Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 252

May 19, 201720 counties in Arkansas; 17 counties in Missouri; 11 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 19, 2017, 9:42 PM CDT for 20 counties in Arkansas; 17 counties in Missouri; 11 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 19, 2017, 9:42 PM CDT (02:42 UTC)
Expired
May 20, 2017, 5:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 48 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Barry County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Howell County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 19, 9:43 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFDouglas6 hr
May 19, 9:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDallas, Laclede, Webster, Wright61 min
May 19, 9:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMcIntosh, Pittsburg39 min
May 19, 9:55 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSABenton6 hr
May 19, 9:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFOzark, Taney51 min
May 19, 10:18 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFBarry, Lawrence6 hr
May 19, 10:59 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFStone6 hr
May 19, 11:01 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg and 1 more6 hr
May 19, 11:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas31 min
May 19, 11:03 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSABenton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington6 hr
May 19, 11:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAWashington23 min
May 19, 11:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Madison, Washington28 min
May 19, 11:37 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFWebster6 hr
May 20, 12:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Marion49 min
May 20, 12:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAPittsburg43 min
May 20, 12:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Ozark63 min
May 20, 12:58 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKBoone, Johnson, Marion, Newton3 hr
May 20, 1:31 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFDouglas, Ozark, Taney, Texas, Wright6 hr
May 20, 1:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Newton36 min
May 20, 4:19 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAFranklin, Sebastian4 hr
May 20, 4:42 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKLogan, Scott3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 76 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2017-05-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2017-05-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -186 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1427 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-186 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-113 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

410 
WWUS20 KWNS 200240
SEL2  
SPC WW 200240
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-201000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 252
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
945 PM CDT Fri May 19 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Northwest and Northern Arkansas
  Southwest and South-Central Missouri
  Eastern Oklahoma

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 945 PM
  until 500 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...A line of strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to
track northeastward across the watch area through the early morning
hours.  Strong wind shear will maintain a risk of locally damaging
wind gusts, large hail, and a few tornadoes in the most intense
storms.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 60 miles north of West Plains MO to 50
miles south southeast of Mcalester OK. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 248...WW 249...WW 251...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 19, 9:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway and 22 more59 min
May 19, 11:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Carroll, Conway, Crawford, Franklin and 18 more114 min
May 20, 1:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cleburne, Craighead, Fulton, Greene, Independence and 7 more90 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2017Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2017Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.