Alert archive / Wisconsin / Winter Storm Warnings in 2018

Winter Storm Warning 9, NWS Green Bay, WI

November 8, 2018Vilas County, Wisconsin

NWS Green Bay, WI issued this winter storm warning at Nov 8, 2018, 8:54 PM CST for Vilas County, Wisconsin. It took effect at Nov 9, 2018, 2:51 AM CST. It was in force for 27 hr. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Nov 8, 2018, 8:54 PM CST (02:54 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 9, 2018, 2:51 AM CST
Expired
Nov 10, 2018, 6:00 AM CST
In force
27 hr
Issued by
NWS Green Bay, WI

County Vilas County, WI

The radar

The Marquette radar (KMQT), 160 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Nov 9, 6:32 AM CSTSNOW 1.5St Germain, WI
Nov 9, 6:49 AM CSTSNOW 1.6Arbor Vitae, WI
Nov 9, 7:24 AM CSTSNOW 1.8Eagle River, WI
Nov 9, 7:32 AM CSTSNOW 2.2Lac Vieux Desert, WI
Nov 9, 7:48 AM CSTSNOW 1.312 W Land O Lakes, WI

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 207 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2018-11-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2018-11-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 16 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
888 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
123 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

064 
WWUS43 KGRB 090254
WSWGRB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
854 PM CST Thu Nov 8 2018

...ACCUMULATING SNOW AND SLIPPERY TRAVEL EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT
AND FRIDAY...

.A band of light snow will shift eastward across the region 
tonight into Friday morning, bringing 1 to 2 inches of 
accumulation to most locations. The snow is expected to intensify 
along the Lake Michigan shoreline late tonight into Friday, with 
accumulations of 2 to 5 inches anticipated. The snow will lead to 
slippery travel conditions during the morning commute.

Lake-effect snow will increase across north central Wisconsin
Friday and Friday night, as cold north-northwest winds flow 
across western Lake Superior. Moderate to heavy snow showers
will occur in the afternoon and evening, as an upper level low 
pressure system moves through the region. Winds will also become 
gusty during the afternoon and evening, resulting in some blowing
and drifting snow.

WIZ005-091100-
/O.UPG.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.181109T1200Z-181110T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KGRB.WS.W.0009.181109T1200Z-181110T1200Z/
Vilas-
Including the cities of Eagle River and Lac Du Flambeau
854 PM CST Thu Nov 8 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

The National Weather Service in Green Bay has issued a Winter
Storm Warning for snow, which is in effect from 6 AM Friday to 6 
AM CST Saturday. The Winter Weather Advisory is no longer in 
effect. 

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 8 inches
  expected, with 8 to 12 inches in northwest Vilas county.

* WHERE...Vilas County.

* WHEN...From 6 AM Friday to 6 AM CST Saturday. Snow will fall 
  heaviest Friday afternoon into Friday evening. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be hazardous, especially Friday
  afternoon and evening. Patchy blowing snow could also
  significantly reduce visibility in the late afternoon and evening.
  The hazardous conditions will likely impact the morning and 
  evening commutes. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring.  Significant amounts of snow
are forecast that will make travel hazardous.  If you must travel
use extreme caution, or wait until the storm has ended.  The
latest Wisconsin road conditions can be obtained by calling 511.

&&

$$

WIZ040-050-091100-
/O.EXB.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.181109T1000Z-181109T1800Z/
Kewaunee-Manitowoc-
Including the cities of Kewaunee, Luxemburg, Manitowoc, 
and Two Rivers
854 PM CST Thu Nov 8 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO NOON CST
FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in Green Bay has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for snow, which is in effect from 4 AM to noon 
CST Friday. 

* WHAT...Snow expected, with total snow accumulations of 2 to 4
  inches.

* WHERE...Kewaunee and Manitowoc counties.

* WHEN...From 4 AM to noon CST Friday. Snow will fall heaviest
  from around daybreak through mid morning. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The
  hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

WIZ010-011-091100-
/O.EXB.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.181109T1200Z-181110T0600Z/
Oneida-Forest-
Including the cities of Rhinelander and Crandon
854 PM CST Thu Nov 8 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT
CST FRIDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Green Bay has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for snow, which is in effect from 6 AM Friday to
midnight CST Friday night. 

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches
  expected, with 4 to 6 inches in the northern part of Oneida and
  Forest counties. The heaviest snow will occur Friday afternoon 
  and evening. Gusty northwest winds will also cause some blowing 
  and drifting snow Friday afternoon and evening. 

* WHERE...Oneida and Forest counties.

* WHEN...From 6 AM Friday until midnight CST Friday night. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The
  hazardous conditions will likely impact the morning and evening
  commutes. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

WIZ022-091100-
/O.CON.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.181109T1000Z-181109T2100Z/
Door-
Including the cities of Sturgeon Bay, Fish Creek, and Sister Bay
854 PM CST Thu Nov 8 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 3 PM
CST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches
  expected, with heavier snowfall totals close to 5 inches 
  possible over northern Door County. 

