Alert archive / Michigan / Beach Hazards Statements in 2018

Beach Hazards Statement 13, NWS Detroit, MI

September 8, 20185 counties in Michigan

NWS Detroit, MI issued this beach hazards statement at Sep 8, 2018, 4:20 AM EDT for 5 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 18 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 8, 2018, 4:20 AM EDT (08:20 UTC)
Expired
Sep 8, 2018, 10:04 PM EDT
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS Detroit, MI

Counties Bay County, MI, Huron County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Saint Clair County, MI, Sanilac County, MI

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 00:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 58 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2018-09-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2018-09-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -32 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1143 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

898 
WHUS43 KDTX 080820
CFWDTX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
420 AM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

MIZ070-076-081700-
/O.EXB.KDTX.LS.Y.0014.180908T0820Z-180909T2000Z/
Macomb-Wayne-
420 AM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a
Lakeshore Flood Advisory, which is in effect until 4 PM EDT
Sunday. 

* Lake Shore Flooding...Persistent northeast winds of 20 to 25 mph
  will produce waves in the 2 to 4 foot range and occasionally to
  5 feet today through Sunday. The combination of high 
  undisturbed water level, wave action, and strong wind is 
  expected to result in shoreline flooding of prone areas. 

* Impacts...The Lake St Clair undisturbed water level has averaged
  about 46 inches above chart datum and flood level is 54 inches
  above chart datum. The high water levels combined with high wave
  action and strong northeast wind will likely produce an
  effective water level capable of flooding prone areas around the
  shoreline. Damage to docks, boat lifts and watercraft anchored
  along the shoreline is also possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Lakeshore Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds will
generate flooding of low areas along the lakeshore.

* Prepare, plan and stay informed. Visit www.weather.gov/safety

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

&&

$$

MIZ048-049-055-081700-
/O.NEW.KDTX.BH.S.0013.180908T0820Z-180909T0800Z/
/O.EXT.KDTX.LS.Y.0014.180908T0820Z-180909T0800Z/
Bay-Huron-Sanilac-
420 AM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a
Beach Hazards Statement for dangerous swimming conditions, which
is in effect through late tonight. 

* Lake Shore Flooding...Persistent northeast winds of 20 to 25 mph
  gusting to 30 mph will produce waves in the 3 to 5 foot range on
  the inner Bay and in the 6 to 9 foot range on the outer Bay and
  Lake Huron. The combination of the elevated waves and wind
  pushing water inland may result in flooding prone areas along
  the shoreline. 

* Impacts...the water level along portions of the southern Lake
  Huron basin is forecast to climb over 4 feet above chart datum
  today. High water levels combined with wave action will have the
  potential to result in shoreline flooding and erosion. Damage 
  to docks, boat lifts and watercraft anchored along the shoreline
  are also possible. 

* Beach Hazards...High wave action alone can make swimming 
  difficult on days such as this. Incoming waves in rapid 
  succession can tire a swimmer quickly.

  Structural currents form along piers where longshore currents 
  and wave action flow into the structure. Structural currents 
  can sweep you out lakeward along the pier structure.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Lakeshore Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds will
generate flooding of low areas along the lakeshore.

* Prepare, plan and stay informed. Visit www.weather.gov/safety

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

&&

$$

MIZ054-081700-
/O.EXT.KDTX.LS.Y.0014.180908T0820Z-180909T0800Z/
Tuscola-
420 AM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* Lake Shore Flooding...Persistent northeast winds of 20 to 25 
  mph will produce waves in the 3 to 5 foot range tonight and 
  Saturday. The combination of the elevated waves and wind 
  pushing water inland may result in minor flooding as water 
  levels exceed 48 inches. 

* Impacts...the water level across Saginaw Bay is forecast to 
  climb over 4 feet above chart datum today. High water levels 
  combined with wave action will have the potential to result in 
  minor shoreline flooding and erosion. Damage to docks, boat 
  lifts and watercraft anchored along the shoreline are also 
  possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Lakeshore Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds will
generate flooding of low areas along the lakeshore.

