Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 39, NWS Mobile, AL

May 9, 2019George County, Greene County, Jackson County, Mississippi

NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at May 9, 2019, 9:16 PM CDT for George County, Greene County, Jackson County, Mississippi. It took effect at May 14, 2019, 7:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 17 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 9, 2019, 9:16 PM CDT (02:16 UTC)
In effect from
May 14, 2019, 7:00 AM CDT
Expired
May 30, 2019, 9:16 PM CDT
In force
17 days
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Jackson County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Pascagoula River at Merrill (MRRM6). The gauge peaked at 23.16 ft at May 18, 2019, 12:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate102005/1005/1105/1205/1305/1405/1505/1605/1705/1805/1905/2005/2105/2205/2305/2405/2505/2605/2705/2805/2905/3005/3106/01
Action stage
12.5 ft
Minor stage
22 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
32 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02479000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

083 
WGUS44 KMOB 100216
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
916 PM CDT Thu May 9 2019



...The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a flood warning for the 
following river in Mississippi... 

  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties.

.Heavy rainfall is forecast to occur over the next 24 hours. As a result...river
levels are forecast to rise and a flood warning is now in effect. It is 
emphasized that the following forecast is based on the expected rainfall during 
the next 24 hours. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-110216-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0039.190515T1545Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190515T1545Z.190516T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
916 PM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Pascagoula At Merrill
* From Wednesday morning until further notice
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was...8.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast 
* Flood stage is 22 feet. 
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late Wednesday morning and continue to 
  rise near 22.5 feet by Thursday early afternoon. Additional rises are possible
  thereafter.
* At 18 feet...Some roads west of the river become flooded.
* At 20 feet...Water covers the main road at Plum Bluff in southern George County. 
* At 22 feet...Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in west Merrill.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
18 follow-up statements
272 
WGUS84 KMOB 101546
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1046 AM CDT Fri May 10 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-111545-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.190515T1545Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190515T1545Z.190516T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1046 AM CDT Fri May 10 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* From late Wednesday morning until further notice.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 8.9 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late Wednesday morning and continue to 
  rise near 22.5 feet by Thursday early afternoon. Additional rises are possible
  thereafter.
* At 22 feet...Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in west Merrill.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
600 
WGUS84 KMOB 110104
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
804 PM CDT Fri May 10 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
Mississippi...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 
  Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-120103-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.190512T2200Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.190512T2200Z.190516T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Fri May 10 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* From Sunday afternoon until further notice.
* At 7 PM Friday the stage was 16.8 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday afternoon and continue to rise 
  to near 35.3 feet by Wednesday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* At 40.0 feet...Widespread flooding of timber and pastureland. Portions of 
  State Highway 114 east of the river becomes covered by water. Cabins on Old 
  Ferry Road flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-120103-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.190513T0349Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.190513T0349Z.190515T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Fri May 10 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From Sunday before midnight until further notice.
* At 7 PM Friday the stage was 12.8 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday before midnight and continue to 
  rise to near 27.3 feet by Wednesday early afternoon. Additional rises are 
  possible thereafter.
* At 30.0 feet...Roads leading into the Powersouth power plant will begin to 
  flood, along with roads along the east side of the river.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

MSC039-041-111-120103-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0037.190514T0051Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.190514T0051Z.190515T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Fri May 10 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Leaf Near Mclain
* From Monday evening until further notice.
* At 7 PM Friday the stage was 8.6 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Monday evening and continue to rise near
  20.0 feet by Wednesday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Considerable flooding of agricultural and lowlands near the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871
 3098 8877 3114 8887                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-120103-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0038.190512T1040Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.190512T1040Z.190516T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Fri May 10 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* From Sunday morning until further notice.
* At 7 PM Friday the stage was 14.3 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday morning and continue to rise near
  25.0 feet by Wednesday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* At 26.0 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

