Alert archive / Alabama / Flash Flood Watches in 2018

Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS Mobile, AL

May 24, 201812 counties in Alabama; George County, Greene County, Stone County, Mississippi; Escambia County, Okaloosa County, Santa Rosa County, Florida

NWS Mobile, AL issued this flash flood watch at May 24, 2018, 10:54 AM CDT for 12 counties in Alabama; George County, Greene County, Stone County, Mississippi; Escambia County, Okaloosa County, Santa Rosa County, Florida. It took effect at May 26, 2018, 7:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 63 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 24, 2018, 10:54 AM CDT (15:54 UTC)
In effect from
May 26, 2018, 7:00 PM CDT
Expired
May 29, 2018, 10:12 AM CDT
In force
63 hr
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL
Flood severity
None

Counties Baldwin County, AL, Butler County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Escambia County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Stone County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Eglin AFB/Valpar, FL (KVPS), launched 12:00Z, 3.9 hours before the alert went out and 130 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Eglin AFB/Valpar, FL at 12:00Z on 2018-05-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 456 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Eglin AFB/Valpar, FL at 12:00Z on 2018-05-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -2 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
456 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-87 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
842 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
4 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
4 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

574 
WGUS64 KMOB 241554
FFAMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1054 AM CDT Thu May 24 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...EXTREME
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

ALZ059-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ078-079-250000-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FF.A.0002.180527T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Escambia-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Stone-George-
Including the cities of Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Citronelle, 
Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, 
Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, 
Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, 
Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, 
Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, 
Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, 
Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, 
Wright, Wiggins, and Lucedale
1054 AM CDT Thu May 24 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, 
  and southeast Mississippi, including the following areas, in 
  Alabama, Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, 
  Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, and Mobile Inland. 
  In northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, 
  Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and 
  Santa Rosa Inland. In southeast Mississippi, George and Stone. 

* From Saturday evening through Tuesday evening

* A low pressure system is expected to advance northward across
  the Gulf and move into the north central Gulf coast area, after
  which this system will move slowly. This system will bring
  excessive rainfall to the watch area beginning Saturday evening
  and continuing through early Tuesday evening. Rainfall amounts
  of 6 to 12 inches are possible in the watch area which will
  likely result in flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
19 follow-up statements
423 
WGUS64 KMOB 242341
FFAMOB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
641 PM CDT Thu May 24 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...EXTREME
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

ALZ059-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ078-079-250745-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.180527T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Escambia-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Stone-George-
Including the cities of Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Citronelle, 
Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, 
Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, 
Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, 
Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, 
Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, 
Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, 
Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, 
Wright, Wiggins, and Lucedale
641 PM CDT Thu May 24 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast 
  Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, 
  Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Escambia, 
  Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, and Mobile Inland. In 
  northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa 
  Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa 
  Inland. In southeast Mississippi, George and Stone. 

* From Saturday evening through Tuesday evening

* A low pressure system is expected to advance northward across 
  the Gulf and move into the north central Gulf coast area, 
  after which this system will move slowly. This system will 
  bring excessive rainfall to the watch area beginning Saturday 
  evening and continuing through early Tuesday evening. Rainfall 
  amounts of 6 to 12 inches are possible in the watch area which 
  will likely result in flash flooding. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
006 
WGUS64 KMOB 250453
FFAMOB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1153 PM CDT Thu May 24 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...EXTREME
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

ALZ059-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ078-079-251300-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.180527T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Escambia-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Stone-George-
Including the cities of Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Citronelle, 
Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, 
Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, 
Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, 
Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, 
Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, 
Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, 
Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, 
Wright, Wiggins, and Lucedale
1153 PM CDT Thu May 24 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast 
  Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, 
  Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Escambia, 
  Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, and Mobile Inland. In 
  northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa 
  Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa 
  Inland. In southeast Mississippi, George and Stone. 

* From Saturday evening through Tuesday evening

* A low pressure system is expected to advance northward across 
  the Gulf and move into the north central Gulf coast area, 
  after which this system will move slowly. This system will 
  bring excessive rainfall to the watch area beginning Saturday 
  evening and continuing through early Tuesday evening. Rainfall 
  amounts of 6 to 12 inches are possible in the watch area which 
  will likely result in flash flooding. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
007 
WGUS64 KMOB 251236
FFAMOB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
736 AM CDT Fri May 25 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...EXTREME
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

ALZ059-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ078-079-252045-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.180527T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Escambia-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Stone-George-
Including the cities of Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Citronelle, 
Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, 
Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, 
Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, 
Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, 
Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, 
Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, 
Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, 
Wright, Wiggins, and Lucedale
736 AM CDT Fri May 25 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast 
  Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, 
  Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Escambia, 
  Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, and Mobile Inland. In 
  northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa 
  Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa 
  Inland. In southeast Mississippi, George and Stone. 

* From Saturday evening through Tuesday evening

* A low pressure system is expected to advance northward across
  the Gulf and move into the north central Gulf coast area, after
  which this system will move slowly. This system will bring
  excessive rainfall to the watch area beginning Saturday evening
  and continuing through early Tuesday evening. Rainfall amounts
  of 6 to 12 inches locally higher (possibly double these amounts)
  in the watch area which will likely result in flash flooding. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
723 
WGUS64 KMOB 252016
FFAMOB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
316 PM CDT Fri May 25 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH 
TUESDAY EVENING FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST 
ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

ALZ059-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ078-079-260430-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.180527T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Escambia-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Stone-George-
Including the cities of Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Citronelle, 
Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, 
Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, 
Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, 
Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, 
Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, 
Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, 
Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, 
Wright, Wiggins, and Lucedale
316 PM CDT Fri May 25 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast 
  Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, 
  Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Escambia, 
  Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, and Mobile Inland. In 
  northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa 
  Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa 
  Inland. In southeast Mississippi, George and Stone. 

