Alert archive / California / Red Flag Warnings in 2017
Red Flag Warning 6, NWS San Diego, CA
NWS San Diego, CA issued this red flag warning at Dec 13, 2017, 8:44 AM PST for 4 counties in California. It took effect at Dec 14, 2017, 4:00 AM PST. It was in force for 30 hr. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 13, 2017, 8:44 AM PST (16:44 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 14, 2017, 4:00 AM PST
- Expired
- Dec 15, 2017, 10:00 AM PST
- In force
- 30 hr
- Issued by
- NWS San Diego, CA
Counties Orange County, CA, Riverside County, CA, San Bernardino County, CA, San Diego County, CA
The radar
The Santa Ana Mts radar (KSOX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 7:00 AM PST | NON-TSTM WND GST 66 | 1 Sw Crestline, CA | MESONET STATION E3127, CRESTLINE. |
| Dec 14, 7:30 AM PST | NON-TSTM WND GST 67 | 6 Ssw Corona, CA | MESONET STATION E3131, PLEASANTS PEAK. |
| Dec 14, 7:49 AM PST | NON-TSTM WND GST 60 | 2 E Ontario, CA | ASOS STATION ONT, ONTARIO AIRPORT. |
| Dec 14, 8:51 AM PST | NON-TSTM WND GST 79 | 6 Ene Tustin Foothills, CA | MESONET STATION FRCC1, FREMONT CANYON. |
| Dec 15, 7:00 AM PST | NON-TSTM WND GST 69 | 9 Ssw Julian, CA | MESONET STATION SILSD, SILL HILL. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
San Diego, CA (KNKX), launched 12:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 124 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 5425 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 33 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -31 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -43 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
901 WWUS86 KSGX 131644 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Diego CA 844 AM PST Wed Dec 13 2017 CAZ248-250-255>258-554-140045- /O.UPG.KSGX.FW.A.0005.171214T0800Z-171215T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KSGX.FW.W.0006.171214T1200Z-171215T1800Z/ San Bernardino and Riverside County Valleys - The Inland Empire- San Diego County Inland Valleys-San Bernardino County Mountains- Including The Mountain Top And Front Country Ranger Districts Of The San Bernardino National Forest-Riverside County Mountains- Including The San Jacinto Ranger District Of The San Bernardino National Forest-Santa Ana Mountains- Including The Trabuco Ranger District of the Cleveland National Forest-San Diego County Mountains- Including The Palomar And Descanso Ranger Districts of the Cleveland National Forest-Orange County Inland Areas- 844 AM PST Wed Dec 13 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM THURSDAY TO 10 AM PST FRIDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... The National Weather Service in San Diego has issued a a Red Flag Warning...which is in effect from 4 AM Thursday to 10 AM PST Friday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * WIND...Northeast to east winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph. Isolated gusts to 65 mph. * HUMIDITY...Minimum relative humidity 5 to 8 percent with very poor overnight recovery. * TIMING...Winds increasing Thursday morning, and peaking in the afternoon. Winds gradually becoming less widespread Thursday evening and decreasing Friday morning. * OUTLOOK...Another period of critical fire weather conditions could occur Sunday into early Monday due to another increase in Santa Ana winds and low humidity. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly and be difficult to contain. Outdoor burning should be avoided. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ CAZ265-140045- /O.NEW.KSGX.FW.W.0006.171214T1200Z-171215T1800Z/ San Gorgonio Pass Near Banning- 844 AM PST Wed Dec 13 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM THURSDAY TO 10 AM PST FRIDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... The National Weather Service in San Diego has issued a a Red Flag Warning...which is in effect from 4 AM Thursday to 10 AM PST Friday. * WIND...East winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 55 mph. Isolated gusts to 65 mph. * HUMIDITY...Minimum relative humidity 5 to 8 percent with very poor overnight recovery. * TIMING...Winds increasing Thursday morning, peaking Thursday afternoon and gradually decreasing Thursday night into Friday morning. * OUTLOOK...Another period of critical fire weather conditions could occur Sunday into early Monday due to another increase in Santa Ana winds and low humidity. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ Harrison
8 follow-up statements
