Beach Hazards Statement 68, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

386 
WHUS42 KMHX 290820
CFWMHX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
420 AM EDT SUN OCT 29 2017

...HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS FOR THE BEACHES SOUTH OF CAPE
HATTERAS TODAY AND MINOR SOUNDSIDE FLOODING EXPECTED FOR OUTER 
BANKS DARE COUNTY TONIGHT...

.MODERATE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON TODAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. AS LOW 
PRESSURE RAPIDLY DEEPENS ALONG THE FRONT NORTH OF THE AREA LATE 
TODAY INTO TONIGHT, STRONG WEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP LEADING TO 
MINOR SOUNDSIDE FLOODING FOR OUTER BANKS DARE COUNTY.

NCZ103-292100-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0013.171030T0000Z-171030T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0068.171029T1200Z-171030T0000Z/
OUTER BANKS DARE-
420 AM EDT SUN OCT 29 2017

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...MINOR SOUNDSIDE FLOODING OF ALL OF OUTER BANKS 
  DARE COUNTY. HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS FOR THE BEACHES SOUTH 
  OF CAPE HATTERAS.

* TIDAL DEPARTURE...WATER LEVELS 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL OR 
  ABOUT 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND.

* TIMING...MINOR SOUNDSIDE FLOODING EXPECTED TONIGHT. HIGH RIP
  THREAT THIS AFTERNOON.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...LOW LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO THE SOUND 
  MAY FLOOD INCLUDING A FEW ROADS MAKING TRAVEL DIFFICULT.

* SURF HEIGHT...4 TO 7 FEET LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT HIGHEST SOUTH 
  OF CAPE HATTERAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

IF CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT REMAIN CALM. DON'T FIGHT THE CURRENT.
SWIM IN A DIRECTION FOLLOWING THE SHORELINE. WHEN OUT OF THE
CURRENT, SWIM BACK TO SHORE. IF TIRED, FLOAT OR TREAD WATER UNTIL
OUT OF THE RIP CURRENT. IF UNABLE TO ESCAPE, FACE THE SHORE AND
CALL OR WAVE FOR HELP.

&&

TIME OF HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR.

DUCK NC
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.5 FT, MODERATE 6.0 FT, MAJOR 6.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.8 FT, MODERATE 2.3 FT, MAJOR 2.8 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 29/03 AM     3.2       -0.5        0.3       3.0      NONE    
 29/03 PM     4.1        0.4        0.8       4.0      NONE    
 30/04 AM     3.4       -0.3        0.3       4.0      NONE    
 30/04 PM     3.3       -0.4       -0.1       3.0      NONE    
 31/05 AM     2.7       -1.0       -0.7       2.0      NONE    
 31/05 PM     3.1       -0.6       -0.4       1.0      NONE

OREGON INLET MARINA NC
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.0 FT, MODERATE 5.5 FT, MAJOR 7.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.8 FT, MODERATE 4.3 FT, MAJOR 5.8 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 29/04 AM     1.7        1.1        0.7       2.0      NONE    
 29/03 PM     1.6        1.0        0.5       2.0      NONE    
 30/04 AM     2.2        1.6        1.2       2.0      NONE    
 30/04 PM     1.4        0.8        0.3       2.0      NONE    
 31/05 AM     1.1        0.5        0.0       1.0      NONE    
 31/06 PM     1.2        0.6        0.0       1.0      NONE

COAST GUARD HATTERAS NC
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.5 FT, MODERATE 3.5 FT, MAJOR 4.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.9 FT, MODERATE 2.9 FT, MAJOR 3.9 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 29/04 PM     1.3        0.1        0.6       3.0      NONE    
 30/04 AM     1.8        0.6        1.1       2.0      NONE    
 30/04 PM     1.1       -0.1        0.4       2.0      NONE    
 31/06 AM     1.0       -0.2        0.2       1.0      NONE    
 31/05 PM     0.9       -0.3        0.2       1.0      NONE

&&

$$

NCZ095-098-104-292100-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0068.171029T1200Z-171030T0000Z/
CARTERET-ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
420 AM EDT SUN OCT 29 2017

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

* HAZARDS...HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS.

* LOCATIONS...ALL BEACHES.

