Alert archive / New Jersey / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 104, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

October 2, 2018Warren County, New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 2, 2018, 7:22 PM EDT for Warren County, New Jersey. It was in force for 53 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 2, 2018, 7:22 PM EDT (23:22 UTC)
Expired
Oct 2, 2018, 8:15 PM EDT
In force
53 min
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Possible
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Warren County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Oct 2, 4:57 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-10-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 54 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-10-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 85 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
54 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-30 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
563 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
85 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
83 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

436 
WUUS51 KPHI 022322
SVRPHI
NJC041-030015-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0104.181002T2322Z-181003T0015Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
722 PM EDT TUE OCT 2 2018

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Warren County in northwestern New Jersey...

* Until 815 PM EDT.

* At 721 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over East
  Stroudsburg, or 10 miles southeast of Mount Pocono, moving east at
  25 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is 
           possible.

* Locations impacted include...
  Washington, Blairstown, Belvidere, Oxford, Hope, Great
  Meadows-Vienna, Brass Castle, Allamuchy-Panther Valley, Pleasant
  Valley, Millbrook, Delaware Water Gap, Columbia and Portland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

In addition to damaging winds, frequent cloud to ground lightning is 
occurring with this storm. Move indoors immediately. Remember, if 
you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for eastern and
northeastern Pennsylvania. A tornado watch also remains in effect
until midnight EDT for northwestern New Jersey.

LAT...LON 4092 7478 4072 7497 4080 7511 4082 7508
      4085 7510 4085 7507 4087 7505 4089 7508
      4091 7508 4092 7510 4097 7512 4098 7514
      4109 7496
TIME...MOT...LOC 2321Z 286DEG 23KT 4099 7523 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

jjm
1 follow-up statement
208 
WWUS51 KPHI 022355
SVSPHI

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service MOUNT HOLLY NJ
755 PM EDT TUE OCT 2 2018

NJC041-030015-
/O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0104.000000T0000Z-181003T0015Z/
Warren NJ-
755 PM EDT TUE OCT 2 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTY...

At 754 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Blairstown, or
12 miles west of Newton, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is 
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Blairstown, Hope, Millbrook and Allamuchy-Panther Valley. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until midnight EDT for northwestern
New Jersey.

LAT...LON 4088 7482 4093 7509 4098 7510 4109 7496
      4092 7478
TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 278DEG 22KT 4098 7498 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

amc

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 2, 2:26 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHISussex49 min
Oct 2, 3:14 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHISussex46 min
Oct 2, 7:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHISussex52 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Jersey, 2018Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.