Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 39, NWS Birmingham, AL

December 31, 2018

NWS Birmingham, AL issued this river flood warning at Dec 31, 2018, 5:00 AM CST. It was in force for 29 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 31, 2018, 5:00 AM CST (11:00 UTC)
Expired
Jan 1, 2019, 9:45 AM CST
In force
29 hr
Issued by
NWS Birmingham, AL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

The radar

The Birmingham radar (KBMX), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Cahaba River at Marion Junction (MNJA1). The gauge peaked at 36.59 ft at Jan 1, 2019, 5:00 AM CST.

actionminormoderate20304012/3101/0101/02
Action stage
15 ft
Minor stage
36 ft
Moderate stage
40 ft
Major stage
43 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02425000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

895 
WGUS44 KBMX 280133
FLWBMX


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL 
733 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018

...The National Weather Service in Birmingham AL has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Alabama... 

  Cahaba River Near Suttle Affecting Dallas and Perry Counties.
  Cahaba River At Marion Junction Affecting Dallas and Perry 
  Counties.

.Rain that has already fallen...and additional heavy rainfall of 
2 to 4 inches expected during the next 24 to 48 hours...will likely 
result in flooding on the lower Cahaba River. A flood warning is now 
in effect for the Cahaba River at Suttle and Marion Junction.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Friday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC047-105-281333-
/O.NEW.KBMX.FL.W.0038.181230T2312Z-190101T1450Z/
/SUTA1.1.ER.181230T2312Z.181231T1800Z.190101T0250Z.NO/
733 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018

The National Weather Service in Birmingham AL has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Cahaba River Near Suttle.
* from Sunday afternoon to Tuesday morning...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Thursday The stage Was 7.3 feet. 
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Sunday afternoon and continue 
  to rise to near 35.6 feet by early Monday afternoon. The river will
  fall below flood stage by Monday evening.


&&

LAT...LON 3281 8719 3272 8721 3248 8715 3248 8722
          3271 8729 3281 8728         

$$

ALC047-105-281333-
/O.NEW.KBMX.FL.W.0039.181231T1100Z-190101T1545Z/
/MNJA1.1.ER.181231T1100Z.181231T1800Z.190101T0345Z.NO/
733 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018

The National Weather Service in Birmingham AL has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Cahaba River At Marion Junction.
* from late Sunday night to Tuesday morning...or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Thursday The stage Was 6.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 36.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early Monday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 36.5 feet by Monday evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Monday night.
* Impact...At 36.0 feet...Flooding is confined mainly to farm and 
  pasture lands in the area.

&&

LAT...LON 3249 8715 3236 8710 3231 8715 3249 8721


$$
10 follow-up statements
798 
WGUS84 KBMX 281450
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
850 AM CST Fri Dec 28 2018


...The flood warning continues for the Cahaba River At Centreville...
...Cahaba Heights...Suttle...and Marion Junction...

.Rises continue along the Cahaba River following the heavy rainfall 
of the past 24 hours...and a Flood Warning remains in effect along 
the river.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Saturday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC007-073-117-290249-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-181230T1131Z/
/CHGA1.1.ER.181228T1221Z.181229T0000Z.181229T2331Z.UU/
250 PM GMT Fri Dec 28 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River Near Cahaba Heights.
* until late Saturday night...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT 8:30 AM Friday the stage was 16.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20 feet...Water overflows the yards of some homes near
  the river. Overflow of low lying lands in the area will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3341 8673 3337 8677 3333 8684 3335 8684
          3340 8677 3342 8674         

$$

ALC007-047-105-290249-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0035.181228T1444Z-181230T1352Z/
/CKLA1.1.ER.181228T1334Z.181229T0600Z.181230T0152Z.NO/
250 PM GMT Fri Dec 28 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River At Centreville.
* until Sunday morning...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT 8:00 AM Friday the stage was 24.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.5 feet  
  after midnight tonight. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Saturday evening .
* Impact...At 30 feet...Considerable flooding of farm and pasture 
  lands in the area occurs...and cattle may need to be moved to 
  higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8699 3292 8710 3281 8719 3281 8728
          3294 8719 3314 8704         

