River Flood Warning 12, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

155 
WGUS81 KPHI 200018
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
818 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the North Branch Rancocas
Creek At Pemberton...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas.
The water may be deeper than you think it is.

&&

NJC005-201017-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-190622T0000Z/
/PEBN4.1.ER.190619T2154Z.190620T0600Z.190621T1800Z.NO/
818 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Branch Rancocas Creek at Pemberton.
* At 7:30 PM, the creek level was 2.80 feet.
* Flood stage is 2.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* Forecast...The creek will continue rising to near 3.3 feet late
  tonight. The creek is forecast to fall back below flood stage
  on Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 3.5 feet...Lee Street, Joe Road and Jill Court in
  Southampton are subject to evacuations. Old Georges Lane and
  Rancoacas Trail in the Ewansville section of Southampton are
  also flooded. The flooding in Eastampton spreads to West
  Railroad Avenue and East Mae Avenue.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 3.2
  feet on September 16, 1999.  
 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Rancocas Creek
  Pemberton              2.5    2.80  Wed 730 PM   3.3   Thu 2 AM 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4001 7482 3998 7466 3998 7459 3993 7457
      3993 7468 3998 7487             

$$

Iovino

211 
WGUS41 KPHI 200307
FLWPHI
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1107 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2019

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for
the North Branch Rancocas Creek At Pemberton...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas.
The water may be deeper than you think it is.

&&

NJC005-200906-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.2.ER.190619T2154Z.190620T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1107 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2019

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The North Branch Rancocas Creek At Pemberton.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:30 PM Wednesday, the creek level was 3.31 feet.
* Flood stage is 2.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 3.6 feet by
  early Thursday, then it should begin falling.
* Impact...At 3.5 feet...Lee Street, Joe Road and Jill Court in
  Southampton are subject to evacuations. Old Georges Lane and
  Rancoacas Trail in the Ewansville section of Southampton are
  also flooded. The flooding in Eastampton spreads to West
  Railroad Avenue and East Mae Avenue.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of
  3.6 feet on May 11, 1998.  

 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Rancocas Creek
  Pemberton              2.5    3.31  Wed 1030 PM   3.6   Thu 5 AM 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4001 7482 3998 7466 3998 7459 3993 7457
      3993 7468 3998 7487             

$$

Iovino

951 
WGUS81 KPHI 200524
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
124 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the North Branch Rancocas
Creek at Pemberton...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas.
The water may be deeper than you think it is.

&&

NJC005-201524-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.2.ER.190619T2154Z.190620T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
124 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Branch Rancocas Creek at Pemberton.
* At 12:30 AM, the creek level was 3.75 feet.
* Flood stage is 2.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* Forecast...The creek will continue rising to near 4.1 feet 
  after daybreak, then it should begin falling.
* Impact...At 4.2 feet...Homes along Lee Street, Joe Road and
  Jill Court take on water. Residents along Old Georges Lane
  and Rancocas Trail are subject to evacuations. Homes in
  Eastampton, including the ones on East Mae Avenue, are 
  inundated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of
  4.2 feet on July 14, 2004.
 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Rancocas Creek
  Pemberton              2.5   3.75  Thu 1230 AM   4.1   Thu 8 AM 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4001 7482 3998 7466 3998 7459 3993 7457
      3993 7468 3998 7487             

$$

Iovino

203 
WGUS81 KPHI 200851
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
451 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the North Branch Rancocas
Creek at Pemberton...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas.
The water may be deeper than you think it is.

&&

NJC005-201851-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.2.ER.190619T2154Z.190620T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
451 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Branch Rancocas Creek at Pemberton.
* At 4:30 AM, the creek level was 4.05 feet.
* Flood stage is 2.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* Forecast...The creek will continue rising to near 4.1 feet
  this morning, then it should begin falling.
* Impact...At 4.2 feet...Homes along Lee Street, Joe Road and
  Jill Court take on water. Residents along Old Georges Lane
  and Rancocas Trail are subject to evacuations. Homes in
  Eastampton, including the ones on East Mae Avenue, are 
  inundated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of
  4.2 feet on July 14, 2004.  
 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Rancocas Creek
  Pemberton              2.5    4.05  Thu 430 AM    4.1    Thu 8 AM 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4001 7482 3998 7466 3998 7459 3993 7457
      3993 7468 3998 7487             

$$

Iovino

688 
WGUS41 KPHI 201248
FLWPHI
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mt Holly NJ
848 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019

...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to Major severity for the 
following rivers in New Jersey...
  