* From Saturday evening through Tuesday evening

* Sub-tropical storm Alberto is expected to advance northward
  across the Gulf and move into the north central Gulf coast area.
  This system will bring excessive rainfall to the watch area
  beginning Saturday evening and continuing through Tuesday
  evening. Rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches locally higher
  (possibly double these amounts) in the watch area which will
  likely result in flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
451 
WGUS64 KMOB 260422
FFAMOB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1122 PM CDT Fri May 25 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

ALZ059-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ078-079-261300-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.180527T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Escambia-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Stone-George-
Including the cities of Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Citronelle, 
Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, 
Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, 
Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, 
Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, 
Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, 
Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, 
Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, 
Wright, Wiggins, and Lucedale
1122 PM CDT Fri May 25 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast 
  Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, 
  Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Escambia, 
  Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, and Mobile Inland. In 
  northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa 
  Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa 
  Inland. In southeast Mississippi, George and Stone. 

* From Saturday evening through Tuesday evening

* Subtropical storm Alberto is expected to advance northward
  across the Gulf of Mexico this weekend and move into the north
  central Gulf coast region late Monday. This system will bring
  excessive rainfall to the watch area beginning Saturday evening
  and continuing through Tuesday evening. Rainfall amounts of 6 to
  12 inches, and possibly locally up to double these amounts are
  possible in the watch area with this event. Excessive rainfall
  amounts will have the potential to result in significant flash
  flooding. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
991 
WGUS64 KMOB 260912
FFAMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
412 AM CDT Sat May 26 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY 
EVENING FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...MUCH OF SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

ALZ052-053-055-056-060-MSZ076-261700-
/O.EXA.KMOB.FF.A.0002.180527T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Washington-Clarke-Monroe-Conecuh-Covington-Greene-
Including the cities of Chatom, Millry, Grove Hill, Jackson, 
Thomasville, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen, Andalusia, Opp, 
Leakesville, and McLain
412 AM CDT Sat May 26 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Mobile has expanded the

* Flash Flood Watch to include portions of Alabama and southeast 
  Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, 
  Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Monroe, and Washington. In 
  southeast Mississippi, Greene. 

* From this evening through Tuesday evening

* Subtropical storm Alberto is expected to advance northward
  across the Gulf of Mexico this weekend and move into the north
  central Gulf coast region late Monday. This system will bring
  excessive rainfall to the watch area beginning Saturday evening
  and continuing through Tuesday evening. Rainfall amounts of 5 to
  8 inches, and possibly locally up to double these amounts are
  possible in this area with this event. Excessive rainfall 
  amounts will have the potential to result in significant flash 
  flooding. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

ALZ059-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ078-079-261700-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.180527T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Escambia-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Stone-George-
Including the cities of Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Citronelle, 
Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, 
Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, 
Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, 
Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, 
Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, 
Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, 
Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, 
Wright, Wiggins, and Lucedale
412 AM CDT Sat May 26 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast 
  Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, 
  Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Escambia, 
  Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, and Mobile Inland. In 
  northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa 
  Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa 
  Inland. In southeast Mississippi, George and Stone. 

* From this evening through Tuesday evening

* Subtropical storm Alberto is expected to advance northward
  across the Gulf of Mexico this weekend and move into the north
  central Gulf coast region late Monday. This system will bring
  excessive rainfall to the watch area beginning Saturday evening
  and continuing through Tuesday evening. Rainfall amounts of 6 to
  12 inches, and possibly locally up to double these amounts are
  possible in this area with this event. Excessive rainfall 
  amounts will have the potential to result in significant flash 
  flooding. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
441 
WGUS64 KMOB 261550
FFAMOB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1050 AM CDT Sat May 26 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...MUCH OF SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

ALZ052-053-055-056-059-060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ076-078-079-
270000-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.180527T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Washington-Clarke-Monroe-Conecuh-Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-
Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-
Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Inland-
Okaloosa Coastal-Greene-Stone-George-
Including the cities of Chatom, Millry, Grove Hill, Jackson, 
Thomasville, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen, Atmore, Brewton, 
Flomaton, Andalusia, Opp, Citronelle, Saraland, Stockton, Mobile,
Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, 
Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, 
Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, 
Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, 
Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, 
Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, 
Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, Wright, Leakesville, McLain, 
Wiggins, and Lucedale
1050 AM CDT Sat May 26 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast 
  Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, 
  Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Clarke, 
  Conecuh, Covington, Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, 
  Mobile Inland, Monroe, and Washington. In northwest Florida, 
  Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa 
  Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. In 
  southeast Mississippi, George, Greene, and Stone. 