$$

ALC047-105-290249-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0038.181229T1800Z-190101T1617Z/
/SUTA1.1.ER.181229T1800Z.181231T0000Z.190101T0417Z.NO/
250 PM GMT Fri Dec 28 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River Near Suttle.
* from Saturday afternoon to Tuesday morning...or until the Warning 
  is cancelled.
* AT 8:00 AM Friday the stage was 14.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 32 feet. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Saturday afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 37.1 feet by Sunday evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Monday night.
* Impact...At 32 feet...Flooding of pasture lands and low-lying 
  agricultural lands occurs in the Suttle area. 

&&

LAT...LON 3281 8719 3272 8721 3248 8715 3248 8722
          3271 8729 3281 8728         

$$

ALC047-105-290249-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0039.181230T0417Z-190101T1700Z/
/MNJA1.1.ER.181230T0417Z.181231T0600Z.190101T0500Z.NO/
250 PM GMT Fri Dec 28 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River At Marion Junction.
* from Saturday evening to Tuesday morning...or until the Warning is 
  cancelled.
* AT 8:00 AM Friday the stage was 14.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 36 feet. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday evening and  
  continue to rise to near 37.9 feet by early Monday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Monday night.
* Impact...At 36 feet...Flooding is confined mainly to farm and 
  pasture lands in the area.

&&

LAT...LON 3249 8715 3236 8710 3231 8715 3249 8721


$$
697 
WGUS84 KBMX 290156
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
756 PM CST Fri Dec 28 2018


...The flood warning continues for the Cahaba River...

.Rises continue on the Cahaba River due to heavy rainfall Thursday 
and Thursday night. A Flood Warning remains in effect.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Saturday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC007-073-117-291355-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-181230T1100Z/
/CHGA1.1.ER.181228T1221Z.181229T0600Z.181229T2300Z.UU/
756 PM CST Fri Dec 28 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River Near Cahaba Heights.
* until late Saturday night...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  7:30 PM Friday the stage was 19.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.1 feet 
  overnight tonight. The river will fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water overflows the yards of some homes near
  the river.

&&

LAT...LON 3341 8673 3337 8677 3333 8684 3335 8684
          3340 8677 3342 8674         

$$

ALC007-047-105-291355-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181230T1516Z/
/CKLA1.1.ER.181228T1334Z.181229T0600Z.181230T0316Z.NO/
756 PM CST Fri Dec 28 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River At Centreville.
* until Sunday morning...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  7:00 PM Friday the stage was 30.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.2 feet 
  overnight tonight. The river will fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farm and pasture 
  lands in the area occurs...and cattle may need to be moved to 
  higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8699 3292 8710 3281 8719 3281 8728
          3294 8719 3314 8704         

$$

ALC047-105-291355-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0038.181230T0600Z-190102T0031Z/
/SUTA1.1.ER.181230T0600Z.181231T0600Z.190101T1231Z.NO/
756 PM CST Fri Dec 28 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for The Cahaba River Near Suttle.
* from late Saturday night to Tuesday evening...or until the Warning 
  is cancelled.
* AT  7:00 PM Friday the stage was 19.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Sunday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 37.6 feet by Monday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Tuesday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3281 8719 3272 8721 3248 8715 3248 8722
          3271 8729 3281 8728         

$$

ALC047-105-291355-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0039.181230T1700Z-190102T0220Z/
/MNJA1.1.ER.181230T1700Z.181231T1200Z.190101T1420Z.NO/
756 PM CST Fri Dec 28 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for The Cahaba River At Marion Junction.
* from Sunday morning to Tuesday evening...or until the Warning is 
  cancelled.
* AT  7:00 PM Friday the stage was 19.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 36.0 feet. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Sunday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 38.3 feet by Monday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet...Extensive overflow of farm lands around 
  Marion Junction occurs. Some homes and farms begin to be affected. 

&&

LAT...LON 3249 8715 3236 8710 3231 8715 3249 8721


$$
333 
WGUS84 KBMX 291513
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
913 AM CST Sat Dec 29 2018


...The flood warning continues for the Cahaba River at Centreville,
Marion Junction, and near Suttle...

