Alert archive / Michigan / Gale Warnings in 2020
Gale Warning 39, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this gale warning at Nov 17, 2020, 3:26 PM EST. It took effect at Nov 18, 2020, 12:00 PM EST. It was in force for 28 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 17, 2020, 3:26 PM EST (20:26 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 18, 2020, 12:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Nov 19, 2020, 4:09 PM EST
- In force
- 28 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
The text
As transmitted.
628 WHUS73 KAPX 172026 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 326 PM EST Tue Nov 17 2020 LMZ323-341-342-344>346-180430- /O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0116.000000T0000Z-201118T1700Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0039.201118T1700Z-201119T1800Z/ Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- 326 PM EST Tue Nov 17 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the GALE WARNING, Highest gusts up to 45 kt and highest waves around 11 feet expected. For the SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY, Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 5 feet. * WHERE...Portions of Lake Michigan. * WHEN...For the GALE WARNING, from noon Wednesday to 1 PM EST Thursday. For the SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY, until noon EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LHZ345>347-LSZ322-180430- /O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0116.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 326 PM EST Tue Nov 17 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 8 feet. * WHERE...In Lake Huron, Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island, 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island and St Ignace to False Detour Channel. In Lake Superior, St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LSZ321-180430- /O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0116.000000T0000Z-201119T1600Z/ Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- 326 PM EST Tue Nov 17 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 8 feet. * WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ348-349-180430- /O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0116.000000T0000Z-201120T0500Z/ Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- 326 PM EST Tue Nov 17 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 8 feet. * WHERE...Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI and Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary. * WHEN...Until midnight EST Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
9 follow-up statements
351 WHUS73 KAPX 180253 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 953 PM EST Tue Nov 17 2020 LMZ323-341-342-344>346-181100- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0116.000000T0000Z-201118T1700Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0039.201118T1700Z-201119T1800Z/ Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- 953 PM EST Tue Nov 17 2020 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 45 kt and highest waves around 11 feet expected. * WHERE...Portions of Lake Michigan. * WHEN...From noon Wednesday to 1 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LHZ345>347-LSZ322-180900- /O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0116.000000T0000Z-201118T0900Z/ Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 953 PM EST Tue Nov 17 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 8 feet. * WHERE...In Lake Huron, Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island, 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island and St Ignace to False Detour Channel. In Lake Superior, St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LSZ321-180900- /O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0116.000000T0000Z-201118T0900Z/ Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- 953 PM EST Tue Nov 17 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 8 feet. * WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ348-349-180900- /O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0116.000000T0000Z-201118T0900Z/ Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- 953 PM EST Tue Nov 17 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 8 feet. * WHERE...Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI and Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
169 WHUS73 KAPX 180846 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 346 AM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 LHZ348-349-181700- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0116.000000T0000Z-201118T0900Z/ /O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0039.201118T2300Z-201119T1600Z/ Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- 346 AM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kt and highest waves around 7 feet expected. * WHERE...Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary and Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 11 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LSZ321-181700- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0116.000000T0000Z-201118T0900Z/ /O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0039.201118T2000Z-201119T0900Z/ Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- 346 AM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kt and highest waves around 7 feet expected. * WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 4 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LHZ345>347-LSZ322-181700- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0116.000000T0000Z-201118T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.201118T1800Z-201120T0000Z/ Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 346 AM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 5 feet expected. * WHERE...In Lake Huron, Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island, St Ignace to False Detour Channel and 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island. In Lake Superior, St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay. * WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LMZ323-341-342-344>346-181700- /O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0039.201118T1700Z-201120T0000Z/ Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- 346 AM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kt and highest waves around 13 feet expected. * WHERE...Portions of Lake Michigan. * WHEN...From noon today to 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$
407 WHUS73 KAPX 181712 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1212 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 LMZ323-341-342-344>346-190115- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- 1212 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kt and highest waves around 13 feet expected. * WHERE...Portions of Lake Michigan. * WHEN...From noon today to 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LSZ321-190115- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0039.201118T2000Z-201119T0900Z/ Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- 1212 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kt and highest waves around 7 feet expected. * WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 4 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LHZ348-349-190115- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0039.201118T2300Z-201119T1600Z/ Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- 1212 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kt and highest waves around 7 feet expected. * WHERE...Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary and Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 11 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LHZ345>347-LSZ322-190115- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.201118T1800Z-201120T0000Z/ Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 1212 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 5 feet expected. * WHERE...In Lake Huron, Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island, St Ignace to False Detour Channel and 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island. In Lake Superior, St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay. * WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
131 WHUS73 KAPX 182043 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 343 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 LSZ321-190445- /O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-201119T0900Z/ /O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-201119T2200Z/ Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- 343 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 6 feet. * WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI. * WHEN...Until 5 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LMZ323-341-342-344>346-190445- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- 343 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kt and highest waves around 13 feet expected. * WHERE...Portions of Lake Michigan. * WHEN...From noon today to 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LHZ348-349-190445- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0039.201118T2300Z-201119T1600Z/ Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- 343 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kt and highest waves around 7 feet expected. * WHERE...Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary and Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 11 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LSZ322-190445- /O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-201119T2200Z/ St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 343 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 5 feet expected. * WHERE...In Lake Huron, Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island, St Ignace to False Detour Channel and 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island. In Lake Superior, St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay. * WHEN...Until 5 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ345>347-190445- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- 343 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 5 feet expected. * WHERE...In Lake Huron, Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island, St Ignace to False Detour Channel and 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island. In Lake Superior, St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay. * WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
