River Flood Warning 21, NWS Little Rock, AR

102 
WGUS84 KLZK 290222
FLSLZK


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
922 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood 
Warning continues for the following rivers in Arkansas...

  Petit Jean River At Danville affecting Yell County

  Fourche Lafave River Near Gravelly affecting Yell County

  Fourche Lafave River Near Houston affecting Perry County


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 48 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.
 
Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our  
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.weather.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don't Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC149-291722-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0022.170430T1609Z-170502T0945Z/
/GRVA4.1.ER.170430T1609Z.170501T0000Z.170501T0345Z.NO/
922 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fourche Lafave River Near Gravelly.
* from Sunday morning to late Monday night...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:45 PM Friday the stage was 4.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Sunday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by Sunday evening. Additional
  rainfall expected to occur this weekend. Therefore, continue to
  monitor for any updates.
* Impacts at 24.0 feet...Portions of Highway 28 effected. Timber and 
  pasture along West Bank floods. Property and livestock should be 
  moved to higher ground.


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Fourche Lafave River
  Gravelly    24   4.6 Fri 09 PM    4.4   19.7   16.9    7.1    6.4


&&


LAT...LON 3489 9327 3487 9349 3481 9369 3490 9370
 3495 9353 3498 9328                  



$$

ARC105-291721-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HUSA4.2.ER.170430T0732Z.170502T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
922 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fourche Lafave River Near Houston.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:30 PM Friday the stage was 24.3 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Sunday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 33.1 feet by Monday evening. Additional
  rainfall expected to occur this weekend. Therefore, continue to
  monitor latest forecasts for any updates. 
* Impacts at 25.0 feet...Agricultural lands along the Arkansas river
  and up into the Fourche LaFave begin to flood. Equipment and livestock
  should be moved to higher ground.
* Impacts at 32.0 feet...Roads around Harris Brake Lake are flooded. 
  Flooding extends from Arkansas River upstream of Harris Brake.

             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Fourche Lafave River
  Houston     25  24.3 Fri 08 PM   24.0   27.3   32.7   33.0   30.9


&&


LAT...LON 3494 9262 3495 9270 3492 9284 3501 9288
 3503 9274 3505 9259                  



$$

ARC149-291721-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0021.170430T1429Z-170503T1320Z/
/DANA4.1.ER.170430T1429Z.170501T1200Z.170502T0720Z.NO/
922 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Petit Jean River At Danville.
* from Sunday morning to Wednesday morning...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 8:45 PM Friday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Sunday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 23.2 feet by Monday morning. 
* Impacts at 24.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins, county roads and 
  bridges begin to flood. Bailey Branch Road, State Highway 80 
  southwest of Danville, and State Highway 27 north of Danville may 
  be affected.


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Petit Jean River
  Danville    20  11.0 Fri 09 PM   11.1   18.3   23.2   18.6   13.5


&&


LAT...LON 3507 9305 3505 9327 3502 9343 3509 9342
 3513 9328 3514 9313                  



$$

331 
WGUS84 KLZK 290754
FLSLZK


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
254 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood 
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Petit Jean River At Danville affecting Yell County

  Fourche Lafave River Near Gravelly affecting Yell County

  Fourche Lafave River Near Houston affecting Perry County


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 48 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.
 
Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our  
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.weather.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don't Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC149-292254-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0022.170430T1609Z-170502T0945Z/
/GRVA4.1.ER.170430T1609Z.170501T0000Z.170501T0345Z.NO/
254 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fourche Lafave River Near Gravelly.
* from Sunday morning to late Monday night...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  1:45 AM Saturday the stage was 4.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by tomorrow evening. Additional
  rainfall expected to occur this weekend. Therefore, continue to
  monitor for any updates.
* Impacts at 24.0 feet...Portions of Highway 28 effected. Timber and 
  pasture along West Bank floods. Property and livestock should be 
  moved to higher ground.