* From 7 PM CDT this evening through Tuesday evening

* Subtropical Storm Alberto is expected to advance northward 
  across the Gulf of Mexico this weekend and move into the north 
  central Gulf coast region late Monday. This system will bring 
  excessive rainfall to the watch area beginning Saturday evening 
  and continuing through Tuesday evening. Rainfall amounts of 6 to
  12 inches, and possibly locally up to double these amounts are 
  possible in this area with this event. Excessive rainfall 
  amounts will have the potential to result in significant flash 
  flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
707 
WGUS64 KMOB 261726
FFAMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1226 PM CDT Sat May 26 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH 
CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

ALZ051-054-057-058-270130-
/O.EXA.KMOB.FF.A.0002.180527T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Choctaw-Wilcox-Butler-Crenshaw-
Including the cities of Butler, Lisman, Silas, Camden, Pine Hill,
Greenville, Brantley, and Luverne
1226 PM CDT Sat May 26 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Mobile has expanded the

* Flash Flood Watch to include portions of south central Alabama 
  and southwest Alabama, including the following areas, in south 
  central Alabama, Butler, Crenshaw, and Wilcox. In southwest 
  Alabama, Choctaw. 

* From 7 PM CDT this evening through Tuesday evening

* Subtropical Storm Alberto is expected to advance northward
  across the Gulf of Mexico this weekend and move into the north
  central Gulf coast region Monday night. This system will bring
  excessive rainfall to the watch area through Tuesday evening.
  Rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches closer to the coast and 4 to
  7 inches inland are possible with locally higher amounts up to
  double these values. Excessive rainfall amounts will have the
  potential to result in significant flash flooding. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

ALZ052-053-055-056-059-060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ076-078-079-
270130-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.180527T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Washington-Clarke-Monroe-Conecuh-Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-
Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-
Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Inland-
Okaloosa Coastal-Greene-Stone-George-
Including the cities of Chatom, Millry, Grove Hill, Jackson, 
Thomasville, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen, Atmore, Brewton, 
Flomaton, Andalusia, Opp, Citronelle, Saraland, Stockton, Mobile,
Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, 
Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, 
Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, 
Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, 
Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, 
Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, 
Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, Wright, Leakesville, McLain, 
Wiggins, and Lucedale
1226 PM CDT Sat May 26 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast 
  Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, 
  Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Clarke, 
  Conecuh, Covington, Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, 
  Mobile Inland, Monroe, and Washington. In northwest Florida, 
  Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa 
  Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. In 
  southeast Mississippi, George, Greene, and Stone. 

* From 7 PM CDT this evening through Tuesday evening

* Subtropical Storm Alberto is expected to advance northward
  across the Gulf of Mexico this weekend and move into the north
  central Gulf coast region Monday night. This system will bring
  excessive rainfall to the watch area through Tuesday evening.
  Rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches closer to the coast and 4 to
  7 inches inland are possible with locally higher amounts up to
  double these values. Excessive rainfall amounts will have the
  potential to result in significant flash flooding. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
889 
WGUS64 KMOB 270421
FFAMOB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1121 PM CDT Sat May 26 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH 
TUESDAY EVENING FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST AND 
SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ076-078-079-271300-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-
Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Greene-Stone-George-
Including the cities of Butler, Lisman, Silas, Chatom, Millry, 
Grove Hill, Jackson, Thomasville, Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, 
Monroeville, Evergreen, Greenville, Brantley, Luverne, Atmore, 
Brewton, Flomaton, Andalusia, Opp, Citronelle, Saraland, 
Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, 
Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, 
Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, 
Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, 
Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, 
Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, 
Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, Wright, Leakesville, McLain, 
Wiggins, and Lucedale
1121 PM CDT Sat May 26 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast 
  Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, 
  Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, 
  Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, 
  Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, Mobile Inland, Monroe, 
  Washington, and Wilcox. In northwest Florida, Escambia 
  Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, 
  Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. In southeast 
  Mississippi, George, Greene, and Stone. 

* Through Tuesday evening

* Subtropical Storm Alberto is expected to advance northward
  across the Gulf of Mexico through Monday and move into the north
  central Gulf coast region Monday evening and night. This system
  will have the potential to bring excessive rainfall to the 
  watch area through Tuesday evening. Rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 
  inches are forecast across the western Florida panhandle and 
  south central Alabama and 4 to 7 inches across much of the rest 
  of southwest Alabama. Locally higher amounts up to double these 
  values are possible. Excessive rainfall amounts will have the 
  potential to result in significant flash flooding. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
464 
WGUS64 KMOB 270913
FFAMOB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
413 AM CDT Sun May 27 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR 
PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST 
AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND ALL OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA 
PANHANDLE...

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ076-078-079-271700-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-
Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Greene-Stone-George-
Including the cities of Butler, Lisman, Silas, Chatom, Millry, 
Grove Hill, Jackson, Thomasville, Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, 
Monroeville, Evergreen, Greenville, Brantley, Luverne, Atmore, 
Brewton, Flomaton, Andalusia, Opp, Citronelle, Saraland, 
Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, 
Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, 
Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, 
Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, 
Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, 
Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, 
Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, Wright, Leakesville, McLain, 
Wiggins, and Lucedale
413 AM CDT Sun May 27 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast 
  Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, 
  Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, 
  Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, 
  Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, Mobile Inland, Monroe, 
  Washington, and Wilcox. In northwest Florida, Escambia 
  Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, 
  Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. In southeast 
  Mississippi, George, Greene, and Stone. 

