Alert archive / Oregon / Winter Storm Warnings in 2018
Winter Storm Warning 13, NWS Medford, OR
NWS Medford, OR issued this winter storm warning at Nov 21, 2018, 2:34 PM PST for 5 counties in Oregon; Siskiyou County, California. It took effect at Nov 22, 2018, 10:00 AM PST. It was in force for 23 hr. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 21, 2018, 2:34 PM PST (22:34 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 22, 2018, 10:00 AM PST
- Expired
- Nov 23, 2018, 9:00 AM PST
- In force
- 23 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Medford, OR
Counties Siskiyou County, CA, Douglas County, OR, Jackson County, OR, Josephine County, OR, Klamath County, OR, Lake County, OR
The radar
The Medford radar (KMAX), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 10:06 AM PST | SNOW 4 | 6 Ssw Diamond Lake, OR | 4 INCHES OF ROADSIDE SNOW ALONG HIGHWAY 230 . SLUSH ON ROAD SURFACE. |
| Nov 22, 3:20 PM PST | HEAVY SNOW 6 | 7 E Union Creek, OR | OBSERVED AT MILEPOST 65 ON HIGHWAY 62. 6 INCHES OBSERVED ON THE SIDE OF THE ROAD. |
| Nov 22, 3:20 PM PST | SNOW 6 | 8 Sse Diamond Lake, OR | CORRECTS PREVIOUS SNOW REPORT FROM 8 SSE DIAMOND LAKE. SNOW WAS OBSERVED NEAR MILE MARKER 98 ON HIGHWAY 138, NOT IN THE SNOW ZONE FROM MILEPOSTS 58 TO MILEPOST 100. |
| Nov 22, 3:20 PM PST | SNOW 6 | 8 Sse Diamond Lake, OR | OBSERVED BETWEEN MILEPOSTS 58 TO 100 ON HIGHWAY 138. 6 INCHES OBSERVED ON THE SIDE OF THE ROAD. |
| Nov 22, 3:26 PM PST | HEAVY SNOW 9 | 7 Wnw Siskiyou Summit, OR | OBSERVED AT MILEPOST 7.5 ON MT ASHLAND RD. STILL SNOWING. 9 INCHES OF ROADSIDE SNOW. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 42 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2131 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 56 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 155 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 298 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
868 WWUS46 KMFR 212234 WSWMFR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 234 PM PST Wed Nov 21 2018 ORZ030-031-221200- /O.NEW.KMFR.WS.W.0013.181122T1800Z-181123T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.181122T1800Z-181123T1200Z/ Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County- Central and Eastern Lake County- 234 PM PST Wed Nov 21 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY... * WHAT...In the warning area...snow and blowing snow expected with wind gusts to 60 mph possible. Localized heavy snow and white out conditions possible. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches, with localized amounts up to 10 inches. In the advisory area...total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches with snow and blowing snow. Gusts to 45 mph possible. * WHERE...Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County and Central and Eastern Lake County. Locations in the warning area include areas above about 5500 feet including Winter Rim and Warner Pass. Locations in the advisory area include Modoc Point, Chemult, and some stretches of highway 140 between Klamath Falls and Lakeview. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from 10 AM Thursday to 4 AM PST Friday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, from 10 AM Thursday to 4 AM PST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions. Damage to trees and power lines is likely. Be prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ ORZ027-028-221200- /O.NEW.KMFR.WS.W.0013.181122T1800Z-181123T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.181122T1800Z-181123T1200Z/ South Central Oregon Cascades- Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades- Including the cities of Crater Lake, Crescent Lake, and Diamond Lake 234 PM PST Wed Nov 21 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY ABOVE 5500 FEET... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY ABOVE 4500 FEET... * WHAT...In the warning area...heavy snow and blowing snow expected above 5500 feet with total snow accumulations of 12 to 18 inches, and localized amounts up to 23 inches near Crater Lake. Gusts of 45 to 55 mph will create blowing and drifting snow and poor visibility. In the advisory area above 4500 feet, total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches, with localized amounts up to 16 inches. * WHERE...South Central Oregon Cascades and Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades. Locations in the warning area include Crater Lake and Highway 62 near Crater Lake. Locations in the advisory area include highway 140 at Lake of the Woods, Crescent Lake, and the east side of Willamette Pass. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from 10 AM Thursday to 4 AM PST Friday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, from 10 AM Thursday to 4 AM PST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult to impossible. Damage to trees and power lines is likely. Be prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ CAZ080-221200- /O.NEW.KMFR.WS.W.0013.181122T1800Z-181123T1200Z/ Western Siskiyou County- 234 PM PST Wed Nov 21 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY ABOVE 4500 FEET... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches, with localized amounts up to 20 inches, are expected. * WHERE...Western Siskiyou County. * WHEN...From 10 AM Thursday to 4 AM PST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute on Thursday. Damage to trees and power lines is likely. Be prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ CAZ082-083-221200- /O.NEW.KMFR.WS.W.0013.181122T1800Z-181123T1200Z/ South Central Siskiyou County- North Central and Southeast Siskiyou County- 234 PM PST Wed Nov 21 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY ABOVE 5000 FEET... