Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2018

Small Craft Advisory 32, NWS Buffalo, NY

March 19, 2018

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Mar 19, 2018, 1:18 PM EDT. It took effect at Mar 20, 2018, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 44 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 19, 2018, 1:18 PM EDT (17:18 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 20, 2018, 8:00 AM EDT
Expired
Mar 22, 2018, 4:14 AM EDT
In force
44 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted.

505 
WHUS71 KBUF 191718
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
118 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018

LOZ042-200130-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.180320T1200Z-180322T0000Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
118 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TUESDAY TO 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Small Craft
Advisory, which is in effect from 8 AM Tuesday to 8 PM EDT
Wednesday.

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-200130-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.180320T1200Z-180322T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
118 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TUESDAY TO 5 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Small Craft
Advisory, which is in effect from 8 AM Tuesday to 5 AM EDT
Thursday.

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...5 to 8 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ030-200130-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.180320T1200Z-180322T0000Z/
Lower Niagara River-
118 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TUESDAY TO 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Small Craft
Advisory, which is in effect from 8 AM Tuesday to 8 PM EDT
Wednesday.

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 20 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$
14 follow-up statements
094 
WHUS71 KBUF 192033
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
433 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018

LOZ042-200445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.180320T1200Z-180322T0000Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
433 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TUESDAY TO
8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-200445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.180320T1200Z-180322T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
433 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TUESDAY TO
5 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...5 to 8 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ030-200445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.180320T1200Z-180322T0000Z/
Lower Niagara River-
433 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TUESDAY TO
8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 20 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$
908 
WHUS71 KBUF 200236
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1036 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018

LOZ042-201045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.180320T1200Z-180322T0000Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
1036 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TUESDAY TO
8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-201045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.180320T1200Z-180322T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
1036 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TUESDAY TO
5 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...5 to 8 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ030-201045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.180320T1200Z-180322T0000Z/
Lower Niagara River-
1036 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TUESDAY TO
8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 20 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$
894 
WHUS71 KBUF 200802
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
402 AM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

LEZ040-201615-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.180320T1200Z-180321T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
402 AM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM
EDT WEDNESDAY...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Small Craft
Advisory, which is in effect from 8 AM this morning to 5 PM EDT
Wednesday.

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 25 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-201615-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.180320T1200Z-180322T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
402 AM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO
2 PM EDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-201615-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.180320T1200Z-180322T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
402 AM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO
2 PM EDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ030-201615-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.180320T1200Z-180322T0000Z/
Lower Niagara River-
402 AM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING
TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 25 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
185 
WHUS71 KBUF 201438
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1038 AM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

LEZ041-202245-
/O.EXA.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180321T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
1038 AM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Small Craft
Advisory, which is in effect until 5 PM EDT Wednesday.

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...1 foot or less.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-202245-
/O.EXA.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180321T2100Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
1038 AM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Small Craft
Advisory, which is in effect until 5 PM EDT Wednesday.

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 20 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-202245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
1038 AM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-202245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
1038 AM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ030-202245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T0000Z/
Lower Niagara River-
1038 AM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 20 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-202245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180321T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
1038 AM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

SMITH
885 
WHUS71 KBUF 201750
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
150 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

LOZ042-210200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
150 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-210200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
150 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...5 to 8 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ030-210200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T0000Z/
Lower Niagara River-
150 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 20 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-210200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180321T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
150 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-210200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180321T2100Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
150 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 20 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

SMITH
119 
WHUS71 KBUF 202025
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
425 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

LOZ042-210400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
425 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...As high as 4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-210400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
425 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...As high as 5 to 8 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ030-210400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T0000Z/
Lower Niagara River-
425 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 20 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-210400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180321T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
425 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 25 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-210400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180321T2100Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
425 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 20 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

JJR/Smith/Apffel
467 
WHUS71 KBUF 202340
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
740 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

LEZ020-210045-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180321T2100Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
740 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has cancelled the Small
Craft Advisory.

