Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 310
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 26, 2018, 1:49 PM MDT for 21 counties in Colorado; 10 counties in Nebraska; 5 counties in Wyoming. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 26, 2018, 1:49 PM MDT (19:49 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 26, 2018, 9:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 36 counties
Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Boulder County, CO, Broomfield County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Denver County, CO, Douglas County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Jefferson County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Larimer County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Teller County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Banner County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Dawes County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Garden County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sioux County, NE, Converse County, WY, Goshen County, WY, Laramie County, WY, Niobrara County, WY, Platte County, WY
The radar
The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
43 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Cheyenne, Kimball | 46 min |
| Jul 26, 2:34 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Cheyenne | 26 min |
| Jul 26, 2:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Weld | 27 min |
| Jul 26, 3:08 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | El Paso, Teller | 37 min |
| Jul 26, 3:17 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | El Paso | 28 min |
| Jul 26, 3:18 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | CYS | Converse | 27 min |
| Jul 26, 3:34 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Kit Carson | 41 min |
| Jul 26, 3:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 33 min |
| Jul 26, 3:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Converse | 48 min |
| Jul 26, 3:53 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Phillips | 22 min |
| Jul 26, 4:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 46 min |
| Jul 26, 4:15 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Teller | 17 min |
| Jul 26, 4:24 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 40 min |
| Jul 26, 4:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Converse | 24 min |
| Jul 26, 4:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Albany, Carbon, Converse | 47 min |
| Jul 26, 4:30 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | GLD | Yuma | 2 hr |
| Jul 26, 4:31 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | PUB | El Paso | 89 min |
| Jul 26, 4:37 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Cheyenne, Kit Carson | 53 min |
| Jul 26, 4:40 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 50 min |
| Jul 26, 4:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 47 min |
| Jul 26, 4:46 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | El Paso | 16 min |
| Jul 26, 4:46 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Albany, Laramie, Platte | 44 min |
| Jul 26, 4:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 35 min |
| Jul 26, 5:02 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Kit Carson, Yuma | 43 min |
| Jul 26, 5:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Albany, Laramie | 47 min |
| Jul 26, 5:49 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Albany, Laramie | 41 min |
| Jul 26, 5:53 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Kit Carson | 37 min |
| Jul 26, 6:01 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | GLD | Kit Carson | 3 hr |
| Jul 26, 6:05 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Cheyenne, Kit Carson | 40 min |
| Jul 26, 6:05 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Laramie | 25 min |
| Jul 26, 6:10 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Kit Carson | 35 min |
| Jul 26, 6:14 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | CYS | Laramie | 76 min |
| Jul 26, 6:24 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Albany, Laramie | 51 min |
| Jul 26, 6:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Cheyenne | 12 min |
| Jul 26, 6:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Weld | 47 min |
| Jul 26, 6:33 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Cheyenne, Kit Carson | 42 min |
| Jul 26, 6:43 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Weld | 17 min |
| Jul 26, 6:50 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Larimer | 40 min |
| Jul 26, 7:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Cheyenne | 45 min |
| Jul 26, 7:11 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | GLD | Cheyenne | 3 hr |
| Jul 26, 7:12 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Weld | 32 min |
| Jul 26, 8:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Larimer, Weld | 30 min |
| Jul 26, 8:24 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Weld | 36 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 74 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -162 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 962 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 36 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 22 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 129 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
568
WWUS20 KWNS 261948
SEL0
SPC WW 261948
COZ000-NEZ000-WYZ000-270300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 310
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
150 PM MDT Thu Jul 26 2018
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Colorado
Western Nebraska
Southeast Wyoming
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 150 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to increase in coverage and
intensity through the afternoon across the watch area, posing a risk
of large hail and locally damaging wind gusts. An isolated tornado
cannot be ruled out.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north of
Torrington WY to 45 miles south southeast of Limon CO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30030.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 6:40 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baca, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Kiowa, Kit Carson and 5 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 25, 9:39 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baca, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Kiowa, Lincoln and 2 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 26, 12:49 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Arapahoe, Broomfield, Crowley, Denver, Douglas and 9 more | 56 min |
| Jul 25, 6:51 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Burt, Butler, Cass, Clay, Colfax and 23 more | 84 min |
| Jul 26, 4:19 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Chase, Dundy, Frontier, Hayes, Hitchcock, Red Willow | 7 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wyoming, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.