297 WWUS86 KSGX 132037 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Diego CA 1237 PM PST Wed Dec 13 2017 CAZ248-250-255>258-265-554-140600- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0006.171214T1200Z-171215T1800Z/ San Bernardino and Riverside County Valleys - The Inland Empire- San Diego County Inland Valleys-San Bernardino County Mountains- Including The Mountain Top And Front Country Ranger Districts Of The San Bernardino National Forest-Riverside County Mountains- Including The San Jacinto Ranger District Of The San Bernardino National Forest-Santa Ana Mountains- Including The Trabuco Ranger District of the Cleveland National Forest-San Diego County Mountains- Including The Palomar And Descanso Ranger Districts of the Cleveland National Forest-San Gorgonio Pass Near Banning- Orange County Inland Areas- 1237 PM PST Wed Dec 13 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM THURSDAY TO 10 AM PST FRIDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... * WIND...Northeast to east winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph. Isolated gusts to 65 mph. * HUMIDITY...Minimum relative humidity 5 to 8 percent with very poor overnight recovery. * TIMING...Winds increasing Thursday morning, and peaking in the afternoon. Winds gradually becoming less widespread Thursday evening and decreasing Friday morning. * OUTLOOK...Another period of critical fire weather conditions could occur Sunday into early Monday due to another increase in Santa Ana winds and low humidity. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly and be difficult to contain. Outdoor burning should be avoided. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ Harrison
643 WWUS86 KSGX 132044 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Diego CA 1244 PM PST Wed Dec 13 2017 CAZ248-250-255>258-265-554-140600- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0006.171214T1200Z-171215T1800Z/ San Bernardino and Riverside County Valleys - The Inland Empire- San Diego County Inland Valleys-San Bernardino County Mountains- Including The Mountain Top And Front Country Ranger Districts Of The San Bernardino National Forest-Riverside County Mountains- Including The San Jacinto Ranger District Of The San Bernardino National Forest-Santa Ana Mountains- Including The Trabuco Ranger District of the Cleveland National Forest-San Diego County Mountains- Including The Palomar And Descanso Ranger Districts of the Cleveland National Forest-San Gorgonio Pass Near Banning- Orange County Inland Areas- 1244 PM PST Wed Dec 13 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM THURSDAY TO 10 AM PST FRIDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... * WIND...Northeast to east winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph. Isolated gusts to 65 mph. * HUMIDITY...Minimum relative humidity 5 to 8 percent with very poor overnight recovery. * TIMING...Winds increasing Thursday morning, and peaking in the afternoon. Winds gradually becoming less widespread Thursday evening and decreasing Friday morning. * OUTLOOK...Another period of critical fire weather conditions could occur Sunday into early Monday due to another increase in Santa Ana winds and low humidity. * FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly and be difficult to contain. Outdoor burning should be avoided. * WIND IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Specific freeways that may be impacted include interstates 10, 215, 15 and 8. Blowing dust or sand may locally reduce visibility to 1 mile. Debris on roadways and falling tree branches possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ Harrison
741 WWUS86 KSGX 140531 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Diego CA 931 PM PST Wed Dec 13 2017 CAZ248-250-255>258-265-554-141400- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0006.171214T1200Z-171215T1800Z/ San Bernardino and Riverside County Valleys - The Inland Empire- San Diego County Inland Valleys-San Bernardino County Mountains- Including The Mountain Top And Front Country Ranger Districts Of The San Bernardino National Forest-Riverside County Mountains- Including The San Jacinto Ranger District Of The San Bernardino National Forest-Santa Ana Mountains- Including The Trabuco Ranger District of the Cleveland National Forest-San Diego County Mountains- Including The Palomar And Descanso Ranger Districts of the Cleveland National Forest-San Gorgonio Pass Near Banning- Orange County Inland Areas- 931 PM PST Wed Dec 13 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM THURSDAY TO 10 AM PST FRIDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... * WIND...Northeast to east winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph. Isolated gusts to 65 mph. * HUMIDITY...Minimum relative humidity 5 to 8 percent with very poor overnight recovery. * TIMING...Winds increasing Thursday morning, and peaking in the afternoon. Winds gradually becoming less widespread Thursday evening and decreasing Friday morning. * OUTLOOK...Another period of critical fire weather conditions looks to occur Saturday night through Sunday night due to another increase in Santa Ana winds and low humidity. * FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly and be difficult to contain. Outdoor burning should be avoided. * WIND IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Specific freeways that may be impacted include interstates 10, 215, 15 and 8. Blowing dust or sand may locally reduce visibility to 1 mile. Debris on roadways and falling tree branches possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ Gregoria
