Alert archive / New Jersey / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 5, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

January 25, 2019Essex County, Morris County, Passaic County, New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this river flood warning at Jan 25, 2019, 10:32 AM EST for Essex County, Morris County, Passaic County, New Jersey. It took effect at Jan 25, 2019, 12:00 PM EST. It was in force for 67 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 25, 2019, 10:32 AM EST (15:32 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 25, 2019, 12:00 PM EST
Expired
Jan 28, 2019, 7:04 AM EST
In force
67 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Essex County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Passaic River at Pine Brook (PINN4). The gauge peaked at 19.51 ft at Jan 26, 2019, 7:00 AM EST.

actionminormoderatemajor171819202101/2501/2601/2701/2801/29
Action stage
18 ft
Minor stage
19 ft
Moderate stage
20 ft
Major stage
21 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01381900, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

238 
WGUS41 KPHI 251532
FLWPHI
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mt Holly NJ
1032 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a 
flood warning for the following rivers in New Jersey...

  Passaic River At Pine Brook affecting Essex...Morris and Passaic 
  Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. 
The water may be deeper than you think.

&&

NJC013-027-031-252131-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FL.W.0005.190125T1700Z-000000T0000Z/
/PINN4.1.ER.190125T1700Z.190126T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1032 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Passaic River at Pine Brook.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9:30 AM Friday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage this afternoon and continue to 
  rise to near 19.9 feet by early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 19.5 feet...Horseneck Road in Fairfield is subject to
  flooding and closures.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.6 feet
  on Dec 8 1996.  
 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG    DAY TIME    CREST

Passaic River
  Pine Brook             19.0   18.81  Fri 9 AM    19.9    Sat 1 PM 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4084 7429 4084 7438 4093 7433 4093 7424
                                      

$$

Kruzdlo
9 follow-up statements
770 
WGUS81 KPHI 252049
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mt Holly NJ
349 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
   New Jersey...
  
  Passaic River At Pine Brook affecting Essex...Morris and 
  Passaic Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. 
The water may be deeper than you think.

&&

NJC013-027-031-260648-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PINN4.1.ER.190125T1722Z.190126T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
349 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Passaic River at Pine Brook.
* At 3:30 PM Friday the stage was 19.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.9 tonight 
  and Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Eagle Rock Avenue in Roseland is subject
  to flooding. Camp Lane Road, River Edge Drive and Broadway Lane 
  in Fairfield are flooded. Stewart Place is closed.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.8 
  feet on Dec 23 2018.  
 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG    DAY TIME    CREST

Passaic River
  Pine Brook             19.0   19.17  Fri 3 PM    19.9    Sat 1 PM 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4084 7429 4084 7438 4093 7433 4093 7424
                                      

$$

Kruzdlo
947 
WGUS81 KPHI 260149
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mt Holly NJ
849 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New Jersey...
  Passaic River At Pine Brook affecting Essex...Morris and Passaic Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. The water may be
deeper than you think.

&&

NJC013-027-031-261150-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PINN4.1.ER.190125T1722Z.190126T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
849 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Passaic River at Pine Brook.
* At  8:30 PM Friday the stage was 19.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.9 feet by Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Eagle Rock Avenue in Roseland is subject to flooding. 
  Camp Lane Road, River Edge Drive and Broadway Lane in Fairfield are flooded. 
  Stewart Place is closed.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.8 feet on Dec 23 
  2018.  

 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Passaic River
  Pine Brook             19.0   19.38  Fri 8 PM    19.9    Sat 1 PM 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4084 7429 4084 7438 4093 7433 4093 7424
                                      

$$
293 
WGUS81 KPHI 261134
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mt Holly NJ
634 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New Jersey...
  Passaic River At Pine Brook affecting Essex...Morris and Passaic Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. The water may be
deeper than you think.

&&

NJC013-027-031-262134-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PINN4.1.ER.190125T1722Z.190126T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
634 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Passaic River at Pine Brook.
* At 6:15 AM Saturday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* Forecast...The river is cresting now and will begin falling today.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Eagle Rock Avenue in Roseland is subject to flooding. 
  Camp Lane Road, River Edge Drive and Broadway Lane in Fairfield are flooded. 
  Stewart Place is closed.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.8 feet on Dec 23 
  2018.  

 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Passaic River
  Pine Brook             19.0   19.53  Sat 6 AM    Cresting now
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4084 7429 4084 7438 4093 7433 4093 7424
                                      

$$

CMS
547 
WGUS81 KPHI 262108
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mt Holly NJ
408 PM EST Sat Jan 26 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New Jersey...

  Passaic River At Pine Brook affecting Essex...Morris and Passaic Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. The water may be
deeper than you think.