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches, with localized amounts up to 3 feet on the higher areas of Mt. Shasta. Gusts of 45 to 55 mph will create blowing and drifting snow and poor visibility. * WHERE...South Central Siskiyou County and North Central and Southeast Siskiyou County. * WHEN...From 10 AM Thursday to 4 AM PST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult to impossible, including during the evening commute on Thursday. Damage to trees and power lines is likely. Be prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ CAZ085-221200- /O.NEW.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.181122T1800Z-181123T1200Z/ Modoc County- 234 PM PST Wed Nov 21 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow and blowing snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches, with localized amounts up to 12 inches, are expected. Wind gusts to 45 mph will create blowing and drifting snow and poor visibility. * WHERE...Modoc County generally above 5500 feet. * WHEN...From 10 AM Thursday to 4 AM PST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Damage to trees and power lines is likely. Be prepared for reduced visibilities at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ ORZ029-221200- /O.NEW.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.181122T1800Z-181123T1200Z/ Klamath Basin- 234 PM PST Wed Nov 21 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY ABOVE 4500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches, with localized amounts up to 10 inches, are expected. * WHERE...Klamath Basin. * WHEN...From 10 AM Thursday to 4 AM PST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Tree branches could fall. Be prepared for reduced visibilities at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
6 follow-up statements
353 WWUS46 KMFR 221130 WSWMFR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 330 AM PST Thu Nov 22 2018 ORZ030-031-230000- /O.CON.KMFR.WS.W.0013.181122T1800Z-181123T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.181122T1800Z-181123T1200Z/ Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County- Central and Eastern Lake County- 330 AM PST Thu Nov 22 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY... * WHAT...In the warning area...snow and blowing snow expected with wind gusts to 60 mph possible. Localized heavy snow and white out conditions possible. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches, with localized amounts up to 10 inches. In the advisory area...total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches with snow and blowing snow. Gusts to 45 mph possible. * WHERE...Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County and Central and Eastern Lake County. Locations in the warning area include areas above about 5500 feet including Winter Rim and Warner Pass. Locations in the advisory area include Modoc Point, Chemult, and some stretches of highway 140 between Klamath Falls and Lakeview. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from 10 AM Thursday to 4 AM PST Friday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, from 10 AM Thursday to 4 AM PST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions. Damage to trees and power lines is likely. Be prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * See https://www.tripcheck.com for latest road conditions. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ ORZ027-028-230000- /O.CON.KMFR.WS.W.0013.181122T1800Z-181123T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.181122T1800Z-181123T1200Z/ South Central Oregon Cascades- Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades- Including the cities of Crater Lake, Crescent Lake, and Diamond Lake 330 AM PST Thu Nov 22 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY ABOVE 5500 FEET... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY ABOVE 4500 FEET... * WHAT...In the warning area...heavy snow and blowing snow expected above 5500 feet with total snow accumulations of 12 to 18 inches, and localized amounts up to 23 inches near Crater Lake. Gusts of 45 to 55 mph will create blowing and drifting snow and poor visibility. In the advisory area above 4500 feet, total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches, with localized amounts up to 16 inches. * WHERE...South Central Oregon Cascades and Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades. Locations in the warning area include Crater Lake and Highway 62 near Crater Lake. Locations in the advisory area include highway 140 at Lake of the Woods, Crescent Lake, and the east side of Willamette Pass. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from 10 AM Thursday to 4 AM PST Friday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, from 10 AM Thursday to 4 AM PST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult to impossible. Damage to trees and power lines is likely. Be prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * See https://www.tripcheck.com for latest road conditions. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ CAZ080-230000- /O.CON.KMFR.WS.W.0013.181122T1800Z-181123T1200Z/ Western Siskiyou County- 330 AM PST Thu Nov 22 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY ABOVE 4500 FEET... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches, with localized amounts up to 20 inches, are expected. * WHERE...Western Siskiyou County above 4500 feet. * WHEN...From 10 AM Thursday to 4 AM PST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute on Thursday. Damage to trees and power lines is likely. Be prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * See http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov for latest road conditions. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ CAZ082-083-230000- /O.CON.KMFR.WS.W.0013.181122T1800Z-181123T1200Z/ South Central Siskiyou County- North Central and Southeast Siskiyou County- 330 AM PST Thu Nov 22 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY ABOVE 5000 FEET... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches, with localized amounts up to 3 feet on the higher areas of Mt. Shasta. Gusts of 45 to 55 mph will create blowing and drifting snow and poor visibility. * WHERE...South Central Siskiyou County and North Central and Southeast Siskiyou County above 5000 feet. * WHEN...From 10 AM Thursday to 4 AM PST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult to impossible, including during the evening commute on Thursday. Damage to trees and power lines is likely. Be prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * See http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov for latest road conditions. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ CAZ085-230000- /O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.181122T1800Z-181123T1200Z/ Modoc County- 330 AM PST Thu Nov 22 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow and blowing snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches, with localized amounts up to 12 inches, are expected. Wind gusts to 45 mph will create blowing and drifting snow and poor visibility. * WHERE...Modoc County generally above 5500 feet. * WHEN...From 10 AM Thursday to 4 AM PST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Damage to trees and power lines is likely. Be prepared for reduced visibilities at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ ORZ029-230000- /O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.181122T1800Z-181123T1200Z/ Klamath Basin- 330 AM PST Thu Nov 22 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches, with localized amounts up to 10 inches, are expected. * WHERE...Klamath Basin. * WHEN...From 10 AM Thursday to 4 AM PST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Tree branches could fall. Be prepared for reduced visibilities at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See https://www.tripcheck.com for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
879 WWUS46 KMFR 222315 WSWMFR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 315 PM PST Thu Nov 22 2018 ORZ030-031-231200- /O.CON.KMFR.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181123T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-181123T1200Z/ Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County- Central and Eastern Lake County- 315 PM PST Thu Nov 22 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY... * WHAT...In the warning area...snow and blowing snow expected with wind gusts to 60 mph possible. Localized heavy snow and white out conditions possible. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches, with localized amounts up to 8 inches. In the advisory area...additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches with snow and blowing snow. Gusts to 45 mph possible. * WHERE...Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County and Central and Eastern Lake County. Locations in the warning area include areas above about 5500 feet including Winter Rim and Warner Pass. Locations in the advisory area include Modoc Point, Chemult, and some stretches of highway 140 between Klamath Falls and Lakeview. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, until 4 AM PST Friday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 4 AM PST Friday. A majority of the snow will occur through 8 PM PST this evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions, mainly during this evening. Damage to trees and power lines is likely. Be prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ ORZ027-028-231200- /O.CON.KMFR.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181123T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-181123T1200Z/ South Central Oregon Cascades- Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades- Including the cities of Crater Lake, Crescent Lake, and Diamond Lake 315 PM PST Thu Nov 22 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY ABOVE 5500 FEET... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY ABOVE 4500 FEET... * WHAT...In the warning area...heavy snow and blowing snow above 5500 feet, with additional snow accumulations of 6 to 11 inches. In the advisory area above 4500 feet, additional snow accumulations of 3 to 7 inches. * WHERE...South Central Oregon Cascades and Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades. Locations in the warning area include Crater Lake and Highway 62 near Crater Lake. Locations in the advisory area include highway 140 at Lake of the Woods, Crescent Lake, and the east side of Willamette Pass. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, until 4 AM PST Friday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 4 AM PST Friday. A majority of the snow will occur through 8 PM PST this evening. Snow levels will rise as the next batch of moderate to heavy precipitation arrives early Friday morning. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute. Damage to trees and power lines is likely. Be prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ CAZ080-231200- /O.CON.KMFR.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181123T1200Z/ Western Siskiyou County- 315 PM PST Thu Nov 22 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY ABOVE 4500 FEET... * WHAT...Heavy wet snow. Additional wet snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches, with localized amounts up to 6 inches, are expected. * WHERE...Western Siskiyou County, above 4500 feet. * WHEN...Until 4 AM PST Friday. A majority of the snow will occur through 6 PM PST this evening. Snow levels will rise as the next batch of moderate to heavy precipitation arrives early Friday morning. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute. Damage to trees and power lines is likely. Be prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ CAZ082-083-231200- /O.CON.KMFR.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181123T1200Z/ South Central Siskiyou County- North Central and Southeast Siskiyou County- 315 PM PST Thu Nov 22 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY ABOVE 5000 FEET... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches, with localized amounts up to 2 feet on the higher areas of Mt. Shasta. Gusts of 45 to 55 mph will create blowing and drifting snow and poor visibility. * WHERE...South Central Siskiyou County and North Central and Southeast Siskiyou County above 5000 feet. * WHEN...Until 4 AM PST Friday. A majority of the snow and the strongest winds will occur through 7 PM PST this evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute. Damage to trees and power lines is likely. Be prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ CAZ085-231200- /O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-181123T1200Z/ Modoc County- 315 PM PST Thu Nov 22 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow and blowing snow expected. Additional wet snow accumulations of up to 2 inches, with localized amounts up to 8 inches, are expected. Wind gusts to 45 mph will create blowing and drifting snow and poor visibility. * WHERE...Modoc County, above 5500 feet. * WHEN...Until 4 AM PST Friday. A majority of the snow will occur between 4 PM and 10 PM PST this evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions, including during the evening commute. Tree branches could fall. Be prepared for reduced visibilities at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ ORZ029-231200- /O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-181123T1200Z/ Klamath Basin- 315 PM PST Thu Nov 22 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Wet snow. Additional wet snow accumulations of up to 2 inches, with localized amounts up to 6 inches, are expected. * WHERE...Klamath Basin. A snow level around 5000 feet will fall to around 4500 feet this evening with snow at foothill locations and near Bly. * WHEN...Until 4 AM PST Friday. A majority of the snow will occur through 7 PM PST this evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions, including during the evening commute. Tree branches could fall. Be prepared for reduced visibilities at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See https://www.tripcheck.com for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
850 WWUS46 KMFR 231142 WSWMFR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 342 AM PST Fri Nov 23 2018 ORZ030-031-231400- /O.EXP.KMFR.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181123T1200Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-181123T1400Z/ Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County- Central and Eastern Lake County- 342 AM PST Fri Nov 23 2018 * WHAT...Wet snow. Additional wet snow accumulations of up to two inches, with localized amounts up to 4 inches, in the advisory area are expected. * WHERE...Highway 97 to include Chemult. * WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 6 AM PST early this morning. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions, including during the morning commute. Be prepared for reduced visibilities at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See weather.gov/medford/cams for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ CAZ080-231245- /O.EXP.KMFR.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181123T1200Z/ Western Siskiyou County- 342 AM PST Fri Nov 23 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 4 AM PST EARLY THIS MORNING ABOVE 4500 FEET... Snow levels are rising to above 6000 feet today. $$ CAZ082-083-231245- /O.EXP.KMFR.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181123T1200Z/ South Central Siskiyou County- North Central and Southeast Siskiyou County- 342 AM PST Fri Nov 23 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 4 AM PST EARLY THIS MORNING ABOVE 5000 FEET... Snow levels are rising to above 6000 feet today. $$ ORZ029-231245- /O.CAN.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-181123T1200Z/ Klamath Basin- 342 AM PST Fri Nov 23 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Snow levels are rising to above 6000 feet today. $$ ORZ027-028-231400- /O.EXP.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-181123T1200Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181123T1400Z/ South Central Oregon Cascades- Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades- Including the cities of Crater Lake, Crescent Lake, and Diamond Lake 342 AM PST Fri Nov 23 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PST EARLY THIS MORNING ABOVE 5500 FEET... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 AM PST EARLY THIS MORNING ABOVE 4500 FEET... * WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches in the warning area are expected before snow levels rise to above 6000 feet. * WHERE...Mainly at elevations from Diamond Lake and higher...to include Crater Lake. * WHEN...Until 6 AM PST early this morning. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions. Be prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is occurring and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ CAZ085-231245- /O.EXP.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-181123T1200Z/ Modoc County- 342 AM PST Fri Nov 23 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 AM PST EARLY THIS MORNING... Snow levels are rising to above 6000 feet today. $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