* Through Tuesday evening

* Subtropical Storm Alberto is expected to advance north northwest
  across the eastern Gulf of Mexico today, moving into the north 
  central Gulf coast region over the western Florida Panhandle 
  late in the day Monday. This system will have the potential to 
  bring excessive rainfall to the watch area through Tuesday 
  evening. 
  
  Rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches are forecast east of 
  a line from Greenville Alabama to Navarre Beach Florida. 3 to 5 
  inches west of this line, across portions of southwest Alabama 
  and portions of interior southeast Mississippi. Localized higher
  amounts than these possible. Excessive rainfall amounts will 
  have the potential to result in an increased threat of flash 
  flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
549 
WGUS64 KMOB 270955
FFAMOB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
455 AM CDT Sun May 27 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR
PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND ALL OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...

ALZ051-MSZ076-078-271100-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Choctaw-Greene-Stone-
Including the cities of Butler, Lisman, Silas, Leakesville, 
McLain, and Wiggins
455 AM CDT Sun May 27 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of southwest Alabama and
southeast Mississippi has been cancelled. 

With the center of Subtropical Storm Alberto looking to come 
ashore farther to the east, between Destin and Panama City Beach 
Florida late in the day Monday, the threat of flash flood 
producing rains has lessened.

$$

ALZ052>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ079-271800-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-Escambia-
Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-George-
Including the cities of Chatom, Millry, Grove Hill, Jackson, 
Thomasville, Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen,
Greenville, Brantley, Luverne, Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, 
Andalusia, Opp, Citronelle, Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard,
Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, 
Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, 
Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, 
Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, 
Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, 
Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, 
Wright, and Lucedale
455 AM CDT Sun May 27 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast 
  Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, 
  Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, 
  Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, Mobile 
  Central, Mobile Coastal, Mobile Inland, Monroe, Washington, 
  and Wilcox. In northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia 
  Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, 
  and Santa Rosa Inland. In southeast Mississippi, George. 

* Through Tuesday evening

* Subtropical Storm Alberto is expected to advance north northwest
  across the eastern Gulf of Mexico today, Moving over the 
  Florida Panhandle late in the day Monday. This system will have 
  the potential to bring excessive rainfall to the watch area 
  through Tuesday evening. 

Rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches are forecast east of a line 
from Greenville Alabama to Navarre Beach Florida. 3 to 5 inches 
west of this line, and across much of southwest Alabama. Localized
higher amounts than these possible. Excessive rainfall amounts 
will have the potential to result in an increased threat of flash 
flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
053 
WGUS64 KMOB 271604
FFAMOB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1104 AM CDT Sun May 27 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING 
FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...PORTIONS OF 
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND ALL OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...

ALZ052>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ079-280300-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-Escambia-
Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-George-
Including the cities of Chatom, Millry, Grove Hill, Jackson, 
Thomasville, Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen,
Greenville, Brantley, Luverne, Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, 
Andalusia, Opp, Citronelle, Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard,
Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, 
Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, 
Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, 
Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, 
Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, 
Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, 
Wright, and Lucedale
1104 AM CDT Sun May 27 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast 
  Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, 
  Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, 
  Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, Mobile 
  Central, Mobile Coastal, Mobile Inland, Monroe, Washington, 
  and Wilcox. In northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia 
  Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, 
  and Santa Rosa Inland. In southeast Mississippi, George. 

* Through Tuesday evening

* Subtropical Storm Alberto is expected to advance north northwest
  across the eastern Gulf of Mexico today, Moving over the Florida
  Panhandle Monday morning. This system will have the potential 
  to bring excessive rainfall to the watch area through Tuesday 
  evening. 

Rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches are forecast east of a line
from Greenville Alabama to Navarre Beach Florida. 3 to 5 inches
west of this line, and across much of southwest Alabama.
Localized higher amounts than these possible. Excessive rainfall
amounts will have the potential to result in an increased threat
of flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
142 
WGUS64 KMOB 271839
FFAMOB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
139 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND ALL OF 
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

MSZ079-271945-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
George-
Including the city of Lucedale
139 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of southeast Mississippi has
been cancelled. 

$$

ALZ052>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-280245-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-Escambia-
Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-
Including the cities of Chatom, Millry, Grove Hill, Jackson, 
Thomasville, Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen,
Greenville, Brantley, Luverne, Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, 
Andalusia, Opp, Citronelle, Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard,
Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, 
Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, 
Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, 
Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, 
Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, 
Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, 
and Wright
139 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Alabama and northwest Florida, including the 
  following areas, in Alabama, Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, 
  Baldwin Inland, Butler, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, 
  Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, Mobile Inland, 
  Monroe, Washington, and Wilcox. In northwest Florida, Escambia 
  Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, 
  Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. 

* Through Tuesday evening

* Alberto is forecast to advance northward over the northeastern
  Gulf of Mexico and move into the western Florida panhandle
  Monday morning then continue northward into south central 
  Alabama through Monday evening. This system will have the 
  potential to bring excessive rainfall to the watch area through 
  Tuesday evening. 

Rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches are forecast east of a line 
from Greenville, Alabama to Navarre Beach, Florida. East of a 
line from Grove Hill, Alabama to Mobile, Alabama will see rainfall
amounts of 3 to 5 inches. Further to the west, amounts of 1 to 3 
inches are expected. Localized higher amounts are possible. 
Excessive rainfall amounts will have the potential to result in an
increased threat of flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
999 
WGUS64 KMOB 280247
FFAMOB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
947 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND ALL OF
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

ALZ052>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-281100-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-Escambia-
Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-
Including the cities of Chatom, Millry, Grove Hill, Jackson, 
Thomasville, Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen,
Greenville, Brantley, Luverne, Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, 
Andalusia, Opp, Citronelle, Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard,
Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, 
Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, 
Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, 
Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, 
Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, 
Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, 
and Wright
947 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Alabama and northwest Florida, including the 
  following areas, in Alabama, Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, 
  Baldwin Inland, Butler, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, 
  Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, Mobile Inland, 
  Monroe, Washington, and Wilcox. In northwest Florida, Escambia 
  Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, 
  Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. 

* Through Tuesday evening

* Alberto is forecast to advance northward over the northeastern
  Gulf of Mexico and move into the western Florida panhandle by
  early Monday afternoon then continue northward into south 
  central Alabama through Monday evening. This system will have 
  the potential to bring excessive rainfall to the watch area 
  through Tuesday evening. 

Rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches are forecast east of a line 
from Greenville, Alabama to Navarre Beach, Florida, with amounts
of 3 to 5 inches forecast generally east of a line from Grove 
Hill, Alabama to Mobile, Alabama. Further to the west, amounts of
1 to 3 inches are expected. Localized higher amounts are 
possible. Excessive rainfall amounts will have the potential to 
result in flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
917 
WGUS64 KMOB 280921
FFAMOB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
421 AM CDT Mon May 28 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND ALL OF
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

ALZ052-261-263-265-281030-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Washington-Mobile Inland-Mobile Central-Mobile Coastal-
Including the cities of Chatom, Millry, Citronelle, Saraland, 
Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, 
and Grand Bay
421 AM CDT Mon May 28 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of southwest Alabama has been
cancelled. The heaviest rainfall associated with Alberto is now
expected to impact locations to the east of Mobile and Washington
counties. While locally heavy rainfall could bring a limited
potential of ponding of water on area roadways and minor flooding
of low lying areas, the overall flash flood threat has decreased. 

$$

ALZ053>060-262-264-266-FLZ201>206-281730-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-Escambia-Covington-
Baldwin Inland-Baldwin Central-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-
Including the cities of Grove Hill, Jackson, Thomasville, Camden,
Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen, Greenville, 
Brantley, Luverne, Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Andalusia, Opp, 
Stockton, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, 
Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, 
Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, 
Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, 
Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, 
Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, and Wright
421 AM CDT Mon May 28 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Alabama and northwest Florida, including the 
  following areas, in Alabama, Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, 
  Baldwin Inland, Butler, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, 
  Escambia, Monroe, and Wilcox. In northwest Florida, Escambia 
  Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, 
  Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. 

* Through early Tuesday evening

* Alberto is forecast to advance northward over the northeastern
  Gulf of Mexico and move into the western Florida panhandle by
  early this afternoon then continue northward into south central
  Alabama through late this evening. This system will have the
  potential to bring excessive rainfall and flash flooding to
  locations within the watch area through Tuesday evening. 

Rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches are forecast east of a line
from Luverne, Alabama to Destin, Florida. Rainfall amounts of 3 
to 5 inches are forecast generally east of a line from Camden, 
Alabama to Gulf Shores, Alabama. Localized higher amounts are 
possible. Excessive rainfall amounts will have the potential to 
result in flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
304 
WGUS64 KMOB 282104
FFAMOB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
404 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND ALL OF
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

ALZ053>060-262-264-266-FLZ201>206-290500-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-Escambia-Covington-
Baldwin Inland-Baldwin Central-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-
Including the cities of Grove Hill, Jackson, Thomasville, Camden,
Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen, Greenville, 
Brantley, Luverne, Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Andalusia, Opp, 
Stockton, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, 
Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, 
Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, 
Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, 
Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, 
Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, and Wright
404 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Alabama and northwest Florida, including the 
  following areas, in Alabama, Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, 
  Baldwin Inland, Butler, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, 
  Escambia, Monroe, and Wilcox. In northwest Florida, Escambia 
  Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, 
  Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. 

* Through Tuesday evening

* Alberto is forecast to advance northward over the northeastern 
  Gulf of Mexico and move into the western Florida panhandle by 
  early this afternoon then continue northward into south 
  central Alabama through late this evening. This system will 
  have the potential to bring excessive rainfall and flash 
  flooding to locations within the watch area through Tuesday 
  evening. 

Rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches are forecast east of a line
from Luverne, Alabama to Destin, Florida. Rainfall amounts of
3 to 5 inches are forecast generally east of a line from Camden,
Alabama to Gulf Shores, Alabama. Localized higher amounts are
possible. Excessive rainfall amounts will have the potential to
result in flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
642 
WGUS64 KMOB 290334
FFAMOB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1034 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...

ALZ053-262-264-266-FLZ201>206-290445-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Clarke-Baldwin Inland-Baldwin Central-Baldwin Coastal-
Escambia Inland-Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-
Including the cities of Grove Hill, Jackson, Thomasville, 
Stockton, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, 
Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, 
Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, 
Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, 
Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, 
Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, and Wright
1034 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of southwest Alabama and
northwest Florida has been cancelled. 

$$

ALZ054>060-291145-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-Escambia-Covington-
Including the cities of Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville,
Evergreen, Greenville, Brantley, Luverne, Atmore, Brewton, 
Flomaton, Andalusia, and Opp
1034 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of south central Alabama, including the following 
  areas, Butler, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, Monroe, 
  and Wilcox. 