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Fourche Lafave River
  Gravelly    24   4.4 Sat 02 AM    4.3   19.7   16.9    7.1    6.4


&&


LAT...LON 3489 9327 3487 9349 3481 9369 3490 9370
 3495 9353 3498 9328                  



$$

ARC105-292254-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HUSA4.2.ER.170430T0732Z.170502T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
254 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fourche Lafave River Near Houston.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Saturday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and 
  continue to rise to near 33.1 feet by Monday evening. Additional
  rainfall expected to occur this weekend. Therefore, continue to
  monitor latest forecasts for any updates. 
* Impacts at 25.0 feet...Agricultural lands along the Arkansas river
  and up into the Fourche LaFave begin to flood. Equipment and livestock
  should be moved to higher ground.
* Impacts at 32.0 feet...Roads around Harris Brake Lake are flooded. 
  Flooding extends from Arkansas River upstream of Harris Brake.


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Fourche Lafave River
  Houston     25  24.0 Sat 02 AM   24.0   27.3   32.7   33.0   30.9


&&


LAT...LON 3494 9262 3495 9270 3492 9284 3501 9288
 3503 9274 3505 9259                  



$$

ARC149-292254-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0021.170430T1429Z-170503T1320Z/
/DANA4.1.ER.170430T1429Z.170501T1200Z.170502T0720Z.NO/
254 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Petit Jean River At Danville.
* from Sunday morning to Wednesday morning...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  1:45 AM Saturday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise to near 23.2 feet by Monday morning.
* Impacts at 24.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins, county roads and 
  bridges begin to flood. Bailey Branch Road, State Highway 80 
  southwest of Danville, and State Highway 27 north of Danville may 
  be affected.


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Petit Jean River
  Danville    20  11.0 Sat 02 AM   11.0   18.3   23.2   18.6   13.5


&&


LAT...LON 3507 9305 3505 9327 3502 9343 3509 9342
 3513 9328 3514 9313                  



$$

229

680 
WGUS84 KLZK 291408
FLSLZK


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
908 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood 
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

   Petit Jean River At Danville affecting Yell County

   Fourche Lafave River Near Gravelly affecting Yell County
   
   Fourche Lafave River Near Houston affecting Perry County
 
   
River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 48 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.
 
Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our  
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.weather.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don't Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC149-300508-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0022.170430T1609Z-170502T0945Z/
/GRVA4.1.ER.170430T1609Z.170501T0000Z.170501T0345Z.NO/
908 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fourche Lafave River Near Gravelly.
* from Sunday morning to late Monday night...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:45 AM Saturday the stage was 4.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by tomorrow evening. Additional
  rainfall expected to occur this weekend. Therefore, continue to
  monitor for any updates.
* Impacts at 24.0 feet...Portions of Highway 28 effected. Timber and 
  pasture along West Bank floods. Property and livestock should be 
  moved to higher ground.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Fourche Lafave River
  Gravelly    24   4.2 Sat 09 AM   19.7   16.9    7.1    6.4    5.6


&&


LAT...LON 3489 9327 3487 9349 3481 9369 3490 9370
 3495 9353 3498 9328                  



$$

ARC105-300508-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170505T1612Z/
/HUSA4.2.ER.170430T0732Z.170502T0000Z.170504T1012Z.NO/
908 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fourche Lafave River Near Houston.
* until Friday morning...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:30 AM Saturday the stage was 23.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and 
  continue to rise to near 33.1 feet by Monday evening. Additional
  rainfall expected to occur this weekend. Therefore, continue to
  monitor latest forecasts for any updates. 
* Impacts at 25.0 feet...Agricultural lands along the Arkansas river
  and up into the Fourche LaFave begin to flood. Equipment and livestock
  should be moved to higher ground.
* Impacts at 32.0 feet...Roads around Harris Brake Lake are flooded. 
  Flooding extends from Arkansas River upstream of Harris Brake.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Fourche Lafave River
  Houston     25  23.8 Sat 08 AM   27.3   32.7   33.0   30.9   24.4


&&


LAT...LON 3494 9262 3495 9270 3492 9284 3501 9288
 3503 9274 3505 9259                  



$$

ARC149-300508-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0021.170430T1429Z-170503T1320Z/
/DANA4.1.ER.170430T1429Z.170501T1200Z.170502T0720Z.NO/
908 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Petit Jean River At Danville.
* from Sunday morning to Wednesday morning...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:45 AM Saturday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise to near 23.2 feet by Monday morning.
* Impacts at 24.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins, county roads and 
  bridges begin to flood. Bailey Branch Road, State Highway 80 
  southwest of Danville, and State Highway 27 north of Danville may 
  be affected.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Petit Jean River
  Danville    20  10.9 Sat 09 AM   18.3   23.2   18.6   13.5   11.2


&&


LAT...LON 3507 9305 3505 9327 3502 9343 3509 9342
 3513 9328 3514 9313                  



$$

229

030 
WGUS84 KLZK 292021
FLSLZK


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
321 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood 
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Petit Jean River At Danville affecting Yell County

  Fourche Lafave River Near Gravelly affecting Yell County

  Fourche Lafave River Near Houston affecting Perry County


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 48 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.
 
Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our  
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.weather.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don't Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC149-301121-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0022.170430T1609Z-170502T0945Z/
/GRVA4.1.ER.170430T1609Z.170501T0000Z.170501T0345Z.NO/
321 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fourche Lafave River Near Gravelly.
* from Sunday morning to late Monday night...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  2:45 PM Saturday the stage was 4.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Sunday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by Sunday evening. Additional
  rainfall is expected to occur this weekend. Therefore, continue to
  monitor future forecasts for any updates.
* Impacts at 24.0 feet...Portions of Highway 28 effected. Timber and 
  pasture along West Bank floods. Property and livestock should be 
  moved to higher ground.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Fourche Lafave River
  Gravelly    24   4.0 Sat 03 PM   19.7   16.9    7.1    6.4    5.6


&&


LAT...LON 3489 9327 3487 9349 3481 9369 3490 9370
 3495 9353 3498 9328                  



$$

ARC105-301121-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170505T1612Z/
/HUSA4.2.ER.170430T0732Z.170502T0000Z.170504T1012Z.NO/
321 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fourche Lafave River Near Houston.
* until Friday morning...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 PM Saturday the stage was 23.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Saturday night and 
  continue to rise to near 33.1 feet by Monday evening. Additional
  rainfall is expected to occur this weekend. Therefore, continue to
  monitor future forecasts for any updates.
* Impacts at 25.0 feet...Agricultural lands along the Arkansas river
  and up into the Fourche LaFave begin to flood. Equipment and livestock
  should be moved to higher ground.
* Impacts at 32.0 feet...Roads around Harris Brake Lake are flooded. 
  Flooding extends from Arkansas River upstream of Harris Brake.

&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Fourche Lafave River
  Houston     25  23.5 Sat 02 PM   27.3   32.7   33.0   30.9   24.4


&&


LAT...LON 3494 9262 3495 9270 3492 9284 3501 9288
 3503 9274 3505 9259                  



$$

ARC149-301120-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0021.170430T1429Z-170503T1320Z/
/DANA4.1.ER.170430T1429Z.170501T1200Z.170502T0720Z.NO/
321 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Petit Jean River At Danville.
* from Sunday morning to Wednesday morning...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  2:45 PM Saturday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Sunday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 23.2 feet by Sunday evening.
* Impacts at 24.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins, county roads and 
  bridges begin to flood. Bailey Branch Road, State Highway 80 
  southwest of Danville, and State Highway 27 north of Danville may 
  be affected.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Petit Jean River
  Danville    20  10.9 Sat 03 PM   18.3   23.2   18.6   14.8   12.8


&&


LAT...LON 3507 9305 3505 9327 3502 9343 3509 9342
 3513 9328 3514 9313                  



$$

65

552 
WGUS84 KLZK 300405
FLSLZK


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1105 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood 
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Petit Jean River At Danville affecting Yell County

  Fourche Lafave River Near Gravelly affecting Yell County

  Fourche Lafave River Near Houston affecting Perry County


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 48 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.
 
Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our  
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.weather.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don't Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC149-301905-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0022.170430T1609Z-170502T0945Z/
/GRVA4.1.ER.170430T1609Z.170501T0000Z.170501T0345Z.NO/
1105 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fourche Lafave River Near Gravelly.
* from Sunday morning to late Monday night...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  9:45 PM Saturday the stage was 5.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Sunday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by Sunday evening. Additional
  rainfall is expected to occur this weekend. Therefore, continue to
  monitor future forecasts for any updates.
* Impacts at 24.0 feet...Portions of Highway 28 effected. Timber and 
  pasture along West Bank floods. Property and livestock should be 
  moved to higher ground.