* WHERE...Door County.

* WHEN...From 4 AM to 3 PM CST Friday. Snow will fall heaviest
  from around daybreak through mid morning. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The
  hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$
Kieckbusch
9 follow-up statements
353 
WWUS43 KGRB 090851
WSWGRB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
251 AM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...ACCUMULATING SNOW AND SLIPPERY TRAVEL EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT
AND FRIDAY...

.A band of light snow will shift eastward across the region
this morning, slowing as it reaches north-central and far
northeast Wisconsin mid-day. The snow will lead to slippery 
travel conditions during the morning commute.

Lake-effect snow will increase across north-central Wisconsin 
this afternoon and tonight as cold north winds flow across 
Lake Superior. Moderate to heavy snow showers will occur in the 
afternoon and evening, as an upper-level low pressure system 
moves through the region. Winds will also become gusty during the 
afternoon and evening, resulting in some blowing and drifting 
snow.

WIZ005-091200-
/O.EXT.KGRB.WS.W.0009.181109T0851Z-181110T1200Z/
Vilas-
Including the cities of Eagle River and Lac Du Flambeau
251 AM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 8 
  inches expected, with 8 to 12 inches in northwest Vilas county.

* WHERE...Vilas County.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be hazardous, especially late
  this afternoon and this evening. Blowing snow could also 
  significantly reduce visibility in the late afternoon and 
  evening. The hazardous conditions will likely impact the morning
  and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring.  Significant amounts of
snow are forecast that will make travel hazardous.  If you must
travel use extreme caution, or wait until the storm has ended. 
The latest Wisconsin road conditions can be obtained by calling
511.

&&

$$

WIZ019>021-031-037>039-045-048-049-074-091200-
/O.EXB.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.181109T0851Z-181109T1800Z/
Langlade-Menominee-Northern Oconto County-Shawano-Waupaca-
Outagamie-Brown-Waushara-Winnebago-Calumet-Southern Oconto County-
Including the cities of Antigo, Keshena, Neopit, Mountain, 
Lakewood, Townsend, Shawano, New London, Waupaca, Clintonville, 
Appleton, Green Bay, Redgranite, Wautoma, Oshkosh, Neenah, 
Menasha, Chilton, Brillion, New Holstein, Little Suamico, 
Sobieski, Brookside, Oconto, and Pensaukee
251 AM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

* WHAT...Snow. One to three inches of accumulation is expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, north central and 
  northeast Wisconsin.

* WHEN...Until noon CST today.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Untreated roads are likely to be snow
  covered and slippery for the morning commute. Icy patches could
  also develop on bridges and overpasses.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means snow will cause 
travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited 
visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

WIZ012-013-073-091200-
/O.EXB.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.181109T0851Z-181109T2100Z/
Florence-Northern Marinette County-Southern Marinette County-
Including the cities of Aurora, Commonwealth, Spread Eagle, 
Niagara, Wausaukee, Harmony, Peshtigo, Porterfield, Crivitz, 
High Falls Reservoir, Loomis, and Middle Inlet
251 AM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Snow. Two to four inches of accumulation is expected.

* WHERE...Florence, Northern Marinette County and Southern 
  Marinette County Counties.

* WHEN...Until 3 PM CST this afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Untreated roads are likely to be snow
  covered and slippery for the morning commute. Icy patches could
  also develop on bridges and overpasses.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means snow will cause 
travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited 
visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

WIZ040-050-091200-
/O.EXT.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.181109T0851Z-181109T1800Z/
Kewaunee-Manitowoc-
Including the cities of Kewaunee, Luxemburg, Manitowoc, 
and Two Rivers
251 AM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Two to four inches of accumulation is expected.

* WHERE...Kewaunee and Manitowoc counties.

* WHEN...Until noon CST today.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Untreated roads are likely to be snow
  covered and slippery for the morning commute. Icy patches could
  also develop on bridges and overpasses.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means snow will cause 
travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited 
visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

WIZ010-011-091200-
/O.EXT.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.181109T0851Z-181110T0600Z/
Oneida-Forest-
Including the cities of Rhinelander and Crandon
251 AM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches
  expected, with 4 to 6 inches in the northern part of Oneida and
  Forest counties. The heaviest snow will occur this afternoon and
  evening. Gusty northwest winds will also cause some blowing and
  drifting snow during that time.

* WHERE...Oneida and Forest counties.

* WHEN...Until midnight CST tonight.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Untreated roads are likely to be snow
  covered and slippery for the morning commute. Icy patches could
  also develop on bridges and overpasses.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means snow will cause 
travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited 
visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

WIZ022-091200-
/O.EXT.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.181109T0851Z-181109T2100Z/
Door-
Including the cities of Sturgeon Bay, Fish Creek, and Sister Bay
251 AM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches
  expected, with heavier snowfall totals close to 6 inches 
  possible over northern Door County.

