Wind Advisory 3, NWS Omaha, NE

Fremont County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Antelope County, NE, Boone County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Cedar County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Knox County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Madison County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE

275 
WWUS73 KOAX 071654
NPWOAX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1054 AM CST Tue Mar 7 2017


IAZ055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ052-053-067-068-090>093-080000-
/O.EXA.KOAX.WI.Y.0003.170307T1800Z-170308T0000Z/
Harrison-Shelby-Pottawattamie-Mills-Montgomery-Fremont-Page-
Douglas-Sarpy-Cass-Otoe-Johnson-Nemaha-Pawnee-Richardson-
Including the cities of Missouri Valley, Woodbine, Logan, Dunlap,
Harlan, Council Bluffs, Glenwood, Red Oak, Sidney, Hamburg, 
Tabor, Farragut, Clarinda, Shenandoah, Omaha, Bellevue, 
Papillion, La Vista, Plattsmouth, Nebraska City, Tecumseh, 
Sterling, Auburn, Pawnee City, Table Rock, and Falls City
1054 AM CST Tue Mar 7 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Omaha/Valley has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect until 6 PM CST this evening. 

* TIMING...West to northwest winds will increase through the 
  morning. Winds will be the strongest from mid to late 
  afternoon before diminishing early this evening. 

* WINDS...Sustained winds of 20 to 35 mph with gusts to near 45 
  mph area expected. 

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will make driving difficult, especially 
  on north-south roads. Lightweight outdoor objects could be 
  blown around as well. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

IAZ043-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-042>045-050-051-065-066-078-088-
089-080000-
/O.CON.KOAX.WI.Y.0003.170307T1800Z-170308T0000Z/
Monona-Knox-Cedar-Thurston-Antelope-Pierce-Wayne-Boone-Madison-
Stanton-Cuming-Burt-Platte-Colfax-Dodge-Washington-Butler-
Saunders-Seward-Lancaster-Saline-Jefferson-Gage-
Including the cities of Onawa, Mapleton, Creighton, Bloomfield, 
Crofton, Wausa, Verdigre, Niobrara, Hartington, Laurel, Randolph,
Coleridge, Pender, Macy, Walthill, Winnebago, Neligh, Elgin, 
Pierce, Plainview, Osmond, Wayne, Albion, St. Edward, Norfolk, 
Stanton, West Point, Wisner, Tekamah, Oakland, Lyons, Decatur, 
Columbus, Schuyler, Fremont, Blair, David City, Wahoo, Ashland, 
Yutan, Seward, Milford, Lincoln, Crete, Wilber, Fairbury, 
and Beatrice
1054 AM CST Tue Mar 7 2017

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* TIMING...West to northwest winds will increase through the 
  morning. Winds will be the strongest from mid to late 
  afternoon before diminishing early this evening. 

* WINDS...Sustained winds of 20 to 35 mph with gusts to near 45 
  mph area expected. 

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will make driving difficult, especially 
  on north-south roads. Lightweight outdoor objects could be 
  blown around as well. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

875 
WWUS73 KOAX 072141
NPWOAX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
341 PM CST Tue Mar 7 2017


IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-072245-
/O.CAN.KOAX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-170308T0000Z/
Monona-Harrison-Shelby-Pottawattamie-Mills-Montgomery-Fremont-
Page-Knox-Cedar-Thurston-Antelope-Pierce-Wayne-Boone-Madison-
Stanton-Cuming-Burt-Platte-Colfax-Dodge-Washington-Butler-
Saunders-Douglas-Sarpy-Seward-Lancaster-Cass-Otoe-Saline-
Jefferson-Gage-Johnson-Nemaha-Pawnee-Richardson-
Including the cities of Onawa, Mapleton, Missouri Valley, 
Woodbine, Logan, Dunlap, Harlan, Council Bluffs, Glenwood, 
Red Oak, Sidney, Hamburg, Tabor, Farragut, Clarinda, Shenandoah, 
Creighton, Bloomfield, Crofton, Wausa, Verdigre, Niobrara, 
Hartington, Laurel, Randolph, Coleridge, Pender, Macy, Walthill, 
Winnebago, Neligh, Elgin, Pierce, Plainview, Osmond, Wayne, 
Albion, St. Edward, Norfolk, Stanton, West Point, Wisner, 
Tekamah, Oakland, Lyons, Decatur, Columbus, Schuyler, Fremont, 
Blair, David City, Wahoo, Ashland, Yutan, Omaha, Bellevue, 
Papillion, La Vista, Seward, Milford, Lincoln, Plattsmouth, 
Nebraska City, Crete, Wilber, Fairbury, Beatrice, Tecumseh, 
Sterling, Auburn, Pawnee City, Table Rock, and Falls City
341 PM CST Tue Mar 7 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Omaha/Valley has cancelled the
Wind Advisory. 

Westerly winds though will remain gusty through the evening hours.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1049 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 532 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

Will be clearing tornado watches behind current line of storms,
with all of our CWA likely done with severe threat by 7 PM or so.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 416 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

WV imagery this afternoon showing a positive tilt longwave trof
extending from western Canada down through the central Rockies
with a strong jet max...140kt...rounding the base. Meanwhile deep
surface low pressure was situated over eastern North Dakota with a
distinct dryline extending southward along the surface trof. Bit
further upstream...attendant cold front cutting through quickly
sweeping in through central South Dakota into eastern Colorado.
12z PWS plot indicated ample moisture on tap with values of 225%
above normal.

