Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2017
Tornado Watch 252
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 19, 2017, 9:42 PM CDT for 20 counties in Arkansas; 17 counties in Missouri; 11 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 19, 2017, 9:42 PM CDT (02:42 UTC)
- Expired
- May 20, 2017, 5:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 48 counties
Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Barry County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Howell County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 9:43 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Douglas | 6 hr |
| May 19, 9:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Dallas, Laclede, Webster, Wright | 61 min |
| May 19, 9:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | McIntosh, Pittsburg | 39 min |
| May 19, 9:55 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Benton | 6 hr |
| May 19, 9:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Ozark, Taney | 51 min |
| May 19, 10:18 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Barry, Lawrence | 6 hr |
| May 19, 10:59 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Stone | 6 hr |
| May 19, 11:01 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg and 1 more | 6 hr |
| May 19, 11:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Douglas | 31 min |
| May 19, 11:03 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington | 6 hr |
| May 19, 11:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Washington | 23 min |
| May 19, 11:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Washington | 28 min |
| May 19, 11:37 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Webster | 6 hr |
| May 20, 12:26 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Boone, Marion | 49 min |
| May 20, 12:47 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Pittsburg | 43 min |
| May 20, 12:57 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Douglas, Ozark | 63 min |
| May 20, 12:58 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Boone, Johnson, Marion, Newton | 3 hr |
| May 20, 1:31 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Douglas, Ozark, Taney, Texas, Wright | 6 hr |
| May 20, 1:39 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Newton | 36 min |
| May 20, 4:19 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Franklin, Sebastian | 4 hr |
| May 20, 4:42 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Logan, Scott | 3 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 76 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1427 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 55 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -186 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -113 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
410
WWUS20 KWNS 200240
SEL2
SPC WW 200240
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-201000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 252
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
945 PM CDT Fri May 19 2017
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northwest and Northern Arkansas
Southwest and South-Central Missouri
Eastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 945 PM
until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A line of strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to
track northeastward across the watch area through the early morning
hours. Strong wind shear will maintain a risk of locally damaging
wind gusts, large hail, and a few tornadoes in the most intense
storms.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 60 miles north of West Plains MO to 50
miles south southeast of Mcalester OK. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 248...WW 249...WW 251...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 9:16 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway and 22 more | 59 min |
| May 19, 11:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Carroll, Conway, Crawford, Franklin and 18 more | 114 min |
| May 20, 1:45 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Cleburne, Craighead, Fulton, Greene, Independence and 7 more | 90 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2017Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2017Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.