.Heavy rainfall from yesterday continues to produce rises on the
Cahaba River at Centreville, Marion Junction, and near Suttle. The 
flood warning continues at this time.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Sunday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC007-047-105-300313-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181230T1413Z/
/CKLA1.1.ER.181228T1334Z.181229T0000Z.181230T0213Z.NO/
913 AM CST Sat Dec 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River At Centreville.
* until Sunday morning...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  8:00 AM Saturday the stage was 28.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this evening.
* Impact...At 23 feet...Pasture lands begin to flood in the 
  Centreville area. 

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8699 3292 8710 3281 8719 3281 8728
          3294 8719 3314 8704         

$$

ALC047-105-300313-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0038.181230T1036Z-190101T2350Z/
/SUTA1.1.ER.181230T1036Z.181231T0600Z.190101T1150Z.NO/
913 AM CST Sat Dec 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River Near Suttle.
* from late tonight to Tuesday afternoon...or until the Warning is 
  cancelled.
* AT  8:00 AM Saturday the stage was 22.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 32 feet. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow  and continue 
  to rise to near 37.1 feet by Monday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 32 feet...Flooding of pasture lands and low-lying 
  agricultural lands occurs in the Suttle area. 

&&

LAT...LON 3281 8719 3272 8721 3248 8715 3248 8722
          3271 8729 3281 8728         

$$

ALC047-105-300313-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0039.181230T2210Z-190102T0145Z/
/MNJA1.1.ER.181230T2210Z.181231T1800Z.190101T1345Z.NO/
913 AM CST Sat Dec 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River At Marion Junction.
* from Sunday afternoon to Tuesday evening...or until the Warning is 
  cancelled.
* AT  8:00 AM Saturday the stage was 21.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 36 feet. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon  and 
  continue to rise to near 37.8 feet by early Monday afternoon. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 36 feet...Flooding is confined mainly to farm and 
  pasture lands in the area.

&&

LAT...LON 3249 8715 3236 8710 3231 8715 3249 8721


$$
427 
WGUS84 KBMX 300131
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
731 PM CST Sat Dec 29 2018


...The flood warning continues for the Cahaba River...

.A Flood Warning remains in effect for the Cahaba River from 
Centreville downstream.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Sunday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC007-047-105-301330-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181230T1938Z/
/CKLA1.1.ER.181228T1334Z.181229T0000Z.181230T0738Z.NO/
731 PM CST Sat Dec 29 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River At Centreville.
* until Sunday afternoon...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  7:00 PM Saturday the stage was 25.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Pasture lands begin to flood in the 
  Centreville area. 

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8699 3292 8710 3281 8719 3281 8728
          3294 8719 3314 8704         

$$

ALC047-105-301330-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0038.181230T1225Z-190102T0613Z/
/SUTA1.1.ER.181230T1225Z.181231T0600Z.190101T1813Z.NO/
731 PM CST Sat Dec 29 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River Near Suttle.
* from Sunday morning to late Tuesday night...or until the Warning is
  cancelled.
* AT  7:00 PM Saturday the stage was 25.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning  and continue
  to rise to near 37.0 feet by Monday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by early Tuesday afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 3281 8719 3272 8721 3248 8715 3248 8722
          3271 8729 3281 8728         

$$

ALC047-105-301330-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0039.181231T0000Z-190102T0742Z/
/MNJA1.1.ER.181231T0000Z.181231T1800Z.190101T1942Z.NO/
731 PM CST Sat Dec 29 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River At Marion Junction.
* from Sunday evening to late Tuesday night...or until the Warning is
  cancelled.
* AT  7:00 PM Saturday the stage was 23.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 36.0 feet. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue
  to rise to near 37.6 feet by Monday evening. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by early Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 36.0 feet...Flooding is confined mainly to farm and 
  pasture lands in the area.

&&

LAT...LON 3249 8715 3236 8710 3231 8715 3249 8721


$$
891 
WGUS84 KBMX 301535
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
935 AM CST Sun Dec 30 2018


...The flood warning continues for the Cahaba River At Marion 
Junction...

