Alert archive / Massachusetts / Wind Advisories in 2019
Wind Advisory 20, NWS Boston/Norton, MA
NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this wind advisory at Nov 23, 2019, 3:48 PM EST for 8 counties in Massachusetts. It took effect at Nov 24, 2019, 4:00 PM EST. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 23, 2019, 3:48 PM EST (20:48 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 24, 2019, 4:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Nov 24, 2019, 9:23 PM EST
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Boston/Norton, MA
Counties Barnstable County, MA, Dukes County, MA, Essex County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Nantucket County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA
The radar
The Boston radar (KBOX), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Chatham, MA (KCHH), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 76 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1615 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -4 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 140 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
979 WWUS71 KBOX 232048 NPWBOX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 348 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2019 MAZ007-019-022>024-240500- /O.NEW.KBOX.WI.Y.0020.191124T2200Z-191125T0900Z/ Eastern Essex MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA- Nantucket MA- Including the cities of Gloucester, Plymouth, Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, Vineyard Haven, and Nantucket 348 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West to northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 45 to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Cape Cod, Nantucket, Martha's Vineyard, easternmost Plymouth County, and Cape Ann. * WHEN...From 5 PM Sunday to 4 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/box
6 follow-up statements
561 WWUS71 KBOX 240431 NPWBOX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 1131 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2019 MAZ007-019-022>024-241245- /O.CON.KBOX.WI.Y.0020.191124T2200Z-191125T0900Z/ Eastern Essex MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA- Nantucket MA- Including the cities of Gloucester, Plymouth, Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, Vineyard Haven, and Nantucket 1131 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West to northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 45 to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Cape Cod, Nantucket, Martha's Vineyard, easternmost Plymouth County, and Cape Ann. * WHEN...From 5 PM Sunday to 4 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/box
529 WWUS71 KBOX 240929 NPWBOX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 429 AM EST Sun Nov 24 2019 MAZ007-019-022>024-241730- /O.CON.KBOX.WI.Y.0020.191124T2200Z-191125T0900Z/ Eastern Essex MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA- Nantucket MA- Including the cities of Gloucester, Plymouth, Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, Vineyard Haven, and Nantucket 429 AM EST Sun Nov 24 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West to northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 45 to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Cape Cod, Nantucket, Martha's Vineyard, easternmost Plymouth County, and Cape Ann. * WHEN...From 5 PM Sunday to 4 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/box
002 WWUS71 KBOX 241454 NPWBOX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 954 AM EST Sun Nov 24 2019 MAZ007-019-022>024-242300- /O.CON.KBOX.WI.Y.0020.191124T2200Z-191125T0900Z/ Eastern Essex MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA- Nantucket MA- Including the cities of Gloucester, Plymouth, Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, Vineyard Haven, and Nantucket 954 AM EST Sun Nov 24 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West to northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 45 to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Cape Cod, Nantucket, Martha's Vineyard, easternmost Plymouth County, and Cape Ann. * WHEN...From 5 PM Sunday to 4 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/box
775 WWUS71 KBOX 241830 NPWBOX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 130 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2019 MAZ022-250230- /O.UPG.KBOX.WI.Y.0020.191124T2200Z-191125T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.HW.W.0009.191124T2200Z-191125T0600Z/ Barnstable MA- Including the cities of Chatham, Falmouth, and Provincetown 130 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts between 50 and 60 mph. * WHERE...Barnstable MA County. * WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds may result in some downed trees and scattered power outages. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ MAZ014>016-018-021-250230- /O.EXB.KBOX.WI.Y.0020.191124T2100Z-191125T0600Z/ Southeast Middlesex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA- Western Plymouth MA-Southern Plymouth MA- Including the cities of Cambridge, Boston, Quincy, Brockton, and Mattapoisett 130 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West to northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 45 to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Southeast Middlesex MA, Suffolk MA, Eastern Norfolk MA, Western Plymouth MA and Southern Plymouth MA Counties. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ MAZ007-019-023-024-250230- /O.EXT.KBOX.WI.Y.0020.191124T2100Z-191125T0600Z/ Eastern Essex MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA- Including the cities of Gloucester, Plymouth, Vineyard Haven, and Nantucket 130 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West to northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 45 to 50 mph expected. A few gusts up to 55 mph possible for Nantucket. * WHERE...Cape Cod, Nantucket, Martha's Vineyard, easternmost Plymouth County, and Cape Ann. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ Frank For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/box
