Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 2018

Flash Flood Warning 10, NWS Buffalo, NY

July 16, 2018Allegany County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flash flood warning at Jul 16, 2018, 7:10 PM EDT for Allegany County, New York. It was in force for 3 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2018, 7:10 PM EDT (23:10 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2018, 10:15 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Allegany County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 16, 9:30 PM EDTFLASH FLOODPaynesville, NYROUTE 248A CLOSED DO TO FLOODING.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 26 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 38 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
26 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-145 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1384 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
38 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

811 
WGUS51 KBUF 162310
FFWBUF
NYC003-170215-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FF.W.0010.180716T2310Z-180717T0215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
710 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2018

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southeastern Allegany County in western New York...

* Until 1015 PM EDT.

* At 707 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
  heavy rain across the warned area. Up to two inches of rain have 
  already fallen in the Cryder Creek basin. Flash flooding is 
  expected to begin shortly.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Whitesville and Paynesville. 

Additional rainfall amounts of a half to one inch is possible in 
this warned area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Find an alternate route.

Please report flooding to your local law enforcement agency when you
can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 4211 7788 4211 7774 4202 7775 4200 7775
      4200 7789

$$

RSH
2 follow-up statements
937 
WGUS71 KBUF 170047
FFSBUF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
847 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2018

NYC003-170215-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.W.0010.000000T0000Z-180717T0215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Allegany NY-
847 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ALLEGANY COUNTY...

At 845 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain across the warned area. Up to two inches of rain have already 
fallen over portions of southwest Steuben and northern Potter 
counties. Flash flooding is expected to begin shortly.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Whitesville and Paynesville. 

Additional rainfall amounts of a half to one inch will be possible 
in the warned area from storms that will pass over the area through 
10 PM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Find an alternate route.

Please report flooding to your local law enforcement agency when you
can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 4211 7788 4211 7774 4202 7775 4200 7775
      4200 7789

$$

RSH
228 
WGUS71 KBUF 170216
FFSBUF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1016 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2018

NYC003-170224-
/O.EXP.KBUF.FF.W.0010.000000T0000Z-180717T0215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Allegany NY-
1016 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN ALLEGANY COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 1015 PM EDT...

The heavy rain has temporarily ended. Flooding is no longer expected 
to pose a threat...although tributaries in the southeast portion of 
the county should continue to run high and fast through much of the 
night. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 4211 7788 4211 7774 4202 7775 4200 7775
      4200 7789

$$

RSH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 16, 4:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFMonroe43 min
Jul 16, 4:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFMonroe47 min
Jul 16, 4:46 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF59 min
Jul 16, 4:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFMonroe, Wayne44 min
Jul 16, 5:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFOntario, Wayne61 min
Jul 16, 5:23 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFAllegany37 min
Jul 16, 5:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCayuga, Oswego, Wayne29 min
Jul 16, 5:59 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF34 min
Jul 16, 7:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie38 min
Jul 16, 7:42 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF63 min
Jul 16, 7:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFChautauqua46 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2018Every flash flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.