&&

NJC013-027-031-270708-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190128T1200Z/
/PINN4.1.ER.190125T1722Z.190126T1315Z.190128T0600Z.NO/
408 PM EST Sat Jan 26 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Passaic River at Pine Brook.
* At  4:00 PM Saturday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At 19.5 feet...Horseneck Road in Fairfield is subject to flooding and
  closures.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.6 feet on Aug 13 
  2018.  

 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Passaic River
  Pine Brook             19.0   19.51  Sat 4 PM    19.5    Sat 7 PM 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4084 7429 4084 7438 4093 7433 4093 7424
                                      

$$
544 
WGUS81 KPHI 270259
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mt Holly NJ
959 PM EST Sat Jan 26 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New Jersey...
  Passaic River At Pine Brook affecting Essex...Morris and Passaic Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. The water may be
deeper than you think.

&&

NJC013-027-031-271258-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190128T1200Z/
/PINN4.1.ER.190125T1722Z.190126T1315Z.190128T0600Z.NO/
959 PM EST Sat Jan 26 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Passaic River at Pine Brook.
* At  9:45 PM Saturday the stage was 19.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At 19.5 feet...Horseneck Road in Fairfield is subject to flooding and
  closures.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.4 feet on Jun 6 
  2003.  

 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Passaic River
  Pine Brook             19.0   19.44  Sat 10 PM   19.4    Sun 1 AM 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4084 7429 4084 7438 4093 7433 4093 7424
                                      

$$
104 
WGUS81 KPHI 271234
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mt Holly NJ
734 AM EST Sun Jan 27 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New Jersey...
  Passaic River At Pine Brook affecting Essex...Morris and Passaic Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. The water may be
deeper than you think.

&&

NJC013-027-031-272234-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190128T1200Z/
/PINN4.1.ER.190125T1722Z.190126T1315Z.190128T0600Z.NO/
734 AM EST Sun Jan 27 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Passaic River at Pine Brook.
* At  7:15 AM Sunday the stage was 19.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river stage will continue to slowly fall through Monday. 
  The stage should fall below flood stage shortly after midnight tonight. 
* Impact...At 19.5 feet...Horseneck Road in Fairfield is subject to flooding and
  closures.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.3 feet on Mar 24 
  2010.  

 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Passaic River
  Pine Brook             19.0   19.31  Sun 7 AM    19.1    Sun 1 PM 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4084 7429 4084 7438 4093 7433 4093 7424
                                      

$$

PO
304 
WGUS81 KPHI 272154
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
454 PM EST Sun Jan 27 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the Passaic River at
Pine Brook...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas.
The water may be deeper than you think it is.

&&

NJC013-027-031-280753-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190128T1200Z/
/PINN4.1.ER.190125T1722Z.190126T1315Z.190128T0600Z.NO/
454 PM EST Sun Jan 27 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Passaic River at Pine Brook.
* At 4:45 PM, the river level was 19.19 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring is forecast to continue.
* Forecast...The river level will continue to fall slowly and
  it should return below flood stage on Monday.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, street flooding begins in Fairfield
  including Camp Lane Road. Two Bridges Road is closed going
  into Lincoln Park and Wayne.
 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Passaic River
  Pine Brook            19.0   19.19  Sun 445 PM   Crested 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4084 7429 4084 7438 4093 7433 4093 7424
                                      
$$

Iovino
985 
WGUS81 KPHI 280817
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mt Holly NJ
317 AM EST Mon Jan 28 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New Jersey...

  Passaic River At Pine Brook affecting Essex...Morris and Passaic Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. The water may be
deeper than you think.

&&

NJC013-027-031-281800-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190128T1800Z/
/PINN4.1.ER.190125T1722Z.190126T1315Z.190128T1200Z.NO/
317 AM EST Mon Jan 28 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Passaic River at Pine Brook.
* At  3:00 AM Monday the stage was 19.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Street flooding begins in Fairfield including Camp 
  Lane Road. Two Bridges Road is closed going into Lincoln Park and Wayne.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.0 feet on Mar 24 
  1999.  

 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Passaic River
  Pine Brook             19.0   19.05  Mon 3 AM    19.0    Mon 6 AM 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4084 7429 4084 7438 4093 7433 4093 7424
                                      

$$
530 
WGUS81 KPHI 281204
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mt Holly NJ
704 AM EST Mon Jan 28 2019

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
   in New Jersey...

  Passaic River At Pine Brook affecting Essex...Morris and 
  Passaic Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas.
The water may be deeper than you think.