.Rises continue on the Cahaba River at Marion Junction. Levels
are forecast to rise into flood stage by Monday evening. The
flood warning remains at this time.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Monday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC047-105-310335-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0039.181231T0440Z-190102T0738Z/
/MNJA1.1.ER.181231T0440Z.190101T0000Z.190101T1938Z.NO/
935 AM CST Sun Dec 30 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River At Marion Junction.
* from this evening to late Tuesday night...or until the Warning is 
  cancelled.
* AT  9:00 AM Sunday the stage was 28.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 36 feet. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 37.3 feet by tomorrow evening . The river will fall below 
  flood stage by early Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 36 feet...Flooding is confined mainly to farm and 
  pasture lands in the area.
* Impact...At 15 feet...Flooding around Oakmulgee Creek begins and 
  cattle need to be moved to higher ground. Overflow of pasture lands
  increases at stages above 20 feet. 

&&

LAT...LON 3249 8715 3236 8710 3231 8715 3249 8721


$$
421 
WGUS84 KBMX 310129
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
729 PM CST Sun Dec 30 2018


...The flood warning continues for the Lower Cahaba River...

.Rises continue on the lower Cahaba River due to recent 
rainfall...and a flood warning remains in effect for the river from 
Suttle downstream.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Monday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC047-105-311328-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-190102T1740Z/
/SUTA1.1.ER.181230T1605Z.181231T1800Z.190102T0540Z.NO/
729 PM CST Sun Dec 30 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River Near Suttle.
* until Wednesday morning...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  7:00 PM Sunday the stage was 34.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 37.0 feet by 
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday 
  night.

&&

LAT...LON 3281 8719 3272 8721 3248 8715 3248 8722
          3271 8729 3281 8728         

$$

ALC047-105-311328-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0039.190101T0430Z-190103T0824Z/
/MNJA1.1.ER.190101T0430Z.190102T0000Z.190102T2024Z.NO/
729 PM CST Sun Dec 30 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Wednesday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River At Marion Junction.
* from Monday evening to late Wednesday night...or until the Warning 
  is cancelled.
* AT  7:00 PM Sunday the stage was 31.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 36.0 feet. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late evening  and 
  continue to rise to near 37.1 feet by early Wednesday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 36.0 feet...Flooding is confined mainly to farm and 
  pasture lands in the area.

&&

LAT...LON 3249 8715 3236 8710 3231 8715 3249 8721


$$
110 
WGUS84 KBMX 311401
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
801 AM CST Mon Dec 31 2018


...The flood warning continues for the Cahaba River Near Suttle 
and at Marion Junction...

.Levels continue to rise along the lower Cahaba River and flood 
warning remains in effect for this portion of the river.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Tuesday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC047-105-010201-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-190102T1726Z/
/SUTA1.1.ER.181230T1605Z.190101T0000Z.190102T0526Z.NO/
801 AM CST Mon Dec 31 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River Near Suttle.
* until Wednesday morning...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT 7:00 AM Monday the stage was 36.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 32 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 37 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday night.
* Impact...At 32 feet...Flooding of pasture lands and low-lying 
  agricultural lands occurs in the Suttle area. 

&&

LAT...LON 3281 8719 3272 8721 3248 8715 3248 8722
          3271 8729 3281 8728         

$$

ALC047-105-010201-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0039.190101T0234Z-190103T0824Z/
/MNJA1.1.ER.190101T0234Z.190102T0000Z.190102T2024Z.NO/
801 AM CST Mon Dec 31 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River At Marion Junction.
* from this evening to late Wednesday night...or until the Warning is
  cancelled.
* AT 7:00 AM Monday the stage was 34.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 36 feet. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 37.1 feet by Tuesday evening. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by early Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 36 feet...Flooding is confined mainly to farm and 
  pasture lands in the area.

&&

LAT...LON 3249 8715 3236 8710 3231 8715 3249 8721


$$
582 
WGUS84 KBMX 010136
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
736 PM CST Mon Dec 31 2018


...The flood warning continues for the Lower Cahaba River...