* WHERE...Door County.

* WHEN...Until 3 PM CST this afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Untreated roads are likely to be snow
  covered and slippery for the morning commute. Icy patches could
  also develop on bridges and overpasses.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means snow will cause 
travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited 
visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

Skowronski
745 
WWUS43 KGRB 091154
WSWGRB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
554 AM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...SLIPPERY ROADS EXPECTED FOR THE MORNING COMMUTE...

.A band of light snow will continue to shift eastward across the 
region this morning, slowing as it reaches north-central and far 
northeast Wisconsin mid-day. The snow will lead to slippery travel
conditions during the morning commute.

Lake-effect snow will increase across north-central Wisconsin
this afternoon and tonight as cold north winds flow across Lake
Superior. Moderate to heavy snow showers will occur in the
afternoon and evening, as an upper-level low pressure system
moves through the region. Winds will also become gusty during the
afternoon and evening, resulting in some blowing and drifting
snow.

WIZ005-091700-
/O.CON.KGRB.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-181110T1200Z/
Vilas-
Including the cities of Eagle River and Lac Du Flambeau
554 AM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. A total accumulation of 6 to 8 inches is expected,
  with 8 to 12 inches in northwest Vilas county.

* WHERE...Vilas County.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be hazardous, especially late
  this afternoon and this evening. Blowing and drifting snow 
  could also significantly reduce visibility in the late afternoon
  and evening. The hazardous conditions will likely impact the 
  morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring.  Significant amounts of
snow are forecast that will make travel hazardous.  If you must
travel use extreme caution, or wait until the storm has ended.
The latest Wisconsin road conditions can be obtained by calling
511.

&&

$$

WIZ019>021-031-037>040-045-048>050-074-091700-
/O.CON.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-181109T1800Z/
Langlade-Menominee-Northern Oconto County-Shawano-Waupaca-
Outagamie-Brown-Kewaunee-Waushara-Winnebago-Calumet-Manitowoc-
Southern Oconto County-
Including the cities of Antigo, Keshena, Neopit, Mountain, 
Lakewood, Townsend, Shawano, New London, Waupaca, Clintonville, 
Appleton, Green Bay, Kewaunee, Luxemburg, Redgranite, Wautoma, 
Oshkosh, Neenah, Menasha, Chilton, Brillion, New Holstein, 
Manitowoc, Two Rivers, Little Suamico, Sobieski, Brookside, 
Oconto, and Pensaukee
554 AM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
TODAY...

* WHAT...Snow. A total accumulation of 1 to 3 inches is expected
  across most of the area, with 2 to 4 inches along the lakeshore.

* WHERE...Portions of central, north-central and northeast
  Wisconsin, and most of east-central Wisconsin.

* WHEN...Until noon CST today.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Untreated roads are likely to be snow 
  covered and slippery for the morning commute. Icy patches 
  could also develop on bridges and overpasses.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means snow will cause travel
difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities,
and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

WIZ012-013-022-073-091700-
/O.CON.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-181109T2100Z/
Florence-Northern Marinette County-Door-Southern Marinette County-
Including the cities of Aurora, Commonwealth, Spread Eagle, 
Niagara, Wausaukee, Sturgeon Bay, Fish Creek, Sister Bay, 
Harmony, Peshtigo, Porterfield, Crivitz, High Falls Reservoir, 
Loomis, and Middle Inlet
554 AM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Snow. A total accumulation of 2 to 4 inches is expected
  across most of the area. A snowfall of 3 to 6 inches is expected
  across Door County, with the highest totals in the north.

* WHERE...Florence, Marinette, and Door counties.

* WHEN...Until 3 PM CST this afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Untreated roads are likely to be snow 
  covered and slippery for the morning commute. Icy patches 
  could also develop on bridges and overpasses.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means snow will cause travel
difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities,
and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

WIZ010-011-091700-
/O.CON.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-181110T0600Z/
Oneida-Forest-
Including the cities of Rhinelander and Crandon
554 AM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Snow. A total accumulation of 3 to 5 inches is expected,
  with 4 to 6 inches in the northern part of Oneida and Forest 
  counties. The heaviest snow will occur this afternoon and 
  evening. Gusty northwest winds will also cause some blowing and 
  drifting snow during that time.

* WHERE...Oneida and Forest counties.

* WHEN...Until midnight CST tonight.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be hazardous, especially late
  this afternoon and this evening. Blowing and drifting snow could
  also significantly reduce visibility in the late afternoon and
  evening. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means snow will cause travel
difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities,
and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

Skowronski
465 
WWUS43 KGRB 091553
WSWGRB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
953 AM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...SLIPPERY ROADS EXPECTED FOR THE MORNING COMMUTE...