653 WWUS86 KSGX 141241 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Diego CA 441 AM PST Thu Dec 14 2017 CAZ248-250-255>258-265-554-142200- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-171215T1800Z/ San Bernardino and Riverside County Valleys - The Inland Empire- San Diego County Inland Valleys-San Bernardino County Mountains- Including The Mountain Top And Front Country Ranger Districts Of The San Bernardino National Forest-Riverside County Mountains- Including The San Jacinto Ranger District Of The San Bernardino National Forest-Santa Ana Mountains- Including The Trabuco Ranger District of the Cleveland National Forest-San Diego County Mountains- Including The Palomar And Descanso Ranger Districts of the Cleveland National Forest-San Gorgonio Pass Near Banning- Orange County Inland Areas- 441 AM PST Thu Dec 14 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST FRIDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... * LOCATION...Mainly along the coastal mountain slopes, extending into the adjacent valley areas, including below the Cajon Pass and inland Orange County. * WIND...Northeast to east 20 to 35 mph...with gusts 50 to 55 mph. Isolated gusts 65 to 70 mph on remote coastal slopes and through wind-prone canyons. * HUMIDITY...Minimum 5 to 8 percent, with very poor overnight recovery in some areas. * TIMING...Winds increasing this morning, and continuing into this evening, then slowly decreasing overnight into Friday morning from north to south. * OUTLOOK...Another period of critical fire weather conditions is possible Saturday night through Sunday night, due to another increase in Santa Ana winds and low humidity. * FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly and be difficult to contain. Outdoor burning should be avoided. * WIND IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Specific freeways that may be impacted include interstates 10, 215, 15 and 8. Blowing dust or sand may locally reduce visibility to 1 mile. Debris on roadways and falling tree branches possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and heat can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ JAD
904 WWUS86 KSGX 142143 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Diego CA 143 PM PST Thu Dec 14 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST FRIDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... .The Red Flag Warning for strong and gusty east to northeast winds and low relative humidity will continue through 10 AM Friday. Winds will then weaken late Friday and turn westerly early Saturday, then winds become gusty and offshore again late Saturday night through Sunday evening. A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for the second Santa Ana event expected on Sunday. CAZ248-250-255>258-265-554-150600- /O.NEW.KSGX.FW.A.0006.171217T0900Z-171218T0400Z/ /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-171215T1800Z/ San Bernardino and Riverside County Valleys - The Inland Empire- San Diego County Inland Valleys-San Bernardino County Mountains- Including The Mountain Top And Front Country Ranger Districts Of The San Bernardino National Forest-Riverside County Mountains- Including The San Jacinto Ranger District Of The San Bernardino National Forest-Santa Ana Mountains- Including The Trabuco Ranger District of the Cleveland National Forest-San Diego County Mountains- Including The Palomar And Descanso Ranger Districts of the Cleveland National Forest-San Gorgonio Pass Near Banning- Orange County Inland Areas- 143 PM PST Thu Dec 14 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST FRIDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... The National Weather Service in San Diego has issued a a Fire Weather Watch...which is in effect from late Saturday night through Sunday evening. * LOCATION...Mainly along the coastal mountain slopes, extending into the adjacent valley areas, including below the Cajon Pass, San Gorgonio Pass and inland Orange County. * WIND...Now through Friday morning...Northeast to east 20 to 35 mph...with gusts 50 mph. Isolated gusts to 70 mph on remote coastal slopes and through wind-prone canyons. Saturday night through Sunday evening...northeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 55 mph. Isolated gusts near 70 mph on remote coastal slopes and through wind-prone canyons. * HUMIDITY...Minimum 5 to 8 percent, with very poor overnight recovery in some areas through Friday morning. Minimum 10 to 15 percent Sunday. * TIMING...Winds continuing into this evening, then slowly decreasing overnight into Friday morning from north to south. Santa Ana winds develop and strengthen again Saturday evening through Sunday evening. * FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly and be difficult to contain. Outdoor burning should be avoided. * WIND IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Specific freeways that may be impacted include interstates 10, 215, 15 and 8. Blowing dust or sand may locally reduce visibility to 1 mile. Debris on roadways and falling tree branches possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and heat can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ JJT