202 WWUS46 KMFR 231152 WSWMFR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 352 AM PST Fri Nov 23 2018 ORZ027-028-231400- /O.EXT.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-181123T1400Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181123T1400Z/ South Central Oregon Cascades- Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades- Including the cities of Crater Lake, Crescent Lake, and Diamond Lake 352 AM PST Fri Nov 23 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PST EARLY THIS MORNING ABOVE 4500 FEET... ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PST EARLY THIS MORNING ABOVE 5500 FEET... * WHAT...Heavy snow above 5500 feet. Wet snow above 4500 feet. Above 5500 feet, additional snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches are expected. Above 4500 feet, additional wet snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are expected. * WHERE...Lake of the Woods at Highway 140...Diamond Lake area...Crater Lake. * WHEN...Until 6 AM PST early this morning. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions. Be prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times. Snow levels should rise above 6000 feet later this morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is occurring and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ ORZ030-031-231400- /O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-181123T1400Z/ Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County- Central and Eastern Lake County- 352 AM PST Fri Nov 23 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PST EARLY THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Wet snow. Additional wet snow accumulations of up to two inches, with localized amounts up to 4 inches, in the advisory area are expected. * WHERE...Highway 97 north of Sand Creek to include Chemult. * WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 6 AM PST early this morning. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions, including during the morning commute. Be prepared for reduced visibilities at times. Snow levels should rise above 6000 feet later this morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See weather.gov/medford/cams for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
173 WWUS46 KMFR 231306 WSWMFR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 506 AM PST Fri Nov 23 2018 ORZ027-028-231700- /O.EXT.KMFR.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181123T1700Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-181123T1700Z/ South Central Oregon Cascades- Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades- Including the cities of Crater Lake, Crescent Lake, and Diamond Lake 506 AM PST Fri Nov 23 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PST THIS MORNING ABOVE 5500 FEET... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PST THIS MORNING ABOVE 4500 FEET... * WHAT...Heavy wet snow above 5500 feet. Wet snow above 4500 feet. Above 5500 feet, additional wet snow accumulations of 4 to 7 inches are expected. Above 4500 feet, additional wet snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches are expected. * WHERE...Dead Indian Memorial Highway...Highway 140 at Lake of the Woods...Diamond Lake area...Crater Lake. * WHEN...Until 9 AM PST this morning. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions, including during the morning commute. Tree branches could fall. Be prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times. Snow levels should rise to 6000 feet later this morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is occurring and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ ORZ030-031-231700- /O.EXT.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-181123T1700Z/ Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County- Central and Eastern Lake County- Including the city of Chemult 506 AM PST Fri Nov 23 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Wet snow. Additional wet snow accumulations of up to 2 inches, with localized amounts up to 6 inches, are expected. * WHERE...Highway 97 from Sand Creek northward to include Chemult...Bly Mountain and Quartz Mountain on Highway 140. * WHEN...Until 9 AM PST this morning. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions, including during the morning commute. Be prepared for reduced visibilities at times. Snow levels should rise above 6000 feet later this morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See https://www.tripcheck.com for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
545 WWUS46 KMFR 231659 WSWMFR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 859 AM PST Fri Nov 23 2018 ORZ027-028-231800- /O.EXP.KMFR.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181123T1700Z/ /O.EXP.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-181123T1700Z/ South Central Oregon Cascades- Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades- Including the cities of Crater Lake, Crescent Lake, and Diamond Lake 859 AM PST Fri Nov 23 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM PST THIS MORNING ABOVE 5500 FEET... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM PST THIS MORNING ABOVE 4500 FEET... The Winter Storm Warning and Winter Weather Advisory will expire at 9 AM PST. Lingering light snow and mixed precipitation will taper off during the remainder of the morning while snow levels rise from around 5000 feet to around 6000 feet. $$ ORZ030-031-231800- /O.EXP.KMFR.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-181123T1700Z/ Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County- Central and Eastern Lake County- Including the city of Chemult 859 AM PST Fri Nov 23 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM PST THIS MORNING... The Winter Weather Advisory will expire at 9 AM PST. Lingering light snow and mixed precipitation will taper off during the remainder of the morning while snow levels rise from around 5000 feet to around 6000 feet. $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Nov 21, 9:16 AM PST, 5 hours 18 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 21, 9:16 AM PST, 5 hours 18 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
916 AM PST Wed Nov 21 2018
.DISCUSSION...KMAX-88D radar reveals rain progressing well
through the west side and latest observations reveal a quarter to
a half inch of rain has fallen across the coast region through 9
am. Very light and spotty amounts inland of I-5 so far with just a
dusting of snow above about 6000 feet at Crater Lake and Mt.