  North Branch Rancocas Creek At Pemberton affecting Burlington County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. The water
may be deeper than you think.

&&

NJC005-201847-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.3.ER.190619T2154Z.190620T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
848 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The North Branch Rancocas Creek At Pemberton.
* Until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:30 AM Thursday the stage was 4.15 feet.
* Flood stage is 2.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 4.3 feet by this 
  afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At 4.2 feet...Homes along Lee Street, Joe Road, and Jill 
  Court take on water. Residents along Old Georges Lane and Rancocas 
  Trail are subject to evacuations. Homes in Eastampton, including 
  the ones on East Mae Avenue, are inundated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 4.2 feet 
  on Jul 14 2004.  
 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG   DAY TIME     CREST

Rancocas Creek
  Pemberton              2.5    4.15  Thu 7 AM     4.3    Thu 2 PM 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4001 7482 3998 7466 3998 7459 3993 7457
      3993 7468 3998 7487             

$$

Kruzdlo

653 
WGUS81 KPHI 201925
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mt Holly NJ
325 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
   New Jersey...
  
  North Branch Rancocas Creek At Pemberton affecting 
  Burlington County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. 
The water may be deeper than you think.

&&

NJC005-210524-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.3.ER.190619T2154Z.190621T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
325 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Branch Rancocas Creek at Pemberton.
* At 3:15 PM Thursday the stage was 4.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 2.5 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 4.7 feet  
  tonight then begin falling.
* Impact...At 4.2 feet...Homes along Lee Street, Joe Road, and 
  Jill Court take on water. Residents along Old Georges Lane and 
  Rancocas Trail are subject to evacuations. Homes in Eastampton,
  including the ones on East Mae Avenue, are inundated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 4.2 
  feet on Jul 14 2004.  

&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG   DAY TIME     CREST

Rancocas Creek
  Pemberton              2.5    4.39  Thu 3 PM     4.7    Fri 2 AM 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4001 7482 3998 7466 3998 7459 3993 7457
      3993 7468 3998 7487             

$$

Kruzdlo

810 
WGUS81 KPHI 210125
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mt Holly NJ
925 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
New Jersey...

North Branch Rancocas Creek At Pemberton affecting Burlington
County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas.
The water may be deeper than you think.

&&

NJC005-211125-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.3.ER.190619T2154Z.190620T2215Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
925 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Branch Rancocas Creek at Pemberton.
* At 9:15 PM Thursday the stage was 4.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 2.5 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will slowly fall through 
  Saturday.
* Impact...At 4.2 feet...Homes along Lee Street, Joe Road, and Jill 
  Court take on water. Residents along Old Georges Lane and Rancocas 
  Trail are subject to evacuations. Homes in Eastampton, including 
  the ones on East Mae Avenue, are inundated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 4.2 feet 
  on Jul 14 2004.  
 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG   DAY TIME     CREST

Rancocas Creek
  Pemberton              2.5    4.41  Thu 9 PM     Cresting 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4001 7482 3998 7466 3998 7459 3993 7457
      3993 7468 3998 7487             

$$

Kruzdlo

281 
WGUS81 KPHI 210847
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mt Holly NJ
447 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
New Jersey...

North Branch Rancocas Creek At Pemberton affecting Burlington 
County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. The 
water may be deeper than you think.

&&

NJC005-211848-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.3.ER.190619T2154Z.190620T2215Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
447 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Branch Rancocas Creek at Pemberton.
* At  4:30 AM Friday the stage was 4.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 2.5 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 3.5 feet by 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 4.2 feet...Homes along Lee Street, Joe Road, and Jill 
  Court take on water. Residents along Old Georges Lane and Rancocas 
  Trail are subject to evacuations. Homes in Eastampton, including the 
  ones on East Mae Avenue, are inundated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 4.2 feet 
  on Jul 14, 2004.

 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Rancocas Creek
  Pemberton              2.5    4.21  Fri 4 AM     4.1    Fri 8 AM 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4001 7482 3998 7466 3998 7459 3993 7457
      3993 7468 3998 7487             

$$

MPS

648 
WGUS81 KPHI 211013
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mt Holly NJ
613 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
New Jersey...

North Branch Rancocas Creek At Pemberton affecting Burlington 
County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. The 
water may be deeper than you think.