009 WWUS86 KSGX 150437 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Diego CA 837 PM PST Thu Dec 14 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST FRIDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... .The Red Flag Warning for strong and gusty east to northeast winds and low relative humidity will continue through 10 AM Friday. Winds will weaken Friday, turn westerly early Saturday, then become offshore and gusty again late Saturday night through Sunday evening. A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for the second Santa Ana event Sunday. CAZ248-250-255>258-265-554-151400- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-171215T1800Z/ /O.CON.KSGX.FW.A.0006.171217T0900Z-171218T0400Z/ San Bernardino and Riverside County Valleys - The Inland Empire- San Diego County Inland Valleys-San Bernardino County Mountains- Including The Mountain Top And Front Country Ranger Districts Of The San Bernardino National Forest-Riverside County Mountains- Including The San Jacinto Ranger District Of The San Bernardino National Forest-Santa Ana Mountains- Including The Trabuco Ranger District of the Cleveland National Forest-San Diego County Mountains- Including The Palomar And Descanso Ranger Districts of the Cleveland National Forest-San Gorgonio Pass Near Banning- Orange County Inland Areas- 837 PM PST Thu Dec 14 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST FRIDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY......FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY.... * LOCATION...Mainly along the coastal mountain slopes, extending into the adjacent valley areas, including below the Cajon Pass, San Gorgonio Pass and inland Orange County. * WIND...Now through Friday morning...Northeast to east 20 to 35 mph...with gusts 50 mph. Isolated gusts to 70 mph on remote coastal slopes and through wind-prone canyons. Saturday night through Sunday evening...northeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 55 mph. Isolated gusts near 70 mph on remote coastal slopes and through wind-prone canyons. * HUMIDITY...Minimum 5 to 8 percent, with very poor overnight recovery in some areas through Friday morning. Minimum 10 to 15 percent Sunday. * TIMING...Winds continuing into tonight, then decreasing into Friday morning from north to south. Santa Ana winds develop and strengthen again Saturday evening through Sunday evening. * FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly and be difficult to contain. Outdoor burning should be avoided. * WIND IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Specific freeways that may be impacted include interstates 10, 215, 15 and 8. Blowing dust or sand may locally reduce visibility to 1 mile. Debris on roadways and falling tree branches possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and heat can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ Moede
224 WWUS86 KSGX 151249 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Diego CA 449 AM PST Fri Dec 15 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... .The Red Flag Warning for strong and gusty east to northeast winds and low relative humidity will continue through 10 AM this morning. Winds will weaken midday and turn onshore this afternoon, strengthen Saturday, then turn back offshore and gusty again late Saturday night through Sunday evening. A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for the second Santa Ana event Sunday. CAZ248-250-255>258-265-554-152200- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-171215T1800Z/ /O.CON.KSGX.FW.A.0006.171217T0900Z-171218T0400Z/ San Bernardino and Riverside County Valleys - The Inland Empire- San Diego County Inland Valleys-San Bernardino County Mountains- Including The Mountain Top And Front Country Ranger Districts Of The San Bernardino National Forest-Riverside County Mountains- Including The San Jacinto Ranger District Of The San Bernardino National Forest-Santa Ana Mountains- Including The Trabuco Ranger District of the Cleveland National Forest-San Diego County Mountains- Including The Palomar And Descanso Ranger Districts of the Cleveland National Forest-San Gorgonio Pass Near Banning- Orange County Inland Areas- 449 AM PST Fri Dec 15 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ..FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... * LOCATION...Mainly along the coastal mountain slopes, extending into the adjacent valley areas, including below the Cajon Pass, San Gorgonio Pass and inland Orange County. * WIND...through this morning...Northeast to east 20 to 30 mph...with local gusts 50 mph through wind-prone canyons. Saturday night through Sunday evening...northeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 55 mph. Isolated gusts near 70 mph on remote coastal slopes and through wind-prone canyons...mainly north of San Diego County. * HUMIDITY...Minimum 7 to 12 percent today. Minimum 10 to 15 percent Sunday. * TIMING...through mid morning, then decreasing into afternoon and turning onshore. Another round of Santa Ana winds possible again Saturday evening through Sunday evening. * FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly and be difficult to contain. Outdoor burning should be avoided. * WIND IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Specific freeways that may be impacted include interstates 10, 215, 15 and 8. Blowing dust or sand may locally reduce visibility to 1 mile. Debris on roadways and falling tree branches possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and heat can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ jad