* Through Tuesday evening

* The Subtropical Depression Alberto is forecast to continue to
  weaken and move northward through Alabama. However, this system
  still has the potential to bring excessive rainfall and flash 
  flooding to locations within the watch area through Tuesday 
  evening. 

* Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches of rainfall are possible over
  portions of south central Alabama. These rainfall amounts will 
  have the potential to result in flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
668 
WGUS64 KMOB 290847
FFAMOB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
347 AM CDT Tue May 29 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS 
EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...

ALZ055-056-059-291000-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Monroe-Conecuh-Escambia-
Including the cities of Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen, Atmore,
Brewton, and Flomaton
347 AM CDT Tue May 29 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of south central Alabama has
been cancelled. 

$$

ALZ054-057-058-060-291700-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wilcox-Butler-Crenshaw-Covington-
Including the cities of Camden, Pine Hill, Greenville, Brantley, 
Luverne, Andalusia, and Opp
347 AM CDT Tue May 29 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of south central Alabama, including the following 
  areas, Butler, Covington, Crenshaw, and Wilcox. 

* Through 7 PM CDT this evening

* Subtropical Depression Alberto is forecast to continue to weaken
  and move northward through Alabama. However, this system still
  has the potential to bring excessive rainfall and flash flooding
  to locations within the watch area through this evening. 

* Rainfall amounts up to 2 to 4 inches are possible over portions
  of south central Alabama. These rainfall amounts will have the 
  potential to result in flash flooding. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
545 
WGUS64 KMOB 291512 AAA
FFAMOB

Flood Watch...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1012 AM CDT Tue May 29 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

ALZ054-057-058-060-291615-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180530T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wilcox-Butler-Crenshaw-Covington-
Including the cities of Camden, Pine Hill, Greenville, Brantley, 
Luverne, Andalusia, and Opp
1012 AM CDT Tue May 29 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of south central Alabama has 
been cancelled. Periods of heavy rain will still be possible for 
parts of south central Alabama and the west Florida Panhandle 
through this evening. Some localized or isolated flooding will 
still be possible with some of the heavier showers or 
thunderstorms through this evening. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at May 24, 10:48 AM CDT, 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 24, 10:48 AM CDT, 6 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1048 AM CDT Thu May 24 2018

.DISCUSSION...See updated information for land areas below.

&&

.UPDATE...Have updated to issue a Flash Flood Watch for the
southern portion of the area which will be in effect from Saturday
evening through early Tuesday evening. This is based upon
excessive rainfall expected in this portion of the area associated
with a low pressure system expected to move northward across the
Gulf and then move slowly near the area. Have also issued a
Coastal Flood Watch and a High Surf Advisory which will be in
effect from early Saturday afternoon through early Tuesday
evening. This is due to heavy surf of at least 5 foot waves
pounding on the coastal areas beginning Saturday afternoon and
also for a combination of an increasing onshore flow and onshore
swell which has the potential for water levels of 3 feet or more
(Mean High Higher Water) for coastal areas. Products will be
issued shortly. /29

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 648 AM CDT Thu May 24 2018/

DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

AVIATION...
12Z issuance...VFR to MVFR cigs and visibilties through 25.12z.
Lower cigs and visibilties mainly in and around scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms occurring late this morning
through late this evening. Winds will be variable 5 knots or less
through about 24.18z becoming mostly south at 5 to 10 knots this
afternoon through early this evening then light and variable late
this evening and overnight. 32/ee

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 516 AM CDT Thu May 24 2018/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Thursday night/...A weak upper trof of low
pressure over the NW gulf stretching northward towards central
plains will begin lift north as the trof axis shifts east through
12z Fri. To the east weak high pressure stretching from south Fl
to the Tn River valley will shift east towards the eastern
seaboard through 12z Fri. Near the surface weak high pressure will
continue over the eastern and north central gulf through early
this afternoon then begin to shift north and east this evening and
overnight in response to a deepening surface low moving north
over the western Caribbean approaching the extreme southern gulf
by early Fri morning. Expect another round of scattered to
numerous thunderstorms over the forecast area today and tonight
with the better coverage occurring near the coast and offshore
early today then shifting northward over most inland areas during
the late morning and afternoon hours, continuing through early
tonight, then slowly eroding during the late evening and overnight
hours. Similar to yesterday model soundings depict moderate
instability and lapse rates across the region latter today with
surface based capes ranging from 2000 to 3000 j/kg by early to mid
afternoon and lapse rates ranging from 6.0 to 6.6 c/km. The best
lift occurs over central and northern sections of the forecast
area by early afternoon. Gusty straight line winds, frequent cloud
to ground lightning and periods of very heavy rain can be
expected with most of the stronger thunderstorms this afternoon
and evening. Due to a saturated ground surface for most areas some
minor flooding will also be possible today and early tonight,
especially in urban settings and locations with poor drainage.
Stay tuned to local media outlets or NOAA weather radio if
threatening weather is approaching your area.