&&

NJC005-212012-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.3.ER.190619T2154Z.190620T2215Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
613 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Branch Rancocas Creek at Pemberton.
* At  6:00 AM Friday the stage was 4.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 2.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 3.5 feet 
  by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 4.2 feet...Homes along Lee Street, Joe Road, and Jill 
  Court take on water. Residents along Old Georges Lane and Rancocas 
  Trail are subject to evacuations. Homes in Eastampton, including the 
  ones on East Mae Avenue, are inundated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 4.2 feet 
  on Jul 14, 2004.  

 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Rancocas Creek
  Pemberton              2.5    4.14  Fri 6 AM     Crested and falling
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4001 7482 3998 7466 3998 7459 3993 7457
      3993 7468 3998 7487             

$$

MPS

839 
WGUS81 KPHI 211454
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mt Holly NJ
1054 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New Jersey...

  North Branch Rancocas Creek At Pemberton affecting Burlington County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. The water may be
deeper than you think.

&&

NJC005-220054-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-190623T1400Z/
/PEBN4.3.ER.190619T2154Z.190620T2215Z.190623T0800Z.NR/
1054 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Branch Rancocas Creek at Pemberton.
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 3.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 2.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 3.5 feet...Lee Street, Joe Road and Jill Court in Southampton 
  are subject to evacuations. Old Georges Lane and Rancocas Trail in the 
  Ewansville section of Southampton are also flooded. The flooding in 
  Eastampton spreads to West Railroad Avenue and East Mae Avenue.
* Flooding continues along other portions of the Rancocas Creek, including near 
  Iron Work Park, New Lisbon, and Vincentown.

 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Rancocas Creek
  Pemberton              2.5    3.94  Fri 10 AM    Crested and falling
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4001 7482 3998 7466 3998 7459 3993 7457
      3993 7468 3998 7487             

$$

Robertson

589 
WGUS81 KPHI 212150
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
550 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the North Branch Rancocas
Creek...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas.
The water may be deeper than you think it is.

&&

NJC005-220749-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-190623T1400Z/
/PEBN4.3.ER.190619T2154Z.190620T2215Z.190623T0800Z.NR/
550 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Branch Rancocas Creek at Pemberton.
* At 5:30 PM, the creek level was 3.58 feet.
* Flood stage is 2.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* Forecast...The creek level will continue to fall slowly and it
  should return back below flood stage on Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 3.5 feet...Lee Street, Joe Road and Jill Court in
  Southampton are subject to evacuations. Old Georges Lane and 
  Rancoacas Trail in the Ewansville section of Southampton are
  flooded. Flooding in Eastampton occurs on West Railroad Avenue
  and East Mae Avenue.
* Flooding will continue along the North Branch Rancocas Creek
  from New Lisbon to the Mount Holly area.
   
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Rancocas Creek
  Pemberton              2.5   3.58  Fri 530 PM    Crested
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4001 7482 3998 7466 3998 7459 3993 7457
      3993 7468 3998 7487             

$$

Iovino

182 
WGUS81 KPHI 220133
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
933 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the North Branch Rancocas
Creek...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas.
The water may be deeper than you think it is.

&&

NJC005-221132-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-190623T0900Z/
/PEBN4.3.ER.190619T2154Z.190620T2215Z.190623T0300Z.NR/
933 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Branch Rancocas Creek at Pemberton.
* At 9:15 PM Friday, the creek level was 3.40 feet.
* Flood stage is 2.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* Forecast...The creek level will continue to fall slowly and
  it should return back below flood stage on Saturday night.
* Impact...Flooding continues along the North Branch Rancocas
  Creek from New Lisbon to Mount Holly.
 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Rancocas Creek
  Pemberton              2.5   3.40  Fri 915 PM    Crested 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4001 7482 3998 7466 3998 7459 3993 7457
      3993 7468 3998 7487             

$$

Iovino

928 
WGUS81 KPHI 220803
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mt Holly NJ
403 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the North Branch Rancocas 
Creek...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. 
The water may be deeper than you think.

&&

NJC005-221802-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-190623T0900Z/
/PEBN4.3.ER.190619T2154Z.190620T2215Z.190623T0300Z.NR/
403 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Branch Rancocas Creek at Pemberton.
* At  3:45 AM Saturday the stage was 3.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 2.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage 
  by tonight.
* Impact...At 3.5 feet...Lee Street, Joe Road, and Jill Court in 
  Southampton are subject to evacuations. Old Georges Lane, Rancoacas 
  Trail in the Ewansville section of Southampton are also flooded. The 
  flooding in Eastampton spreads to West Railroad Avenue and East Mae 
  Avenue.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 3.0 feet 
  on Nov 27, 2018.  