042 WWUS86 KSGX 151757 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Diego CA 957 AM PST Fri Dec 15 2017 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... .The Red Flag Warning for strong and gusty east to northeast winds and low relative humidity will expire at 10 AM this morning. Winds will weaken midday and turn onshore this afternoon, strengthen Saturday, then turn back offshore and gusty again late Saturday night through Sunday evening. A Fire Weather Watch remains in effect for the second Santa Ana event Sunday. CAZ248-250-255>258-265-554-160200- /O.EXP.KSGX.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-171215T1800Z/ /O.CON.KSGX.FW.A.0006.171217T0900Z-171218T0400Z/ San Bernardino and Riverside County Valleys - The Inland Empire- San Diego County Inland Valleys-San Bernardino County Mountains- Including The Mountain Top And Front Country Ranger Districts Of The San Bernardino National Forest-Riverside County Mountains- Including The San Jacinto Ranger District Of The San Bernardino National Forest-Santa Ana Mountains- Including The Trabuco Ranger District of the Cleveland National Forest-San Diego County Mountains- Including The Palomar And Descanso Ranger Districts of the Cleveland National Forest-San Gorgonio Pass Near Banning- Orange County Inland Areas- 957 AM PST Fri Dec 15 2017 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... * LOCATION...Mainly along the coastal mountain slopes, extending into the adjacent valley areas, including below the Cajon Pass, San Gorgonio Pass and inland Orange County. * WIND...Northeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 55 mph Saturday night through Sunday evening. Isolated gusts near 70 mph on remote coastal slopes and through wind-prone canyons...mainly north of San Diego County. * HUMIDITY...Minimum 10 to 15 percent Sunday morning through Sunday evening. * TIMING...Late Saturday night through Sunday evening. * FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly and be difficult to contain. Outdoor burning should be avoided. * WIND IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Specific freeways that may be impacted include interstates 10, 215, 15 and 8. Blowing dust or sand may locally reduce visibility to 1 mile. Debris on roadways and falling tree branches possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and heat can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ JJT
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Diego, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Dec 13, 7:47 AM PST, 57 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 13, 7:47 AM PST, 57 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Diego CA
747 AM PST Wed Dec 13 2017
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure aloft and offshore flow at the surface will continue
warm and dry weather into the middle of next week. Stronger Santa
Ana winds are likely on Thursday and again on Sunday over the
mountains, foothills and passes. Skies will remain fair with very
low relative humidity except near the immediate coast and locally
inland at times with the sea breeze.
&&
.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...
Satellite imagery indicated that skies were mostly clear across
the region this morning, with wind observations showing some weak
Santa Ana winds continuing (gusts of 20-30 mph and locally 40 mph
in the windiest coastal foothill/pass locations). The dry air and
clear skies across the region resulted in another morning of
highly varying temperatures. One example: Lower Moro Campground in
Aliso Viejo (elevation 876 ft) was 72 at 7 am, while just nearby
in a cold, valley location in Laguna Beach (elevation 49 ft) the
temperature was 42. An upper level low remained over Baja and
Sonora, while an upper level ridge extended into California and
Nevada. The continued offshore flow (Santa Ana winds) will
continue to bring much warmer than normal weather this afternoon,
with highs 5-15 degrees above normal in most locations. Latest
hi-res model guidance actually shows a coastal eddy spinning up
tonight with the possibility of fog occurring along the coast
tonight into Thursday morning. However, confidence is low as this
might be overly aggressive given the very dry air and offshore
pressure gradients that continues across the region.