&&

NJC013-027-031-281234-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190128T1800Z/
/PINN4.1.ER.190125T1722Z.190126T1315Z.190128T1115Z.NO/
704 AM EST Mon Jan 28 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Passaic River at Pine Brook.
* At 6:45 AM Monday the stage was 18.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 6:15 AM Monday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 18.6 feet by 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Street flooding begins in Fairfield
  including Camp Lane Road. Two Bridges Road is closed going 
  into Lincoln Park and Wayne.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 
  19.0 feet on Jun 15 2003.  
 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG    DAY TIME    CREST

Passaic River
  Pine Brook             19.0   18.99  Mon 7 AM    Crested and falling 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4084 7429 4084 7438 4093 7433 4093 7424
                                      

$$

Kruzdlo

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 25, 9:24 AM EST, 1 hour 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 25, 9:24 AM EST, 1 hour 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
924 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure will continue to move north through Atlantic Canada
today with high pressure generally dominating our weather
through Saturday. The next cold front will move through late
Sunday into Sunday night followed by high pressure returning
Monday. A coastal storm may then develop by late Tuesday into
early Wednesday with a strong cold front and arctic high
pressure following in its wake.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Through the rest of the morning and early afternoon, deep low
pressure will continue to move northward over Atlantic Canada
with arctic high pressure moving into the Tennessee Valley. This
will maintain a brisk westerly flow with a continuing cold
advection pattern. Forecast soundings indicate a deep mixed
layer so expect some wind gusts in the 20-30 mph range as
stronger winds aloft are mixed down. There will also be some
diurnal Cu developing so generally expect a mix of sun and
clouds. Highs will be mainly in the middle to upper 30s except
20s over the southern Poconos and low 40s over parts of the
Delmarva.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY/...
For Friday night, winds diminish as a surface ridge builds in
extending northeast from the high near Tennessee. This will
result in mainly clear skies with colder temperatures. Generally
expect lows in the teens to low 20s with some single digit
readings possible in the southern Poconos.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Main challenges in the long-term include a weak system glancing
the northwest fringes of the area Sunday, a stronger system
likely producing some snow across a good chunk of the forecast
area Tuesday and Wednesday, and then the intrusion of bone-
chilling air.

We start the period with southwest midlevel flow and a digging
perturbation in Ontario (12z Saturday). The perturbation
intensifies as it reaches the Great Lakes by 12z Sunday. Light
snow will break out in Ontario/Quebec southward to the eastern
Ohio Valley and adjacent Appalachians Sunday morning and spread
east-northeastward through the day as the perturbation pivots
across the trough axis. The question will be how far south this
perturbation digs, with a farther south solution implying more
of a chance some of this snow reaches the CWA. The 00z CMC
suggests very little snow reaches the area, with the ECMWF only
a little more aggressive in this regard. The GFS is most
suggestive of this threat, mainly for the Poconos and far
northwest New Jersey. Current thinking is that models are
probably underplaying the threat here a little bit, given
potential orographic lift combined with the rather decent look
of the perturbation and the associated field of omega
downstream. The main threat appears to be Sunday afternoon and
evening, though I did broad-brush the PoPs somewhat given model
tendencies to be too brief with the snow showers in the higher
terrain of the northwest CWA. Any accumulations in the Poconos
look to be light (under an inch). Given the vigorous look to the
perturbation, cannot rule out some light rain/snow showers
farther southeast into the Lehigh Valley and vicinity, but
chances seem pretty low at this time.

On Saturday, temperatures will be cold, and I went below
guidance for highs, as I suspect the warmer guidance (e.g.,
MEX/GFS) is too quick to bring in warm advection. Notably, the
ECMWF is several hours slower and several degrees colder for
Saturday. The GFS looks too fast compared to model consensus
through the forecast, in fact, and was generally weighted on
the low side throughout the medium range. Temperatures will warm
substantially on Sunday as warm advection commences by Saturday
night and continues through much of the day. Highs on Sunday
will likely be 10-15 degrees warmer than Saturday's. However,
the aforementioned system bringing light snow chances to the
Poconos and vicinity will also bring a cold front through the
area Sunday night, so temperatures will drop again on Monday,
probably back to or perhaps a little above Saturday's highs.

Three midlevel vorticity maxima will play a pivotal role in what
transpires across the Mid-Atlantic early next week. A lead
perturbation in the northern plains 00z Monday digs
southeastward to the Midwest by 00z Tuesday. Meanwhile, a
southern-stream perturbation with origins in the Canadian
Rockies digs to the Front Range by this same time. Finally, a
strong/large-scale vortex will shift eastward into the Canadian
prairies. What evolves thereafter is the source of forecast
uncertainty today. The 00z ECMWF weakens the lead northern-
stream perturbation as it approaches downstream ridging in the
Great Lakes and eastern North America. This allows the
southern-stream perturbation to pivot readily eastward
meridionally in sync with the Canada longwave trough. Phasing
occurs across the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys Tuesday night, with the
highly-amplified trough acquiring a negative tilt. A surface low
in the Great Lakes region lifts northeastward as a shortwave
trough punches eastward into the Great Lakes (at the base of the
Canada longwave trough), while cyclogenesis commences with the
southern-stream perturbation in the central/southern
Appalachians Tuesday evening. This low moves rapidly
northeastward through the northern Mid-Atlantic Tuesday night
and Wednesday morning. It then intensifies quickly as it races
northeast to the Canadian Maritimes Wednesday night.

