Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 8

January 15, 201737 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 15, 2017, 6:00 PM CST for 37 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 15, 2017, 6:00 PM CST (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Jan 16, 2017, 12:00 AM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 37 counties

Bandera County, TX, Bell County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Comal County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Falls County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hays County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Llano County, TX, Mason County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Mills County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Real County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Travis County, TX, Williamson County, TX

The radar

The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 15, 6:10 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDBosque35 min
Jan 15, 6:22 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDBosque, Hill38 min
Jan 15, 6:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Real66 min
Jan 15, 6:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Kerr, Real48 min
Jan 15, 6:53 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedFWDHill, Johnson37 min
Jan 15, 7:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera67 min
Jan 15, 7:23 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEllis, Hill, Johnson52 min
Jan 15, 7:45 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDJohnson30 min
Jan 15, 7:48 PM CSTTornado WarningEWXKerr27 min
Jan 15, 7:50 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDallas, Ellis, Johnson, Tarrant40 min
Jan 15, 8:04 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDJohnson16 min
Jan 15, 8:06 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningFWDJohnson, Tarrant3 hr
Jan 15, 8:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Kendall, Kerr46 min
Jan 15, 8:14 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDTarrant31 min
Jan 15, 8:33 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDDallas, Tarrant27 min
Jan 15, 8:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKendall46 min
Jan 15, 9:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDallas, Tarrant44 min
Jan 15, 9:27 PM CSTTornado WarningEWXKendall33 min
Jan 15, 9:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBlanco, Comal, Kendall46 min
Jan 15, 9:57 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningFWDDallas3 hr
Jan 15, 10:01 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningFWDEllis3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 151 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2017-01-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 211 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2017-01-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 368 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
211 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-49 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
548 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
368 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
509 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

060 
WWUS20 KWNS 152357
SEL8  
SPC WW 152357
TXZ000-160600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 8
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
600 PM CST Sun Jan 15 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  central/north-central Texas

* Effective this Sunday night from 600 PM until Midnight CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Isolated supercells will be possible generally near the
I-35 corridor of central/north-central Texas this evening ahead of
an east/northeastward-moving squall line across west-central Texas.
Sufficient low-level moisture and shear will support the possibility
of a couple of tornadoes aside from damaging winds.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 10 miles north northeast of Fort Worth
TX to 45 miles west of New Braunfels TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 7...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 15, 6:36 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho and 23 more54 min
Jan 15, 8:10 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Burnet, Comal and 26 more2 hr
Jan 15, 10:58 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Burnet, Comal and 26 more62 min
Jan 16, 5:01 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFort Bend, Harris, Montgomery, Waller29 min
Jan 16, 2:02 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarrison, Marion118 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.