* TIMING AND TIDES...THE GREATEST THREAT WILL BE IN THE 
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS WAVES INCREASE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT REMAIN CALM. DON'T FIGHT THE CURRENT.
SWIM IN A DIRECTION FOLLOWING THE SHORELINE. WHEN OUT OF THE
CURRENT, SWIM BACK TO SHORE. IF TIRED, FLOAT OR TREAD WATER UNTIL
OUT OF THE RIP CURRENT. IF UNABLE TO ESCAPE, FACE THE SHORE AND
CALL OR WAVE FOR HELP.

&&

$$

663 
WHUS42 KMHX 292034
CFWMHX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
434 PM EDT SUN OCT 29 2017

...HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS FOR THE BEACHES SOUTH OF CAPE
HATTERAS TODAY AND MINOR SOUNDSIDE FLOODING EXPECTED FOR OUTER
BANKS DARE COUNTY TONIGHT...

.MODERATE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON TODAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. AS LOW
PRESSURE RAPIDLY DEEPENS ALONG THE FRONT NORTH OF THE AREA LATE
TODAY INTO TONIGHT, STRONG WEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP LEADING TO
MINOR SOUNDSIDE FLOODING FOR OUTER BANKS DARE COUNTY.

NCZ103-300845-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0013.171030T0000Z-171030T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0068.000000T0000Z-171030T0000Z/
OUTER BANKS DARE-
434 PM EDT SUN OCT 29 2017

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...MINOR SOUNDSIDE FLOODING OF ALL OF OUTER BANKS 
  DARE COUNTY. HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS FOR THE BEACHES SOUTH 
  OF CAPE HATTERAS.

* TIDAL DEPARTURE...WATER LEVELS 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL OR 
  ABOUT 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND.

* TIMING...MINOR SOUNDSIDE FLOODING EXPECTED TONIGHT. HIGH RIP 
  THREAT THIS AFTERNOON.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...LOW LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO THE SOUND 
  MAY FLOOD INCLUDING A FEW ROADS MAKING TRAVEL DIFFICULT.

* SURF HEIGHT...4 TO 7 FEET LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT HIGHEST SOUTH 
  OF CAPE HATTERAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

IF CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT REMAIN CALM. DON'T FIGHT THE CURRENT.
SWIM IN A DIRECTION FOLLOWING THE SHORELINE. WHEN OUT OF THE
CURRENT, SWIM BACK TO SHORE. IF TIRED, FLOAT OR TREAD WATER UNTIL
OUT OF THE RIP CURRENT. IF UNABLE TO ESCAPE, FACE THE SHORE AND
CALL OR WAVE FOR HELP.

&&

TIME OF HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR.

DUCK NC
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.5 FT, MODERATE 6.0 FT, MAJOR 6.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.8 FT, MODERATE 2.3 FT, MAJOR 2.8 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 29/03 PM     3.8        0.1        0.5       3.0      NONE    
 30/04 AM     2.7       -1.0       -0.4       4.0      NONE    
 30/04 PM     3.2       -0.5       -0.2       2.0      NONE    
 31/05 AM     2.8       -0.9       -0.6       2.0      NONE    
 31/05 PM     3.0       -0.7       -0.5       1.0      NONE    
 01/06 AM     3.7        0.0       -0.1       1.0      NONE

OREGON INLET MARINA NC
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.0 FT, MODERATE 5.5 FT, MAJOR 7.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.8 FT, MODERATE 4.3 FT, MAJOR 5.8 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 29/03 PM     1.5        0.9        0.4       1.0      NONE    
 30/04 AM     1.9        1.3        0.9       2.0      NONE    
 30/04 PM     1.4        0.8        0.3       1.0      NONE    
 31/05 AM     1.1        0.5        0.0       1.0      NONE    
 31/06 PM     1.2        0.6        0.0       1.0      NONE    
 01/06 AM     1.3        0.7        0.0       1.0      NONE

COAST GUARD HATTERAS NC
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.5 FT, MODERATE 3.5 FT, MAJOR 4.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.9 FT, MODERATE 2.9 FT, MAJOR 3.9 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 30/04 AM     1.9        0.7        1.2       2.0      NONE    
 30/04 PM     1.3        0.1        0.6       1.0      NONE    
 31/06 AM     1.3        0.1        0.5       1.0      NONE    
 31/05 PM     1.0       -0.2        0.3       1.0      NONE    
 01/06 AM     1.1       -0.1        0.3       1.0      NONE

&&

$$

NCZ095-098-104-300000-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0068.000000T0000Z-171030T0000Z/
CARTERET-ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
434 PM EDT SUN OCT 29 2017

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* HAZARDS...HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS.

* LOCATIONS...ALL BEACHES.