* Prepare, plan and stay informed. Visit www.weather.gov/safety

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

&&

$$

MIZ063-081700-
/O.NEW.KDTX.BH.S.0013.180908T0820Z-180909T0800Z/
St. Clair-
420 AM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a
Beach Hazards Statement for dangerous swimming conditions, which
is in effect through late tonight. 

* High Wave Action and Dangerous Swimming Conditions Expected.

* Strong Structural Currents...Expected. 

* Strong Longshore Currents...Expected. 

* Location...Beaches from Lakeport to Port Huron including... 
  Lakeport...Fort Gratiot...Port Huron...

* Overview/Potential Impacts...Strong northeast wind will build
  waves to dangerous levels for people swimming at areas beaches.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Children should not enter the water unsupervised and without a
certified flotation device. Caution should be used when in or
near the water. Pay attention to flags and signs posted near
beach access points and lifeguard stations. 

High wave action alone can make swimming difficult on days such
as this. Incoming waves in rapid succession can tire a swimmer
quickly.

Structural currents form along piers where longshore currents and
wave action flow into the structure. Structural currents can
sweep you out lakeward along the pier structure.

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

&&

$$

BT
4 follow-up statements
735 
WHUS43 KDTX 080832
CFWDTX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
432 AM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

Updated to add Monroe county to Beach Hazards.

MIZ048-049-055-081700-
/O.CON.KDTX.LS.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-180909T0800Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.BH.S.0013.000000T0000Z-180909T0800Z/
Bay-Huron-Sanilac-
432 AM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
SUNDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

* Lake Shore Flooding...Northeast winds of 20 to 25 mph gusting 
  to 30 mph will produce waves in the 3 to 5 foot range on the 
  inner Bay and in the 6 to 9 foot range on the outer Bay and Lake
  Huron. The combination of the elevated waves and wind pushing 
  water inland may result in flooding of prone areas along the 
  shoreline. 

* Impacts...the water level of Saginaw Bay and along portions of 
  the southern Lake Huron basin is forecast to climb over 4 feet 
  above chart datum today. High water levels combined with wave 
  action will have the potential to result in shoreline flooding 
  and erosion. Damage to docks, boat lifts and watercraft anchored
  along the shoreline are also possible. 

* Beach Hazards...High wave action alone can make swimming 
  difficult on days such as this. Incoming waves in rapid 
  succession can tire a swimmer quickly. 

 Structural currents form along piers where longshore currents  
 and wave action flow into the structure. Structural currents  
 can sweep you out lakeward along the pier structure.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Lakeshore Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds will
generate flooding of low areas along the lakeshore.

* Prepare, plan and stay informed. Visit www.weather.gov/safety

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

&&

$$

MIZ054-081700-
/O.CON.KDTX.LS.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-180909T0800Z/
Tuscola-
432 AM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

* Lake Shore Flooding...Northeast winds of 20 to 25 mph will
  produce waves in the 3 to 5 foot range today. The combination 
  of the elevated waves and wind pushing water inland may result 
  in minor flooding as water levels exceed 48 inches. 

* Impacts...the water level across Saginaw Bay is forecast to 
  climb over 4 feet above chart datum today. High water levels 
  combined with wave action will have the potential to result in 
  minor shoreline flooding and erosion. Damage to docks, boat 
  lifts and watercraft anchored along the shoreline are also 
  possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Lakeshore Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds will
generate flooding of low areas along the lakeshore.

* Prepare, plan and stay informed. Visit www.weather.gov/safety

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

&&

$$

MIZ070-076-081700-
/O.CON.KDTX.LS.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-180909T2000Z/
Macomb-Wayne-
432 AM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* Lake Shore Flooding...Northeast winds of 20 to 25 mph will 
  produce waves in the 2 to 4 foot range and occasionally to 5 
  feet today through Sunday. The combination of high undisturbed 
  water level, wave action, and strong wind is expected to result 
  in shoreline flooding of prone areas. 

