Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 2018

Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Buffalo, NY

July 2, 2018Cattaraugus County, Chautauqua County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flash flood warning at Jul 2, 2018, 2:55 PM EDT for Cattaraugus County, Chautauqua County, New York. It was in force for 117 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 2, 2018, 2:55 PM EDT (18:55 UTC)
Expired
Jul 2, 2018, 4:52 PM EDT
In force
117 min
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 72 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-07-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1185 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-07-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 52 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1185 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-50 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1179 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
70 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

402 
WGUS51 KBUF 021855
FFWBUF
NYC009-013-022200-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FF.W.0005.180702T1855Z-180702T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
255 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2018

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Central Cattaraugus County in western New York...
  East central Chautauqua County in western New York...

* Until 600 PM EDT.

* At 255 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
  heavy rain across the warned area. Flash flooding is expected to
  begin shortly.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Ashford, Franklinville, Ashford Hollow, New Albion, Conewango,
  Ellington, Leon and Napoli.

LAT...LON 4220 7922 4230 7905 4242 7887 4247 7871
      4234 7841 4217 7882

$$

Apffel
2 follow-up statements
204 
WGUS71 KBUF 022019
FFSBUF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
419 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2018

NYC013-022025-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-180702T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Chautauqua NY-
419 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to
heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 4219 7905 4230 7905 4242 7887 4243 7879
      4229 7859 4217 7882

$$

NYC009-022200-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-180702T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cattaraugus NY-
419 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTY...

At 415 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms produced up to 
two inches of rain in the warning area. The heaviest amounts 
occurred just north of Randolph, and just west of Cattaraugus and 
Little Valley. Although the heavy rain has ended, it takes some time 
for heavy rain to run off, with flash flooding expected in these 
areas.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
New Albion, Conewango, Leon, Napoli, Little Valley, East Otto,
Cattaraugus and Otto.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

LAT...LON 4219 7905 4230 7905 4242 7887 4243 7879
      4229 7859 4217 7882

$$

Apffel
984 
WGUS71 KBUF 022052
FFSBUF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
452 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2018

NYC009-022102-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-180702T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cattaraugus NY-
452 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 4219 7905 4230 7905 4242 7887 4243 7879
      4229 7859 4217 7882

$$

Apffel

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 2, 12:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFWayne30 min
Jul 2, 12:54 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF66 min
Jul 2, 12:59 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFChautauqua31 min
Jul 2, 1:28 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFChautauqua32 min
Jul 2, 1:35 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua2 hr
Jul 2, 1:57 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFWayne48 min
Jul 2, 2:19 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFCayuga41 min
Jul 2, 2:28 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF49 min
Jul 2, 2:33 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFCattaraugus27 min
Jul 2, 2:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCayuga, Oswego43 min
Jul 2, 3:25 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFCayuga112 min
Jul 2, 3:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFLewis, Oswego60 min
Jul 2, 3:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFLewis49 min
Jul 2, 4:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFAllegany47 min
Jul 2, 6:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFWayne51 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2018Every flash flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.