Alert archive / Missouri / Flash Flood Warnings in 2018

Flash Flood Warning 45, NWS St. Louis, MO

October 7, 2018Callaway County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this flash flood warning at Oct 7, 2018, 5:38 PM CDT for Callaway County, Missouri. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 7, 2018, 5:38 PM CDT (22:38 UTC)
Expired
Oct 7, 2018, 10:45 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Callaway County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 258 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2018-10-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 723 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2018-10-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 118 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
723 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-31 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
857 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
118 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
102 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
2.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

320 
WGUS53 KLSX 072238
FFWLSX
MOC027-080345-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FF.W.0045.181007T2238Z-181008T0345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service St Louis MO
538 PM CDT SUN OCT 7 2018

The National Weather Service in St Louis has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Callaway County in central Missouri...

* Until 1045 PM CDT.

* At 537 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Two to three inches of rain 
  have already fallen. Flash flooding is expected to begin shortly.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Jefferson City, Fulton, Holts Summit, Auxvasse, New Bloomfield,
  Chamois, Lake Mykee Town, Shamrock, Lake Mykee, Williamsburg,
  Mokane, Kingdom City, Wainwright, Portland, Carrington, Tebbetts,
  Guthrie, Reform and Steedman.

This includes Interstate 70 in Missouri between exits 148 and 161.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, country roads, farmland, and other low lying
spots.

Please report flooding to your local law enforcement agency when you
can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3881 9213 3906 9188 3906 9164 3870 9165
      3871 9173 3868 9176 3867 9186 3860 9194
      3856 9204 3856 9210 3860 9219 3863 9220
      3864 9222 3869 9222

$$

Carney
2 follow-up statements
264 
WGUS73 KLSX 080037
FFSLSX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
737 PM CDT SUN OCT 7 2018

MOC027-080345-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.W.0045.000000T0000Z-181008T0345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Callaway MO-
737 PM CDT SUN OCT 7 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM CDT FOR
CALLAWAY COUNTY...

At 724 PM CDT, Doppler radar estimated that 4 to 5 inches of rain 
has fallen along and south of a line from Holts Summit to New 
Bloomfield to Fulton.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Fulton, Holts Summit, Auxvasse, New Bloomfield, Chamois, Lake Mykee 
Town, Shamrock, Lake Mykee, Williamsburg, Mokane, Kingdom City, 
Wainwright, Portland, Carrington, Tebbetts, Guthrie, Reform and 
Steedman.

This includes Interstate 70 in Missouri between exits 148 and 161.

The headwaters of Auxvasse Creek, Hillers Creek, and the Middle 
River were hit especially hard with this heavy rain.  People should 
expect flooding on these streams this evening as runoff from heavy 
rain moves downstream.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, country roads, farmland, and other low lying
spots.

Please report flooding to your local law enforcement agency when you
can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3881 9213 3906 9188 3906 9164 3870 9165
      3871 9173 3868 9176 3867 9186 3860 9194
      3856 9204 3856 9210 3860 9219 3863 9220
      3864 9222 3869 9222

$$

Carney
652 
WGUS73 KLSX 080340
FFSLSX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1040 PM CDT SUN OCT 7 2018

MOC027-080349-
/O.EXP.KLSX.FF.W.0045.000000T0000Z-181008T0345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Callaway MO-
1040 PM CDT SUN OCT 7 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR CALLAWAY COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 1045 PM
CDT...

The heavy rain has ended. Flood waters have receded or are receding. 
Flash flooding is no longer expected to pose an imminent threat. 
Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3881 9213 3906 9188 3906 9164 3870 9165
      3871 9173 3868 9176 3867 9186 3860 9194
      3856 9204 3856 9210 3860 9219 3863 9220
      3864 9222 3869 9222

$$

Carney

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 6, 7:08 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLSXSainte Genevieve52 min
Oct 7, 5:33 AM CDTDense Fog AdvisoryLSXBoone, Callaway, Cole, Crawford, Franklin, Gasconade and 9 more3 hr
Oct 7, 2:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin46 min
Oct 7, 2:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMontgomery, Warren51 min
Oct 7, 2:55 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXCallaway, Cole, Osage22 min
Oct 7, 2:58 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLSXSaint Charles47 min
Oct 7, 3:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Charles26 min
Oct 7, 3:20 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLSXFranklin40 min
Oct 7, 3:53 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLSXSaint Charles, Saint Louis52 min
Oct 7, 4:35 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXMontgomery4 hr
Oct 7, 4:54 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXMontgomery5 hr
Oct 7, 5:57 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLSXOsage48 min
Oct 7, 6:41 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLSXMontgomery49 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2018Every flash flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.