* TIMING AND TIDES...THE GREATEST THREAT WILL CONTINUE LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING AS WAVES INCREASE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT REMAIN CALM. DON'T FIGHT THE CURRENT.
SWIM IN A DIRECTION FOLLOWING THE SHORELINE. WHEN OUT OF THE
CURRENT, SWIM BACK TO SHORE. IF TIRED, FLOAT OR TREAD WATER UNTIL
OUT OF THE RIP CURRENT. IF UNABLE TO ESCAPE, FACE THE SHORE AND
CALL OR WAVE FOR HELP.

&&

$$

285 
WHUS42 KMHX 300017
CFWMHX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
817 PM EDT SUN OCT 29 2017

...MINOR SOUNDSIDE FLOODING EXPECTED FOR OUTER BANKS DARE COUNTY 
TONIGHT...

.LOW PRESSURE RAPIDLY DEEPENS ALONG THE FRONT NORTH OF THE AREA 
TONIGHT WITH STRONG WEST WINDS DEVELOPING WHICH WILL LEAD TO 
MINOR SOUNDSIDE FLOODING FOR OUTER BANKS DARE COUNTY.

NCZ103-301200-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0068.000000T0000Z-171030T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-171030T1200Z/
OUTER BANKS DARE-
817 PM EDT SUN OCT 29 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
MONDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT HAS EXPIRED...

* LOCATIONS...MINOR SOUNDSIDE FLOODING OF ALL OF OUTER BANKS DARE 
  COUNTY.

* TIDAL DEPARTURE...WATER LEVELS 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL OR 
  ABOUT 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND.

* TIMING...MINOR SOUNDSIDE FLOODING EXPECTED TONIGHT.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...LOW LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO THE SOUND 
  MAY FLOOD INCLUDING A FEW ROADS MAKING TRAVEL DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

TIME OF HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR.

DUCK NC
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.5 FT, MODERATE 6.0 FT, MAJOR 6.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.8 FT, MODERATE 2.3 FT, MAJOR 2.8 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 29/03 PM     3.8        0.1        0.5       3.0      NONE    
 30/04 AM     2.7       -1.0       -0.4       4.0      NONE    
 30/04 PM     3.2       -0.5       -0.2       2.0      NONE    
 31/05 AM     2.8       -0.9       -0.6       2.0      NONE    
 31/05 PM     3.0       -0.7       -0.5       1.0      NONE    
 01/06 AM     3.7        0.0       -0.1       1.0      NONE

OREGON INLET MARINA NC
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.0 FT, MODERATE 5.5 FT, MAJOR 7.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.8 FT, MODERATE 4.3 FT, MAJOR 5.8 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 29/03 PM     1.5        0.9        0.4       1.0      NONE    
 30/04 AM     1.9        1.3        0.9       2.0      NONE    
 30/04 PM     1.4        0.8        0.3       1.0      NONE    
 31/05 AM     1.1        0.5        0.0       1.0      NONE    
 31/06 PM     1.2        0.6        0.0       1.0      NONE    
 01/06 AM     1.3        0.7        0.0       1.0      NONE

COAST GUARD HATTERAS NC
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.5 FT, MODERATE 3.5 FT, MAJOR 4.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.9 FT, MODERATE 2.9 FT, MAJOR 3.9 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 30/04 AM     1.9        0.7        1.2       2.0      NONE    
 30/04 PM     1.3        0.1        0.6       1.0      NONE    
 31/06 AM     1.3        0.1        0.5       1.0      NONE    
 31/05 PM     1.0       -0.2        0.3       1.0      NONE    
 01/06 AM     1.1       -0.1        0.3       1.0      NONE

&&

$$

NCZ095-098-104-300130-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0068.000000T0000Z-171030T0000Z/
CARTERET-ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
817 PM EDT SUN OCT 29 2017

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT HAS EXPIRED...

THE RIP CURRENT THREAT HAS DIMINISHED.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1054 AM EDT Sat Oct 28 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will approach from the west Today and Tonight. An
area of low pressure will lift northeast, offshore of the NC
coast Sunday. High pressure will build to the south early
through the middle of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /REST OF TODAY/...
As of 1045 AM Saturday...Light showers have moved north into the
western coastal plain counties, prompting the addition of slight
chance showers for the next several hours, though rainfall
amounts will be very light. No other substantial changes to the
forecast with the morning update. Mid cloud deck will persist
over the region for much of the day, though could see some
periodic breaks as well. Clouds will continue to increase along
the coast as moisture builds in the mid/low levels associated
with surface ridge moving into the Atlantic and wind field
veering southerly ahead of a strong cold front apparent on
visible satellite imagery this morning.