546 WHUS73 KAPX 190213 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 913 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 LMZ323-341-342-344>346-191015- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- 913 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kt and highest waves around 12 feet. * WHERE...Portions of Lake Michigan. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LHZ348-349-191015- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-201119T1600Z/ Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- 913 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kt and highest waves around 6 feet. * WHERE...Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI and Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LHZ345>347-191015- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- 913 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 5 feet. * WHERE...Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island, 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island and St Ignace to False Detour Channel. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LSZ321-322-191015- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-201119T2200Z/ Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 913 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 6 feet. * WHERE...St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay and Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI. * WHEN...Until 5 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
969 WHUS73 KAPX 190349 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1049 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 LSZ321-191200- /O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-201119T2200Z/ /O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-201119T0900Z/ Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- 1049 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kt and highest waves around 6 feet. * WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LMZ323-341-342-344>346-191200- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- 1049 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kt and highest waves around 12 feet. * WHERE...Portions of Lake Michigan. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LHZ348-349-191200- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-201119T1600Z/ Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- 1049 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kt and highest waves around 7 feet. * WHERE...Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI and Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LHZ345>347-191200- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- 1049 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 5 feet. * WHERE...Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island, 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island and St Ignace to False Detour Channel. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LSZ322-191200- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-201119T2200Z/ St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 1049 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt. * WHERE...St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay. * WHEN...Until 5 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
243 WHUS73 KAPX 190825 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 325 AM EST Thu Nov 19 2020 LSZ321-191630- /O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-201119T0900Z/ /O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-201121T0400Z/ Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- 325 AM EST Thu Nov 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 9 feet. * WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI. * WHEN...Until 11 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ348-349-191630- /O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- 325 AM EST Thu Nov 19 2020 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kt and highest waves around 7 feet. * WHERE...Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI and Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LMZ323-341-342-344>346-191630- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- 325 AM EST Thu Nov 19 2020 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kt and highest waves around 11 feet. * WHERE...Portions of Lake Michigan. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LHZ345>347-191630- /O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-201121T0400Z/ Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- 325 AM EST Thu Nov 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 5 feet. * WHERE...Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island, 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island and St Ignace to False Detour Channel. * WHEN...Until 11 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LSZ322-191630- /O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-201121T0400Z/ St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 325 AM EST Thu Nov 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 3 feet. * WHERE...St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay. * WHEN...Until 11 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
765 WHUS73 KAPX 191653 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1153 AM EST Thu Nov 19 2020 LMZ341-342-344>346-200100- /O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-201120T0500Z/ Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- 1153 AM EST Thu Nov 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 10 feet. * WHERE...Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge, Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay, Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI, Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI and Manistee to Point Betsie MI. * WHEN...Until midnight EST tonight. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LMZ323-200000- /O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI- 1153 AM EST Thu Nov 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 4 feet. * WHERE...Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ348-200000- /O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary- 1153 AM EST Thu Nov 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 25 kt and highest waves around 4 feet. * WHERE...Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LSZ321-322-191800- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-201121T0400Z/ Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 1153 AM EST Thu Nov 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... $$ LHZ349-200000- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- 1153 AM EST Thu Nov 19 2020 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kt and highest waves around 5 feet. * WHERE...Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LHZ345>347-200000- /O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- 1153 AM EST Thu Nov 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kt and highest waves around 4 feet. * WHERE...5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island, Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island and St Ignace to False Detour Channel. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
238 WHUS73 KAPX 192109 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 409 PM EST Thu Nov 19 2020 LHZ349-200000- /O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- 409 PM EST Thu Nov 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 25 kt and highest waves around 4 feet. * WHERE...Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ345>348-192215- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary- 409 PM EST Thu Nov 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... $$ LMZ341-342-344>346-200000- /O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- 409 PM EST Thu Nov 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 25 kt and highest waves around 7 feet. * WHERE...Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay, Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge, Manistee to Point Betsie MI, Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI and Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LMZ323-200000- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-201120T0000Z/ Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI- 409 PM EST Thu Nov 19 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Highest waves around 3 feet. * WHERE...Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 17, 12:57 PM EST, 2 hours 29 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 17, 12:57 PM EST, 2 hours 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1257 PM EST Tue Nov 17 2020
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1018 AM EST Tue Nov 17 2020
Busy weather day with some intense lake effect snow banding
to contend with. As was noted below with the near term forecast
discussion pure les parameters are looking good through the day
(but with little in the way of synoptic support) and this is
likely to be the case into this evening. The flow is pretty much
locked into 310 degrees (northwest) but the bands have shifted
slightly to the east. It's a tough call on where to place
advisories but ended up adding lake effect snow advisories across
Antrim, Kalkaska and Crawford counties as these appear the be the
areas most likely to be impacted the most. This is in addition to
the ongoing advisory across much of Chippewa County where there
is a separate lake effect snow band. Expecting to see a few inches
of snow in targeted areas with locally upwards of a half a foot
or more possible. Gusty northwest winds will likely lead to
blowing and drifting snow as well. Elsewhere scattered to numerous
snow showers are expected. Temperatures should struggle into the
low and mid 30s for highs with wind chills ranging from a rather
brisk mid teens to the mid 20s.
