Storm Warning 111, NWS Anchorage, AK

791 
FZAK51 PAFC 182346
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
346 PM AKDT Thu Oct 18 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-191300-
346 PM AKDT Thu Oct 18 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 979 mb low will move to 230 nm south of Middleton Island Thu 
night then it will move to 60 nm southwest of Middleton Island at
967 mb Fri afternoon. The low will then move inland over Prince 
William Sound Fri night at 981 mb. A front associated with a 
North Pacific low will move into the central Gulf Sat.

$$

PKZ119-191300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
346 PM AKDT Thu Oct 18 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt increasing to 60 kt with gusts to 70 kt after
midnight. Seas 13 ft building to 27 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
27 ft subsiding to 21 ft after midnight.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-191300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
346 PM AKDT Thu Oct 18 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...


.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming NE 60 kt with gusts to 70 kt after 
midnight. Seas 12 ft building to 26 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 55 kt becoming W 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 25 ft
subsiding to 19 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-191300-
Resurrection Bay-
346 PM AKDT Thu Oct 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N wind 25 kt late evening.
Gusts to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 5 ft. Rain 
showers.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming S toward morning. Seas 4 ft. Rain
showers.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-191300-
Prince William Sound-
346 PM AKDT Thu Oct 18 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 9 ft.
Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-191300-
Port Valdez-
346 PM AKDT Thu Oct 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-191300-
Valdez Narrows-
346 PM AKDT Thu Oct 18 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt by midnight. Seas 4 ft.
Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-191300-
Valdez Arm-
346 PM AKDT Thu Oct 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-191300-
Passage Canal-
346 PM AKDT Thu Oct 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 4 ft. Rain
showers.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-191300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
346 PM AKDT Thu Oct 18 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt increasing to 55 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...N wind 50 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft
subsiding to 9 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-191300-
Barren Islands East-
346 PM AKDT Thu Oct 18 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming NE 60 kt after midnight. Seas 12
ft building to 23 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.FRI...N wind 55 kt becoming NW 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ132-191300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
346 PM AKDT Thu Oct 18 2018

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt except NE 40 kt N of Dangerous Cape. Seas
13 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...W wind 40 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, NW wind 55 kt becoming W
45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ136-191300-
Chiniak Bay-
346 PM AKDT Thu Oct 18 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...NW wind 40 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-191300-
Marmot Bay-
346 PM AKDT Thu Oct 18 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...NW wind 40 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-191300-
Shelikof Strait-
346 PM AKDT Thu Oct 18 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...NW wind 45 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ139-191300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
346 PM AKDT Thu Oct 18 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt becoming NE 50 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...N wind 45 kt becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft
subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-191300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
346 PM AKDT Thu Oct 18 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming N 40 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-191300-
Kachemak Bay-
346 PM AKDT Thu Oct 18 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 45 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

478 
FZAK51 PAFC 191202
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-200100-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A strong 968 mb low 225 nm south of Middleton Island moves to 20 nm 
southeast of Whittier at 994 mb and dissipates Sat afternoon. Its 
front pushes into the North Gulf Coast Sat afternoon. A 974 mb low 
455 nm South of Chignik Sat morning moves to 25 nm South of Kodiak 
City at 970 mb by Sun morning. Its front stretches across the Gulf 
through Sun morning.

$$

PKZ119-200100-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. S of
Middleton Island E wind 50 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 25 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
23 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ120-200100-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 55 kt becoming NW 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
25 ft subsiding to 17 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft subsiding to 14 ft after
midnight.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft.
Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-200100-
Resurrection Bay-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming S in the evening. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-200100-
Prince William Sound-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ126-200100-
Port Valdez-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-200100-
Valdez Narrows-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-200100-
Valdez Arm-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt becoming NE wind 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-200100-
Passage Canal-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-200100-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 45 kt becoming W 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft 
subsiding to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt becoming E 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 55 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-200100-
Barren Islands East-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 50 kt becoming W 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft
subsiding to 17 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10
ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-200100-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 50 kt becoming W 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14
ft except 21 ft N of Dangerous Cape.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-200100-
Chiniak Bay-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-200100-
Marmot Bay-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-200100-
Shelikof Strait-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 45 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 15 kt becoming NE 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
3 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-200100-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 40 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-200100-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 
ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-200100-
Kachemak Bay-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft 
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