Currently the offshore pressure gradients from San Diego to Las
Vegas were 4.2 mb, whereas they were 6.4 mb at this time
yesterday. This will change however when a short-wave trough moves
through the Great Basin area tonight and down into Sonora Mexico
tomorrow evening. This will result in strengthening offshore
pressure gradients (peaking around 8-9 mb from San Diego to Las
Vegas Thursday morning) and upper level support in the form of 850
mb winds NE 25-35 kt. Thus, we will get a burst of Santa Ana winds
Thursday morning and afternoon, then gradually weakening Thursday
night into Friday morning. NE to E winds of 20-30 mph with gusts
of 50 mph and locally 60 mph can be expected in the coastal
foothills/slopes and through/below the canyons/passes.
Winds then turn briefly onshore late Friday through Saturday
afternoon as a trough moves through the Pacific Northwest. Thus,
expect some cooling to take place Saturday. This trough will then
move into the Great Basin late Saturday, once again creating a
strong surface high in that area and bringing a period of moderate
Santa Ana winds Sunday through early Monday. The offshore flow
weakens later Monday but may not transition to onshore until maybe
next Wednesday. Unfortunately, none of the models indicate much
in the way of a potential rain-maker headed toward Southern
California next week. Thus, expect warmer than normal and fair
weather to continue.
&&
.AVIATION...
131530Z...Mostly clear with unrestricted VIS through tonight.
Surface northeast winds 15-25 kt with gusts near 45 kt will develop
late tonight mainly in the foothills and through mountain passes,
and peak Thursday morning. LLWS and weak/mod up/down drafts are
expected over areas just west of the mountains through the period.
&&
.MARINE...
No hazardous marine weather is expected through Sunday.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Weak Santa Ana winds will continue today with humidity falling
into the 5-8 percent range away from the coast. The Santa Ana
winds will strengthen significantly early Thursday morning, first
in the San Bernardino county coastal slopes, through and below the
Cajon Pass, and into the Santa Ana mountains/foothills around 4 am
and then into the Riverside county coastal slopes/passes by 6 am
and finally into the San Diego county coastal slopes/foothills by
10 am. NE to E winds will peak at around 20-30 mph with gusts to
50 mph and locally 60 mph in those areas, with day-time humidity
once again lowering to the 5-8 percent range. The winds will
become less widespread Thursday evening and gradually weaken
through early Friday morning. Overnight recovery will be very
poor. A Fire Weather Watch is in effect for late tonight through
Friday morning and will likely need to be upgraded to a Red Flag
Warning due to the gusty winds and very low humidity.
Late Friday through Saturday afternoon, there will be a brief
period of onshore winds and slightly higher humidity. Then another
burst of Santa Ana winds is likely Sunday into early Monday, with
humidity falling to 10-15 percent away from the coast. Thus, we
could see another round of critical fire weather conditions
Sunday-Early Monday.
&&
.SKYWARN...
Skywarn activation is not requested. However weather spotters are
encouraged to report significant weather conditions.
&&
.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...Fire Weather Watch from late tonight through Friday morning for
Orange County Inland Areas-Riverside County Mountains-
Including The San Jacinto Ranger District Of The San
Bernardino National Forest-San Bernardino County Mountains-
Including The Mountain Top And Front Country Ranger
Districts Of The San Bernardino National Forest-San
Bernardino and Riverside County Valleys -The Inland Empire-
San Diego County Inland Valleys-San Diego County Mountains-
Including The Palomar And Descanso Ranger Districts of the
Cleveland National Forest-Santa Ana Mountains-Including The
Trabuco Ranger District of the Cleveland National Forest.
PZ...NONE.
&&
PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...Harrison
AVIATION/MARINE...JJTNearby
Red Flag Warnings in California, 2017Every red flag warning in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.