&&
.NEAR TERM...(Today through Tonight)
Issued at 323 AM EST Tue Nov 17 2020
Impactful weather: Possible fairly localized low end advisory
snowfall amounts through tonight. Still gusty.
Pattern synopsis and forecast:
The upper level pattern remains fairly amplified early this morning,
with deep troughing lifting over the eastern states, ridging over
the Rockies, and more troughing approaching the west coast. Nrn
Michigan lies in NW flow aloft, with a couple of shortwaves
currently passing through, associated with a sfc low crossing the
srn Great Lakes, and departing forcing from DPVA through the eastern
CWA. In it's wake, pretty cold air at H8 was resulting in delta t's
of 20C to 22C, with mostly unidirectional NW 1000-850mb flow tapping
Lake Superior. This has resulted in a couple of pretty defined bands
of snow, one from eastern upper down through far NE lower, and
another from nrn Lake Michigan down through Houghton Lake. There is
not a ton of synoptic support, but with inversion heights of 5-6kft,
snow intensity was rather good in this setup. Further upstream, no
additional shortwaves/forcing were seen, with sfc high pressure
setting up shop in the Plains/Upper Midwest, where mid level heights
were rising on the forward flank of the Rockies ridging.
The shortwave activity will exit this morning, and the upper ridging
will press eastward into/through the central conus, with sfc high
pressure settling in directly over nrn Michigan by daybreak
Wednesday. The fairly cold and unidirectional NW flow will continue
to tap Lake Superior into the evening. However, the low level winds
do back more west and become anticyclonic through tonight, while mid
level heights rise and inversion heights lower with BL drying due to
WAA. Inversion heights generally remain 5-6kft today, but will drop
to 4-4.5kft tonight. Little to no synoptic support leads to a pure
lake effect setup. Believe that the current bands will not waver too
much, resulting in advisory level snow amounts (2-5 inches or
so locally higher), for central and eastern Chippewa county. Over
into far NE lower and from Antrim and Kalkaska counties down to
Houghton Lake, maybe 2 to 4 inches, and they may require an
advisory as well, but will hold off attm. Most of the snow would
occur through today, with accumulations/snow intensity decreasing
tonight.
Highs today will be in the low to mid 30s. Lows tonight could be
difficult, with maybe portions of NE lower, and Cadillac/Houghton
Lake areas possibly seeing some clearing, while winds become light.
Readings will largely be in the lower half of the 20s, with teens in
areas that see some potential clearing.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(Wednesday through Thursday)
Issued at 323 AM EST Tue Nov 17 2020
High Impact Weather Potential: Minimal...except for gusty winds
Wednesday into Thursday.
Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: The upper level troughing that brought
the intense storm system to the Great Lakes on Sunday will finally
be departing by the start of this period...to be replaced by ridging
for midweek. Ridging will start strong but ultimately be diminished
somewhat by a shortwave in northern Canada as upper-level pattern
becomes more broad...though not quite zonal...by the end of the
short term. Surface high pressure will be favored under the
downstream side of the ridge...such that Wednesday may see
relatively quiet weather...though the core of the high pressure may
stay to our south. A northwest-southeast oriented warm front
accompanying the aforementioned shortwave will move through the
region Wednesday into Wednesday night...giving us a shot at least at
cloudiness. General southwesterly flow behind this frontal passage
will leave us in a broad warm sector going into Thursday. A cold
front will slowly sag southward with time going into the end of this
part of the forecast...as the shortwave and associated surface
cyclone track eastward toward Hudson Bay.