215 WWUS71 KBOX 242116 NPWBOX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 416 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2019 MAZ022-250530- /O.CON.KBOX.HW.W.0009.191124T2200Z-191125T0600Z/ Barnstable MA- Including the cities of Chatham, Falmouth, and Provincetown 416 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts between 50 and 60 mph. * WHERE...Barnstable MA County. * WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds may result in some downed trees and scattered power outages. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ MAZ007-014>016-018-019-021-023-024-250530- /O.CON.KBOX.WI.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-191125T0600Z/ Eastern Essex MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-Suffolk MA- Eastern Norfolk MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA- Southern Plymouth MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA- Including the cities of Gloucester, Cambridge, Boston, Quincy, Brockton, Plymouth, Mattapoisett, Vineyard Haven, and Nantucket 416 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West to northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 45 to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Southeast Middlesex MA, Suffolk MA, Eastern Norfolk MA, Western Plymouth MA and Southern Plymouth MA Counties. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Some tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ Frank For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/box
501 WWUS71 KBOX 250223 NPWBOX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 923 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2019 MAZ022-250600- /O.CAN.KBOX.HW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-191125T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.WI.Y.0021.191125T0223Z-191125T0600Z/ Barnstable MA- Including the cities of Chatham, Falmouth, and Provincetown 923 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * WHERE...Barnstable County. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ MAZ007-014>016-018-019-021-023-024-250330- /O.CAN.KBOX.WI.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-191125T0600Z/ Eastern Essex MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-Suffolk MA- Eastern Norfolk MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA- Southern Plymouth MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA- Including the cities of Gloucester, Cambridge, Boston, Quincy, Brockton, Plymouth, Mattapoisett, Vineyard Haven, and Nantucket 923 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Gusty northwest winds will continue to diminish this evening. Peak speeds are expected to remain less than 40 mph, highest across Cape Ann. $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/box
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 23, 12:54 PM EST, 2 hours 54 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 23, 12:54 PM EST, 2 hours 54 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1254 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2019
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure centered over DelMarVa slides eastward passing
south of New England this afternoon. Intensifying low pressure
will bring a a cold soaking rain very late tonight into Sunday.
The rain may begin as a brief period of freezing rain across the
high terrain of the Berkshires/Worcester Hills and end as a bit
of wet snow later Sunday, but any impacts should be limited.
Low pressure then moves into the Maritimes Sunday night, with a
period of breezy northwest winds and gales on the waters. Dry
trend for Monday thru early Wednesday under high pressure, with
above normal temperatures. Another storm system passing to our
north for Wednesday brings a period of showers, with gusty
northwest winds and colder temperatures Wednesday night into
Thanksgiving. Below normal temperatures then may continue into
the upcoming weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
1255 PM Update:
Forecast is on track...with sunny skies and west winds, gusting
to 15-25 mph at times. Highs today in the 40s.
Still monitoring new forecast trends to see if Advisories will
be needed for winter weather, coastal flooding, or wind with
this next system.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...
* A cold soaking rain is in store for the region on Sunday
* High terrain of the Berks/Worcester Hills may see a touch of ice
Sun am and a bit of wet snow in the afternoon, but rain dominates
Tonight...
Light winds early this evening and just some high clouds will allow
temps to quickly drop after sunset across the outlying locations.