974 
FZAK51 PAFC 192339
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
339 PM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-201300-
339 PM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 970 mb low 30 nm northeast of Middleton Island will move inland
over Prince William Sound tonight. A 967 mb Pacific low will move
to 90 nm southeast of Sitkinak Sat night then it will move inland
over Pedro Bay at 976 mb Sun morning. The associated front will 
move into the northern Gulf Sat night and remain stationary 
through Sun.

$$

PKZ119-201300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
339 PM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 
22 ft subsiding to 18 ft after midnight.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 45 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 21 
ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-201300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
339 PM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. Seas 18 
ft subsiding to 14 ft after midnight.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft.
Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft building to 24 ft after
midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-201300-
Resurrection Bay-
339 PM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt in the evening becoming S 10 kt. Seas 3 
ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-201300-
Prince William Sound-
339 PM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 6 ft. 
Rain.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt in the evening increasing to 40 kt. Seas 4
ft in the evening building to 9 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-201300-
Port Valdez-
339 PM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-201300-
Valdez Narrows-
339 PM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt in the evening increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3
ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-201300-
Valdez Arm-
339 PM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt becoming NE wind 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 30 kt. Seas 6
ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-201300-
Passage Canal-
339 PM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier. Seas 4 ft. 
Rain.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-201300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
339 PM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 10
ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt in the evening increasing to 50 kt. Seas 
9 ft in the evening building to 13 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...E wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-201300-
Barren Islands East-
339 PM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 15 
ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt becoming E 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft.
Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 16 ft building to 24 ft after midnight. Widespread rain 
showers.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-201300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
339 PM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SE 20 kt in the morning becoming E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft 
building to 13 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 22 ft. 
Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-201300-
Chiniak Bay-
339 PM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ137-201300-
Marmot Bay-
339 PM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft 
subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. 
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-201300-
Shelikof Strait-
339 PM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt becoming NE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 14 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ139-201300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
339 PM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt in the evening increasing to 45 kt. Seas 
9 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...E wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-201300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
339 PM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
subsiding to 1 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 35 kt. Seas 
6 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-201300-
Kachemak Bay-
339 PM AKDT Fri Oct 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
531 PM AKDT Wed Oct 17 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A vertically stacked upper-level low spins over the eastern
Bering between Bristol Bay and St. Paul island. This low sits at
the base of a long-wave trough which encompasses much of the
eastern Bering and the western mainland coast. The jet stream, in
a similar fashion, dips down in a trough well south of the
eastern Aleutians. Due to weak upper level support, the low is
heading towards a weakening trend. Over the western Aleutians, a
weak ridging is occurring on the trailing edge of the trough. At
the surface, an occluded front associated with the low in the
Bering continues to push on land over the western mainland with
convective style showers pupping up over the lower Kuskokwim
Valley and the AKPEN. A surface short wave embedded along the
leading edge of the trough continues to bring some rainfall to
Southcentral especially along Prince William Sound but it also is
moving into the MAT-SU. As weak low pressure persists through the
Gulf, Southcentral maintains a dense cloud deck while throughout
the offshore areas in the Gulf, patchy skies are dominate.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models have all now coalesced around the GFS solution with the
strong low moving through the Gulf of Alaska on Thursday night and
Friday. This is good news as the GFS has been the preferred
solution for this storm for the past few days. After that, the
models do not seem to have a good lock on the next storm which
will move out of the area south of the Aleutians toward Kodiak
Island. Models mostly differ on the track of the low with a
discrepancy between whether it will track east of Kodiak or into
Bristol Bay.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions will persist in spite of some showers moving
through the area. The gusty southeast winds will diminish over night
and become northerly for Thursday afternoon

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Tonight through
Saturday)...