* Impacts...The Lake St Clair undisturbed water level has 
  averaged about 46 inches above chart datum and flood level is 
  54 inches above chart datum. The high water levels combined 
  with high wave action and strong northeast wind will likely 
  produce an effective water level capable of flooding prone 
  areas around the shoreline. Damage to docks, boat lifts and 
  watercraft anchored along the shoreline is also possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Lakeshore Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds will
generate flooding of low areas along the lakeshore.

* Prepare, plan and stay informed. Visit www.weather.gov/safety

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

&&

$$

MIZ083-081700-
/O.EXA.KDTX.BH.S.0013.000000T0000Z-180909T0800Z/
Monroe-
432 AM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a
Beach Hazards Statement for dangerous swimming conditions, which
is in effect through late tonight. 

* High Wave Action and Dangerous Swimming Conditions Expected.

* Strong Structural Currents...Expected.

* Strong Longshore Currents...Expected.

* Location...Beaches from Lakeport to Port Huron including... 
  Lakeport...Fort Gratiot...Port Huron... 

* Overview/Potential Impacts...Strong northeast wind will build
  waves to dangerous levels for people swimming at area beaches. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Children should not enter the water unsupervised and without a
certified flotation device. Caution should be used when in or
near the water. Pay attention to flags and signs posted near
beach access points and lifeguard stations.

High wave action alone can make swimming difficult on days such
as this. Incoming waves in rapid succession can tire a swimmer
quickly.

Structural currents form along piers where longshore currents and
wave action flow into the structure. Structural currents can
sweep you out lakeward along the pier structure.

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

&&

$$

MIZ063-081700-
/O.CON.KDTX.BH.S.0013.000000T0000Z-180909T0800Z/
St. Clair-
432 AM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

* High Wave Action and Dangerous Swimming Conditions Expected.

* Strong Structural Currents...Expected.

* Strong Longshore Currents...Expected.

* Location...Beaches from Lakeport to Port Huron including... 
  Lakeport...Fort Gratiot...Port Huron... 

* Overview/Potential Impacts...Strong northeast wind will build 
  waves to dangerous levels for people swimming at areas 
  beaches. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Children should not enter the water unsupervised and without a
certified flotation device. Caution should be used when in or
near the water. Pay attention to flags and signs posted near
beach access points and lifeguard stations.

High wave action alone can make swimming difficult on days such
as this. Incoming waves in rapid succession can tire a swimmer
quickly.

Structural currents form along piers where longshore currents and
wave action flow into the structure. Structural currents can
sweep you out lakeward along the pier structure.

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

&&

$$

BT
230 
WHUS43 KDTX 081103
CFWDTX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
703 AM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

Updated to add ST Clair county to Lakeshore Flood Advisory

MIZ063-081915-
/O.EXA.KDTX.LS.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-180909T0800Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.BH.S.0013.000000T0000Z-180909T0800Z/
St. Clair-
703 AM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a
Lakeshore Flood Advisory, which is in effect until 4 AM EDT
Sunday. 

* Lake Shore Flooding...Northeast winds of 20 to 25 mph gusting to
  30 mph will produce waves in the 3 to 5 foot range on the inner
  Bay and in the 6 to 9 foot range on the outer Bay and Lake
  Huron. The combination of high waves and wind pushing water
  inland may result in flooding or erosion of prone areas along 
  the shoreline. 

* Impacts...the water level of Saginaw Bay and along portions of
  the southern Lake Huron basin is forecast to climb over 4 feet
  above chart datum today. High water levels combined with high
  wave action will likely produce shoreline flooding and erosion.
  Damage to docks, boat lifts and watercraft anchored along the
  shoreline is also possible. 

* Beach Hazards...Strong wind will produce high waves and
  dangerous swimming conditions today and tonight. Strong 
  structural and longshore currents are also expected at beaches 
  along the Lake Huron shoreline. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Children should not enter the water unsupervised and without a
certified flotation device. Caution should be used when in or
near the water. Pay attention to flags and signs posted near
beach access points and lifeguard stations.