MSC039-041-059-120103-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0039.190515T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190515T0900Z.190516T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Fri May 10 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* From Wednesday morning until further notice.
* At 7 PM Friday the stage was 9.4 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and continue to rise 
  near 22.5 feet by Thursday early afternoon. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 22.0 feet...Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in west Merrill.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
485 
WGUS84 KMOB 111515
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1015 AM CDT Sat May 11 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-121514-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0039.190513T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190513T1500Z.190516T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 AM CDT Sat May 11 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* From late Monday morning until further notice.
* At 9 AM Saturday the stage was 12.3 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late Monday morning and continue to rise
  near 23 feet by Thursday early afternoon. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 23.5 feet...Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates. Streets of Merrill 
  flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
354 
WGUS84 KMOB 121421
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
921 AM CDT Sun May 12 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-131420-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0039.190513T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190513T1800Z.190517T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
921 AM CDT Sun May 12 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* From tomorrow early afternoon until further notice.
* At 8 AM Sunday the stage was 19.3 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and continue to
  rise near 24.1 feet by Friday morning. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 24 feet...Streets of Merrill will become flooded. At 24 feet the bridge 
  becomes inacessible by vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
607 
WGUS84 KMOB 130303
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1003 PM CDT Sun May 12 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-140303-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0039.190514T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190514T0900Z.190518T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1003 PM CDT Sun May 12 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* From Tuesday morning until further notice.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 20.4 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning and continue to rise 
  near 24.5 feet by Saturday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* At 25 feet...Flooding of some residences will occur as the level rises above
  25 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
942 
WGUS84 KMOB 131429
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
929 AM CDT Mon May 13 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-141428-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0039.190514T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190514T1200Z.190517T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
929 AM CDT Mon May 13 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* From tomorrow morning until further notice.
* At 9 AM Monday the stage was 21.1 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise 
  near 24 feet by Friday morning.
* At 24 feet...Streets of Merrill will become flooded. At 24 feet the bridge 
  becomes inacessible by vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
280 
WGUS84 KMOB 140152
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
852 PM CDT Mon May 13 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-150151-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.190514T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190514T1200Z.190517T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
852 PM CDT Mon May 13 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* From tomorrow morning until further notice.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 21.4 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise 
  near 24 feet by Friday morning.
* At 24 feet...Streets of Merrill will become flooded. At 24 feet the bridge 
  becomes inacessible by vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
109 
WGUS84 KMOB 141529
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1029 AM CDT Tue May 14 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-151528-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190514T1800Z.190517T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 AM CDT Tue May 14 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* From this afternoon until further notice.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 21.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to rise near
  24 feet by Friday.
* At 22 feet...Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in west Merrill.
* At 23.5 feet...Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates and the streets of 
  Merrill flood.
* At 24 feet...Streets of Merrill will become flooded and the bridge becomes 
  inacessible by vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
823 
WGUS84 KMOB 150214
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
914 PM CDT Tue May 14 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-160214-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190514T1810Z.190517T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 PM CDT Tue May 14 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until further notice.
* At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 22.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24 feet by Friday morning then begin 
  falling.
* At 24 feet...Streets of Merrill will become flooded. At 24 feet the bridge 
  becomes inacessible by vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
514 
WGUS84 KMOB 151603
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1103 AM CDT Wed May 15 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-161602-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190514T1810Z.190517T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1103 AM CDT Wed May 15 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until further notice.
* At 10AM Wednesday the stage was 22.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.0 feet by Friday morning then begin 
  falling.
* At 24 feet...Streets of Merrill will become flooded. At 24 feet the bridge 
  becomes inacessible by vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
458 
WGUS84 KMOB 160025
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
725 PM CDT Wed May 15 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-170025-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190514T1810Z.190517T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
725 PM CDT Wed May 15 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until further notice.
* At 7 PM Wednesday the stage was 22.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24 feet by Friday morning then begin 
  falling.
* At 24 feet...Streets of Merrill will become flooded. At 24 feet the bridge 
  becomes inacessible by vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
807 
WGUS84 KMOB 161513
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1013 AM CDT Thu May 16 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-171512-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190514T1810Z.190517T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT Thu May 16 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until further notice.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 22.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 23.5 feet by tomorrow early afternoon 
  then begin falling.
* At 23.5 feet...Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates. Streets of Merrill 
  flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
041 
WGUS84 KMOB 170218
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
918 PM CDT Thu May 16 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-180217-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-190522T0200Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190514T1810Z.190517T1800Z.190521T2000Z.NO/
918 PM CDT Thu May 16 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until Tuesday evening.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 23 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 23.5 feet by tomorrow afternoon. The
  river will fall below flood stage by Tuesday afternoon.
* At 23.5 feet...Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates. Streets of Merrill 
  flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
342 
WGUS84 KMOB 171611
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1111 AM CDT Fri May 17 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-181611-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-190522T0600Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190514T1810Z.190518T0000Z.190522T0000Z.NO/
1111 AM CDT Fri May 17 2019