Some areas will see temps fall into the upper 20s to lower 30s, but
these readings should level off and rise later tonight as clouds
thicken ahead of an approaching low pressure. While dry weather
should prevail this evening, expect widespread rain to overspread
the region from southwest to northeast roughly between midnight and
6 am. Model cross sections indicate a substantial mid level warm
layer, so not really concerned about any snow even in our far
northwest zones. In fact, boundary layer should be above freezing
in most locations so ptype will generally be rain. The exception
might be the high terrain of the Worcester Hills/Berkshires, where a
period of freezing rain will be possible at the onset. Given this
is a late 2nd period event and marginal, opted to defer the need for
headlines to the next shift.
Sunday...
A soaking cold rain is in store for the region on Sunday as an
intensifying low pressure system tracks near the southeast New
England coast. As mentioned in the previous paragraph, a brief
period of freezing rain will be possible at the onset mainly across
the high terrain of the Berks/Worcester Hills. However, if this
occurs ptype should change to all rain by late Sun morning. Given
the strengthening surface low and its mid level centers closing off
expect strong forcing, so the rain may fall heavy at times. Rainfall
amounts on the order of 0.50 to 1.50 inches are expected, but not
expecting any flooding issues.
The main concern Sunday afternoon is will the rain flip to a period
of wet snow...mainly across the high terrain of the Berks/Worcester
Hills. A big limiting factor is that there is not a cold high to
the north, so that is relying on strictly dynamical cooling and
precipitation intensity. The guidance does suggest this may be
enough to result in a change to a period of wet snow, generally in
the high terrain of the Worcester Hills/Berkshires. Even in these
locations though thermal profiles are marginal and probably very
dependent on precipitation intensity. At this time, thinking the
most likely scenario is a dusting to 1" of wet snow with perhaps up
to 2" of snow in our highest terrain along the east slopes of the
Berks. In a worst case scenario, suppose there could be some 3 to 4
inch amounts in the highest terrain, but also may end up with no
accumulations anywhere in our region. So in a nutshell, the impacts
from any snow look to be minor if any and confined to the high
terrain.
Lastly, may see some of the immediate coastline flirt with marginal
wind advisory conditions for a time. However, given the lack of
high pressure to the north the wind gusts will be kept in check.
Easterly wind gusts of 30 to 45 mph along the coast develop Sun am
and shift to the NNW by late afternoon/early evening. Highest risk
for reaching wind advisory criteria will be across the
Cape/Nantucket, but given leaves are generally off the trees not
expecting a significant impact.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Highlights...
* Precipitation ends by midnight Sunday night with likely gale
conditions on the waters. Diminishing NW winds into Monday.
* Dry with above-normal temperatures Mon through early Wed.
* Frontal system brings a period of light showers Wednesday, along
with increasing southwest winds/gusts before frontal passage.
* Longer period of gusty northwest winds Wed night into Thanksgiving
Day, with teens-20s wind chills. Potential for wind headlines.
* Temperatures trending below normal Thurs thru Sat.
Details...
ECMWF and GFS ensemble means generally in good agreement on the mid-
level pattern in the period. The shortwave trough responsible for
Sunday's projected progressive coastal low looks to lift into the
Canada Maritimes by Monday. 500 mb heights then gradually rise along
the Eastern US into midweek and the pre-Thanksgiving travel period -
as longwave troughing is carved out along the West Coast/Southwest
US and deep southwest flow aloft transports milder air NEward from
the Desert Southwest towards Southern New England. That's a 500 mb
configuration that lends itself toward moderating, milder than
normal temperatures. A mid-level shortwave trough and associated sfc
frontal system progress NE from the central Rockies to the Great
Lakes by Wednesday. By the Thanksgiving holiday, the southwestern
CONUS trough becomes increasingly detached from the westerlies as
500 mb heights amplify significantly into the central part of North
America. That leads to northwesterly polar-jet flow and a conduit
for colder than normal temperatures to intrude into the Northeastern
states for Thursday into the first part of the upcoming weekend.