.Recent heavy rainfall continues to lead to high water levels on the 
Cahaba River. A Flood Warning remains in effect on the cahaba at 
Suttle and Marion Junction.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Tuesday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC047-105-011336-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-190102T1614Z/
/SUTA1.1.ER.181230T1605Z.181231T1700Z.190102T0414Z.NO/
736 PM CST Mon Dec 31 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River Near Suttle.
* until Wednesday morning...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  7:00 PM Monday the stage was 36.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 36.6 feet by 
  early Tuesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Tuesday night.


&&

LAT...LON 3281 8719 3272 8721 3248 8715 3248 8722
          3271 8729 3281 8728         

$$

ALC047-105-011336-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0039.190101T0134Z-190103T0600Z/
/MNJA1.1.ER.181231T2353Z.190101T1800Z.190102T1800Z.NO/
736 PM CST Mon Dec 31 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River At Marion Junction.
* until late Wednesday night...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  7:00 PM Monday the stage was 36.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 36.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 37.3 feet by 
  early Tuesday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  early Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 36.0 feet...Flooding is confined mainly to farm and 
  pasture lands in the area.

&&

LAT...LON 3249 8715 3236 8710 3231 8715 3249 8721


$$
429 
WGUS84 KBMX 011449
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
849 AM CST Tue Jan 1 2019


...The flood warning continues for the Cahaba River Near Suttle and
At Marion Junction...

.Levels remain in flood stage on the Cahaba River Near Suttle and At 
Marion Junction...but are slowly falling. The Flood Warning will continue
at this time.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Wednesday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC047-105-020248-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-190102T1038Z/
/SUTA1.1.ER.181230T1605Z.181231T1700Z.190101T2238Z.NO/
849 AM CST Tue Jan 1 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River Near Suttle.
* until late tonight...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  8:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 35.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 32 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 32 feet...Flooding of pasture lands and low-lying 
  agricultural lands occurs in the Suttle area. 

&&

LAT...LON 3281 8719 3272 8721 3248 8715 3248 8722
          3271 8729 3281 8728         

$$

ALC047-105-020248-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-190103T0215Z/
/MNJA1.1.ER.181231T2353Z.190102T0000Z.190102T1415Z.NO/
849 AM CST Tue Jan 1 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River At Marion Junction.
* until Wednesday evening...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  8:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 36.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 36 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 37 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow morning .
* Impact...At 36 feet...Flooding is confined mainly to farm and 
  pasture lands in the area.

&&

LAT...LON 3249 8715 3236 8710 3231 8715 3249 8721


$$
177 
WGUS84 KBMX 020138
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
738 PM CST Tue Jan 1 2019


...The flood warning is cancelled for the Cahaba River At Marion 
Junction...
...The flood warning continues for the Cahaba River Near Suttle...

.Levels along the Cahaba River continue to fall but remain near or 
slightly above flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Wednesday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC047-105-021338-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-190102T1902Z/
/SUTA1.1.ER.181230T1605Z.181231T1700Z.190102T0702Z.NO/
738 PM CST Tue Jan 1 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Cahaba River Near Suttle.
* until Wednesday afternoon...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  7:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 33.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet...Flooding of pasture lands and low-lying 
  agricultural lands occurs in the Suttle area. 

&&

LAT...LON 3281 8719 3272 8721 3248 8715 3248 8722
          3271 8729 3281 8728         

$$

ALC047-105-020208-
/O.CAN.KBMX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-190103T0215Z/
/MNJA1.1.ER.181231T2353Z.190101T1200Z.190102T0036Z.NO/
738 PM CST Tue Jan 1 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Cahaba River At Marion Junction.
* AT  7:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 35.9 feet. 
* Fell below flood stage at  6:36 PM Tuesday.
* Flood stage is 36.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 31.6 feet by Thursday
  morning.
* Impact...At 36.0 feet...Flooding is confined mainly to farm and 
  pasture lands in the area.

&&

LAT...LON 3249 8715 3236 8710 3231 8715 3249 8721


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Birmingham, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 31, 3:58 AM CST, 1 hour 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 31, 3:58 AM CST, 1 hour 2 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
358 AM CST Mon Dec 31 2018

.SHORT TERM...
Today through Tomorrow evening.

