Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 310

July 26, 201821 counties in Colorado; 10 counties in Nebraska; 5 counties in Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 26, 2018, 1:49 PM MDT for 21 counties in Colorado; 10 counties in Nebraska; 5 counties in Wyoming. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 26, 2018, 1:49 PM MDT (19:49 UTC)
Expired
Jul 26, 2018, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 36 counties

Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Boulder County, CO, Broomfield County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Denver County, CO, Douglas County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Jefferson County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Larimer County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Teller County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Banner County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Dawes County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Garden County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sioux County, NE, Converse County, WY, Goshen County, WY, Laramie County, WY, Niobrara County, WY, Platte County, WY

The radar

The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

43 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 26, 2:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSCheyenne, Kimball46 min
Jul 26, 2:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSCheyenne26 min
Jul 26, 2:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld27 min
Jul 26, 3:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso, Teller37 min
Jul 26, 3:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso28 min
Jul 26, 3:18 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSConverse27 min
Jul 26, 3:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDKit Carson41 min
Jul 26, 3:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma33 min
Jul 26, 3:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSConverse48 min
Jul 26, 3:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUPhillips22 min
Jul 26, 4:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma46 min
Jul 26, 4:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBTeller17 min
Jul 26, 4:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma40 min
Jul 26, 4:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSConverse24 min
Jul 26, 4:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSAlbany, Carbon, Converse47 min
Jul 26, 4:30 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGLDYuma2 hr
Jul 26, 4:31 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBEl Paso89 min
Jul 26, 4:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Kit Carson53 min
Jul 26, 4:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma50 min
Jul 26, 4:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma47 min
Jul 26, 4:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso16 min
Jul 26, 4:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSAlbany, Laramie, Platte44 min
Jul 26, 4:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma35 min
Jul 26, 5:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDKit Carson, Yuma43 min
Jul 26, 5:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSAlbany, Laramie47 min
Jul 26, 5:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSAlbany, Laramie41 min
Jul 26, 5:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDKit Carson37 min
Jul 26, 6:01 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGLDKit Carson3 hr
Jul 26, 6:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Kit Carson40 min
Jul 26, 6:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSLaramie25 min
Jul 26, 6:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDKit Carson35 min
Jul 26, 6:14 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningCYSLaramie76 min
Jul 26, 6:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSAlbany, Laramie51 min
Jul 26, 6:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne12 min
Jul 26, 6:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld47 min
Jul 26, 6:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Kit Carson42 min
Jul 26, 6:43 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUWeld17 min
Jul 26, 6:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULarimer40 min
Jul 26, 7:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne45 min
Jul 26, 7:11 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGLDCheyenne3 hr
Jul 26, 7:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld32 min
Jul 26, 8:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULarimer, Weld30 min
Jul 26, 8:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld36 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2018-07-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 74 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2018-07-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 22 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
74 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-162 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
962 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
129 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

568 
WWUS20 KWNS 261948
SEL0  
SPC WW 261948
COZ000-NEZ000-WYZ000-270300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 310
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
150 PM MDT Thu Jul 26 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northeast Colorado
  Western Nebraska
  Southeast Wyoming

* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 150 PM until
  900 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 2 inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to increase in coverage and
intensity through the afternoon across the watch area, posing a risk
of large hail and locally damaging wind gusts.  An isolated tornado
cannot be ruled out.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north of
Torrington WY to 45 miles south southeast of Limon CO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30030.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 25, 6:40 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Kiowa, Kit Carson and 5 more2 hr
Jul 25, 9:39 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Kiowa, Lincoln and 2 more2 hr
Jul 26, 12:49 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Broomfield, Crowley, Denver, Douglas and 9 more56 min
Jul 25, 6:51 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Burt, Butler, Cass, Clay, Colfax and 23 more84 min
Jul 26, 4:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCChase, Dundy, Frontier, Hayes, Hitchcock, Red Willow7 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wyoming, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.