The GFS shows a very different evolution. The lead northern-
stream perturbation weakens less, while the southern-stream
perturbation shears out to the south of the Canada longwave
trough. Thus, the Great Lakes low lifts northeastward and
weakens, and a second low develops to the east in vicinity of
New England. Finally, the CMC is fairly similar to the ECMWF,
but the southern-stream perturbation is slower, so it phases
with the Canada longwave trough farther east, and develops a
surface low well to the east of the ECMWF position Tuesday night
and Wednesday.

Any of these scenarios produces precipitation in our area
Tuesday and Wednesday, but timing, duration, intensity, and
character of the precipitation are very sensitive to these quite
different large-scale depictions. The GFS is much faster, since
it has little phasing in its system evolution, so the
precipitation is generated mostly via the development of the
secondary cyclone in New England on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the
ECMWF and CMC generate most of the precipitation Tuesday night
as the surface low to the south moves northeastward through or
just east of the area. The CMC/ECMWF generate snow on the
northwest fringe of the precipitation shield, aided by upper-
level jet coupling and strong frontogenetical lift in the low
levels to the north/west of the low's track. Finally, the
CMC/ECMWF hint at slightly higher QPF, with more of it coming in
the form of snow (especially northwest of the Fall Line). This
makes sense given the somewhat slower evolution, the development
of the low to the south/east of the area, and the stronger
frontogenetical lift and upper-level divergence generated.

There is potential with this system for some decent snow,
especially in the northwest CWA and especially if a solution
like the ECMWF or CMC verifies. Farther south and east,
temperatures are more marginal, so snow amounts would be lower
(which would also be true if the storm's track trends westward).

A lot of question marks here, and models have shown high run-
to-run variability in addition to their large relative
discrepancies. Kept PoPs from Monday night (owing to potential
warm-advection precipitation in advance of the main system) to
Wednesday, though this will likely be narrowed temporally in
later forecasts. The general evolution is for rain or a
rain/snow mix changing to snow by Tuesday night and diminishing
Wednesday. For the most part, this seems like a decent
compromise/consensus choice for now, until models settle on how
the three perturbations evolve.

After the system moves out by Wednesday night, the cold
temperatures will be the story. Guidance is trending colder,
which is not unusual as the event approaches. The large Canada
vortex digs into the area, at least briefly, to end the week,
and very cold air will filter into the region. Statistical
consensus guidance has temperatures around 20 in Philadelphia
for highs and around or maybe below 10 for lows for Thursday.
Noteworthy, though, are some large differences among the
individual statistical members. The 00z EC guidance is much,
much warmer (by nearly 15 degrees, give or take) and appears to
be tied to how the Canada vortex pivots after the system moves
out of the region during the middle of the week. In other words,
it will likely be cold, but there are still some questions as to
how cold and for how long. Stay tuned.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Friday...VFR conditions expected. Westerly winds 10 to 15 kt
with gusts up to 25 kt possible.

Friday night...VFR with winds diminishing to around 5 knots.

Outlook...

Saturday: VFR with winds generally light west to southwest.
High confidence.

Saturday night: Mainly VFR, but some lower CIGs may enter the
area northwest of PHL. Light south to southeast winds. Moderate
confidence.

Sunday and Sunday night: Mostly VFR, but some restrictions may
occur, especially northwest of PHL, with rain/snow showers
possible. South to southwest winds 5 to 15 kts becoming
northwest Sunday night. Low confidence.

Monday: Mainly VFR with light north or northwest winds.
Moderate confidence.

Monday night and Tuesday: Sub-VFR conditions possible,
especially on Tuesday. Some chance of rain/snow on Monday
night, with better chances by Tuesday. East to southeast winds
becoming south to southwest on Tuesday, generally below 10 kts
Monday night becoming 5 to 15+ kts on Tuesday. Very low
confidence.

&&

.MARINE...
SCA conditions will continue through today on the ocean waters
with seas generally in the 5 to 8 foot range and winds gusting
25 to 30 knots. These conditions should diminish below SCA
levels this evening.

Outlook...

Saturday and Saturday night: Sub-advisory winds/seas expected.

Sunday: Some gusts to around 25 kts possible off the New Jersey
coast as winds increase from the southwest.