* Damaging wind threat with an area of thunderstorms for the
  northwestern half of the area from ~1-9 PM.

* A non-zero tornado threat, particularly in the northwestern
  quarter of the area from ~1-4 PM.

GOES-East imagery depicts an ejecting mid/upper-level disturbance
across southwest Texas this morning and is on pace to approach the
western Ohio Valley by late this afternoon. RAP mesoanalysis
indicates downstream shortwave ridging & deep-layer ageostrophic
forcing will subsequently result in cyclogenesis near the ArkLaTex
and quickly move NNE as the surface low nears the Chicago area by ~3
PM. As the system becomes ever more transient, a strong SSW 925-
850mb low-level jet (LLJ) is expected to develop along the southern
Mississippi River Valley and stretch northward towards the surface
low. General intensification is expected into the afternoon with
wind magnitudes increasing to 50-65 kts as it moves northeast
towards central Alabama. With this in mind, a narrow axis of low-
level theta-e advection will accompany increasing surface dewpoints
in the low to mid 60s along and ahead of a trailing surface
front/trough. Warm sector rain showers are expected throughout the
late morning & afternoon and will favor the west & northwest areas.

This forecast update introduces a non-zero tornado threat will exist
across the northwest in the early afternoon. This results from a
trend in better kinematic parameters across the area. With the
strong SSW LLJ in place, S to SSE surface winds will increase
throughout the day resulting in broad low-level hodograph curvature.
Values of 0-1 km SRH (~300-500 m2/s2) is expected across the
northwest whilst accompanying the best chances/temporal window for
destabilization during the 1-4 PM timeframe. Given there are
opportunities for discrete thunderstorm development ahead of the
primary linear feature to the west in MS, we felt it was best to
address this area of greater concern with a Slight Risk. This will
also include any stretching potential in stronger updrafts embedded
within the developing QLCS, which are problematic for causing brief
spin-up tornadoes.

Limiting factors for this system continues to be buoyancy. Cloud
cover and weak lapse rates should inhibit CAPE values for much of
the day. Most indications suggest MLCAPE will remain <500 J/kg, with
lower values of SBCAPE. Limited insolation suggests thunderstorms
will struggle to ingest surface-based parcels, though strong warm
air/moisture advection keep this possibility on the table into the
afternoon (especially if any breaks in cloud cover occurs).
Regardless, believe dynamics & deep-layer shear will supersede
thermodynamic profiles, as is not too uncommon for this area in the
cool season. Overall & primary threat continues to be damaging
winds. With the opportunity for bowing segments and a stronger
downdraft associated with any stronger discrete or QLCS storms,
mechanical mixing of LLJ winds is possible. This threat is further
exacerbated by recent heavy rainfall weakening soil strength.
Therefore, sub-severe criteria wind gusts may result in downed trees
as well.

General eastward progression is expected with line of showers &
thunderstorms with discrete areas congealing into the line as it
approaches the I-59 corridor in the 3-7 PM timeframe. As this
occurs, we should see weakening of severe parameters as instability
dies off and wind profiles become more unidirectional. This is
expected as the LLJ & associated forcing moves displaces to the
northeast and surface winds veer across the area. Therefore, trends
in threats should taper off by ~9 PM with lingering areas of rain
showers favoring the east and southeast thereafter. Cooler & drier
air will move in from the northwest behind the frontal boundary
providing a period of stable conditions for much of the forecast
area heading into Tuesday afternoon. The lingering convergence axis
and residual moisture (PWs ~1.6") suggests rain showers will
continue into the evening hours.

40/Sizemore

.LONG TERM...
Tuesday night thru Monday morning

Looks as though the rain will continue through much of this week
with drier conditions likely this coming weekend.