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

A Lakeshore Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds will
generate flooding or erosion of prone areas along the lakeshore.

&&

$$

MIZ048-049-055-081915-
/O.CON.KDTX.LS.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-180909T0800Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.BH.S.0013.000000T0000Z-180909T0800Z/
Bay-Huron-Sanilac-
703 AM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
SUNDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

* Lake Shore Flooding...Northeast winds of 20 to 25 mph gusting to
  30 mph will produce waves in the 3 to 5 foot range on the inner
  Bay and in the 6 to 9 foot range on the outer Bay and Lake
  Huron. The combination of high waves and wind pushing water
  inland may result in flooding or erosion of prone areas along 
  the shoreline. 

* Impacts...the water level of Saginaw Bay and along portions of
  the southern Lake Huron basin is forecast to climb over 4 feet
  above chart datum today. High water levels combined with high
  wave action will likely produce shoreline flooding and erosion.
  Damage to docks, boat lifts and watercraft anchored along the
  shoreline is also possible. 

* Beach Hazards...Strong wind will produce high waves and
  dangerous swimming conditions today and tonight. Strong 
  structural and longshore currents are also expected at beaches 
  along the Lake Huron shoreline. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Children should not enter the water unsupervised and without a
certified flotation device. Caution should be used when in or
near the water. Pay attention to flags and signs posted near
beach access points and lifeguard stations.

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

A Lakeshore Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds will
generate flooding or erosion of prone areas along the lakeshore.

&&

$$

MIZ054-081915-
/O.CON.KDTX.LS.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-180909T0800Z/
Tuscola-
703 AM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

* Lake Shore Flooding...Northeast winds of 20 to 25 mph will 
  produce waves in the 3 to 5 foot range today. The combination 
  of the elevated waves and wind pushing water inland may result 
  in minor flooding as water levels exceed 48 inches. 

* Impacts...the water level across Saginaw Bay is forecast to 
  climb over 4 feet above chart datum today. High water levels 
  combined with wave action will have the potential to result in 
  minor shoreline flooding and erosion. Damage to docks, boat 
  lifts and watercraft anchored along the shoreline are also 
  possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Lakeshore Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds will
generate flooding of low areas along the lakeshore.

* Prepare, plan and stay informed. Visit www.weather.gov/safety

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

&&

$$

MIZ070-076-081915-
/O.CON.KDTX.LS.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-180909T2000Z/
Macomb-Wayne-
703 AM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* Lake Shore Flooding...Northeast winds of 20 to 25 mph will 
  produce waves in the 2 to 4 foot range and occasionally to 5 
  feet today through Sunday. The combination of high undisturbed 
  water level, wave action, and strong wind is expected to 
  result in shoreline flooding of prone areas. 

* Impacts...The Lake St Clair undisturbed water level has 
  averaged about 46 inches above chart datum and flood level is 
  54 inches above chart datum. The high water levels combined 
  with high wave action and strong northeast wind will likely 
  produce an effective water level capable of flooding prone 
  areas around the shoreline. Damage to docks, boat lifts and 
  watercraft anchored along the shoreline is also possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Lakeshore Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds will
generate flooding of low areas along the lakeshore.

* Prepare, plan and stay informed. Visit www.weather.gov/safety

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

&&

$$

MIZ083-081915-
/O.CON.KDTX.BH.S.0013.000000T0000Z-180909T0800Z/
Monroe-
703 AM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

* High Wave Action and Dangerous Swimming Conditions Expected.

* Strong Structural Currents...Expected.

* Strong Longshore Currents...Expected.

* Location...Beaches from Lakeport to Port Huron including... 
  Lakeport...Fort Gratiot...Port Huron... 

* Overview/Potential Impacts...Strong northeast wind will build 
  waves to dangerous levels for people swimming at area beaches. 