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until late Tuesday night.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 23.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 23.3 feet by this evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Tuesday evening.
* At 23.5 feet...Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates. Streets of Merrill 
  flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
858 
WGUS84 KMOB 180222
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
922 PM CDT Fri May 17 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-190222-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-190522T0600Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190514T1810Z.190517T2345Z.190522T0000Z.NO/
922 PM CDT Fri May 17 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until late Tuesday night.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 23.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river is cresting and will begin to slowly fall on Saturday. The river will
  fall below flood stage by Tuesday evening.
* At 23.5 feet...Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates. Streets of Merrill 
  flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
430 
WGUS84 KMOB 181542
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1042 AM CDT Sat May 18 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-191541-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-190522T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190514T1810Z.190517T2345Z.190521T1800Z.NO/
1042 AM CDT Sat May 18 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until Tuesday evening.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 23.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue to crest near 23.1 feet through this evening. The river 
  will begin to slowly fall on Sunday and will fall below flood stage by Tuesday
  afternoon.
* At 23.5 feet...Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates. Streets of Merrill 
  flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
165 
WGUS84 KMOB 191553
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1053 AM CDT Sun May 19 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-201200-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-190520T1200Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190514T1810Z.190517T2345Z.190520T0600Z.NO/
1053 AM CDT Sun May 19 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until Monday morning.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 22.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue to slowly fall to below flood stage after midnight 
  tomorrow.
* At 22 feet...Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in west Merrill.
* At 20 feet...Water covers the main road at Plum Bluff in southern George County.
* At 18.5 feet...Water covers roads at Smith's Fish Camp in Southern George County.
* At 15 feet...Water is under homes in Cedar Creek Estates.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
738 
WGUS84 KMOB 200201
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
901 PM CDT Sun May 19 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-210201-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-190524T0600Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.190512T0330Z.190519T1115Z.190524T0000Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Sun May 19 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until late Thursday night.
* At 8PM Sunday the stage was 25.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Thursday evening.
* At 26.0 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

MSC039-041-059-201200-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-190520T1200Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190514T1810Z.190517T2345Z.190520T0600Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Sun May 19 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until Monday morning.
* At 8PM Sunday the stage was 22.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by after midnight 
  tomorrow.
* At 22.0 feet...Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in west Merrill.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 9, 6:29 PM CDT, 2 hours 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 9, 6:29 PM CDT, 2 hours 47 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
629 PM CDT Thu May 9 2019

.DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z issuance...Conditions across the area at 00z are general mid
level MVFR or higher, except for low end MVFR over the I-10
corridor along a south-southeastward moving outflow boundary.
This boundary is bringing widespread rain-showers and a few
thunderstorms, with general rainshowers as one moved inland. As
the outflow continues south of the coast, conditions will improve
to general MVFR to VFR and are expected to last into the overnight
hours with general northerly winds between 5 and 10 knots. CIGs
and VISBYs will drop to low end MVFR/IFR levels after 06z as
fog/stratus forms, especially over areas along that have received
substantial rain during the afternoon/evening hours and winds
become light. Conditions Friday will rise to general MVFR/VFR
levels during the morning, but another round of showers and
thunderstorms will bring low end MVFR conditions again with
southerly winds rising to 10 to 15 knots by afternoon.
/16

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 406 PM CDT Thu May 9 2019/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Friday/...A decaying MCS will continue to
slowly sink toward the coast through early this evening. The severe
threat will continue to decrease through the late afternoon as well,
as the upper dynamics continue to pull well away to the north. An
isolated severe storm cannot be completely ruled out with damaging
winds the main threat. Locally heavy rain will also be possible,
however the main flooding risk is expected to remain north and west
of the area. A frontal boundary will remained stalled from northern
Alabama across central Mississippi through Friday night. This will
maintain a warm and unstable airmass over our area with scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms across the northwestern half of
the area and scattered coverage over the southeastern half. Severe
thunderstorms are not expected on Friday. Temps on Friday will range
from the upper 70s and low 80s across the northwest to low to mid
80s across the southeast. /13

SHORT TERM /Friday night Through Sunday night/...An upper trof
amplifies over the central states through Saturday night then
progresses into the eastern states during the remainder of the
period. This pattern will maintain a southwesterly flow aloft
with a series of shortwaves moving across the forecast area
through Sunday morning, which then diminish and exit to the east
Sunday afternoon as the upper trof advances into the eastern
states. A surface low is expected to develop near the Texas coast
Friday night and move off into the northeast states, bringing a
trailing cold front through the forecast area Sunday afternoon
into Sunday evening. MLCAPE values increase to 1500-2000 J/kg over
much of the area on Saturday with values of 1000-1500 J/kg
expected for Sunday. Shear coincident with the better instability
will be limited (0-1 km Helicity < 100 m2/s2) although higher
values will be possible in regions of lower instability. Model
soundings show dry air centered near 700 mb on Saturday which will
enhance downdraft production, but also a potential cap near 750
mb. Model soundings on Sunday show more moisture indicating less
of potential for strong downdraft production. Each day supports
the development of some strong storms each afternoon into the
early evening, but Saturday, with the higher instability and mid
level dry air, also has the potential for a few severe storms.

