountains. Thought about issuing a Winter Weather
Advisory for the Snowy & Sierra Madre Ranges tonight and for the
northern Snowy Range Foothills near Elk Mountain (for drifting and
blowing snow), but with the relatively short duration of the
event, decided to hold off on an advisory and address it with a
Special Weather Statement instead.

The other forecast concern tonight into Wednesday is winds
increasing across most of the wind prone areas, along with the
position of a surface arctic airmass. The arctic cold front to the
north and east is expected to drift south into the northern
panhandle of Nebraska and far east central Wyoming late tonight.
The extent that this front moves southward will determine the wind
threat for the I-80 Summit and adjacent foothills. If the front
moves into the southern panhandle/Colorado, surface pressure will
rapidly increase across the high plains, ending any wind threat.
However, models have been consistent in showing this front
stalling near, or just north, of the North Platte River valley
into early Wednesday. Models still indicate 700mb winds of 45-55
knots along with a lee-side inverted trough remaining at the
surface. With this in mind, decided to issue a High Wind Watch for
the I-80 Summit and foothills along with SW Platte County and the
central Laramie Range late this evening through early Wednesday
afternoon. This is a conditional watch based on the forecast
position of the arctic cold front, which is why our confidence is
not high enough for a warning at this time. Kept the Elk Mountain
and Arlington areas out of the watch for now, since precip loading
due to snowfall may decrease winds speeds a bit.

For Wednesday night and Thursday, seasonably cold conditions are
expected to continue as the arctic airmass retreats to the north
and east. It will be dry with little or no chance for
precipitation into Thursday evening. Lows in the teens are
expected with single digits in the colder valleys. Highs in the
mid 30s to mid 40s are forecast which is close to normal for this
time of the year. Attention will then shift to the next Pacific
storm system for Friday.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night - Monday)
Issued at 241 AM MST Tue Jan 14 2020

Seasonal temperatures expected over the CWA through the period in
a generally progressive upper pattern. Best chance for pcpn looks
to be Friday into Friday night as a decent upper shortwave moves
east across the region. Most pcpn will fall over the higher mtns
where several inches of snow could occur, with downsloping flow
limiting pcpn elsewhere. Could see a relatively short but decent
Bora wind event Friday behind a cold front. A bit milder over the
weekend then a backdoor front looks to bank up against the mtns
Monday as a surface high settles over the central plains.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 433 PM MST Tue Jan 14 2020

VFR conditions anticipated at all terminals besides KLAR and KRWL
this evening. KLAR and KRWL terminals will see brief snow squall
possibilities from 0Z-1Z. Those two terminals will see temporary
conditions going back and forth between VFR and IFR for brief
periods. Will be monitoring conditions in the event of a extended
TEMPO group for these locations. Winds will be gusty between
25-35 knots over the SE WY terminals this evening and overnight.
Panhandle sites of KBFF, KAIA, and KSNY will see winds pick up
between 3Z-5Z up to 25 knots due to a stalling frontal boundary.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 226 PM MST Tue Jan 14 2020

No fire weather concerns through the week with cooler than normal
temperatures and generally dry conditions outside of the
mountains. Periods of moderate to locally heavy snowfall are
expected in the mountains through tonight, and on Friday.

&&

.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...High Wind Watch through Wednesday afternoon for WYZ106-116-117.

NE...None.
&&

UPDATE...BW
SHORT TERM...TJT
LONG TERM...RE
AVIATION...BW
FIRE WEATHER...TJT

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
225 PM MST Tue Jan 14 2020

WYZ101-103>105-107-109>115-118-119-152130-
Converse County Lower Elevations-North Laramie Range-
Ferris/Seminoe/Shirley Mountains-Shirley Basin-East Platte County-
Central Carbon County-North Snowy Range Foothills-
Southwest Carbon County-Sierra Madre Range-
Upper North Platte River Basin-Snowy Range-Laramie Valley-
Central Laramie County-East Laramie County-
225 PM MST Tue Jan 14 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Wyoming and southeast Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

Occasional gusty west to southwest winds are expected today and
tonight with gusts of 40 to 50 mph possible. Patchy blowing and
drifting snow is also possible west of the Laramie Range.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

The next Pacific storm system will impact the weather on Friday,
bringing another round of strong winds and some snowfall to the
area.

.Spotter information statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

WYZ106-116-117-152130-
Central Laramie Range and Southwest Platte County-
South Laramie Range-South Laramie Range Foothills-
225 PM MST Tue Jan 14 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

Another round of strong winds are possible tonight through
Wednesday afternoon as another Pacific disturbance and cold front
move across the area. A High Wind Watch is in effect beginning
late this evening and continuing through early Wednesday afternoon
for gusts around 60 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

The next Pacific storm system will impact the weather on Friday,
bringing another round of strong winds and some snowfall to the
area.

.Spotter information statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

NEZ002-003-019>021-054-055-095-096-WYZ102-108-152130-
Dawes-Box Butte-Scotts Bluff-Banner-Morrill-Kimball-Cheyenne-
North Sioux-South Sioux-Niobrara County-Goshen County-
225 PM MST Tue Jan 14 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of western
Nebraska...east central Wyoming and southeast Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.Spotter information statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.