Winds are no longer expected to reach advisory levels, therefore 
the Advisory has been cancelled.

$$

LOZ042-211000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
740 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...As high as 4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-211000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
740 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...As high as 4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ030-211000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T0000Z/
Lower Niagara River-
740 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 20 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-211000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180321T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
740 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 20 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

JJR/Smith/Apffel
766 
WHUS71 KBUF 210532
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
132 AM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

LOZ042-211345-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
132 AM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-211345-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
132 AM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ030-211345-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T0000Z/
Lower Niagara River-
132 AM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...Northeast 5 to 15 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-211345-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180321T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
132 AM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 20 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$
957 
WHUS71 KBUF 210832
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
432 AM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

LOZ030-210945-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T0000Z/
Lower Niagara River-
432 AM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has cancelled the Small
Craft Advisory.


$$

LOZ042-211645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
432 AM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-211645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
432 AM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-211645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180321T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
432 AM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 20 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$
269 
WHUS71 KBUF 211044
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
644 AM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

LOZ042-211845-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
644 AM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-211845-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
644 AM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-211845-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180321T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
644 AM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 20 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$
658 
WHUS71 KBUF 211737
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
137 PM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

LOZ042-220145-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
137 PM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...North 15 to 20 knots.

* WAVES...3 to 6 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-220145-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
137 PM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...North 15 to 20 knots.

* WAVES...4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-212100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180321T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
137 PM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 20 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

SMITH
814 
WHUS71 KBUF 212043
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
443 PM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

LEZ040-041-212145-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180321T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
443 PM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has cancelled the Small
Craft Advisory.

Winds have diminished...therefore the advisory has been cancelled.

$$

LOZ042-220400-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
443 PM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS...North 10 to 15 knots.

* WAVES...3 to 5 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-220400-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
443 PM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS...North 15 to 20 knots.

* WAVES...3 to 6 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

JJR
491 
WHUS71 KBUF 220218
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1018 PM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

LOZ042-220900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
1018 PM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...North 10 to 15 knots.

* WAVES...3 to 5 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-221000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
1018 PM EDT Wed Mar 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...North 15 to 20 knots.

* WAVES...3 to 5 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

JJR
409 
WHUS71 KBUF 220814
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
414 AM EDT Thu Mar 22 2018

LOZ043-221615-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0033.180323T0000Z-180323T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
414 AM EDT Thu Mar 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM
EDT FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Small Craft
Advisory, which is in effect from 8 PM this evening to 2 AM EDT
Friday. The Small Craft Advisory has been cancelled.

* WINDS...Northwest 15 to 20 knots.

* WAVES...2 to 4 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-221615-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0033.180323T0000Z-180323T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
414 AM EDT Thu Mar 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM
EDT FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Small Craft
Advisory, which is in effect from 8 PM this evening to 2 AM EDT
Friday. The Small Craft Advisory has been cancelled.

* WINDS...Northwest 15 to 20 knots.

* WAVES...2 to 4 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-220915-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-180322T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
414 AM EDT Thu Mar 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has cancelled the Small
Craft Advisory.


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Mar 19, 11:31 AM EDT, 1 hour 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 19, 11:31 AM EDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1131 AM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Surface high pressure over Manitoba Canada will build east and
southeast across the region today bringing an extended period of dry
weather and below normal temperatures through the end of the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Regional surface analysis shows 1032 surface high pressure over
Manitoba canada with it extending to the east and southeast across
the lower Great Lakes. Also, a weak cold front is positioned across
the Mason Dixon line (MD/PA) with a surface low pressure over
Oklahoma/Kansas. 15Z observations show temperatures in the low to
mid 20s across Western New York with teens being reported across the
North Country. Otherwise, generally clear skies across the forecast
area and with the strong March sunshine it will feel rather nice
despite the below normal temperatures.