Sunday night: Winds becoming northwest and possibly gusting to
around 25 kts.

Monday: Sub-advisory winds/seas expected.

Monday night and Tuesday: Advisory winds/seas expected as winds
increase from the south ahead of a storm system affecting the
area by Tuesday night. Some rain (possibly mixed with snow) is
possible, especially on Tuesday.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for
     ANZ450>455.

&&

Synopsis...Fitzsimmons
Near Term...Fitzsimmons/Staarmann
Short Term...Fitzsimmons
Long Term...CMS
Aviation...CMS/Fitzsimmons
Marine...CMS/Fitzsimmons
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 25, 4:44 AM EST, 5 hours 48 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
444 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-070-071-101>106-260945-
New Castle-Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Cecil-Kent MD-
Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-
Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-Gloucester-
Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland-Atlantic-Cape May-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic-Coastal Ocean-
Southeastern Burlington-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-
Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
444 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Delaware, northern
Delaware, southern Delaware, northeast Maryland, central New
Jersey, northern New Jersey, northwest New Jersey, southern New
Jersey, east central Pennsylvania, northeast Pennsylvania and
southeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A storm system may bring accumulating snow to portions of the area
Tuesday and Wednesday, followed by very cold air on Thursday. Much
uncertainty remains with the forecast, however.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-431-450>455-260945-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
444 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters and
Delaware Bay Waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

CMS

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 25, 5:27 AM EST, 5 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
527 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     FLOOD            2 NNE PHILLIPSBURG      40.72N 75.18W
01/24/2019                   WARREN             NJ   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            FLOODING CAUSED ROCKS AND DEBRIS TO FLOW
            ONTO RIVER ROAD NEAR MARBLE HILL ROAD.

&&

CMS
Local storm report, Jan 25, 6:07 AM EST, 4 hours 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
607 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 PM     FLOOD            PEQUEST RIVER AT HUNTSV 40.98N 74.78W
01/24/2019                   SUSSEX             NJ   OTHER FEDERAL

            THE PEQUEST RIVER AT HUNTSVILLE REACHED
            MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

0645 PM     FLOOD            MILLSTONE RIVER AT GRIG 40.44N 74.62W
01/24/2019                   SOMERSET           NJ   OTHER FEDERAL

            THE MILLSTONE RIVER AT GRIGGSTOWN REACHED
            MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

0645 PM     FLOOD            NORTH BRANCH RARITAN RI 40.56N 74.69W
01/24/2019                   SOMERSET           NJ   OTHER FEDERAL

            THE NORTH BRANCH RARITAN RIVER AT SOUTH
            BRANCH REACHED MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

0615 PM     FLOOD            SCHUYLKILL RIVER AT NOR 40.11N 75.35W
01/24/2019                   MONTGOMERY         PA   OTHER FEDERAL

            THE SCHUYLKILL RIVER AT NORRISTOWN REACHED
            MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

0600 PM     FLOOD            PAULINS KILL AT BLAIRST 40.98N 74.95W
01/24/2019                   WARREN             NJ   OTHER FEDERAL

            PAULINS KILL AT BLAIRSTOWN REACHED MINOR
            FLOOD STAGE.

0230 PM     FLOOD            EAST BRANCH BRANDYWINE  39.97N 75.67W
01/24/2019                   CHESTER            PA   OTHER FEDERAL

            THE EAST BRANCH BRANDYWINE CREEK AT
            DOWNINGTOWN REACHED MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

0200 PM     FLOOD            NESHANIC RIVER AT REAVI 40.47N 74.83W
01/24/2019                   HUNTERDON          NJ   OTHER FEDERAL

            THE NESHANIC RIVER AT REAVILLE REACHED MINOR
            FLOOD STAGE.

1215 PM     FLOOD            PEQUEST RIVER AT PEQUES 40.83N 74.98W
01/24/2019                   WARREN             NJ   OTHER FEDERAL

            THE PEQUEST RIVER AT PEQUEST REACHED MINOR
            FLOOD STAGE.

1015 AM     FLOOD            PERKIOMEN CREEK AT EAST 40.39N 75.52W
01/24/2019                   MONTGOMERY         PA   OTHER FEDERAL

            THE PERKIOMEN CREEK AT EAST GREENVILLE
            REACHED MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

&&

CMS
Local storm report, Jan 25, 6:08 AM EST, 4 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
608 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0841 AM     FLOOD            1 ESE ANCIENT OAKS      40.54N 75.58W
01/24/2019                   LEHIGH             PA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON SPRING CREEK ROAD AND MILL CREEK
            ROAD NEAR THE LITTLE LEHIGH RIVER, WITH
            SEVERAL ROAD CLOSURES.