 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Rancocas Creek
  Pemberton              2.5    3.11  Sat 4 AM     Crested
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4001 7482 3998 7466 3998 7459 3993 7457
      3993 7468 3998 7487             

$$

MPS

869 
WGUS81 KPHI 221718
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mt Holly NJ
118 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the North Branch Rancocas Creek...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. The water may be
deeper than you think.

&&

NJC005-230316-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-190623T0900Z/
/PEBN4.3.ER.190619T2154Z.190620T2215Z.190623T0300Z.NR/
118 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Branch Rancocas Creek at Pemberton.
* At 12:45 PM Saturday the stage was 2.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 2.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tonight.
* Impact...At 2.5 feet...Some minor flooding begins in Eastampton along Rustic, 
  Peninsula, and Paducah Roads. Lee Street, Joe Road, and Jill Court in 
  Southampton also begin to flood.
 
 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Rancocas Creek
  Pemberton              2.5    2.83  Sat 1 PM     Crested 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4001 7482 3998 7466 3998 7459 3993 7457
      3993 7468 3998 7487             

$$

Franklin

309 
WGUS81 KPHI 230028
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mt Holly NJ
828 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New Jersey...

  North Branch Rancocas Creek At Pemberton affecting Burlington County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. The water may be
deeper than you think.

&&

NJC005-231027-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-190624T0000Z/
/PEBN4.3.ER.190619T2154Z.190620T2215Z.190623T1800Z.NR/
828 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Branch Rancocas Creek at Pemberton.
* At  8:15 PM Saturday the stage was 2.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 2.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 2.5 feet...Some minor flooding begins in Eastampton along Rustic, 
  Peninsula, and Paducah Roads. Lee Street, Joe Road, and Jill Court in 
  Southampton also begin to flood.

 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Rancocas Creek
  Pemberton              2.5    2.67  Sat 8 PM     Crested
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4001 7482 3998 7466 3998 7459 3993 7457
      3993 7468 3998 7487             

$$

NC

825 
WGUS81 KPHI 230928
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mt Holly NJ
528 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
New Jersey...
  North Branch Rancocas Creek At Pemberton affecting 
  Burlington County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. 
The water may be deeper than you think.

&&

NJC005-231927-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-190624T0000Z/
/PEBN4.3.ER.190619T2154Z.190620T2215Z.190623T1800Z.NR/
528 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Branch Rancocas Creek at Pemberton.
* At  5:15 AM Sunday the stage was 2.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 2.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 2.5 feet...Some minor flooding begins in Eastampton 
  along Rustic, Peninsula, and Paducah Roads. Lee Street, Joe Road, 
  and Jill Court in Southampton also begin to flood.
 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Rancocas Creek
  Pemberton              2.5    2.53  Sun 5 AM     Crested
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4001 7482 3998 7466 3998 7459 3993 7457
      3993 7468 3998 7487             

$$

MPS

068 
WGUS81 KPHI 231346
FLSPHI
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mt Holly NJ
945 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2019

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in New Jersey...

  North Branch Rancocas Creek At Pemberton affecting Burlington County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. The water may be
deeper than you think.

&&

NJC005-231415-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-190624T0000Z/
/PEBN4.3.ER.190619T2154Z.190620T2215Z.190623T1215Z.NR/
945 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The North Branch Rancocas Creek at Pemberton.
* At  9:30 AM Sunday the stage was 2.48 feet.
* Flood stage is 2.5 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  8:15 AM Sunday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 2.2 feet by tomorrow morning.


 
&&

                         FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST
 LOCATION                STG    STG  DAY TIME      CREST

Rancocas Creek
  Pemberton              2.5    2.48  Sun 9 AM     2.4    Sun 2 PM 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 4001 7482 3998 7466 3998 7459 3993 7457
      3993 7468 3998 7487             

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
353 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A frontal boundary remains stalled across the area through
tonight, but begins to lift north Thursday as an area of low
pressure moves toward the area along the boundary. This low will
pass to our north Thursday night, pulling a cold front across
the area Thursday night, with a second front or surface trough
moving across the area early Friday morning. Steady northwest
flow will develop Friday into Saturday, before high pressure
briefly affects the area Saturday night, before shifting
offshore and to our south Sunday. A warm front will lift across
the area Sunday night into Monday as an area of low pressure
moves across the Great Lakes region into southeast Canada. High
pressure builds to our south through the middle of next week,
while a surface trough develops across the east coast.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
The stalled boundary is located across southeastern PA and
southern NJ this afternoon. Some showers and thunderstorms are
developing right along the boundary and propagating northward,
with periods of heavy rain as they move through the region. With
high precipitable waters across the area today, we will
continue to see heavy rain fall. With such wet antecedent
conditions after the rain from the past couple of days, we
remain sensitive to flash flooding. While the showers are
moving, they aren't moving that quickly which will allow for
heavy rain to fall over a single location for a longer period
time increasing the risk for flash flooding.