* The high waves combined with strong northeast wind shifting east
  and increasing tonight could lead to rising water level and
  possibly shoreline flooding. Water level will be monitored
  through the day.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Children should not enter the water unsupervised and without a
certified flotation device. Caution should be used when in or
near the water. Pay attention to flags and signs posted near
beach access points and lifeguard stations.

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

&&

$$

BT
739 
WHUS43 KDTX 081914
CFWDTX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
314 PM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

MIZ083-090315-
/O.EXA.KDTX.LS.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-180909T2000Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.BH.S.0013.000000T0000Z-180909T0800Z/
Monroe-
314 PM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT SUNDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a
Lakeshore Flood Advisory, which is in effect until 4 PM EDT
Sunday. 

* Lake Shore Flooding...Northeast winds of 20 to 30 mph will
  produce waves in the 3 to 5 foot range with waves occassionally
  exceeding 7 feet through Sunday. The combination of high 
  undisturbed water level, wave action, and strong wind is 
  expected to result in shoreline flooding of prone areas. 

* Impacts...Latest forecast information supports water levels
  rising to 70 inches above chart datum. The high water levels 
  combined with high wave action and strong northeast wind will 
  likely produce an effective water level capable of flooding 
  prone areas around the shoreline. Damage to docks, boat lifts 
  and watercraft anchored along the shoreline is also possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Children should not enter the water unsupervised and without a
certified flotation device. Caution should be used when in or
near the water. Pay attention to flags and signs posted near
beach access points and lifeguard stations.

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

&&

$$

MIZ048-049-055-063-090315-
/O.CON.KDTX.LS.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-180909T0800Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.BH.S.0013.000000T0000Z-180909T0800Z/
Bay-Huron-Sanilac-St. Clair-
314 PM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
SUNDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

* Lake Shore Flooding...Northeast winds of 20 to 25 mph gusting 
  to 30 mph will produce waves in the 3 to 5 foot range on the 
  inner Bay and in the 6 to 9 foot range on the outer Bay and 
  Lake Huron. The combination of high waves and wind pushing 
  water inland may result in flooding or erosion of prone areas 
  along the shoreline. 

* Impacts...the water level of Saginaw Bay and along portions of
  the southern Lake Huron basin is forecast to climb over 4 feet
  above chart datum. High water levels combined with high wave 
  action will likely produce shoreline flooding and erosion. 
  Damage to docks, boat lifts and watercraft anchored along the 
  shoreline is also possible. 

* Beach Hazards...Strong wind will produce high waves and
  dangerous swimming conditions tonight. Strong structural and 
  longshore currents are also expected at beaches along the Lake 
  Huron shoreline. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Children should not enter the water unsupervised and without a
certified flotation device. Caution should be used when in or
near the water. Pay attention to flags and signs posted near
beach access points and lifeguard stations.

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

A Lakeshore Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds will
generate flooding or erosion of prone areas along the lakeshore.

&&

$$

MIZ054-090315-
/O.CON.KDTX.LS.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-180909T0800Z/
Tuscola-
314 PM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

* Lake Shore Flooding...Northeast winds of 20 to 25 mph will
  produce waves in the 3 to 5 foot range. The combination of the 
  elevated waves and wind pushing water inland may result in minor
  flooding as water levels exceed 48 inches. 

* Impacts...the water level across Saginaw Bay is forecast to
  climb over 4 feet above chart datum. High water levels combined
  with wave action will have the potential to result in minor 
  shoreline flooding and erosion. Damage to docks, boat lifts and 
  watercraft anchored along the shoreline are also possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Lakeshore Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds will
generate flooding of low areas along the lakeshore.

* Prepare, plan and stay informed. Visit www.weather.gov/safety

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

&&

$$

MIZ070-076-090315-
/O.CON.KDTX.LS.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-180909T2000Z/
Macomb-Wayne-
314 PM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* Lake Shore Flooding...Northeast winds of 20 to 25 mph will 
  produce waves in the 2 to 4 foot range and occasionally to 5 
  feet today through Sunday. The combination of high undisturbed 
  water level, wave action, and strong wind is expected to 
  result in shoreline flooding of prone areas. 