The better forcing (primarily isentropic lift) will be along and
west of I-65 on Saturday where will have likely pops with chance
pops further to the east. Categorical pops follow for most of the
area on Sunday as the front moves into the area.  Highs on
Saturday will be 80 to 85 west of I-65 with mid 80s further to the
east, then highs on Sunday will be mainly in the lower 80s. Lows
Friday night and Saturday night typically range from the upper 60s
inland to the lower 70s at the coast. Lows Sunday night in the
wake of the cold front range from the upper 50s well inland to the
mid 60s at the coast. A moderate risk of rip currents is expected
through the period. /29

LONG TERM /Monday Through Thursday/...A surface high builds into
the region through Monday night in the wake of the cold front and
lingers through Tuesday night while the eastern states upper trof
continues off into the western Atlantic. A well defined
shortwave trof (remnants of an earlier upper low) meanwhile advances
across the south central states, then weakens while continuing
eastward along the northern Gulf and adjacent coastal areas on
Thursday while a larger scale upper trof amplifies over the
eastern states. A surface low is expected to develop well to the
north with the amplifying upper trof, and bring a trailing weak cold
front into the forecast area on Thursday. Mainly dry conditions
are expected through Tuesday, then slight chance to chance pops
follow for Wednesday and Thursday as the weakening shortwave trof
approaches followed by the weak front moving into the area. /29

MARINE...A moderate south to southeast wind flow will decrease
tonight into Friday in response to high pressure slowly shifting
eastward, combined with a weak cold front slowly approaching from
the northwest. The weak cold front will eventually move off the
coast Sunday night into early Monday leading to a light offshore
flow Monday and Monday night. /13

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CDT Friday for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CDT Friday for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mob
Hazardous weather outlook, May 9, 3:44 AM CDT, 17 hours 32 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
344 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-100845-
Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-
Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George-
344 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Alabama...southwest Alabama...northwest Florida and southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a HIGH risk for rip currents along Gulf beaches of
Alabama and Northwest Florida through tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms will develop today and tonight. A few
strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible, especially over
interior sections of southwest Alabama and southeast Mississippi.
The main impacts will be gusty straight line winds, frequent cloud
to ground lightning and periods of very heavy rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

There is a MODERATE risk of rip currents Friday through Sunday.

Showers and storms will develop each day Friday through Sunday.
A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible. The main
impacts will be gusty straight line winds, frequent cloud to
ground lightning and periods of very heavy rain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of SkyWarn Severe Storm Spotter networks is not
expected through Wednesday.

GMZ630>636-650-655-670-675-100845-
Northern Mobile Bay-Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound-
Perdido Bay-Pensacola Bay System-Western Choctawhatchee Bay-
Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay-
Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola
FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL from
20 to 60 NM-
344 AM CDT Thu May 9 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the coastal
waters of Alabama and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Hazardous wind and wave conditions for small craft will be
possible today and early tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage late today and
tonight. A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible.
Gusty straight line winds, frequent lightning and heavy rain will
be the main impacts from the stronger storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage Friday through
Sunday. A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible each
day. Gusty straight line winds, frequent lightning and heavy rain
will be the main impacts from the stronger storms.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 9, 3:40 PM CDT, 5 hours 36 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
340 PM CDT Thu May 9 2019

ALZ054-056>058-092145-
Wilcox AL-Conecuh AL-Butler AL-Crenshaw AL-
340 PM CDT Thu May 9 2019

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...BUTLER...CRENSHAW...SOUTHEASTERN WILCOX AND NORTHEASTERN
CONECUH COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM CDT...

At 340 PM CDT, the strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Davenport to 8 miles northwest of Evergreen, and
moving east at 35 mph.

Dime size hail and winds gusts of 40 to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Greenville, Luverne, Georgiana, McKenzie, Rutledge, Petrey and
Highland Home.

LAT...LON 3146 8640 3153 8641 3152 8670 3145 8670
      3146 8720 3164 8714 3172 8705 3175 8691
      3183 8691 3183 8699 3196 8686 3196 8641
      3204 8640 3205 8640 3205 8630 3197 8630
      3196 8619 3179 8620 3179 8615 3172 8615
TIME...MOT...LOC 2040Z 268DEG 28KT 3209 8639 3154 8701
Local storm report, May 9, 6:37 PM CDT, 2 hours 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
637 PM CDT THU MAY 9 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0541 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MOBILE                  30.68N 88.07W
05/09/2019                   MOBILE             AL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            MEDIA REPORT OF FLOODING ALONG GOVERNMENT
            ST. FROM AIRPORT BLVD TO THE BANKHEAD
            TUNNEL. SOME SIDE STREETS REPORTED
            IMPASSIBLE. REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

BB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 9, 9:09 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMOBGeorge, Greene, Perry10 days
May 9, 9:13 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMOBGeorge, Greene, Wayne12 days
May 10, 5:22 AM CDTFlash Flood WatchMOBGeorge, Greene, Perry, Stone, Wayne53 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.