.A band of light snow will continue to shift slowly eastward
across mainly far eastern and northeastern Wisconsin through late
morning into early this afternoon. The snow will lead to slippery
travel conditions at times, especially on elevated and untreated 
surfaces.

Lake-effect snow will increase across north-central Wisconsin
this afternoon and tonight as cold north to northwest winds flow 
across Lake Superior. Moderate to heavy snow showers will occur in
the afternoon and evening, as an upper-level low pressure system 
moves through the region. Winds will also become gusty during the 
afternoon and evening, resulting in some blowing and drifting 
snow.

WIZ019-020-031-037-038-045-048-091700-
/O.CAN.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-181109T1800Z/
Langlade-Menominee-Shawano-Waupaca-Outagamie-Waushara-Winnebago-
Including the cities of Antigo, Keshena, Neopit, Shawano, 
New London, Waupaca, Clintonville, Appleton, Redgranite, Wautoma,
Oshkosh, Neenah, and Menasha
953 AM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The accumulating snow will continue to taper off through the rest
of the morning into the afternoon. Another round of light snow is
possible this evening; however, accumulations are expected to
remain light. Untreated sidewalks and roadways may remain
slippery.

$$

WIZ005-092100-
/O.CON.KGRB.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-181110T1200Z/
Vilas-
Including the cities of Eagle River and Lac Du Flambeau
953 AM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. A total accumulation of 6 to 8 inches is 
  expected, with 8 to 12 inches in northwest Vilas county.

* WHERE...Vilas County.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be hazardous, especially late 
  this afternoon and this evening. Blowing and drifting snow 
  could also significantly reduce visibility in the late 
  afternoon and evening. The hazardous conditions will likely 
  impact the morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring.  Significant amounts of
snow are forecast that will make travel hazardous.  If you must
travel use extreme caution, or wait until the storm has ended.
The latest Wisconsin road conditions can be obtained by calling
511.

&&

$$

WIZ021-039-040-049-050-074-091800-
/O.CON.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-181109T1800Z/
Northern Oconto County-Brown-Kewaunee-Calumet-Manitowoc-
Southern Oconto County-
Including the cities of Mountain, Lakewood, Townsend, Green Bay, 
Kewaunee, Luxemburg, Chilton, Brillion, New Holstein, Manitowoc, 
Two Rivers, Little Suamico, Sobieski, Brookside, Oconto, 
and Pensaukee
953 AM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
TODAY...

* WHAT...Snow. A total accumulation of 1 to 3 inches is expected 
  across most of the area, with 2 to 4 inches along the 
  lakeshore.

* WHERE...Portions of central, north-central and northeast 
  Wisconsin, and most of east-central Wisconsin.

* WHEN...Until noon CST today.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Untreated roads are likely to be snow 
  covered and slippery for the morning commute. Icy patches 
  could also develop on bridges and overpasses.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means snow will cause travel
difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities,
and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

WIZ012-013-022-073-092100-
/O.CON.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-181109T2100Z/
Florence-Northern Marinette County-Door-Southern Marinette County-
Including the cities of Aurora, Commonwealth, Spread Eagle, 
Niagara, Wausaukee, Sturgeon Bay, Fish Creek, Sister Bay, 
Harmony, Peshtigo, Porterfield, Crivitz, High Falls Reservoir, 
Loomis, and Middle Inlet
953 AM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Snow. A total accumulation of 2 to 4 inches is expected 
  across most of the area. A snowfall total of 3 to 6 inches is 
  expected across Door County, with the highest totals in the 
  north.

* WHERE...Florence, Marinette, and Door counties.

* WHEN...Until 3 PM CST this afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Untreated roads are likely to be snow 
  covered and slippery for the morning commute. Icy patches 
  could also develop on bridges and overpasses.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means snow will cause travel
difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities,
and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

WIZ010-011-092100-
/O.CON.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-181110T0600Z/
Oneida-Forest-
Including the cities of Rhinelander and Crandon
953 AM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Snow. A total accumulation of 3 to 5 inches is 
  expected, with 4 to 6 inches in the northern part of Oneida 
  and Forest counties. The heaviest snow will occur this 
  afternoon and evening. Gusty northwest winds will also cause 
  some blowing and drifting snow during that time.

* WHERE...Oneida and Forest counties.

* WHEN...Until midnight CST tonight.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be hazardous, especially late 
  this afternoon and this evening. Blowing and drifting snow 
  could also significantly reduce visibility in the late 
  afternoon and evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means snow will cause travel
difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities,
and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$
693 
WWUS43 KGRB 091809
WSWGRB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
1209 PM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...SLIPPERY ROADS EXPECTED AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT...

.A band of light to occasionally moderate snow will continue to 
lift through the Door Peninsula and the counties bordering Upper 
Michigan through early afternoon. Some slick spots remain possible
on elevated and untreated surfaces.