1015 AM     FLOOD            PERKIOMEN CREEK AT EAST 40.39N 75.52W
01/24/2019                   MONTGOMERY         PA   OTHER FEDERAL

            THE PERKIOMEN CREEK AT EAST GREENVILLE
            REACHED MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

1031 AM     FLOOD            2 WSW EAST PENN TWP     40.76N 75.76W
01/24/2019                   CARBON             PA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON LIZARD CREEK ROAD WITH LIZARD
            CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS. ROAD CLOSED.

1051 AM     FLOOD            1 SSW LOWER TOWAMENSING 40.82N 75.53W
01/24/2019                   CARBON             PA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING OF LOWER SMITH GAP ROAD WITH
            AQUASHICOLA CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS. ROAD
            CLOSED.

1119 AM     FLOOD            1 WNW LAKE COMO         40.18N 74.04W
01/24/2019                   MONMOUTH           NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON NJ 35 BOTH DIRECTIONS FROM CR
            18/BELMAR BLVD TO SOUTH OF NJ 71/H ST. RIGHT
            LANES CLOSED.

1146 AM     FLOOD            3 E HAMILTON TWP        39.46N 74.66W
01/24/2019                   ATLANTIC           NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON U.S. HIGHWAY 322 NEAR COLOGNE
            AVENUE. LANE RESTRICTIONS REQUIRED.

1147 AM     FLOOD            1 WSW ASBURY PARK       40.21N 74.03W
01/24/2019                   MONMOUTH           NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON STATE HIGHWAY 35 NORTH OF THE
            STATE HIGHWAY 33 INTERCHANGE. LANE
            RESTRICTIOS IN PLACE.

1149 AM     FLOOD            3 WNW NEPTUNE CITY      40.21N 74.08W
01/24/2019                   MONMOUTH           NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON STATE HIGHWAY 33 EAST OF JUMPING
            BROOK ROAD. ALL LANES CLOSED.

1150 AM     FLOOD            1 N WARETOWN            39.80N 74.20W
01/24/2019                   OCEAN              NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON U.S. HIGHWAY 9 SOUTH OF BAY
            PARKWAY. LANE RESTRICTIONS REQUIRED.

1214 PM     FLOOD            WILDWOOD                38.98N 74.82W
01/24/2019                   CAPE MAY           NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON NJ 47 SOUTHBOUND AT PACIFIC AVE.
            RIGHT LANE CLOSED.

1215 PM     FLOOD            PEQUEST RIVER AT PEQUES 40.83N 74.98W
01/24/2019                   WARREN             NJ   OTHER FEDERAL

            THE PEQUEST RIVER AT PEQUEST REACHED MINOR
            FLOOD STAGE.

1225 PM     FLOOD            ASBURY PARK             40.21N 74.01W
01/24/2019                   MONMOUTH           NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON STATE HIGHWAY 71 NORTH OF
            CORLIES AVENUE. LANE RESTRICTIONS REQUIRED.

1239 PM     FLOOD            1 ENE OAKHURST          40.27N 74.00W
01/24/2019                   MONMOUTH           NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON NJ 71 NORTHBOUND APPROACHING
            PARK AVE. ALL LANES CLOSED.

0100 PM     FLOOD            DEVAULT                 40.08N 75.54W
01/24/2019                   CHESTER            PA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON CHARLESTOWN ROAD NEAR
            PHOENIXVILLE PIKE. ROAD CLOSED.

0100 PM     FLOOD            2 NNW DEVAULT           40.10N 75.55W
01/24/2019                   CHESTER            PA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            PICKERING CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS, WITH ROAD
            CLOSURES OF BRIDGE STREET AND CHARLESTOWN
            ROAD.

0109 PM     FLOOD            DEAL                    40.25N 74.00W
01/24/2019                   MONMOUTH           NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON STATE HIGHWAY 71 AT BRIGHTON
            AVENUE. ALL LANES CLOSED.

0114 PM     FLOOD            2 NNE ZIONSVILLE        40.51N 75.50W
01/24/2019                   LEHIGH             PA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING NEAR VERA CRUZ ROAD AND MAIN ROAD
            WITH LEIBERT CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS. SEVERAL
            ROAD CLOSURES IN PLACE.

0117 PM     FLOOD            1 E NEW MAHONING        40.79N 75.79W
01/24/2019                   CARBON             PA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON COUNTRY CLUB ROAD WITH MAHONING
            CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS. ROAD CLOSED.

0123 PM     FLOOD            MANASQUAN               40.12N 74.05W
01/24/2019                   MONMOUTH           NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON STATE HIGHWAY 71 AT MAIN STREET.
            LANE RESTRICTIONS REQUIRED.