Thunderstorm activity is already firing along the dryline over the
CWA and moving into increasingly unstable environment...SB CAPES
2000J/KG. Deep shear quite impressive as well with 0-6km shear
values approaching 70kt. Expect activity to increase over the next
several hours along the I-80 corridor where boundary layer theta-E
convergence is progged to strengthen. Given the tremendous
environmental shear...there is a distinct possibility for severe
storms with large hail and perhaps one or two tornadic storms
through early evening over our entire IA CWA as well as extreme
southeast Nebraska.

Wednesday and Thursday...dry conditions and quiet weather expected
as  large scale flow deamplifies somewhat with a weak upstream ridge
over the western CONUS and upper trof off the east coast.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Monday)
Issued at 416 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

Next round of possible precipitation comes Friday night/Saturday
associated with a Pacific Northwest shortwave trof dropping into the
central Plains. ECM/GFS/CMC all in pretty good agreement activity
will occur along axis of strong mid layer ageostrophic forcing
extending from the Black Hills into the Mid MS Valley.
Precipitation type will likely be an issue with with enough cold
air filtering in from the north to provide a rain/snow
mix...mainly over the southern CWA. Another Pacific Northwest
shortwave coming early next week will bring precipitation chances
to the region.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1042 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

VFR conditions are expected through the TAF cycle, with ceilings
at KOFK/KOMA raising from lower-end VFR to just a few cirrus in
the next few hours. Gusty west-northwest winds will diminish
somewhat overnight, with more of a due westerly direction through
tomorrow. Wind speeds and gusts will increase again in the
afternoon and decrease after sunset. May see low-level wind shear
develop late tomorrow evening at KOMA/KLNK.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 416 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

NAM12/GFS20/CMC are all indicating conditions will be favorable
again on Tuesday for extreme fire behavior over the Neb CWA and
possibly the IA CWA. All this in part to abundant dry
fuels...minimum RH 15-20%...and westerly wind gusts 25-35mph. Thus
will upgrade the Neb CWA to a Red Flag Warning and introduce a
Fire Weather Watch over the IA CWA.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM CST Tuesday for NEZ011-012-
     015>018-030>034-042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093.

IA...Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening
     for IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091.

&&

UPDATE...Dergan
SHORT TERM...DEE
LONG TERM...DEE
AVIATION...Mayes
FIRE WEATHER...DEE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
733 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-
071545-
KNOX-CEDAR-THURSTON-ANTELOPE-PIERCE-WAYNE-BOONE-MADISON-STANTON-
CUMING-BURT-PLATTE-COLFAX-DODGE-WASHINGTON-BUTLER-SAUNDERS-
DOUGLAS-SARPY-SEWARD-LANCASTER-CASS-OTOE-SALINE-JEFFERSON-GAGE-
JOHNSON-NEMAHA-PAWNEE-RICHARDSON-
733 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
NEBRASKA...NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY

Another Red Flag Warning will be in effect Tuesday afternoon over
eastern Nebraska. Dry fuels, combined with low relative
humidities and strong westerly wind will contribute to extreme
fire behavior over most of the region again on Tuesday. Thus
outdoor burns are not recommended.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

The probability for hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through Tuesday.

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-071545-
MONONA-HARRISON-SHELBY-POTTAWATTAMIE-MILLS-MONTGOMERY-FREMONT-
PAGE-
733 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST IOWA
AND WEST CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY

A Fire Weather Watch is posted for Tuesday afternoon in southwest
Iowa. Dry fuels, combined with low relative humidities and strong
westerly wind could contribute to extreme fire behavior.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

The probability for hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed through early evening.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1147 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015-017-018-031>034-
042>045-050>053-066>068-089>093-070830-
Monona-Harrison-Shelby-Pottawattamie-Mills-Montgomery-Fremont-
Page-Knox-Cedar-Thurston-Pierce-Wayne-Madison-Stanton-Cuming-Burt-
Platte-Colfax-Dodge-Washington-Butler-Saunders-Douglas-Sarpy-
Lancaster-Cass-Otoe-Gage-Johnson-Nemaha-Pawnee-Richardson-
Including the cities of Onawa, Mapleton, Missouri Valley,
Woodbine, Logan, Dunlap, Harlan, Council Bluffs, Glenwood,
Red Oak, Sidney, Hamburg, Tabor, Farragut, Clarinda, Shenandoah,
Creighton, Bloomfield, Crofton, Wausa, Verdigre, Niobrara,
Hartington, Laurel, Randolph, Coleridge, Pender, Macy, Walthill,
Winnebago, Pierce, Plainview, Osmond, Wayne, Norfolk, Stanton,
West Point, Wisner, Tekamah, Oakland, Lyons, Decatur, Columbus,
Schuyler, Fremont, Blair, David City, Wahoo, Ashland, Yutan,
Omaha, Bellevue, Papillion, La Vista, Lincoln, Plattsmouth,
Nebraska City, Beatrice, Tecumseh, Sterling, Auburn, Pawnee City,
Table Rock, and Falls City
1147 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

...Windy conditions to continue into the early morning hours...

A band of strong northwest winds at 20 to 30 mph with gusts 40 to
50 mph will continue for parts of eastern Nebraska and push
across western Iowa through the early morning hours. Use caution
while traveling, especially on north to south roads.

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