Lake-effect snow will increase across north-central Wisconsin
this afternoon and tonight as cold north to northwest winds flow
across Lake Superior. Moderate to heavy snow showers will occur
in the afternoon and evening, as an upper-level low pressure
system moves through the region. Winds will also become gusty
during the afternoon and evening, resulting in some blowing and
drifting snow.

WIZ021-039-040-049-050-074-091915-
/O.EXP.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-181109T1800Z/
Northern Oconto County-Brown-Kewaunee-Calumet-Manitowoc-
Southern Oconto County-
Including the cities of Mountain, Lakewood, Townsend, Green Bay, 
Kewaunee, Luxemburg, Chilton, Brillion, New Holstein, Manitowoc, 
Two Rivers, Little Suamico, Sobieski, Brookside, Oconto, 
and Pensaukee
1209 PM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

.The band of light to occasionally moderate snow has generally 
lifted to the north and east of the area, which has allowed the 
advisory to expire. Light snow will remain possible intermittently
through tonight along with gusty winds. Some elevated and 
untreated roads may remain slick.

$$

WIZ005-100215-
/O.CON.KGRB.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-181110T1200Z/
Vilas-
Including the cities of Eagle River and Lac Du Flambeau
1209 PM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. A total accumulation of 6 to 8 inches is 
  expected, with 8 to 12 inches in northwest Vilas county.

* WHERE...Vilas County.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be hazardous, especially late 
  this afternoon and this evening. Blowing and drifting snow 
  could also significantly reduce visibility in the late 
  afternoon and evening. The hazardous conditions will likely 
  impact the morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring.  Significant amounts of
snow are forecast that will make travel hazardous.  If you must
travel use extreme caution, or wait until the storm has ended.
The latest Wisconsin road conditions can be obtained by calling
511.

&&

$$

WIZ012-013-022-073-092100-
/O.CON.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-181109T2100Z/
Florence-Northern Marinette County-Door-Southern Marinette County-
Including the cities of Aurora, Commonwealth, Spread Eagle, 
Niagara, Wausaukee, Sturgeon Bay, Fish Creek, Sister Bay, 
Harmony, Peshtigo, Porterfield, Crivitz, High Falls Reservoir, 
Loomis, and Middle Inlet
1209 PM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Snow. A total accumulation of 2 to 4 inches is expected 
  across most of the area. A snowfall total of 3 to 6 inches is 
  expected across Door County, with the highest totals in the 
  north.

* WHERE...Florence, Marinette, and Door counties.

* WHEN...Until 3 PM CST this afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Untreated roads are likely to be snow 
  covered and slippery for the morning commute. Icy patches 
  could also develop on bridges and overpasses.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means snow will cause travel
difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities,
and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

WIZ010-011-100215-
/O.CON.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-181110T0600Z/
Oneida-Forest-
Including the cities of Rhinelander and Crandon
1209 PM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Snow. A total accumulation of 3 to 5 inches is 
  expected, with 4 to 6 inches in the northern part of Oneida 
  and Forest counties. The heaviest snow will occur this 
  afternoon and evening. Gusty northwest winds will also cause 
  some blowing and drifting snow during that time.

* WHERE...Oneida and Forest counties.

* WHEN...Until midnight CST tonight.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be hazardous, especially late 
  this afternoon and this evening. Blowing and drifting snow 
  could also significantly reduce visibility in the late 
  afternoon and evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means snow will cause travel
difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities,
and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$
883 
WWUS43 KGRB 092045
WSWGRB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
245 PM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW EXPECTED 
THROUGH TONIGHT...

Lake-effect snow will increase across north-central Wisconsin 
this afternoon and tonight as cold north to northwest winds flow 
across Lake Superior. Moderate to heavy snow showers will occur
this afternoon and evening, as an upper-level low pressure system
moves through the region. Winds will also become gusty during the
afternoon and evening, resulting in some blowing and drifting 
snow.

WIZ012-013-022-073-092145-
/O.EXP.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-181109T2100Z/
Florence-Northern Marinette County-Door-Southern Marinette County-
Including the cities of Aurora, Commonwealth, Spread Eagle, 
Niagara, Wausaukee, Sturgeon Bay, Fish Creek, Sister Bay, 
Harmony, Peshtigo, Porterfield, Crivitz, High Falls Reservoir, 
Loomis, and Middle Inlet
245 PM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A band of light snow will continue to lift slowly northward out of
the advisory area this afternoon, which will allow the advisory to
expire. There may still be some slippery spots on elevated and
untreated roadways. Additional light snow will slide through the
area this evening and tonight, leading to some additional light
accumulations. Winds will also become gusty overnight allowing for
some blowing and drifting of snow.

$$

WIZ005-100500-
/O.CON.KGRB.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-181110T1200Z/
Vilas-
Including the cities of Eagle River and Lac Du Flambeau
245 PM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. A total accumulation of 5 to 8 inches is 
  expected, with 8 to 12 inches in northwest Vilas county.