* Impacts...The Lake St Clair undisturbed water level has 
  averaged about 46 inches above chart datum and flood level is 
  54 inches above chart datum. The high water levels combined 
  with high wave action and strong northeast wind will likely 
  produce an effective water level capable of flooding prone 
  areas around the shoreline. Damage to docks, boat lifts and 
  watercraft anchored along the shoreline is also possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Lakeshore Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds will
generate flooding of low areas along the lakeshore.

* Prepare, plan and stay informed. Visit www.weather.gov/safety

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

&&

$$
527 
WHUS43 KDTX 090204
CFWDTX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
1004 PM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018


MIZ048-049-055-063-090800-
/O.CAN.KDTX.BH.S.0013.000000T0000Z-180909T0800Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.LS.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-180909T0800Z/
Bay-Huron-Sanilac-St. Clair-
1004 PM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
SUNDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has cancelled the
Beach Hazards Statement. 


* Lake Shore Flooding...Northeast winds of 20 to 25 mph gusting to
  30 mph will produce waves in the 3 to 5 foot range on the  
  inner Bay and in the 6 to 9 foot range on the outer Bay and Lake
  Huron. The combination of high waves and wind pushing water 
  inland may result in flooding or erosion of prone areas along 
  the shoreline.

* Impacts...the water level of Saginaw Bay and along portions of 
  the southern Lake Huron basin is forecast to climb over 4 feet 
  above chart datum. High water levels combined with high wave 
  action will likely produce shoreline flooding and erosion. 
  Damage to docks, boat lifts and watercraft anchored along the 
  shoreline is also possible. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

A Lakeshore Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds will
generate flooding or erosion of prone areas along the lakeshore.

&&


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Lakeshore Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds will
generate flooding of low areas along the lakeshore.

 * Prepare, plan and stay informed. Visit www.weather.gov/safety

&&

$$

MIZ083-091015-
/O.CAN.KDTX.BH.S.0013.000000T0000Z-180909T0800Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.LS.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-180909T2000Z/
Monroe-
1004 PM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT
SUNDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has cancelled the
Beach Hazards Statement. 


* Lake Shore Flooding...Northeast winds of 20 to 30 mph will
  produce waves in the 3 to 5 foot range with waves occasionally 
  exceeding 7 feet through Sunday. The combination of high 
  undisturbed water level, wave action, and strong wind is 
  expected to result in shoreline flooding of prone areas.

* Impacts...Latest forecast information supports water levels
  rising to 70 inches above chart datum at times into Sunday. The
  high water levels combined with high wave action and strong 
  northeast wind will likely produce an effective water level 
  capable of flooding prone areas around the shoreline. Damage to 
  docks, boat lifts and watercraft anchored along the shoreline is
  also possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

&&


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Lakeshore Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds will
generate flooding of low areas along the lakeshore.

 * Prepare, plan and stay informed. Visit www.weather.gov/safety

&&

$$

MIZ054-090800-
/O.CON.KDTX.LS.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-180909T0800Z/
Tuscola-
1004 PM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

* Lake Shore Flooding...Northeast winds of 20 to 25 mph will 
  produce waves in the 3 to 5 foot range. The combination of the 
  elevated waves and wind pushing water inland may result in 
  minor flooding as water levels exceed 48 inches. 

* Impacts...the water level across Saginaw Bay is forecast to
  remain near 4 feet above chart datum. High water levels 
  combined with wave action will have the potential to result in 
  minor shoreline flooding and erosion. Damage to docks, boat 
  lifts and watercraft anchored along the shoreline are also 
  possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Lakeshore Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds will
generate flooding of low areas along the lakeshore.