0129 PM     FLOOD            1 WNW TREXLERTOWN       40.55N 75.61W
01/24/2019                   LEHIGH             PA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON CETRONIA ROAD NEAR TREXLERTOWN
            ROAD. ROAD CLOSED.

0145 PM     FLOOD            1 SSW NORTH CATASAUQUA  40.65N 75.48W
01/24/2019                   LEHIGH             PA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FLOODING RESULTED IN SEVERAL ROAD CLOSURES
            IN WHITEHALL TOWNSHIP. THIS INCLUDES
            EBERHART ROAD BETWEEN LEHIGH STREET AND
            RANGE ROAD, WATER STREET AT EBERHART ROAD,
            HOKEY PARK LEHIGH STREET ENTRANCE, RINGER
            ROAD FROM MECHANICSVILLE ROAD TO WEST
            COLUMBIA STREET.

0200 PM     FLOOD            NESHANIC RIVER AT REAVI 40.47N 74.83W
01/24/2019                   HUNTERDON          NJ   OTHER FEDERAL

            THE NESHANIC RIVER AT REAVILLE REACHED MINOR
            FLOOD STAGE.

0230 PM     FLOOD            EAST BRANCH BRANDYWINE  39.97N 75.67W
01/24/2019                   CHESTER            PA   OTHER FEDERAL

            THE EAST BRANCH BRANDYWINE CREEK AT
            DOWNINGTOWN REACHED MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

0231 PM     FLOOD            1 ESE ELKTON            39.60N 75.81W
01/24/2019                   CECIL              MD   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON MD 7 NORTH AND SOUTH AT CRESWELL
            AVE.

0307 PM     FLOOD            BROOKLAWN               39.88N 75.12W
01/24/2019                   CAMDEN             NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON U.S. HIGHWAY 130 AT COUNTY ROAD
            551. LANE RESTRICTIONS REQUIRED.

0319 PM     FLOOD            2 N WILSON              40.71N 75.25W
01/24/2019                   NORTHAMPTON        PA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING AT BUSHKILL DRIVE AND NORTHWOOD
            AVENUE WITH BUSHKILL CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS.
            SEVERAL ROAD CLOSURES IN PLACE.

0321 PM     FLOOD            BANGOR                  40.87N 75.21W
01/24/2019                   NORTHAMPTON        PA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON FOX GAP ROAD, CREEK ROAD, AND
            MAIN STREET IN BANGOR. MARTINS CREEK IN
            FLOOD. SEVERAL ROAD CLOSURES IN PLACE.

0338 PM     FLOOD            1 SE SCHWENKSVILLE      40.24N 75.45W
01/24/2019                   MONTGOMERY         PA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON STATE HIGHWAY 73 AND PLANK ROAD.
            PERKIOMEN CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS. SEVERAL
            ROAD CLOSURES IN PLACE.

0350 PM     FLOOD            2 NNW WILSON            40.71N 75.25W
01/24/2019                   NORTHAMPTON        PA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            IN PALMER TOWNSHIP, VANBUREN ROAD, WALTER
            AVENUE AND STOCKERMILL CLOSED DUE TO
            FLOODING.

0425 PM     FLOOD            1 WNW UPPER SAUCON TWP  40.55N 75.43W
01/24/2019                   LEHIGH             PA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON SAUCON VALLEY ROAD NEAR SAUCON
            CREEK. SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED IN THIS AREA.

0426 PM     FLOOD            GLENDON                 40.67N 75.24W
01/24/2019                   NORTHAMPTON        PA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON LEHIGH DRIVE NEAR THE LEHIGH
            RIVER. NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES IN THIS AREA.

0427 PM     FLOOD            2 WSW EMMAUS            40.53N 75.52W
01/24/2019                   LEHIGH             PA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON INDIAN CREEK ROAD NEAR LEIBERT
            CREEK. ROAD CLOSED.

0430 PM     FLOOD            WESTVILLE               39.88N 75.12W
01/24/2019                   CAMDEN             NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON STATE HIGHWAY 47 SOUTHBOUND AT
            U.S. HIGHWAY 130. ALL LANES CLOSED.

0431 PM     FLOOD            MORGANVILLE             40.37N 74.25W
01/24/2019                   MONMOUTH           NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON STATE HIGHWAY 79 SOUTH OF
            TENNENT ROAD. LANE RESTRICTIONS IN PLACE.

0502 PM     FLOOD            LEONARDS                39.84N 75.20W
01/24/2019                   GLOUCESTER         NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON STATE HIGHWAY 44 SOUTH OF GROVE
            AVENUE. ALL LANES CLOSED.

