Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 32

February 14, 201730 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 14, 2017, 5:09 AM CST for 30 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 14, 2017, 5:09 AM CST (11:09 UTC)
Expired
Feb 14, 2017, 11:24 AM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 30 counties

Aransas County, TX, Austin County, TX, Bee County, TX, Brazoria County, TX, Calhoun County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Colorado County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Goliad County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Harris County, TX, Jackson County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Matagorda County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Polk County, TX, Refugio County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, San Patricio County, TX, Victoria County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX, Wharton County, TX

The radar

The Houston radar (KHGX), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 14, 6:24 AM CSTTornado WarningCRPBee, Goliad, Refugio, San Patricio21 min
Feb 14, 6:28 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXColorado, Jackson, Matagorda, Wharton62 min
Feb 14, 6:33 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPVictoria27 min
Feb 14, 6:42 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXAustin, Brazos, Burleson, Colorado, Grimes, Waller and 1 more48 min
Feb 14, 6:45 AM CSTTornado WarningHGXColorado, Jackson, Wharton45 min
Feb 14, 7:00 AM CSTTornado WarningCRPGoliad, Refugio, Victoria30 min
Feb 14, 7:25 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXAustin, Brazoria, Colorado, Fort Bend, Jackson, Matagorda and 1 more65 min
Feb 14, 7:29 AM CSTTornado WarningHGXBrazoria, Fort Bend, Matagorda, Wharton31 min
Feb 14, 7:39 AM CSTTornado WarningHGXAustin, Fort Bend, Wharton36 min
Feb 14, 7:48 AM CSTTornado WarningCRPAransas, Calhoun, Refugio27 min
Feb 14, 7:55 AM CSTTornado WarningHGXBrazoria, Fort Bend, Harris, Wharton50 min
Feb 14, 8:12 AM CSTTornado WarningCRPAransas, Calhoun18 min
Feb 14, 8:16 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazoria, Fort Bend, Harris, Montgomery, Walker44 min
Feb 14, 8:21 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHarris, Houston, Liberty, Madison, Montgomery, Polk and 3 more54 min
Feb 14, 8:37 AM CSTTornado WarningHGXBrazoria, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris38 min
Feb 14, 8:42 AM CSTTornado WarningHGXBrazoria, Galveston, Matagorda33 min
Feb 14, 8:45 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazoria, Galveston, Matagorda30 min
Feb 14, 8:56 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazoria, Chambers, Galveston, Harris, Liberty, Montgomery and 1 more64 min
Feb 14, 8:58 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHouston, Liberty, Montgomery, Polk, San Jacinto, Trinity47 min
Feb 14, 9:09 AM CSTTornado WarningHGXChambers, Harris, Liberty30 min
Feb 14, 9:13 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazoria, Fort Bend, Harris32 min
Feb 14, 9:21 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazoria, Galveston, Matagorda39 min
Feb 14, 9:24 AM CSTTornado WarningHGXBrazoria36 min
Feb 14, 9:43 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXLiberty, Polk47 min
Feb 14, 9:56 AM CSTTornado WarningHGXBrazoria, Galveston34 min
Feb 14, 9:57 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXChambers, Galveston, Harris, Liberty, Polk63 min
Feb 14, 10:22 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXChambers, Galveston53 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 00:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 193 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2017-02-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 856 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2017-02-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 19 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
856 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-28 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
694 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
19 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
147 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

263 
WWUS20 KWNS 141106
SEL2  
SPC WW 141106
TXZ000-CWZ000-141900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 32
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
505 AM CST Tue Feb 14 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  South-central and Southeast Texas
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Tuesday morning and afternoon from 505 AM until
  100 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...A complex of strong to severe thunderstorms will continue
to develop and gradually organize through the remainder of the
morning over the watch area, offering the threat for embedded
supercells and QLCS circulations, with a few tornadoes and isolated
damaging winds possible.  Refer to SPC mesoscale discussion 178 for
initial meteorological details.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
either side of a line from 45 miles southwest of Victoria TX to 55
miles northeast of Houston TX. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 25030.

...Edwards

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 13, 8:24 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Kerr, Llano, McCulloch, Mason, San Saba96 min
Feb 14, 3:57 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Austin, Bee, Bexar, Brazoria, Colorado and 16 more3 hr
Feb 14, 7:21 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazoria, Calhoun, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston, Hardin and 12 more114 min
Feb 14, 9:38 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAngelina, Hardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Nacogdoches, Newton and 5 more5 hr
Feb 14, 11:15 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJasper, Newton, Orange, Sabine90 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.