Broad unstable cyclonic flow across Southcentral will continue the
threat of showers into Saturday, especially along the coasts. A
developing low over the NE Pacific Thursday rapidly develops
under favorable upper level left exit jet position. This system
heads to the western gulf south of the Kenai Peninsula Thursday
night/early Friday morning. It will bring widespread gales to the
gulf marine areas. Additionally, there will also be a batch of
easterly storms to the north gulf marine zones (119 120 131) just
ahead of the front Thursday night. This low then weakens and
lifts north across the Kenai Peninsula Friday afternoon and
eventually ends up in the interior Friday night. Winds should then
veer around to the south across much of the Gulf and Southcentral
Friday with a brief batch of southerly gales over gulf waters and
strong southerly winds over the Copper River continuing into
Friday night before weakening.

Unlike the "Atmospheric River" (deep southerly moisture fetch)
associated with the last two systems to hit the gulf, this
weather system will bring a quick shot of moderate to potentially
heavy rainfall to the gulf coast and eastern Kenai peninsula late
Thursday night into Friday afternoon. Precipitation will become
more showery across many areas after the low/frontal passage
Friday evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2/tonight
through Friday)...
The low over Bristol Bay will continue spin disorganized bands of
showers into Southwest Alaska. Showers will diminish as the low
weakens and slowly moves south, though not much change is expected
overall due to its slow progression. A second low will move into
the Gulf of Alaska Thursday and is anticipated to send an easterly
wave over the the Aleutian Range, spreading rain over the
Kuskokwim Valley and Bristol Bay Thursday night into Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2/tonight
through Friday)...
The vertically stacked, slow moving low currently over Bristol
Bay will continue to drift south. It will gradually dissipate as
it does so, weakening to a trough Thursday night. Its slow
progression means not much change in the weather for the Eastern
Aleutians. Rain showers will continue to be present on the north
side of the islands, with some rain shadowing on the south side.
Gusty winds through gaps will be possible mainly Thursday night as
the low moves south.

The Central Aleutians will be relatively quiet with a shortwave
ridge moving through, while an elongated area of low pressure will
enter the Western Aleutians early tomorrow and progress east
through Friday, weakening as it goes.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7: Friday Night through
Wednesday)...

The primary impactful weather across Southern Alaska through the
long-term will be associated with yet another strong North Pacific
low. There is still some disagreement between each of the models
about how strong the low becomes, where it tracks, and the timing.
While all of the models show a strong low tracking near the
western Gulf Saturday and Sunday, the aforementioned disagreements
make it imprudent to specify impacts for any one particular area
at this time. However, mariners and those planning recreational
activities outdoors this weekend should keep a close eye on the
forecast.

Here are the aspects of the storm that can be said with some
confidence: The initial front brings the start of the rainfall
into Kodiak Island on Saturday, spreading northward through the
afternoon. The low looks strong enough at this point that gales
are likely, especially south and east of the low center. Storm
force wind gusts are a possibility. The low will once again be
able to tap into a feed of subtropical moisture, and take that
rainfall into the North Gulf Coast once again. Fortunately, unlike
this last event which caused localized flooding in spots such as
Seward, this time that moisture feed and associated heavy rain
looks to steadily track eastward, so no one area should pick up
excessive amounts of rain for a long time frame. The track of the
center of the low, while uncertain, looks to be further west than
previous lows, so the impacts to Prince William Sound with a
possible barrier jet look reduced with this event.

Behind the low during the Monday through Wednesday time frame,
uncertainty remains high, but the center of the low and its
steering upper low look to anchor themselves near Southwest
Alaska, which should generally keep onshore flow and moist
conditions through Southcentral. Some of the models suggest a
North Pacific low tracks into the Gulf during the time frame, but
there is zero consensus on that. There is somewhat better
agreement that colder air moves into the Bering by mid-week and
some of that sneaks into mainland Alaska for late next week. This
would allow Southern Alaska to experience more seasonable
temperatures for a change.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storms 119 120 131 351. Gales 125 130 132 138-140 178 179
352 414.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ/RA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RMC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...BB
LONG TERM...JW