Sunday Night:
Coastal low moves into the Gulf of Maine early Sunday night, with
diminishing PoPs through the before-midnight period, with dry
conditions by the overnight. Precip may end a brief period of wet
snowflakes underneath the upper level trough Sunday night towards
central/eastern MA, RI and CT, but negligible accumulation. As
the primary cyclone pulls away from our area, surface winds
become northwest and become enhanced/gusty, with wind gusts over
the land between 25-40 mph (on the higher end of that range
towards the South Shore, Cape Cod and the coastline of eastern
MA, but should remain at sub-Advisory levels). Gale-force
northwest gusts across the southern/eastern waters. Lows upper
20s NW MA to near freezing across most of the interior, with
lows mid-30s in the MA coastal plain into the Cape and Islands.
Monday Thru Tuesday Night:
Quiet weather through this part of the forecast with high pressure
in control. Sfc ridge axis shifting off the coast Monday and
allowing for winds to become S/SW. SW winds should become moderate
breezes into Tuesday with somewhat stronger gradient flow.
As mentioned above, looking at a stretch of milder than normal temps
with good diurnal ranges in this period, with 850 mb temperatures on
Monday ranging from +2 to +4C Monday, and around +5 to +7C into
Tuesday. MEX-based temps are some 10F above normal by Tuesday both
on the highs and lows. Though highs in the 40s to low 50s are just
above normal for Monday, into Tuesday most areas are into the 50s
and wouldn't discount some spot 60s toward the South Shore, RI into
parts of CT Tuesday with mostly sunny skies.
Wednesday:
Potent shortwave trough and sub-995 mb cyclone progresses
northeastward into northern New England Wednesday. Though this
frontal system is likely to be the next chance for precipitation
(after Sunday's system clears), most of the NWP keeps the greatest
precipitation more into VT/NH. Still would expect there to be some
showers, though QPF amounts may be on the light side. And thermally,
temperatures appear too warm to support any frozen precip so
envisioning this to be an all-rain scenario for southern New
England.
At least at this point, winds look to be the primary concern related
to this system. Southwest winds in the warm sector increase with GFS-
based 950 mb winds between 35-50 kt by Wednesday afternoon from the
North Shore to Hartford southeastward, strongest on the waters.
Given potential for clouds, and warm advection over the waters, it
opens the door for some uncertainty on how deep can we mix into the
PBL. Showed southwest winds to 30 mph over the land, with likelihood
of at least solid SCA to lower-end gale-force gusts in the southwest
flow. With astronomical tides being on the high side, may have some
potential for minor coastal flooding towards the south-facing coasts
in Wednesday's high tide in conjunction with these increasing
SW winds.
However as the cyclone moves into Nova Scotia Wednesday night,
strong cold advection boosting low-level lapse rates and strong
pressure rise/fall couplet across Southern New England would make
the case for even stronger winds on the northwest/backside of the
system. I opted to raise winds/gusts over a model blend pretty
substantially for Wednesday night, with land-based northwest gusts
knocking on the door of advisory levels (35-50 mph possible?). Will
defer to later guidance but may need to consider wind headlines in
this period at least to handle the northwest winds, with some impact-
based argument being that the winds would be coinciding with the
Thanksgiving holiday. More on that below.
After a mild stretch of weather Tuesday-Wednesday, temperatures fall
pretty quickly amid sharp cold advection Wednesday night. 850 mb
temps fall to the -6 to -8C range by 12z Thursday with lows in the
30s by daybreak, with wind chills in the upper teens to upper 20s.
Thursday/Thanksgiving Day:
A continued concern for strong/gusty N/NW winds both over the land
and the waters. GFS/ECMWF show an enhanced northerly pressure
gradient between a 1040 mb high over the Canadian Prairies into the
northern Gt Lakes and the departing sub-990 mb cyclone. The gust
potential is also augmented by continued cold air aloft with 850 mb
temps falling further to values between -9 to -12C by 00z Friday.
