Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2017
Tornado Watch 8
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 15, 2017, 6:00 PM CST for 37 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 15, 2017, 6:00 PM CST (00:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 16, 2017, 12:00 AM CST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 37 counties
Bandera County, TX, Bell County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Comal County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Falls County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hays County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Llano County, TX, Mason County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Mills County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Real County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Travis County, TX, Williamson County, TX
The radar
The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 6:10 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Bosque | 35 min |
| Jan 15, 6:22 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Bosque, Hill | 38 min |
| Jan 15, 6:24 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Edwards, Real | 66 min |
| Jan 15, 6:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Edwards, Kerr, Real | 48 min |
| Jan 15, 6:53 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Hill, Johnson | 37 min |
| Jan 15, 7:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera | 67 min |
| Jan 15, 7:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Ellis, Hill, Johnson | 52 min |
| Jan 15, 7:45 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Johnson | 30 min |
| Jan 15, 7:48 PM CST | Tornado Warning | EWX | Kerr | 27 min |
| Jan 15, 7:50 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Dallas, Ellis, Johnson, Tarrant | 40 min |
| Jan 15, 8:04 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Johnson | 16 min |
| Jan 15, 8:06 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Johnson, Tarrant | 3 hr |
| Jan 15, 8:14 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kendall, Kerr | 46 min |
| Jan 15, 8:14 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Tarrant | 31 min |
| Jan 15, 8:33 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Dallas, Tarrant | 27 min |
| Jan 15, 8:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Kendall | 46 min |
| Jan 15, 9:01 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Dallas, Tarrant | 44 min |
| Jan 15, 9:27 PM CST | Tornado Warning | EWX | Kendall | 33 min |
| Jan 15, 9:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Blanco, Comal, Kendall | 46 min |
| Jan 15, 9:57 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Dallas | 3 hr |
| Jan 15, 10:01 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Ellis | 3 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 151 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 211 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -49 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 548 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 368 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 509 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 3.2
The text
As transmitted.
060 WWUS20 KWNS 152357 SEL8 SPC WW 152357 TXZ000-160600- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 8 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 600 PM CST Sun Jan 15 2017 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of central/north-central Texas * Effective this Sunday night from 600 PM until Midnight CST. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Isolated supercells will be possible generally near the I-35 corridor of central/north-central Texas this evening ahead of an east/northeastward-moving squall line across west-central Texas. Sufficient low-level moisture and shear will support the possibility of a couple of tornadoes aside from damaging winds. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles north northeast of Fort Worth TX to 45 miles west of New Braunfels TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 7... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 6:36 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bandera, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho and 23 more | 54 min |
| Jan 15, 8:10 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bandera, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Burnet, Comal and 26 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 15, 10:58 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bandera, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Burnet, Comal and 26 more | 62 min |
| Jan 16, 5:01 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Fort Bend, Harris, Montgomery, Waller | 29 min |
| Jan 16, 2:02 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Harrison, Marion | 118 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.