Ashland. The cold front will push across the Rogue Valley and
eastward between about 2 and 6 pm with an associated increase in
rain expected and lowering snow levels. The forecast has things
pretty well in hand and no major shifts in the forecast are
planned early on today. Thanksgiving wind event looks on track
with vigorous short wave moving into the Oregon coast and
associated surface low to track across Newport by noon or so.
Initial thoughts are that high wind watches will be upgraded to
warnings with some additional advisories possible. Stavish
&&
.AVIATION...For the 21/12Z TAFs...VFR conditions will persist
through early this morning for most areas ahead of an incoming
front. Cigs will gradually lower to MVFR from west to east as the
front makes it's way inland later this morning. IFR conditions are
expected during periods of heavy rain, especially along the coast
and in the Umpqua Basin. Gusty south to southeast winds ahead of
the front will continue across the higher terrain, east of the
Cascades, the Shasta Valley and the southern end of the Rogue
Valley. These gusty winds will downslope off the Siskiyous,
maintaining VFR conditions in the Rogue Valley, including KMFR,
and likely holding off any precipitation until late this
afternoon. Winds will ease tonight, but another stronger front is
expected by early Thursday morning. /BR-y
&&
.MARINE...Updated 200 AM PST Wednesday 21 November 2018...Active
weather is expected through Saturday, with periods of heavy rain,
strong southerly winds and choppy wind driven seas combined with
moderate swell. The first in a series of fronts is moving through
the waters this morning, and southerly winds have increased in
response to this front. Seas will peak later this morning with
very steep hazardous seas expected mainly beyond 5 nm from shore,
and continued steep small craft advisory level conditions
elsewhere.
Another, stronger front is expected Thursday, and models continue to
show sustained gales developing over much of the waters. While we're
pretty confident in widespread gales with isolated areas of storm
force gusts, the latest model runs are showing a brief period of
possible sustained storm force winds developing in the coastal jet.
This is the first run to show this, so have decided to maintain the
watch for now and let the next shift see how the 12z model runs
handle this before upgrading. Regardless, conditions will be quite
hazardous Thursday morning and afternoon with very steep wind driven
seas of 14 to 16 feet peaking Thursday afternoon and evening.
Winds will diminish briefly Thursday night before another quick
moving system moves through the waters early Friday morning,
bringing another round of high-end small craft winds. Winds will
diminish thereafter through the weekend, but seas will remain
elevated through Saturday due to a mix of southwest and west-
northwest swell combined with wind chop. A break in the weather is
expected Saturday into Sunday, with gradually improving conditions
expected. /BR-y
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 350 AM PST Wed Nov 21 2018/
DISCUSSION...21/00Z NAM/GFS/EC in. A long wave trough axis will
move to 140W later today and southwest flow aloft is increasing
along the west coast. Short waves diving down the backside of the
trough will slow its progress. Those short waves will eject from
the trough and move onshore today into Friday. This will make for
a wet and occasionally windy pattern during this interval.
First up, a front that will move onshore today. Precipitation is
now starting along the coast, and will spread inland through
today. Most of the CWA will see significant, but not excessive,
precipitation from this system Wednesday into Wednesday night.
Given the low antecedent streamflows, flooding is not expected.
Winds have increased along the coast, in the Shasta Valley, and
over the west side ridges. They will increase soon over the east
side and the Rogue Valley as well. A Wind Advisory is in effect
for portions of these areas.
As far as snow goes, snow levels will be generally near or above
pass level, with some snow accumulating in the mountains above
about 5500 feet. Snow levels will be a bit lower near Mount
Shasta, but still mostly above 4500 feet.
Today is going to be a big travel day and the winds and
precipitation will impact travelers. Slick roads will be an issue
as this is the first precipitation in quite a while and there
will be oil buildups on the roads.
