Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Warnings in 2019

Tornado Warning 49, NWS Raleigh, NC

October 31, 20194 counties in North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this tornado warning at Oct 31, 2019, 7:47 PM EDT for 4 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 43 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Oct 31, 2019, 7:47 PM EDT (23:47 UTC)
Expired
Oct 31, 2019, 8:30 PM EDT
In force
43 min
Issued by
NWS Raleigh, NC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
0.0 in

Counties Durham County, NC, Granville County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Oct 31, 7:48 PM EDTTSTM WND DMG4 Nnw Rougemont, NCTREE DOWN ON DICK HOLEMAN RD.
Oct 31, 8:28 PM EDTTSTM WND DMG1 N Oxford, NCCORRECTS PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM 1 N OXFORD. THUNDERSTORM WINDS DOWNED AT LEAST 13 TREES ACROSS THE COUNTY, INCLUDING SEVERAL IN THE COMMUNITIES OF OXFORD, FRANKLINTON, AND CREEDMORE.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Oct 31, 3:39 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2019-10-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 521 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2019-10-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 201 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
521 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
524 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
201 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
180 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
2.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

415 
WFUS52 KRAH 312347
TORRAH
NCC063-077-135-145-010030-
/O.NEW.KRAH.TO.W.0049.191031T2347Z-191101T0030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
747 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Southeastern Person County in central North Carolina...
  Northeastern Orange County in central North Carolina...
  Northern Granville County in central North Carolina...
  Northwestern Durham County in central North Carolina...

* Until 830 PM EDT
    
* At 747 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located near Rougemont, or 10 miles northeast of Hillsborough,
  moving northeast at 55 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely. 

* Locations impacted include...
  Oxford, Rougemont, Stem, Stovall, Moriah, Berea, Surl, Bahama, Lake
  Michie and Lake Butner.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3652 7848 3651 7850 3646 7851 3628 7851
      3608 7907 3616 7906 3624 7909 3654 7857
      3654 7850
TIME...MOT...LOC 2347Z 238DEG 49KT 3620 7901 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN

$$

26
4 follow-up statements
043 
WWUS52 KRAH 010003
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
803 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

NCC135-010013-
/O.CAN.KRAH.TO.W.0049.000000T0000Z-191101T0030Z/
Orange NC-
803 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN ORANGE COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for central North
Carolina.

LAT...LON 3652 7848 3651 7850 3646 7851 3628 7851
      3612 7897 3624 7895 3637 7887 3654 7857
      3654 7850
TIME...MOT...LOC 0003Z 238DEG 49KT 3632 7878 

$$

NCC063-077-145-010030-
/O.CON.KRAH.TO.W.0049.000000T0000Z-191101T0030Z/
Person NC-Granville NC-Durham NC-
803 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN PERSON...NORTHERN GRANVILLE AND NORTHWESTERN DURHAM
COUNTIES...

At 803 PM EDT, a severe squall line capable of producing both
tornadoes and extensive straight line wind damage was located 10
miles west of Oxford, moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely. 

Locations impacted include...
Oxford, Rougemont, Stem, Stovall, Moriah, Berea, Surl, Bahama, Lake
Michie and Lake Butner.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3652 7848 3651 7850 3646 7851 3628 7851
      3612 7897 3624 7895 3637 7887 3654 7857
      3654 7850
TIME...MOT...LOC 0003Z 238DEG 49KT 3632 7878 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN

$$

26
005 
WWUS52 KRAH 010015 RRA
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
815 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

NCC063-077-145-010030-
/O.CON.KRAH.TO.W.0049.000000T0000Z-191101T0030Z/
Person NC-Granville NC-Durham NC-
815 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN PERSON...NORTHERN GRANVILLE AND NORTHWESTERN DURHAM
COUNTIES...

At 813 PM EDT, a severe squall line capable of producing both
tornadoes and extensive straight line wind damage was located along a
line extending from near Oxford to near Butner, moving northeast at 
55 mph. The two circulations capable of producing a tornado, which 
were embedded within the squall line, were located near Berea in 
Granville County and near Bahama in Durham County, moving northeast 
at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely. 

Locations impacted include...
Oxford, Rougemont, Stem, Stovall, Moriah, Berea, Surl, Bahama, Lake
Michie and Lake Butner.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3652 7848 3651 7850 3646 7851 3628 7851
      3612 7897 3624 7895 3637 7887 3654 7857
      3654 7850
TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 235DEG 49KT 3634 7869 3615 7887 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN

$$

26
689 
WWUS52 KRAH 010023
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
823 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

NCC063-145-010032-
/O.CAN.KRAH.TO.W.0049.000000T0000Z-191101T0030Z/
Person NC-Durham NC-
823 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN PERSON AND NORTHWESTERN
DURHAM COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for central North
Carolina.

LAT...LON 3652 7848 3651 7850 3646 7851 3635 7851
      3632 7859 3633 7863 3637 7864 3645 7862
      3651 7856 3654 7850
TIME...MOT...LOC 0022Z 233DEG 44KT 3638 7856 

$$

NCC077-010030-
/O.CON.KRAH.TO.W.0049.000000T0000Z-191101T0030Z/
Granville NC-
823 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN GRANVILLE COUNTY...

At 822 PM EDT, a severe squall line capable of producing both
tornadoes and extensive straight line wind damage was located near
Oxford, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely. 

Locations impacted include...
Oxford and Stovall. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3652 7848 3651 7850 3646 7851 3635 7851
      3632 7859 3633 7863 3637 7864 3645 7862
      3651 7856 3654 7850
TIME...MOT...LOC 0022Z 233DEG 44KT 3638 7856 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN

$$

26
397 
WWUS52 KRAH 010030
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
830 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

NCC077-010039-
/O.EXP.KRAH.TO.W.0049.000000T0000Z-191101T0030Z/
Granville NC-
830 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN GRANVILLE COUNTY WILL EXPIRE
AT 830 PM EDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for central North
Carolina.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Raleigh.

Remember, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for
Granville County until 900 PM EDT. 

LAT...LON 3652 7848 3651 7850 3646 7851 3635 7851
      3632 7859 3633 7863 3637 7864 3645 7862
      3651 7856 3654 7850
TIME...MOT...LOC 0029Z 238DEG 49KT 3642 7849 

$$

26

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 31, 5:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDavidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Randolph57 min
Oct 31, 5:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDavidson, Montgomery, Randolph, Stanly51 min
Oct 31, 6:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAlamance, Chatham, Guilford, Randolph46 min
Oct 31, 6:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAnson, Montgomery, Richmond, Stanly64 min
Oct 31, 6:27 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHGuilford22 min
Oct 31, 6:45 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHAnson, Montgomery, Richmond, Stanly30 min
Oct 31, 6:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAlamance, Anson, Chatham, Guilford, Montgomery, Moore and 4 more72 min
Oct 31, 7:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDurham, Granville, Orange, Person58 min
Oct 31, 7:17 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHPerson43 min
Oct 31, 7:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHCumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Lee, Moore, Richmond and 1 more81 min
Oct 31, 7:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHChatham, Durham, Granville, Orange, Wake80 min
Oct 31, 7:50 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHAnson, Richmond, Scotland25 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in North Carolina, 2019Every tornado warning in 2019Tornadoes in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.