0600 PM     FLOOD            PAULINS KILL AT BLAIRST 40.98N 74.95W
01/24/2019                   WARREN             NJ   OTHER FEDERAL

            PAULINS KILL AT BLAIRSTOWN REACHED MINOR
            FLOOD STAGE.

0604 PM     FLOOD            1 NNE BUSHKILL TWP      40.83N 75.33W
01/24/2019                   NORTHAMPTON        PA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF OLD
            ALLENTOWN ROAD AND MOUNTAIN ROAD AND ALONG
            PORTIONS OF OLD ALLENTOWN ROAD. ROADS
            CLOSED.

0615 PM     FLOOD            SCHUYLKILL RIVER AT NOR 40.11N 75.35W
01/24/2019                   MONTGOMERY         PA   OTHER FEDERAL

            THE SCHUYLKILL RIVER AT NORRISTOWN REACHED
            MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

0628 PM     FLOOD            2 SE MOORE TWP          40.76N 75.40W
01/24/2019                   NORTHAMPTON        PA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON FIFTH STREET AND YOST ROAD NEAR
            MONOCACY CREEK. ROADS CLOSED.

0645 PM     FLOOD            NORTH BRANCH RARITAN RI 40.56N 74.69W
01/24/2019                   SOMERSET           NJ   OTHER FEDERAL

            THE NORTH BRANCH RARITAN RIVER AT SOUTH
            BRANCH REACHED MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

0645 PM     FLOOD            MILLSTONE RIVER AT GRIG 40.44N 74.62W
01/24/2019                   SOMERSET           NJ   OTHER FEDERAL

            THE MILLSTONE RIVER AT GRIGGSTOWN REACHED
            MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

0650 PM     FLOOD            2 NNE PHILLIPSBURG      40.72N 75.18W
01/24/2019                   WARREN             NJ   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            FLOODING CAUSED ROCKS AND DEBRIS TO FLOW
            ONTO RIVER ROAD NEAR MARBLE HILL ROAD.

1115 PM     FLOOD            PEQUEST RIVER AT HUNTSV 40.98N 74.78W
01/24/2019                   SUSSEX             NJ   OTHER FEDERAL

            THE PEQUEST RIVER AT HUNTSVILLE REACHED
            MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

1124 AM     FLOOD            3 W ATLANTIC CITY       39.37N 74.47W
01/24/2019                   ANZ452             NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON US 40 BOTH DIRECTIONS AT
            ATLANTIC CITY EXPRESSWAY. ALL LANES CLOSED.

1157 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 ESE WEYMOUTH TWP      39.41N 74.74W
01/24/2019                   ATLANTIC           NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            DOWNED TREE ON U.S. HIGHWAY 50 NORTH OF
            CUMBERLAND AVENUE. ROAD CLOSED.

0244 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST MILLVILLE               39.40N 75.04W
01/24/2019  M46 MPH          CUMBERLAND         NJ   ASOS

0308 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST DEWEY BEACH             38.69N 75.07W
01/24/2019  M55 MPH          SUSSEX             DE   MESONET

0321 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST ATLANTIC CITY INTERNATI 39.45N 74.57W
01/24/2019  M55 MPH          ATLANTIC           NJ   ASOS

0342 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST ATLANTIC CITY           39.37N 74.42W
01/24/2019  M49 MPH          ATLANTIC           NJ   MESONET

0342 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST ATLANTIC CITY           39.37N 74.42W
01/24/2019  M49 MPH          ATLANTIC           NJ   MESONET

0347 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST TUCKERTON               39.60N 74.34W
01/24/2019  M49 MPH          OCEAN              NJ   MESONET

&&

CMS
Local storm report, Jan 25, 6:14 AM EST, 4 hours 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
614 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0718 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 E BRECKNOCK TWP.      40.24N 75.97W
01/24/2019                   BERKS              PA   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            DOWNED TREE ON ALLEGHENYVILLE ROAD.

&&

CMS
Local storm report, Jan 25, 6:16 AM EST, 4 hours 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
616 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0718 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 WSW RUSCOMBMANOR TWP  40.42N 75.84W
01/24/2019                   BERKS              PA   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREE DOWN ON WALNUTTOWN ROAD NEAR SAND HILL
            ROAD.

&&

CMS
Local storm report, Jan 25, 6:19 AM EST, 4 hours 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
619 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0816 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG MOHNTON                 40.29N 75.98W
01/24/2019                   BERKS              PA   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            DOWNED TREE ON WYOMISSING ROAD BETWEEN MAIN
            STREET AND WALNUT STREET. ROAD CLOSED.

&&

CMS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 24, 7:47 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningPHISomerset6 hr
Jan 24, 9:39 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningPHIMorris32 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in New Jersey, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.