Rain chances will remain elevated in our southern counties as a weak
warm front moves northward from the Gulf late Tuesday night/early
Wednesday morning. As this features moves into our area, an upper
level trough will be moving in from our west. The surface response
is a low pressure situated in the western Gulf that will progress
north-northeast late Wednesday through Thursday. Frontal lifting and
an increase in southerly flow will allow for high rain chances
across the majority of the area during this period. By Friday
morning the surface low pressure and frontal boundary are north and
east of the area. Have kept a slight chance of lingering showers to
the north and east during the day on Friday. Not expecting too much
wrap around moisture as guidance suggests the development of a dry
slot on the back side of this system. Dry conditions expected this
weekend as high pressure begins to build back into the region Friday
night/early Saturday morning. This will be the predominate weather
feature through early next week.

07

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF Discussion.

Widespread fog has developed and is spreading northward as a warm
front lifts through the area. Fog will bring vis down to LIFR
conditions. As southeasterly to southerly winds increase overnight,
vis will improve but low stratus will keep IFR/LIFR conditions in
place for most terminals.

Cannot rule out a few showers overnight, but coverage will remain
isolated to scattered, with the best coverage north of all forecast
terminals through at least sunrise. Expect showers through the day
tomorrow, ahead of a more organized line of showers and storms, that
will move across the area late tomorrow afternoon and evening. Cigs
could improve to MVFR briefly during the day, but expect heights to
remain at or below 1500ft. Southerly winds will be breezy, with
gusts of 20kts possible.

14

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Low clouds with patchy fog is likely through early this morning.
Increasing shower activity is expected from the west this
afternoon before a line of thunderstorms moves across the area
along and ahead of a frontal boundary. Look for the front to
stall out across the southeast Tuesday and then lift back north on
Wednesday. This wet pattern may finally come to an end with a
drier airmass on Thursday. With forecast rainfall and relative
humidity values remaining above critical values, there are no
fire weather concerns at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     69  53  62  43  51 /  90  90  20  20  80
Anniston    71  56  64  48  55 /  70  90  40  20  70
Birmingham  70  54  62  45  52 /  90  90  20  20  80
Tuscaloosa  71  54  63  46  52 / 100  60  20  30  80
Calera      70  55  63  47  54 /  80  90  30  30  70
Auburn      69  63  67  55  60 /  50  70  60  40  60
Montgomery  73  63  68  55  62 /  50  70  50  40  50
Troy        73  65  71  59  65 /  40  70  60  50  50

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES/...
Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for the following
counties: Autauga...Barbour...Bibb...Blount...Bullock...
Calhoun...Chambers...Cherokee...Chilton...Clay...Cleburne...
Coosa...Dallas...Elmore...Etowah...Fayette...Greene...Hale...
Jefferson...Lamar...Lee...Lowndes...Macon...Marengo...Marion...
Montgomery...Perry...Pickens...Pike...Randolph...Russell...
Shelby...St. Clair...Sumter...Talladega...Tallapoosa...
Tuscaloosa...Walker...Winston.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 31, 4:05 AM CST, 55 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
405 AM CST Mon Dec 31 2018

ALZ011>015-017>050-011315-
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee-
Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa-
Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon-
Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour-
405 AM CST Mon Dec 31 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the
National Weather Service office in Birmingham.

.DAY ONE...Outlook through Tonight.

Patchy dense fog is possible across Central Alabama through 9 AM.
Visibilities may drop to below 1 mile at times. Use caution while
driving.

There is a slight chance for severe storms this afternoon after 1 pm
through tonight, around 9 pm. Areas that could be impacted include
areas along and west of a Selma to Clanton to Anniston line. Wind
gusts of 40 to 60 mph are possible with a line of showers and
embedded thunderstorms. In addition to the winds, locally heavy
rainfall is expected as well. A tornado can not be ruled out across
the far northwestern counties, or along and west of a Carrollton to
Cordova line, generally from 1 to 4 pm.

Rises along the rivers will continue and many are near bankfull or
in flood. Please refer to river flood warnings, statements, and
advisories for the latest information.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Some rivers will continue to experience flooding into next week.
Please refer to river flood warnings, statements, and advisories for
the latest information.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management may be needed
through this evening.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Birmingham, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 30, 6:08 PM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryBMXAutauga, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock, Calhoun and 33 more13 hr
Dec 31, 1:38 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXMarion52 min
Dec 31, 1:53 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXLamar37 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.