* Prepare, plan and stay informed. Visit www.weather.gov/safety

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

&&

$$

MIZ070-076-091015-
/O.CON.KDTX.LS.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-180909T2000Z/
Macomb-Wayne-
1004 PM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* Lake Shore Flooding...Northeast winds of 20 to 25 mph will 
  produce waves in the 2 to 4 foot range and occasionally to 5 
  feet today through Sunday. The combination of high undisturbed 
  water level, wave action, and strong wind is expected to 
  result in shoreline flooding of prone areas. 

* Impacts...The Lake St Clair undisturbed water level has 
  averaged about 46 inches above chart datum and flood level is 
  54 inches above chart datum. The high water levels combined 
  with high wave action and strong northeast wind will likely 
  produce an effective water level capable of flooding prone 
  areas around the shoreline. Damage to docks, boat lifts and 
  watercraft anchored along the shoreline is also possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Lakeshore Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds will
generate flooding of low areas along the lakeshore.

* Prepare, plan and stay informed. Visit www.weather.gov/safety

To learn more about dangerous waves and currents please visit
dangerouscurrents.org

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this beach hazards statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this beach hazards statement went out at Sep 8, 4:03 AM EDT, 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 8, 4:03 AM EDT, 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
403 AM EDT Sat Sep 8 2018

.DISCUSSION...

A reinforcing cold front washed out in the surface pressure field
during the early morning but has opened the door on a firm surge of
low level cold and dry air advection. Expect this holds the upper
hand on conditions today across SE Michigan even as rain showers
linger nearby south of the Ohio border. Dry air in the low levels
will be too much for any stray surges of mid level moisture
attempting to move north from the Ohio Valley frontal zone. In fact,
model data shows the mid levels of the front being nudged farther
south during the day due to subtle height falls within NW upper flow
over the central Great Lakes. While dry air in the low levels holds
back the rain, generous coverage of high clouds limits daytime
heating through the day with the possible exception of the Tri
Cities and northern Thumb where cirrus will be thin enough for
better insolation. However, given the colder air in place compared
to yesterday, filtered sunshine is not expected to be enough to
boost temps out of the 60s as 850 mb temps drop to around 8C across
the entire area during the afternoon. The main story for today and
tonight will be increasing northeast wind and the wave/water impacts
on shoreline areas from around Saginaw Bay and southern Lake Huron to
the Lake St Clair shoreline. Lakeshore Flood advisories are in effect
for these areas.

We maintain a holding pattern over the southern Great Lakes tonight
as the Gordon remnants continue to organize into a new low pressure
over the lower Ohio Valley. Plan to maintain a low POP near the Ohio
border as mid levels of the frontal zone drift back northward. At
the same time, the short wave ridge within the northern stream flow
aloft moves over the central Great Lakes. The ridge progression is
slightly slower and pauses the northward track of the Ohio Valley
low overnight and early Sunday. This process, combined with ongoing
cool and dry air advection in the low levels, results in just a slow
south to north onset of showers across SE Michigan through Sunday
afternoon. Eastward passage of the short wave ridge then opens the
door for the Ohio Valley low to make a stronger northward move
during the final deepening stage of the system. Veering low to mid
level flow then starts a strong moisture transport/theta-e advection
pattern to support increasing coverage of showers over SE Michigan
through Sunday evening before transitioning to a deformation phase
of forcing while overhead later Sunday night and early Monday. The
track of the system is slightly farther east in the latest model
cycle which maintains a southward and eastward position of the QPF
maximum and decreases potential for excessive rainfall in our area.
The deformation axis will be productive while a mid level dry slot
punches in from the Ohio border up through metro Detroit Sunday
night. The latest supply of QPF guidance offers manageable storm
totals ranging from about 0.5 inch in the Tri Cities to 1.5 inches
toward Monroe for the 36 hours ending Monday afternoon.

Any light rain lingering into Monday afternoon exits with the low
pressure system by evening. Clouds, however, are projected to linger
much of the night before the influence of high pressure pushes a
clearing trend during Tuesday. The high sets up across the central
Great Lakes through the mid week period and maintains dry conditions
and promotes a gradual warming trend. High temperatures return to
near 80 Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.MARINE...