Surface high pressure over Manitoba Canada will continue to build
east and southeast across the Lower Great Lakes today. Meanwhile,
the aforementioned low pressure over Oklahoma/Kansas will move into
the Tennessee Valley. Latest guidance packages continue to show this
system tracking well to the south of our region with little impact
other than some cloud cover. Otherwise, high pressure will maintain
fair and dry weather across the forecast area through Tuesday. High
temperatures will run 5 to 8 degrees cooler than yesterday with a
light northeast wind in place across the Lower Great Lakes.

Tonight will be another chilly night given the dry air, light winds
and lack of cloud cover under the surface high. Expect overnight
lows in the teens across Western New York, to near zero in the North
Country.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Tuesday through Wednesday a pair of mid level shortwaves will move
slowly east across the central Appalachians, eventually phasing into
a closed mid level low off the Mid Atlantic coast later Wednesday.
This will support a deepening surface low well offshore, with any
direct impacts remaining along the immediate eastern seaboard from
southern New England into the Carolinas. The latest 00Z model
guidance does bring the mid level low a little closer than past runs
Tuesday night into Wednesday. Mid/high clouds to the north of the
system will increase across our region during this time frame, with
the thicker clouds found closer to the PA state line. Northeast
boundary layer flow will also produce some lake effect clouds south
of Lake Ontario at times, but a steep inversion based at around 4K
feet will prevent any lake effect precipitation.

Wednesday night and Thursday this system will evolve into a fairly
strong low over the North Atlantic and move into the Canadian
Maritimes. All the direct impacts will again remain well east of the
area, with persistent north to northwest winds supporting an
increase in lake effect and upslope clouds. Lake induced equilibrium
levels do rise to around 5K feet later Wednesday night and Thursday,
however dry low levels and a lack of dendritic crystal growth in the
cloud bearing layer should largely prevent lake effect snow showers.

Temperatures will remain below normal through the period with
surface high pressure parked across northern Ontario and Quebec
providing a constant supply of late season cold air. Highs will be
similar each day from Tuesday through Thursday, with mid 30s at
lower elevations and upper 20s to lower 30s on the hills and east of
Lake Ontario. Lows will be in the 20s on the lake plains and teens
across the Southern Tier valleys and Tug Hill region.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Thursday night and Friday low pressure will continue to move slowly
northeast through the Canadian Maritimes, maintaining northwest flow
across the eastern Great Lakes and New England. This will support
some lake effect and upslope clouds, but the cold airmass continues
to look too shallow to support any lake effect snow showers.

The forecast becomes more uncertain by next weekend, with a wide
spread in operational and ensemble model guidance with the track of
the next system. The 00Z GFS is farther south and weaker with a
surface low tracking through the lower Ohio Valley to the Mid
Atlantic States, leaving our region mainly dry Saturday and Sunday.
The ECMWF and Canadian GEM are farther north and stronger with the
surface low, tracking it across PA and spreading accumulating snow
into our region. GEFS and Canadian GEM ensembles offer little
direction with a wide variety of possible solutions. Given the model
uncertainty, have continued with chance POPS for late Saturday
through Sunday.

Temperatures will remain below normal through next weekend, with
highs in the 30s and lows in the 20s.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Surface high pressure centered over Manitoba Canada will build east
and southeast into the Lower Great Lakes today with VFR flight
conditions through Tuesday. Additionally, winds will be light and
out of the northeast.

Outlook...
Tuesday night through Friday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure will ridge into the region today bringing tranquil
conditions to start the week. Strengthening northeasterly winds
later Tuesday through mid week will likely yield small craft
advisory conditions as a low pressure system passes by to our south.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AR/Church
NEAR TERM...AR/Church
SHORT TERM...Hitchcock
LONG TERM...Hitchcock
AVIATION...AR/Church
MARINE...AR/Church
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 19, 5:00 AM EDT, 8 hours 18 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
500 AM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-200900-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-
Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
500 AM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western and north central New
York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-200900-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
500 AM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Ontario and Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2018Every small craft advisory in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.