Showed wind gusts in the 35-50 mph range at least during the daytime
peak mixing hours - and with temperatures in the 30s to low 40s,
could be looking at another period of daytime wind chills in the
teens to 20s. So an outlook for Thanksgiving looks to be dry, but
also a pretty chilly and breezy/windy day.
Friday into Saturday:
Slow-evolving pattern as 500 mb regime over the North Atlantic
becomes increasingly blocky. Surface ridge to our west will continue
to build into the region allowing for dry conditions. Temperatures
should continue to trend on the below-average side though, with
diminishing trend to northwest winds moving through this period.
Will also see some moderation in temperatures by Saturday night and
moreso into Sunday. Highs Friday into Saturday are in the 30s to low
40s, with lows in the 20s.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
Short Term /through Sunday/...
1755Z Update:
This afternoon...High confidence. VFR. W winds continues to
gust to 20 kt through the mid afternoon hours.
Tonight...High confidence. VFR through about 7z or 8z.
Thereafter, MVFR to IFR conditions should overspread most of
the region from southwest to northeast through daybreak Sun. These
conditions should be accompanied by mainly rain, although a
touch of ice is possible at the onset mainly across the high
terrain of of the Berks and Worcester Hills.
Sunday...Moderate to high confidence. Low end MVFR to IFR
conditions in mainly widespread rain. A bit of ice is possible
at the onset mainly across the high terrain. Rain may also mix
with or change to a bit of wet snow across the high terrain Sun
afternoon, but odds favor little impact to runways. E wind gusts
of 25 to 35 knots on the coast shifting to the NNW by late
afternoon/early evening, when a period of 35 to 40 knots gusts
may occur across the Cape/Islands.
KBOS TAF...High confidence in TAF.
KBDL TAF...High confidence in TAF.
Outlook /Sunday Night through Wednesday/...
Sunday Night: VFR. Strong winds with local gusts up to 40 kt.
Chance SHRA, chance SHSN.
Monday: VFR. Windy with local gusts up to 30 kt.
Monday Night through Tuesday: VFR.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight
chance RA.
Wednesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Windy with
gusts up to 35 kt. Chance RA.
&&
.MARINE...
Short Term /through Sunday/...High confidence.
1255 PM update...
This afternoon...High pressure centered over DelMarVa will slide
south of New England this afternoon. Have discontinued Small
Craft Advisories now. We have received a report of gusts to
25-30 kt on Nantucket Sound but all other values are less than
20 kt. Winds should be diminishing as the afternoon progresses
as the pressure gradient weakens.
Tonight...High pressure continues passing southeast of the
region, ahead of intensifying low pressure. Winds/seas should
generally remain below SCA thresholds, but probably do reach
criteria across our southern waters toward daybreak.
Sunday...Intensifying low pressure lifting northeast across the
southeast New England coast will result in building seas and return
to gale force wind gusts. Have issued Gale Watches for most waters
Sun into Sun night with strong SCA for Boston Harbor/Narragansett
Bay. East Wind gusts up to 35 knots possible Sun morning with 40
knot wind gusts likely late Sun into Sun night behind the
intensifying storm.
Outlook /Sunday Night through Wednesday/...
Sunday Night: Moderate risk for gale force winds with gusts up
to 40 kt. Rough seas up to 11 ft. Chance of rain showers.
Monday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with local
gusts up to 30 kt. Local rough seas.
Monday Night through Tuesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas
locally approaching 5 ft.
Wednesday: Low risk for gale force winds with gusts up to
35 kt. Areas of rough seas. Chance of rain.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Sunday/Sunday night...