Increased east-northeast flow will continue through the weekend as
we remain in between high pressure over Ontario and a cold front
over Ohio. In addition the remnants of Tropical Storm Gordon are
progged to track from the mid-Mississippi Valley into the Great
Lakes Sunday, strengthening the gradient locally as it approaches.
This will result in winds gusting to around 25 knots today through
Sunday with the onshore flow building wave heights to 3 to 5 feet
along the shore thus a Small Craft Advisory is in effect through
Sunday night for all nearshore zones. High pressure will build back
into the region Monday as the low pressure system moves east,
resulting in more favorable marine conditions for early next week.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Dry today as high pressure over Ontario continues to bring dry air
into Lower Michigan. Rain will start to move in later tonight as the
remnants of Tropical Storm Gordon lift north and interact with a
cold front draped across Ohio. Rain will spread south to north
tonight, filling in across most of southeast Michigan by Sunday
evening. Periods of potentially heavy rainfall could develop Sunday
into Monday. Currently, our southeastern counties look to have the
best chance to receive over an inch of rain during this period,
while around a half inch to one inch is possible elsewhere.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1159 PM EDT Fri Sep 7 2018

AVIATION...

High pressure poised north of the Great Lakes will maintain steady
northeast flow across the area throughout the forecast period. Gusts
to 20 knots or more will become more prevalent by midday Saturday as
gradient flow tightens between this high and approaching remnant low
that once was Gordon. A veil of cirrus will persist as well and
thicken with time on Saturday. Otherwise, just a stray filament of
stratus/strato-cu overnight within northeast flow as some moisture
is picked up from Lake Huron.

For DTW...Northeast flow will hold through the period with wind
speeds remaining near northeast flow operations threshold overnight.
Gusts around 20 kt will then develop on Saturday. VFR ceilings will
persist.

DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...

* None.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MI...Beach Hazards Statement through late tonight for MIZ048-049-055-063.

     Lakeshore Flood Advisory until 4 AM EDT Sunday for MIZ048-049-054-
     055.

     Lakeshore Flood Advisory until 4 PM EDT Sunday for MIZ070-076.

Lake Huron...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Monday for LHZ421-422-441>443.

Lake St Clair...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Monday for LCZ460.

Michigan waters of Lake Erie...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Monday for LEZ444.

&&

DISCUSSION...BT
MARINE.......DRK
HYDROLOGY....DRK
AVIATION.....DG

You can obtain your latest National Weather Service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 7, 3:37 PM EDT, 12 hours 43 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
337 PM EDT Fri Sep 7 2018

MIZ048-049-054-055-081945-
Bay-Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-
337 PM EDT Fri Sep 7 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

A lakeshore flood advisory is in effect late tonight through Saturday
afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

A lakeshore flood advisory is in effect late tonight through Saturday
afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.

MIZ047-053-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-081945-
Midland-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-St. Clair-Livingston-
Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
337 PM EDT Fri Sep 7 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.

LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-081945-
Lake St Clair-
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
Lake Huron from 5NM east of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Lt
beyond 5 NM off shore-
Lake Huron from Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Point MI beyond 5NM
off shore-
Lake Huron from Sturgeon Point to Alabaster MI beyond 5NM off shore-
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner Saginaw
Bay-Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
Lake Huron from Port Austin to Harbor Beach beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Port Sanilac to Port Huron beyond 5NM Off Shore-
337 PM EDT Fri Sep 7 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Huron and Lake St Clair.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Small Craft Advisories are in effect late tonight through Sunday
night for Saginaw Bay and the nearshore waters of southern Lake
Huron, and may be extended into Monday.

A small craft advisory is also in effect for western lake Erie
Saturday through Sunday night.

Small Craft Advisories will also likely be needed for Lake St Clair
Sunday and Sunday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.

You can obtain your latest National Weather Service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.

MR

Nearby

Beach Hazards Statements in Michigan, 2018Every beach hazards statement in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.