Showers and thunderstorms will continue into this evening. We
should lose the thunder as we head into the overnight period as
the atmosphere starts to stabilize but showers will remain
possible. Not much relief overnight as we remain socked in with
clouds and temperatures will have a hard time dropping off too
much. Lows are expected to remain in the 60s to lower 70s. With
so much moisture across the region (and dew points into the
upper 60s to lower 70s), expect fog and low clouds to develop
once again and continue into the morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
Another day, more convection. Seems to be the theme of the week
around the Mid-Atlantic but thankfully this looks to be the
last day of unsettled weather as we head towards the end of the
week.

A low pressure system will track through the Ohio Valley and
into the mid-Atlantic along the stalled boundary. Good surface
heating is expected to take place on Thursday and will help with
convective initiation as the majority of the forecast area
looks to remain in the warm sector. SPC has placed the majority
of our forecast area into a slight risk for severe weather.
There is decent shear (improved in the lower levels than is
present today) and CAPE >1000J/kg present and convection should
have no problem developing ahead of the approaching cold front,
although there may be more forward storm motion present than
there is today. Damaging winds looks to be the main threat at
this time but there is some indication we could see supercells
develop in which case we can't rule out the possibility of
rotating cells. With PWATs remaining around 2 inches, we will
continue to have a heavy rain threat and though the coverage may
not be as widespread, we have seen a fair amount of rain this
week and it is likely that the Flash Flood Watch will need to be
extended/expanded and/or re-issued into Thursday.

Temperatures will rise into the 80s through much of the area
and even into the lower 90s across southern Delaware and nearby
areas of eastern Maryland. The limiting factor, especially
across our northern areas, will be the cloud cover as the day
starts off with fog/low clouds across the region and just how
fast they clear will play a role in just how fast temperatures
can rise through the day.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
An area of low pressure will continue to move to our north and
strengthen as it does so. This will drag a cold front across the
area during the evening and overnight hours Thursday, with a
secondary front or surface trough moving across the area Friday
morning. This will keep enhanced precipitation chances through
Thursday night and Friday morning as several short
wave/vorticity impulses will move across the area and combine
with some enhance moisture. There remains instability Thursday
night and Friday morning, so thunderstorms will remain in the
forecast, and with PW values around 1.5 inches, heavy rainfall
could continue to be a threat.

The fronts will continue to push to our south during the day
Friday, and showers will come to an end by midday. However, the
pressure gradient will tighten with low pressure to our
northeast and high pressure to our northwest. This will likely
lead to be quite gusty during the day Friday, possibly reaching
20-30 mph.

High pressure remains to our west for Friday night into
Saturday, briefly building over the area Saturday night. This
will keep dry conditions across the area through Friday night
and Saturday. Winds will likely gust again Saturday, but not as
gusty as Friday, generally 15-20 mph.

The high then shifts offshore Sunday, before a warm front
begins to approach Sunday night. Most of the day Sunday is
expected to be dry, however, this could begin to change by late
Sunday into Sunday night as some moisture and a couple of short
waves move across the area and may lead to a chance of showers
and thunderstorms.

High pressure builds into the Northeast Monday as the upper
level trough lifts out of the region into the Canadian
Maritimes. A surface low will move just north of the Great
Lakes, drawing a warm front northward across the mid-Atlantic
during the day. Thus, warmer highs than Sunday can be expected.
Precipitation looks rather limited at this point with the front,
but kept a chance for showers and thunderstorms in the grids
for now. A return to a more humid airmass will occur, though, as
PWATs jump back to near 2 inches across the region.