Primary Forecast Concerns: Precipitation chances Wednesday night
associated with the warm front and again late Thursday night with
aforementioned saggy cold front, as well as gustiness during this
timeframe. ATTM...it appears that best moisture for the warm
front stays to the north throughout the period. Can't rule out
potential for a stray shower towards Eastern Upper but otherwise
looks pretty dry with the warm front. Basically ditto for the cold
front also...as there is generally a lack of good moisture
available to this system as it scoots by to our north.
Regarding winds...Could be a bit gusty with the front Wednesday into
Wednesday night and perhaps into Thursday...as pressure gradient
tightens up between the surface low in Canada and the surface high
across the southern/southeastern US. Similar patterns in the height
gradient are noted as well...with a 40-50kt 850mb jet moving across
Michigan during this time.
Also worth noting that there is potential for temps to ramp up at
least 10-15 degrees above normal Thursday behind the warm
front...though not as warm as last week's warm spell. Lows Wednesday
night may fall very little, if at all...given decent southwesterly
flow both at the surface and aloft.
.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Monday)
Issued at 323 AM EST Tue Nov 17 2020
High Impact Weather Potential: Another potential weekend storm on
the horizon...
Picking up where the short term left off, a cold front will be
sagging south through northern Michigan for the start of the long
term Friday morning...as a surface cyclone and its associated
shortwave passes by to the north. This cold front looks to stall out
and linger across the region for the start of the weekend leading
into Sunday...when another potential system looks to ride up the
boundary into the Great Lakes...on the downstream side of an
approaching shortwave from the southwest. The timing and track of
this system is far from being nailed down...as there is some
uncertainty in exactly how it all unfolds. Nevertheless...it looks
like we could have another active weekend on our hands. Definitely
something to keep an eye on in the coming days.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1253 PM EST Tue Nov 17 2020
Lake effect snow showers will continue to skirt the taf sites
through this evening. Cigs/vsbys will be mainly low end vfr but
could occasionally and sporadically lower to mvfr or even ifr at
times in snow or mixed rain and snow showers. Northwest winds
will continue to be gusty as well during this time. Lighter winds
and vfr cigs are expected to be the rule Wednesday as higher
pressure builds in. Gusty winds are then expected to return later
Wednesday and especially Wednesday night.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 323 AM EST Tue Nov 17 2020
Cold and gusty advisory level NW winds for all nearshore waters will
lead to lake effect rain and snow showers today and much of tonight.
Winds speeds drop off and precipitation is expected to end by
daybreak Wednesday, as high pressure moves in overhead. Winds then
ramp back up out of the south late Wednesday and Wednesday night
with the passage of a warm front. Advisory and gale force winds are
expected, especially Wednesday night into Thursday.
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY until 11 PM EST this evening for MIZ021-
027-028-086>088.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 4 AM EST Wednesday for LHZ345>347.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 5 AM EST Thursday for LHZ348-349.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 5 AM EST Thursday for LMZ323-341-342-
344>346.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 4 AM EST Wednesday for LSZ322.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 5 AM EST Thursday for LSZ321.
&&
UPDATE...AS
NEAR TERM...SMD
SHORT TERM...FEF
LONG TERM...FEF
AVIATION...AS
MARINE...SMDHazardous weather outlook, Nov 17, 3:16 PM EST, 10 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Gaylord MI 316 PM EST Tue Nov 17 2020 MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-182030- Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency- Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona- Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac- Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa- Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac- Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix- 316 PM EST Tue Nov 17 2020 This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and Northern Lower Michigan. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Periods of lake effect snow will impact much of the region through this evening. Moderate amounts of snow are expected across portions of eastern upper and northwest lower. Please refer to the Winter Weather Advisory for further details. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report snowfall amounts to the National Weather Service. Reports may be made one of three ways: Online: weather.gov/gaylord Facebook: facebook.com/nwsgaylord Twitter: twitter.com/nwsgaylord && LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-182030- Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 316 PM EST Tue Nov 17 2020 This hazardous weather outlook is for the northern Michigan nearshore waters of Lake Huron, Lake Michigan and Lake Superior. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Gale force wind gusts are expected over the Lake Michigan nearshore waters of northwest lower and eastern upper Michigan Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. &&
The office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 1:57 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | Antrim, Chippewa, Crawford, Kalkaska | 23 hr |
| Nov 17, 3:58 PM EST | Lakeshore Flood Advisory | APX | Benzie, Charlevoix, Emmet, Leelanau, Mackinac, Manistee | 48 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.