* WHERE...Vilas County.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be hazardous, especially
  through late evening. Blowing and drifting snow could also
  significantly reduce visibility below a mile at times. The
  hazardous conditions will likely impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring.  Significant amounts of
snow are forecast that will make travel hazardous.  If you must
travel use extreme caution, or wait until the storm has ended.
The latest Wisconsin road conditions can be obtained by calling
511.

&&

$$

WIZ010-011-100500-
/O.CON.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-181110T0600Z/
Oneida-Forest-
Including the cities of Rhinelander and Crandon
245 PM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Snow. A total accumulation of 3 to 5 inches is expected,
  with 4 to 6 inches in the northern part of Oneida and Forest
  counties. The heaviest snow will occur late this afternoon into
  this evening. Gusty northwest winds will also cause some 
  blowing and drifting snow during that time.

* WHERE...Oneida and Forest counties.

* WHEN...Until midnight CST tonight.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be hazardous through late this
  evening. Blowing and drifting snow could also significantly 
  reduce visibility in the late afternoon and evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means snow will cause travel
difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities,
and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$
802 
WWUS43 KGRB 100439
WSWGRB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
1039 PM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW EXPECTED
THROUGH TONIGHT...

Lake-effect snow will continue across the Northwoods tonight as 
cold north to northwest winds flow across Lake Superior. Gusty
winds will produce some blowing and drifting snow as well.

WIZ005-101200-
/O.CON.KGRB.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-181110T1200Z/
Vilas-
Including the cities of Eagle River and Lac Du Flambeau
1039 PM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. A total accumulation of 4 to 7 inches is expected,
  with 7 to 10 inches in northwest Vilas county.

* WHERE...Vilas County.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be hazardous, especially 
  through late evening. Blowing and drifting snow could also 
  significantly reduce visibility below a mile at times. The 
  hazardous conditions will likely impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

WIZ010-011-100600-
/O.CON.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-181110T0600Z/
Oneida-Forest-
Including the cities of Rhinelander and Crandon
1039 PM CST Fri Nov 9 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Snow showers. A total accumulation of 2 to 5 inches is
  expected. Gusty northwest winds will also cause some blowing and
  drifting snow.

* WHERE...Oneida and Forest counties.

* WHEN...Until midnight CST tonight.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be hazardous through late 
  this evening. Blowing and drifting snow could also 
  significantly reduce visibility in the late afternoon and 
  evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$
688 
WWUS43 KGRB 100606
WSWGRB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
1206 AM CST Sat Nov 10 2018

...LAKE-EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE IN THE SNOWBELT OVERNIGHT...SNOW
SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA...

Lake-effect snow will continue across the snowbelt overnight as 
cold northwest winds flow across Lake Superior. Gusty winds will 
produce some blowing and drifting snow as well. The snow showers
across the rest of the area will continue to diminish as the storm
system which produced the snow pulls off to the east.

WIZ010-011-100715-
/O.EXP.KGRB.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-181110T0600Z/
Oneida-Forest-
Including the cities of Rhinelander and Crandon
1206 AM CST Sat Nov 10 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT...

Scattered snow showers will continue overnight, but gradually
diminish to flurries. Less than an inch of additional accumulation
is expected, so the Winter Weather Advisory has been allowed to 
expire. However, travel conditions are likely to be slow to 
improve as gusty northwest winds result in some blowing and
drifting of the new snow.

$$

WIZ005-101200-
/O.CON.KGRB.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-181110T1200Z/
Vilas-
Including the cities of Eagle River and Lac Du Flambeau
1206 AM CST Sat Nov 10 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. 1 to 3 inches of additional accumulation is
  expected after midnight.

* WHERE...Vilas County.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be hazardous. Blowing and
  drifting snow could also significantly reduce the visibility to
  below a mile at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous. If you must travel, 
be sure to keep a flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in 
case of an emergency. Be sure to start with a full tank of fuel 
before crossing open areas.

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

Skowronski
626 
WWUS43 KGRB 101005
WSWGRB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
405 AM CST Sat Nov 10 2018

...CONDITIONS IMPROVING IN THE SNOWBELT...

Lake-effect snow will continue to diminish early this morning.
Northwest winds will gradually decrease as well, easing the
blowing and drifting of the snow.

WIZ005-101200-
/O.CON.KGRB.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-181110T1200Z/
Vilas-
Including the cities of Eagle River and Lac Du Flambeau
405 AM CST Sat Nov 10 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY
THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Snow. Less than an inch of additional accumulation is
  expected.