The surface low continues to deepen as it moves into central
Ontario and eastern Quebec Monday night into Tuesday. As it does
so, a cold front will be pulled out of the Ohio Valley toward
the mid-Atlantic. At this point, model consensus appears to
shunt the precipitation north of the area. Best chances for
showers and thunderstorms looks to be across the northwestern
portions of the CWA at this time. There will be some
instability, so there is the potential for thunderstorms, but
timing will help determine any potential severe risk. If the
front is slower to arrive, coming Tuesday afternoon, the threat
may be greater. Regardless, it looks to be a warm a humid day
with highs in the upper 80s to near 90.

Highs will be a little cooler Wednesday behind the front, with
most places topping out in the mid 80s. Some discrepancy remains
as to how quickly the trough exits the Northeast, thus,
continued a slight chance for showers through the day Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Rest of today...VFR cigs are creeping northward this afternoon
but we are still primarily seeing MVFR across the region, with
IFR conditions continuing at KTTN. Showers are developing and
will remain scattered across the region through this afternoon
and into this evening. Any shower that moves over the terminals
will cause conditions to drop briefly. Generally light southeast
winds less than 10 knots.

Tonight...Showers will continue this evening and into the
overnight. Cigs will drop to MVFR and then IFR, possibly LIFR,
overnight. Vis restrictions in fog possible, especially in areas
that see more rain tonight.

Thursday...IFR conditions will start to lift to MVFR during the
morning and then possibly become VFR at KPHL/KILG by early
afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms with MVFR or lower
conditions possible mainly during the afternoon and evening.
South to southwest winds less than 10 knots with higher winds
and gust in thunderstorms.

OUTLOOK...

Thursday night... VFR possible early, lowering to MVFR
overnight. Especially with any showers and thunderstorms.

Friday...MVFR conditions possible early, before improving to
VFR during the day. Chance of showers early. Winds shift to
northwest with gusts 20-25 knots.

Friday night-Saturday night...VFR conditions expected. Northwest
winds may gust 15-20 knots during the day Saturday.

Sunday-Sunday night...MVFR conditions expected. Chance of
showers Sunday night. West to southwest winds may gust around 15
knots during the day Sunday.

Monday...VFR with southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Gusts to 15
knots possible, especially along the shore.

&&

.MARINE...
Sub-Small Craft Advisory conditions are expected to continue
through Thursday. Winds out of the south to southeast around 10
to 15 knots tonight, becoming southwest on Thursday. Seas around
1 to 3 feet.

Higher winds and waves in showers and thunderstorms.

Outlook...
Thursday night-Friday night...Small Craft Advisory conditions
possible with guts 25-30 knots possible. Gale force winds
possible during the day Friday.

Saturday-Sunday night...Conditions expected to drop below
advisory levels by Saturday and remain below advisory levels
through Sunday night.

Monday...sub SCA conditions expected with southwesterly winds
10 to 15 knots and seas 1 to 3 feet.

Rip Currents...

A low risk for the development of dangerous rip currents is
expected to continue through today with waves in the surf zone 3
feet or less.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for PAZ054-055-060>062-
     070-071-101>106.
NJ...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for NJZ001-007>010-
     012>019.
DE...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for DEZ001.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM Thursday to 6 PM EDT Friday for
     ANZ430-431-451>455.
     Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM to 6 PM EDT Friday for ANZ450.

&&

Synopsis...Robertson
Near Term...Meola
Short Term...Meola
Long Term...Davis/Robertson/Jain
Aviation...Davis/Robertson/Meola
Marine...Davis/Robertson/Meola

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
356 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2019

DEZ001-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015>019-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-
101>106-202000-
New Castle-Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-
Western Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-Gloucester-Camden-
Northwestern Burlington-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-
Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
356 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Delaware, central
New Jersey, northern New Jersey, northwest New Jersey, southern New
Jersey, east central Pennsylvania, northeast Pennsylvania and
southeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible Thursday afternoon and
evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ020>023-027-202000-
Kent-Inland Sussex-Cecil-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Ocean-
Cumberland-Atlantic-Cape May-Southeastern Burlington-
356 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Delaware, southern
Delaware, northeast Maryland and southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible Thursday afternoon and
evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ014-202000-
Eastern Monmouth-
356 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible Thursday afternoon and
evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-NJZ025-026-202000-
Delaware Beaches-Coastal Atlantic-Coastal Ocean-
356 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Delaware and
southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible Thursday afternoon and
evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-431-450>455-NJZ024-202000-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
356 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters,
Delaware Bay Waters and southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Some thunderstorms Thursday afternoon and evening may produce local
wind gusts to 34 knots or greater.

There is a chance for occassional gale force winds Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.