A low pressure system will begin to develop off the Florida
coast today and lift northeast towards the region. The latest
HRRR/high-res guidance continues to indicate light showers
possible today as moist southerly flow overtakes the region.
Chance for precip will remain highest along the coast (20-30
PoPs east of Highway 17) with lower chances farther inland. Warm
air advection will lead to a low level thicknesses building
into the 1375-1380 meter range by late afternoon, with clouds
inhibiting full insolation, keeping max temps in the mid 70s, a
few degrees above climatology for late October.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
As of 355 AM Saturday...With surface low moving north and
deepening mid-level trough digging across the Tennessee Valley
by late evening, precipitation should begin to ramp up after
midnight, especially near the coast. Latest WRF/ARW and NAM12
show discrete cells developing in the coastal waters and along
the coast after about 08z continue into Sunday morning. With
some decent 0-3 km shear, some rotating storms may be possible.
Precipitable water surges to 1.5 inches leading to some
localized heavy rainfall, accompanied by gusty SW/W winds. The
clouds and precipitation will lead to a much milder night than
recent nights with lows mainly in the 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 315 AM Sat...Complex weather pattern into Sunday night
which should lead to significant rainfall and gusty winds over
the area then expecting mainly dry/cool weather early next week
behind a cold front then continued dry weather with moderating
temperatures mid to late next week.

Sunday...A powerful upper trough will sweep across the area
late Sunday/Sunday night. As the trough approaches Saturday
night, deep southerly flow will pull up rich moisture with PW
values 1.5-1.75" as initial cyclogenesis leads to low pressure
over the Piedmont. During the day Sunday the upper trough
orientation will shift from positive to negative with secondary
and strong cyclogenesis expected to take place off the NC coast.
As this occurs, an area of low pressure of tropical origin is
forecast to move through the Florida straights Sat night and
then well off into the west Atlantic Sunday. While this low is
now not expected to directly impact NC, it could intercept
moisture inflow into the developing low/cold front over the are
Sunday and limit rainfall amounts. Since DPVA will be strong
with the upper trough, and the region will be in the right
entrance region of the upper jet, will continue to indicate
categorical PoPs mostly east of HWY 17 Sunday, with likely PoPs
further west.

There will be a severe weather threat Sunday morning, however
confidence is still too low to warrant any outlook from SPC. As
the low pressure strengthens off the coast, showers and
thunderstorms will push north over the coastal waters in rich
southerly flow. As these showers move onshore there is the
possibility for some rotating cells, and even an isolated
tornado. The key in all this will be how much instability
develops Sunday morning, as the low levels moisten ahead of the
cold front. There will be very strong dynamics in place for any
updrafts that form to tap in to, given there is enough
instability.

The widespread rain is expected to end from west to east Sunday
afternoon as the dry slot moves through the area. Can't rule
out shallow light shower threat through early evening. The
strongest gradient winds which will be westerly are expected
behind the front Sunday night as the coastal low rapidly deepens
off the east coast. After mild highs Sunday of 70-75, much
colder air will sweep in behind the front with lows inland
dropping into the upper 30s Sunday night.

Monday through Friday...High pressure will build in from the SW
with mainly dry weather expected through the period although
isolated, mainly coastal showers will be possible Thursday and
Friday. Cooler conditions will take hold Monday with highs only
in the 60s, in fact deep inland locations may only reach the
upper 50s then moderating temps are expected by mid and late
next week. High temps will be in the upper 60s Tue then lower
70s Wed and mid 70s Thu and Fri. Low temps will range from the
upr 30s inland to the low 50s coast Mon night then grad rise to
50s Wed and Thu nights.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Short Term /through 12Z Sunday/...
As of 1045 AM Saturday...VFR conditions should prevail at the
TAF sites through the day as high-based cumulus and
stratocumulus advect in from the water and higher clouds
increase from the southwest and west. Cloud heights will lower
later tonight as low-level moisture increase and showers
approach as ceilings drop to MVFR range after 06z or so at all
TAF sites.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/...
As of 330 AM Sat...Sub VFR conditions are expected for portions
of Sunday, before drier air moves in and conditions improve
behind a cold front. Strong W winds are expected Sunday night
especially near the coast. VFR conditions expected for the rest
of the period.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term /Today and Tonight/...
As of 1050 AM Saturday...latest surface and buoy data indicate
ENE to ESE winds 5-10 kt across the waters this morning with
mostly medium-period swells (9-10 secs) around 2-3 ft across
the coastal waters. Winds will gradually veer SE/S today as high
pressure to the northeast lifts away from the area in response
to a cold front approach from the west. Seas will remain mostly
2-3 ft with some 4 ft seas possible for the outer portions of
the central and southern waters by late afternoon.