* WHERE...Vilas County.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means snow severe winter weather
conditions will make travel hazardous. Expect snow covered roads 
and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions can be
obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

Skowronski
745 
WWUS43 KGRB 101153
WSWGRB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
553 AM CST Sat Nov 10 2018

WIZ005-101300-
/O.EXP.KGRB.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-181110T1200Z/
Vilas-
Including the cities of Eagle River and Lac Du Flambeau
553 AM CST Sat Nov 10 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM CST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

Scattered snow showers and flurries will continue in the snowbelt
this morning, but little additional accumulation is anticipated.
In addition, winds will be diminishing. As a result, the Winter
Storm Warning will be allowed to expire at 600 am. Road
conditions are likely to be slower to improve, so be sure to use 
extra caution if you are traveling this morning. 

$$

JS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Green Bay, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Nov 8, 8:28 PM CST, 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 8, 8:28 PM CST, 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
828 PM CST Thu Nov 8 2018

New Information added to update section

.UPDATE...
Issued at 817 PM CST Thu Nov 8 2018

Have increased QPF/snowfall along the lakeshore Friday morning,
and will be issuing a winter weather advisory shortly. Snowfall
totals are now pushing 2 to 4 inches there, and the heaviest snow
will be falling during during the morning commute. The Door
county advisory still looks good, but with a minor increase in
snowfall totals.

Have also made some changes to the north central WI headlines,
upgrading Vilas to a winter storm warning and buffering that
county with a winter weather advisory in Oneida and Forest
counties. Snowfall forecasts are now approaching a foot in far
northwest Vilas, and 4 to 6 inch amounts may bleed into northern
Oneida and northern Forest counties. Although the headlines start
at 12z Friday, the heaviest snow is expected to occur in the
afternoon and evening as winds turn north-northwest and synoptic-
scale enhancement occurs in association with the passing upper
low. As winds increase late afternoon and evening, some blowing
will also ikely occur.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight and Friday
Issued at 335 PM CST Thu Nov 8 2018

Colder temperatures along with good chances of light to possibly
moderate snow tonight through the day Friday. This could lead to
impacts late tonight into Friday morning as this will be the first
accumulating snowfall of the season. Winter Weather Advisories
have been issued for portions of the area, especially over

Satellite imagery continues to show widespread cloud cover across
much of the wester Great Lakes region, west into the Dakotas. Radar
imagery continues to show some lake effect snow showers downwind of
Lake Superior, mainly across Upper Michigan. Additionally, some at
least light snowfall is showing up across portions of MN and the
Dakotas.

Tonight: A deepening trough, sliding across  the Plains this
evening, is expected to close off an upper level low as a vort max
rounds the base of the trough late tonight. As this happens, this
will also help to intensify/develop a surface low across WI into
Lake MI. The combination of forcing/steepening lapse rates with
these features, along with increasing deep-layer moisture, will lead
to increasing snowfall this evening and especially during the
overnight/early morning hours. Models are in good agreement in
painting out around 0.05 to 0.10 inches of QPF. This amount of QPF
combined with roughly 10-15 to 1 snow to liquid ratios would give
around an inch to an inch and a half by the morning commute,
especially across east central and northeast WI. This could lead to
greater impacts this early in the season as we adjust to winter
driving once again.

Friday: The aforementioned surface low is expected to shift farther
east and become more defined as it phases with yet another low
lifting northeast out of the Ohio River Valley. This would keep the
stronger surface low over southeast lower MI into PA into the
afternoon hours. Even though the stronger low will remain well to
the southeast of the area, a fairly strong inverted surface trough
will extend northwest from the low, across Lake MI into the U.P. and
Lake Superior. This trough will keep snow in place across eastern
and northeastern WI through mid morning before the better forcing
and moisture shifts across Lake MI. Models continue to paint out up
to another inch or so of snow during the morning hours across the
eastern CWA. Again, the timing of the light snow will be the main
reason for greater impacts as the snow would likely continue through
at least mid morning, leading to slippery travel. Snowfall totals
across most of the area from late tonight through Friday morning
will be in the 1 to 2 inch range. A dominant north-south oriented
lake effect band will likely develop over Lake Michigan; however,
the main location that has a chance of being impacted from this
would be the tip of the Door Peninsula. It is not a particularly
high probability as the inverted trough is expected to be far
enough northeast of the area to shift the band more eastward.

By 18Z, the upper level low is expected to slide into northwest WI
as a well defined dry slot slides eastern and northeastern portions
of WI. This will allow for a break in the precipitation for much of
the afternoon hours or at least taper the precipitation off to some
flurries. Freezing drizzle still looks to be a very limited threat
as the colder air sliding into the area would likely keep the
shallow moist layer cold enough to introduce ice crystals. Outside
of the system forcing and moisture, north to north-northwest flow
will increase over western Lake Superior during the afternoon hours
as 850mb temperatures drop to or linger around -14C. This, along
with Lake Superior surface temperatures lingering around 7C, will
lead to sufficient lake induced instability for lake effect snow.
This will also be around the time that the trough begins to wrap
southward before shifting off to the east. Inversion heights will
increase during the afternoon over that area, allowing for a re-
intensification of snow. Hi-res models are painting out around
0.30 inches of QPF, which would give around 3 to 5 additional
inches across Vilas county from Friday afternoon into Friday
evening. This would bring 24 hour totals across Vilas County to
around 2 to 6 inches with locally higher totals approaching 8
inches over the far northwest portion of the county.