Second up, the wave on Thursday will be the strongest of the
string, and it will be quickly followed by another Thursday night
into Friday. The associated front will move onshore late Thursday
morning, and Thursday will be a wet and windy day across the
area. The winds will be strongest at the coast and along Highway
101 as well as on Interstate 5 in the Shasta Valley late Wednesday
night through Thursday. The strong winds will spread to the east
side Thursday morning lasting through Thursday night, impacting
most of the roadways there. High Wind Watches are in effect for
the coast, the Shasta Valley, and the east side. Wind advisories
will likely be necessary over some of the remaining portions of
the CWA.
As far as precipitation goes, this will be the first big rainfall
event this fall for southern Oregon and northern California.
Rain amounts of 3 to 6 inches will be common along the coast with
local amounts higher than that in areas that typically have
orographic enhancement, like the Coast Range. The Mt. Shasta area
could see some moderate to heavy rainfall as well. The heaviest
rainfall rates will occur during the day Thursday. There is
concern about precipitation on recent burn scars. A Flash Flood
Watch is in effect for the Klondike, Chetco Bar, Eclipse, and
Natchez burn scars for Thursday and Friday. Outside of those
areas, no flooding is expected other than minor high small stream
flows.
Several inches of snow will accumulate with the first storm
Thanksgiving Day, which could impact passes near Lake of the
Woods, but the heaviest snow will fall above 5000 feet. There will
be a surge in snow level up above 6000 feet late Thursday night
into Friday as the next storm moves onshore, but heavy snow could
continue up near Crater Lake. Snow amounts of 1 to 2 feet are
possible above 5500 feet through Friday night.
Long term discussion from the Tuesday afternoon AFD...Friday
Night through Tuesday...The Friday system will pass to the east
Friday night, and as a result, winds will taper off and
precipitation will diminish from west to east. By daybreak, some
showers may linger in the area, especially over the Cascades where
some light snow accumulations are possible. For the most part,
the region will be dry as upper level ridging builds in overhead.
An upper level impulse is expected to slide by to our north on
Sunday, but the bulk of the energy and moisture associated with the
system will remain well to our north. There is a possibility for some
rain and high mountain snow, particularly along the coast and into
the Umpqua Basin and Cascades, but amounts should remain light as
the front just grazes by the forecast area.
Until this point, the operational models and their respective
ensembles have been in fairly good agreement, but heading into early
next week, differences in timing, track, and strength of individual
systems make for a rather low confidence forecast. Guidance does
resolve another system arriving in the area Monday night or Tuesday,
and this could be another significant rain and wind producer. Have
kept precipitation chances high through this period as rain seems a
sure thing, but have kept winds modest in response to the wide
spread in guidance. Whatever the timing, the wet and active pattern
is expected to persist through next week. -BPN
&&
.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...High Wind Watch from Thursday morning through late Thursday
night for ORZ029>031.
Wind Advisory until 10 PM PST this evening for ORZ031.
Flash Flood Watch from Thursday morning through Friday afternoon
for ORZ022-024.
High Wind Watch from late tonight through Thursday afternoon for
ORZ021-022.
Wind Advisory until 4 PM PST this afternoon for ORZ026.
CA...High Wind Watch from Thursday morning through late Thursday
night for CAZ084-085.
Flash Flood Watch from Thursday morning through Friday afternoon
for CAZ080.
Wind Advisory until 4 PM PST this afternoon for CAZ081.
High Wind Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday evening
for CAZ081.
Pacific Coastal Waters...Gale Watch from late tonight through Thursday
afternoon for PZZ350-356-370-376.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM PST Thursday for PZZ350-356-376.
Hazardous Seas Warning until 4 PM PST this afternoon for
PZZ350-356-370-376.
Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 AM PST
Thursday for PZZ370.The office that day
Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 1:27 PM PST | Areal Flood Advisory | MFR | Jackson, Josephine | 3 hr |
| Nov 21, 2:06 PM PST | Gale Warning | MFR | 23 hr | |
| Nov 21, 2:06 PM PST | Hazardous Seas Warning | MFR | 56 hr | |
| Nov 21, 2:06 PM PST | Storm Warning | MFR | 23 hr | |
| Nov 21, 2:34 PM PST | Winter Weather Advisory | MFR | Douglas, Jackson, Josephine, Klamath, Lake | 42 hr |
| Nov 21, 3:29 PM PST | High Wind Warning | MFR | Coos, Curry, Douglas, Lake | 37 hr |
| Nov 21, 3:29 PM PST | Wind Advisory | MFR | Klamath, Lake | 55 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Oregon, 2018Winter Storm Warnings in California, 2018Every winter storm warning in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.