Day and nighttime temps will continue to be moderated due to better
cloud and precip coverage with highs generally ranging from the mid
to upper 80s to the east and along the coast and the upper 80s to
near 90 to the west. Lows tonight will range from the upper 60s to
70 for most inland areas and the middle 70s along the immediate
coast. 32/ee

SHORT TERM /Friday Through Saturday night/...An upper trof over
the northern Plains and extending southward into the central
Plains early Friday advances toward the east through Saturday
night. This feature will interact with a weak upper trof initially
over Louisiana and the west central Gulf of Mexico. As the northern
upper trof continues eastward, the central Gulf/Louisiana upper
trof becomes a bit better defined and shifts slightly eastward
through Saturday night.

This upper level pattern will influence the movement of surface
low pressure which is expected to develop by Friday night over the
south central Gulf of Mexico. This developing low pressure will
likely be tropical in nature, and the National Hurricane Center
now has a 70% chance of tropical cyclone development with this
feature as the upper air pattern generally lifts it northward
across the central or eastern Gulf through Saturday night. Significant
model track spread continues for the system as it tracks into the
Gulf of Mexico. Latest solutions continue with earlier model
trends thus far with this system, with the GFS/GEFS/UKMET on the
east side of the track guidance envelope and ECMWF/ECMWF ensembles/CMC
ensembles on the west side. A westward adjustment in the 24/00z GFS
versus the 23/18z&12z runs has narrowed the spread though. This
trend supports a track in the middle to western portion of the
model envelope, and we will continue to follow this scenario, with
the surface low pressure lifting northward towards the north central
Gulf coast through Saturday night. There are some timing uncertainties
as to whether this system nears the north central Gulf by late
Saturday night or later on Sunday, but regardless, confidence in
abundant rain over the forecast area is high. A Hydrologic Outlook
product will was issued for our area yesterday afternoon to address
this for our area. Will generally have likely to categorical PoPs
over the entire area pops for the entire period.

Here is a list of potential impacts for our area and timing/confidence
associated with these:

Flash flood Risk - Confidence: HIGH. Timing: Possibly beginning as
early as Friday but more likely beginning Saturday into Saturday
night. Risk Level: this considers the period through Tuesday. We
will continue with an Extreme Threat of flooding for generally
the western Florida panhandle, Mobile and Baldwin counties of
Alabama, and Stone and George counties of southeast Mississippi
where widespread flash flooding is possible. A Significant Threat
is in effect for most of the remainder of the area where areas of
flash flooding are possible. A Flash Flood Watch will almost certainly
become necessary.

Rip Currents - Confidence: HIGH. A high risk of rip currents is in
effect through the period.

Coastal Flooding - Confidence: MODERATE. Timing: beginning
Saturday morning (high tide) with minor coastal flooding, then
abating in the afternoon (towards low tide in the early evening).
The coastal flooding potential increases again Saturday night
while approaching high tide early Sunday morning, and with an
onshore wind/swell component this could be when Coastal Flood
Watch/Warning conditions would exist. High Surf Advisory or
Warning conditions are also expected to begin on Saturday.

Severe Storm Potential - Confidence: LOW. The potential for
severe storm development, which would be in the form of tornadoes
in banded precipitation, depends on the movement and strength of
the Gulf system. Too many uncertainties at this point to try to
nail down specifics, but there is at least some potential
beginning about Saturday night.

Wind - Confidence: LOW. Timing: even with the unknowns regarding
the system, any wind impacts would probably begin sometime late
Saturday and be confined to the coastal counties. Right now, we
are thinking winds of 20 to 30 mph are possible for coastal areas.

LONG TERM /Sunday Through Wednesday/...An extended significant
heavy rain event looks still looks highly likely over the area.
Based on the preferred guidance solutions, the Gulf low pressure
system will probably slowly approach the north central Gulf coast
on Sunday and get caught up in the upper level trof over the
region. This is expected to cause the system to persist over the
general area through much of the period, possibly with a slow
west to northwest drift. This pattern should support an extended
period of copious rain over the region. We will continue to
carry categorical Pops for the area on Sunday, then likely to
categorical PoPs at times all the way through Wednesday. An
Extreme Threat of flash flooding will likely continue for the
southern portion of the area through Wednesday where widespread
flash flooding is possible, and a Significant Threat is in effect
for most of the remaining portion of the area where areas of flash
flooding are possible. Rainfall totals through Wednesday of 6 to
12 inches are possible generally over the coastal counties and
extreme southeast Mississippi, while totals of 5 to 8 inches are
possible further inland. Locally higher amounts are possible. The
potential for severe storms, in the form of tornadoes within bands
of precipitation, exists mainly on Sunday but confidence with
this is very low and depends on the development/strength/movement
of the Gulf system. Sunday into early Monday is also the time when
the highest potential exists for coastal flooding issues.
Regarding wind, at this point see winds of 20 to 30 mph affecting
coastal areas through Tuesday, maybe a little lower by Wednesday.
12/DS

MARINE...A weakening upper trof to the west combined with a sharp
ridge to the east will help maintain a light to moderate onshore
flow over the marine area through early Fri. A better east to
southeast flow is expected by Fri and will continue through early
next week in response to a developing surface low advancing
northward over the central gulf. Due to the uncertainty with the
track and intensity of the developing low over the gulf higher winds
and seas will be possible compared to the current forecast.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue over
the marine area both day and night through early Fri followed by
better coverage late Fri through early next week due to the
developing system over the central gulf. Stay tuned for further
updates throughout the week and over the weekend on this developing
pattern over the central gulf. 32/ee

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk from Friday morning through late Sunday
     night for ALZ265-266.