Southerly winds increase to 15-25 knots this evening and tonight
with seas building to as high as 7-8 feet after midnight, as
surface low pressure approaches from the south. Small Craft
Advisories will continue for the Pamlico Sound and Coastal Waters
starting this evening. Gale Watches are in effect for the same
areas starting Sunday.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/...
As of 335 AM Sat...Winds are expected to be 25-30 kts out of
the S Sunday morning, with waves 6- 10 ft, highest off of Cape
Hatteras. As a cold front passes through the coastal waters late
Sunday morning, there will initially be a lull in the winds to
10-20 kts for an hour or two before winds surge behind the
front. A Gale Watch has been issued for all the coastal waters
and the Pamlico Sound for Sunday evening through Monday morning,
as winds will turn to the W and blow 25-35 kts, with gusts to
40-45 kts. Seas will build in response and become 8-14 ft, with
the highest waves along the outer central waters.

Winds will slowly weaken during the day Monday, becoming 15-20 kts
by early afternoon. Seas will also slowly dissipate with 5-9 ft
waves expected by late morning, and 4-7 ft waves by the afternoon.
Winds will be 10-15 kts out of the W Monday night, and will settle
down even more Tuesday and Wednesday becoming W 5-10 kts Tuesday,
and then ESE 5-10 kts Wednesday. Seas will 3-5 ft Monday night, and
then 1-3 ft Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM Sunday to 11 AM EDT Monday for
     AMZ136-137.
     Gale Watch from Sunday evening through Monday morning for
     AMZ135.
     Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM to 9 PM EDT Sunday for AMZ135.
     Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Sunday to 1 PM EDT Monday for
     AMZ130.
     Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM Sunday to 1 PM EDT Monday for
     AMZ131.
     Gale Watch from Sunday evening through Monday morning for
     AMZ152-154.
     Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 7 PM EDT
     Sunday for AMZ152-154.
     Gale Watch from Sunday afternoon through Monday morning for
     AMZ156-158.
     Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 4 PM EDT
     Sunday for AMZ156-158.
     Gale Watch from Sunday evening through Monday morning for
     AMZ150.
     Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 10 PM EDT Sunday
     for AMZ150.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CTC
NEAR TERM...DAG/CTC
SHORT TERM...CTC
LONG TERM...SGK
AVIATION...CTC/SGK
MARINE...DAG/CTC/SGK

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
328 PM EDT Sat Oct 28 2017

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>094-291930-
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Greene-Beaufort-
Mainland Hyde-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Craven-Pamlico-
328 PM EDT Sat Oct 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Locally heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and isolated strong
thunderstorms will be possible late tonight, especially near the
coast. The potential for minor flooding of low lying areas exists.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Locally heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and isolated strong
thunderstorms will be possible Sunday. The potential for minor
flooding of low lying areas exists.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ095-104-291930-
Carteret-Outer Banks Hyde-
328 PM EDT Sat Oct 28 2017

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Locally heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and isolated strong
thunderstorms will be possible late tonight. The potential for minor
flooding of low lying areas exists.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.
   Wind Advisory.

Locally heavy rainfall, strong gusty winds, and isolated strong
thunderstorms will be possible Sunday. The potential for flooding of
low lying areas exists.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ098-291930-
Onslow-
328 PM EDT Sat Oct 28 2017

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Locally heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and isolated strong
thunderstorms will be possible late tonight. The potential for minor
flooding of low lying areas exists.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.

Locally heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and isolated strong
thunderstorms will be possible Sunday. The potential for minor
flooding of low lying areas exists.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ103-291930-
Outer Banks Dare-
328 PM EDT Sat Oct 28 2017

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO 5 AM EDT MONDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SUNDAY TO 8 AM EDT
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Locally heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and isolated strong
thunderstorms will be possible late tonight. The potential for minor
flooding of low lying areas exists.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.
   Moderate Rip Current Risk.
   Wind Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

Locally heavy rainfall, strong gusty winds, and isolated strong
thunderstorms will be possible Sunday. The potential for flooding of
low lying areas exists.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.