.LONG TERM...Friday Night Through Thursday
Issued at 335 PM CST Thu Nov 8 2018

The main concerns during this part of the forecast are the end of
the initial snow event and winds Friday night into early Saturday
morning.

Flow aloft remains mostly out of the northwest through this part
of the forecast, keeping temperatures well below normal. There
are a couple of short wave troughs that pass through the state but
it does not appear that any Gulf moisture will be associated with
them, resulting in just minor precipitation amounts. The exception
will be locations downwind from the Great Lakes. So, there will
be chances for accumulating snow in far north-central Wisconsin
at times through the middle of next week. Far eastern Wisconsin
could also end up with a little bit of snow at times.

Winds will be favorable for lake effect/enhancement Friday night
as the mid level trough departs and the surface trough rotates
through the area. There may be another 1 to a little more than 2
inches in parts of Vilas County before the event comes to an end.

Winds on the back side of the departing system will increase, with
gusts in excess of 30 knots over Door County and the waters of
Lake Michigan and Green Bay Friday night into early Saturday.
Would expect a gale warning to be needed for the waters and a wind
advisory may be necessary for Door County.

Highs are normal in the upper 30s and 40s at this time of year,
but high temperatures are likely to be mostly in the 20s and 30s
during this part of the forecast.
&&

.AVIATION...for 00Z TAF Issuance
Issued at 603 PM CST Thu Nov 8 2018

Flight conditions over much of central, northeast and east
centrtal WI have improved to VFR early this evening, although
MVFR ceilings remined over most of north central WI. Light snow
and associated MVFR/IFR conditions will develop over our western
counties during the mid to late evening, and over eastern WI
overnight. The snow will taper off from west to east Monday
morning. An upper level low pressure system will cause snow
showers to increase again over north central WI Friday afternoon.
Moderate to heavy snow showers will be possible at the RHI TAF
site and locations farther to the north from mid-afternoon through
mid-evening Friday.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory from 4 AM to noon CST Friday for WIZ040-
050.

Winter Weather Advisory from 4 AM to 3 PM CST Friday for WIZ022.

Winter Storm Warning from 6 AM Friday to 6 AM CST Saturday for
WIZ005.

Winter Weather Advisory from 6 AM Friday to midnight CST Friday
night for WIZ010-011.
&&

UPDATE.........Kieckbusch
SHORT TERM.....Cooley
LONG TERM......MG
AVIATION.......Kieckbusch
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 8, 3:53 PM CST, 5 hours 1 minute before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
353 PM CST Thu Nov 8 2018

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-092200-
Vilas-Oneida-Forest-Florence-Northern Marinette County-Lincoln-
Langlade-Menominee-Northern Oconto County-Door-Marathon-Shawano-
Wood-Portage-Waupaca-Outagamie-Brown-Kewaunee-Waushara-Winnebago-
Calumet-Manitowoc-Southern Marinette County-
Southern Oconto County-
353 PM CST Thu Nov 8 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north-central and northeast
Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A minor snow accumulation is expected across the entire area late
tonight and could produce slick roadways.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Thursday

Light snow is expected to continue at most locations on Friday
and Friday night. The highest amounts, in the 3 to 6 inch range,
are forecast to fall over north-central Wisconsin. Snow totals of
1 to 3 inches are possible in eastern Wisconsin. Much of Door
County will see slightly higher amounts. Slippery or snow covered
roadways are expected at times, which will make for hazardous
travel.

Expect windy conditions across the Door Peninsula Friday night
into early Saturday. This will make travel difficult for drivers
of high profile vehicles.

Periods of lake-effect snow showers over the north-central
Wisconsin snow belt could also bring some accumulations this
weekend into early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are requested to forward snowfall measurements to the
National Weather Service in Green Bay.

LMZ521-522-541>543-092200-
The Bay of Green Bay south of a line from Cedar River MI to Rock
Island Passage-Lake Michigan from Washington Island to Sheboygan-
353 PM CST Thu Nov 8 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Lake
Michigan and the waters of Green Bay.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Thursday

Northwest gales of 35 knots or higher are possible Friday night
into early Saturday.

Cooley/MG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Green Bay, WI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 8, 8:26 PM CSTGale WarningGRB37 hr
Nov 8, 8:26 PM CSTSmall Craft AdvisoryGRB25 hr
Nov 9, 2:53 PM CSTWind AdvisoryGRBBrown, Calumet, Door, Kewaunee, Manitowoc, Outagamie and 1 more18 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Wisconsin, 2018Every winter storm warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.