No significant coastal flooding issues are expected Sun or Sun
night. Perhaps some minor splash over at the time of the Sun am and
Sun evening high tides, but that is probably about it. Winds/seas
will peak in between the early morning and evening high tide, which
should prevent any significant issues given surge probably will not
exceed 1.5 feet at the times of high tide.
Times and heights of high tide (MLLW) Sunday morning are:
* Providence: 541 AM, 5.7 ft
* Boston: 845 AM, 11.2 ft
* Nantucket: 946 AM, 3.9 ft
Times and heights of high tide (MLLW) Sunday evening are:
* Boston: 917 PM, 10.5 ft
* Nantucket: 1024 PM, 3.2 ft
&&
.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...Gale Watch from Sunday morning through late Sunday night for
ANZ231>235-237-250-251-254>256.
Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Sunday to 4 AM EST Monday for
ANZ230-236.
&&
SYNOPSIS...Frank/Loconto/Field
NEAR TERM...Field
SHORT TERM...Frank
LONG TERM...Loconto
AVIATION...Frank/Loconto/Field
MARINE...Frank/Loconto/Field
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...StaffHazardous weather outlook, Nov 22, 4:38 PM EST, 23 hours 10 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 438 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2019 CTZ002-MAZ002>004-008>011-026-232145- Hartford CT-Western Franklin MA-Eastern Franklin MA- Northern Worcester MA-Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA- Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-Northern Middlesex MA- 438 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Connecticut, central Massachusetts, eastern Massachusetts and western Massachusetts. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Hazardous travel is possible from a light wintry mix of light snow and light freezing rain Saturday night into Sunday morning. The wintry mix should change to rain late Sunday morning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. CTZ003-004-MAZ005>007-012>024-RIZ001>008-232145- Tolland CT-Windham CT-Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA- Eastern Essex MA-Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA- Southeast Middlesex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA- Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA- Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA- Nantucket MA-Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI- Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI- Block Island RI- 438 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Connecticut, central Massachusetts, eastern Massachusetts, northeastern Massachusetts, southeastern Massachusetts, and Rhode Island. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. ANZ255-256-232145- Coastal Waters extending out to 25 nm South of Marthas Vineyard and Nantucket- Coastal Waters from Montauk NY to Marthas Vineyard extending out to 20 nm South of Block Island- 438 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2019 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters and Rhode Island coastal waters. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Northwest winds may approach gale force Sunday afternoon and night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. ANZ250-254-232145- Coastal waters east of Ipswich Bay and the Stellwagen Bank National Marine Sanctuary- Coastal waters from Provincetown MA to Chatham MA to Nantucket MA out 20 nm- 438 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2019 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. Northwest winds may again approach gale force Sunday afternoon and night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. ANZ231>235-237-251-232145- Cape Cod Bay-Nantucket Sound-Vineyard Sound-Buzzards Bay- Rhode Island Sound-Block Island Sound- Massachusetts Bay and Ipswich Bay- 438 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2019 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SATURDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters and Rhode Island coastal waters. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Northwest winds may approach gale force Sunday afternoon and night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. ANZ230-236-232145- Boston Harbor-Narragansett Bay- 438 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2019 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters and Rhode Island coastal waters. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at www.weather.gov/boston You can follow us on Facebook at www.facebook.com/us.nationalweatherservice.boston.gov You can follow us on Twitter at @NWSBoston
The office that day
Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 12:41 AM EST | Small Craft Advisory | BOX | 3 hr | |
| Nov 23, 3:29 AM EST | Gale Watch | BOX | 12 hr | |
| Nov 23, 3:29 AM EST | Small Craft Advisory | BOX | 9 hr | |
| Nov 23, 3:32 AM EST | Small Craft Advisory | BOX | 30 hr | |
| Nov 23, 3:32 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | BOX | Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Worcester | 15 hr |
| Nov 23, 3:44 PM EST | Gale Warning | BOX | 39 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Massachusetts, 2019Every wind advisory in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.