     High Surf Advisory from 1 PM Saturday to 7 PM CDT Tuesday for
     ALZ263>266.

     Coastal Flood Watch from Saturday afternoon through Tuesday
     evening for ALZ263>266.

     Flash Flood Watch from Saturday evening through Tuesday evening
     for ALZ059-261>266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk from Friday morning through late Sunday
     night for FLZ202-204-206.

     High Surf Advisory from 1 PM Saturday to 7 PM CDT Tuesday for
     FLZ202-204-206.

     Coastal Flood Watch from Saturday afternoon through Tuesday
     evening for FLZ202-204-206.

     Flash Flood Watch from Saturday evening through Tuesday evening
     for FLZ201>206.

MS...Flash Flood Watch from Saturday evening through Tuesday evening
     for MSZ078-079.

GM...None.
&&

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mob
Hazardous weather outlook, May 24, 5:32 AM CDT, 5 hours 22 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
532 AM CDT Thu May 24 2018

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-251045-
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Coastal-
532 AM CDT Thu May 24 2018

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Alabama and
northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms can be expected today and
tonight. Gusty winds, frequent cloud to ground lightning and periods
of very heavy rain can be expected with the stronger thunderstorms
through early tonight. Some minor flooding, mostly local, will be
possible with some of the stronger storms through early tonight.

A moderate risk for rip currents will continue through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

 High Rip Current Risk Friday through Sunday.

Due to a developing area of low pressure over the central Gulf of
Mexico moving northward better coverage of showers and thunderstorms
can be expected Saturday through early next week. With this pattern
more widespread flooding will be possible over the weekend continuing
into early next week. Damaging straightline winds and isolated
tornadoes will also be possible with the stronger thunderstorms. Stay
tuned for further updates through the weekend.

Coastal flooding and high surf will also be possible over the weekend
and continue into early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ALZ051>060-261>264-FLZ201-203-205-GMZ633-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-
251045-
Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-
Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Escambia Inland-Santa Rosa Inland-Okaloosa Inland-
Perdido Bay-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George-
532 AM CDT Thu May 24 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Alabama,
southwest Alabama, northwest Florida, southeast Mississippi and the
coastal waters of Alabama and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms can be expected today and
tonight. Gusty winds, frequent cloud to ground lightning and periods
of very heavy rain can be expected with the stronger thunderstorms
through early tonight. Some minor flooding, mostly local, will be
possible with some of the stronger storms through early tonight.

A moderate risk for rip currents will continue through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Due to a developing area of low pressure over the central Gulf of
Mexico moving northward better coverage of showers and thunderstorms
can be expected Saturday through early next week. With this pattern
more widespread flooding will be possible over the weekend continuing
into early next week. Damaging straightline winds and isolated
tornadoes will also be possible with the stronger thunderstorms. Stay
tuned for further updates through the weekend.

GMZ630>632-634>636-650-655-670-675-251045-
Northern Mobile Bay-Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound-
Pensacola Bay System-Western Choctawhatchee Bay-
Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay-
Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL
out 20 NM-Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL from
20 to 60 NM-
532 AM CDT Thu May 24 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal waters of Alabama
and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Wind and waves will be higher in scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms today and tonight. Frequent lightning and isolated
waterspouts will also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Wind and waves will be higher in scattered to numerous thunderstorms
throughout the Friday. Frequent lightning and isolated waterspouts
will also be possible.

A developing area of low pressure is expected to move northward over
the central Gulf late Saturday through early next week. Elevated
winds and seas will be likley as the area of low pressure moves
northward over the north central gulf. Better coverage of
thunderstorms will also be likely mostly in the form of squalls.
Periods of very heavy rain reducing visibilities to less than one
nautical mile can be expected. Frequent lightning and waterspouts
will also be likley. Tides will run above predicted levels.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 24, 3:36 AM CDTRip Current StatementMOBBaldwin, Mobile8 days
May 24, 11:16 AM CDTCoastal Flood WatchMOBBaldwin, Mobile29 hr
May 24, 11:16 AM CDTHigh Surf AdvisoryMOBBaldwin, Mobile4 days
May 24, 2:05 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMOBConecuh40 min
May 24, 2:43 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMOBMonroe47 min
May 24, 3:01 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMOBWilcox44 min
May 24, 3:21 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMOBButler39 min
May 24, 3:31 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMOBMonroe59 min
May 24, 5:35 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMOBBaldwin25 min
May 24, 5:56 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMOBBaldwin49 min
May 24, 5:12 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMOBStone33 min
May 24, 6:11 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMOBPerry49 min
May 23, 7:50 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMOBEscambia25 min
May 24, 4:10 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMOBOkaloosa50 min
May 24, 5:45 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMOBSanta Rosa45 min
May 24, 6:29 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMOBSanta Rosa46 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Alabama, 2018Flash Flood Watches in Mississippi, 2018Flash Flood Watches in Florida, 2018Every flash flood watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.