Severe Thunderstorm Warning 7, NWS North Platte, NE

094 
WWUS53 KLBF 010027
SVSLBF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
727 PM CDT MON APR 30 2018

NEC089-010045-
/O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-180501T0045Z/
Holt NE-
727 PM CDT MON APR 30 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN HOLT COUNTY...

At 727 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 11 miles northeast
of Amelia, or 12 miles southwest of O'neill, moving northeast at 40
mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable 
         tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, 
         roofs, and outbuildings. 

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
southwestern Holt County.

This includes Highway 20 near mile marker 302.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4225 9866 4224 9905 4228 9909 4236 9909
      4248 9875
TIME...MOT...LOC 0027Z 237DEG 35KT 4237 9885 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

Taylor

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service North Platte NE
625 PM CDT Mon Apr 30 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 315 PM CDT Mon Apr 30 2018

Cold front is slowly sagging southeast across western NE this
afternoon. By early evening the front should extend from around
Bassett to Taylor to Hayes Center. Thunderstorms are expected to
develop early this evening near the front as a southerly LLJ
increases convergence along the boundary and continues to advect
higher Theta-E air northward into region. Shear profiles support
supercell structures and the potential for large hail, but appears
there will be quite a bit in the way of convection near the boundary
and that could lessen the severe potential some with many competing
updrafts. As the low level jet veers later this evening the
convergence will weaken and the storms should wane and shift east of
the area. Until this occurs there should be a two to three hour
period where storms could remain concentrated, with back building
potential. This seems most likely to occur across portions of Custer
county, north-northeastward across Loup, Garfield, Wheeler and into
portions of Holt county. Heavy rain could occur with the back
building, but at this time flooding rains are not expected.

The front sags south of the area Tuesday, with overcast conditions
expected as the low levels saturate leading to widespread stratus
clouds. Cannot rule out a few showers as well, but hard to pinpoint
exactly where. Models show some broad scale weak lift and mid level
moisture but nothing concentrated, so will include a slight to low
chance for showers for most areas to account for this. Much cooler
behind the front, with highs mostly in the 60s.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Monday)
Issued at 315 PM CDT Mon Apr 30 2018

The surface front will be driven south and east of the area
Tuesday night. Southwest flow aloft will remain across the area.
This will keep a 20 to 30 percent chance for post frontal showers
overnight. A few thunderstorms are also possible across the far
southern and eastern areas during the evening.

The large scale pattern remains active Wednesday into Thursday as
the longwave trough across the Great Basin moves east into the
Central Plains by Thursday. The surface environment will be
post frontal as the main frontal boundary remain south and east of
the forecast area. With southwest flow aloft, sufficient mid and
upper level moisture will be present for showers with occasional
embedded thunderstorms through Thursday. The models are in good
agreement with the synoptic scale pattern, but differ in timing
and location of any potential precip. POPs to increase to 30 to 40
percent by Wednesday afternoon, increasing to likely pops western
Sandhills Wednesday night into Thursday. The post frontal
conditions will keep temperatures slightly below normal, in the
upper 50s to low 60s. Considerable cloudiness the the periods.

The longwave trough will advance east of the area Thursday night,
followed by upper ridging Friday into Sunday. This will bring a
period of mainly dry conditions and highs returning to the mid 70s
for the weekend. As an upper trough drops south into the western
Conus Sunday night into Monday, the upper flow will become more
zonal. This will bring increased cloudiness and small shower
chance across the north and west. Highs by Monday still mild in
the upper 60s to lower 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 625 PM CDT Mon Apr 30 2018

The thunderstorm activity underway will move east of north central
Nebraska 06z-09z tonight. Meanwhile, an area of MVFR/IFR cigs
should move southward into nwrn Neb and reside across all of wrn
and ncntl Neb Tuesday. Improvement to MVFR/VFR is expected 21z
Tuesday.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Taylor
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...CDC

Hazardous Weather Outlook...CORRECTED
National Weather Service North Platte NE
456 PM CDT Mon Apr 30 2018

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-012115-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-
Grant-Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-
Logan-Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
456 PM CDT Mon Apr 30 2018 /356 PM MDT Mon Apr 30 2018/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and
north central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A slow moving cold front will drift east across the area tonight.
Thunderstorms are expected to occur near the front. A few of the
storms could be severe with large hail, gusty winds, and heavy
downpours. The threat area is generally east of a line from
Ainsworth to North Platte to Hayes Center. Storms should decrease
and move east of the area after midnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A few thunderstorms are possible Wednesday night. At this time,
the threat for severe storms is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed late this afternoon into the
early evening hours, east of a line from Hayes Center to
Ainsworth.

&&

Get your weather, hydrological, and climate information at
http://www.weather.gov/northplatte

Taylor

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
603 PM CDT MON APR 30 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     HAIL             16 NNE BRADY            41.24N 100.25W
04/30/2018  E1.00 INCH       LINCOLN            NE   PUBLIC

&&

JGOMEZ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
610 PM CDT MON APR 30 2018

NEZ026-027-010000-
Loup NE-Blaine NE-
610 PM CDT MON APR 30 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN LOUP AND EAST CENTRAL
BLAINE COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM CDT...

At 609 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles southeast of Brewster, moving northeast at 40 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Horseshoe Bend Lake, Almeria Meadow State Wildlife Management Area
and Almeria.

This includes Highway 183 between mile markers 135 and 137.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
north central Nebraska.

LAT...LON 4194 9935 4175 9964 4175 9969 4185 9984
      4208 9967
TIME...MOT...LOC 2309Z 222DEG 33KT 4184 9969

Taylor

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
613 PM CDT MON APR 30 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0608 PM     TSTM WND GST     8 WSW CALLAWAY          41.25N 100.06W
04/30/2018  M64 MPH          CUSTER             NE   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

JGOMEZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
640 PM CDT MON APR 30 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     HAIL             18 W TAYLOR             41.77N 99.73W
04/30/2018  E1.00 INCH       BLAINE             NE   PUBLIC

&&

JGOMEZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
651 PM CDT MON APR 30 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0628 PM     HAIL             7 SSW ANSELMO           41.53N 99.94W
04/30/2018  M1.00 INCH       CUSTER             NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

RKULIK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
700 PM CDT MON APR 30 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     TSTM WND GST     6 ENE BRADY             41.06N 100.26W
04/30/2018  E60 MPH          LINCOLN            NE   PUBLIC

&&

JGOMEZ