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Fourche Lafave River
  Gravelly    24   5.7 Sat 10 PM   19.7   16.9    7.1    6.4    5.6


&&


LAT...LON 3489 9327 3487 9349 3481 9369 3490 9370
 3495 9353 3498 9328                  



$$

ARC105-301904-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170505T1612Z/
/HUSA4.2.ER.170430T0732Z.170502T0000Z.170504T1012Z.NO/
1105 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fourche Lafave River Near Houston.
* until Friday morning...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:30 PM Saturday the stage was 23.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Sunday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 33.1 feet by Monday evening. Additional
  rainfall is expected to occur this weekend. Therefore, continue to
  monitor future forecasts for any updates.
* Impacts at 25.0 feet...Agricultural lands along the Arkansas river
  and up into the Fourche LaFave begin to flood. Equipment and livestock
  should be moved to higher ground.
* Impacts at 32.0 feet...Roads around Harris Brake Lake are flooded. 
  Flooding extends from Arkansas River upstream of Harris Brake.

             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Fourche Lafave River
  Houston     25  23.0 Sat 09 PM   27.3   32.7   33.0   30.9   24.4


&&


LAT...LON 3494 9262 3495 9270 3492 9284 3501 9288
 3503 9274 3505 9259                  



$$

ARC149-301904-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0021.170430T1658Z-170503T1320Z/
/DANA4.1.ER.170430T1658Z.170501T1200Z.170502T0720Z.NO/
1105 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Petit Jean River At Danville.
* from Sunday morning to Wednesday morning...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  9:45 PM Saturday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Sunday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 23.2 feet by Sunday evening.
* Impacts at 24.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins, county roads and 
  bridges begin to flood. Bailey Branch Road, State Highway 80 
  southwest of Danville, and State Highway 27 north of Danville may 
  be affected.


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Petit Jean River
  Danville    20  10.9 Sat 10 PM   16.1   23.2   18.6   14.8   12.8


&&


LAT...LON 3507 9305 3505 9327 3502 9343 3509 9342
 3513 9328 3514 9313                  



$$

65

757 
WGUS84 KLZK 300845
FLSLZK


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
345 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...The Flood 
Warning is cancelled for the following river in Arkansas...

  Petit Jean River At Danville affecting Yell County

  Fourche Lafave River Near Gravelly affecting Yell County


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 48 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.
 
Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our  
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.weather.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don't Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC149-300915-
/O.CAN.KLZK.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-170502T0945Z/
/GRVA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
345 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Fourche Lafave River Near Gravelly.
* At  2:45 AM Sunday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...Widespread significant rainfall that was forecast did 
  not develop therefore the river will crest below flood stage at 21.3 
  feet Sunday morning.



&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu  

Fourche Lafave River
  Gravelly    24  14.5 Sun 03 AM    21.3   9.9    8.2    7.0    6.0 


&&


LAT...LON 3489 9327 3487 9349 3481 9369 3490 9370
 3495 9353 3498 9328                  



$$

ARC149-300915-
/O.CAN.KLZK.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-170503T1320Z/
/DANA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
345 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Petit Jean River At Danville.
* At  2:45 AM Sunday the stage was 11.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...Widespread significant rainfall that was forecast did 
  not develop therefore the river will crest below flood stage 
  at 17.4 feet by Monday evening.



&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu 

Petit Jean River
  Danville    20  11.2 Sun 03 AM   11.2   15.9   16.2   13.7   12.2 


&&


LAT...LON 3507 9305 3505 9327 3502 9343 3509 9342
 3513 9328 3514 9313                  



$$

65

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1014 AM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.UPDATE...

Issued a morning update, mainly to lower rain chances across the
board through the day. Radar shows some spotty precipitation
across central parts of the state this morning, but the atmosphere
should remain sufficiently capped to inhibit most if not all
convection through the daytime hours. There is however, decent
isentropic ascent going on across the state as a warm front is
slated to move north through Arkansas today. This will likely
continue to produce some isolated pockets of rain/showers like
what is occurring on radar now. The main focus for this light
precip will be central to northern/northeastern parts of Arkansas
through this afternoon, with perhaps some more widespread chances
for light rain later in the day.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 640 AM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017 )

AVIATION...

Overall VFR flight conditions will start the forecast, with some
patchy MVFR conditions. Light convection will be possible over
northern Taf sites and used VCSH. A warm front is expected to
gradually lift northward today, and help develop additional showers
and thunderstorms. Isolated strong to severe storms will be seen
later in the afternoon to evening. Winds will be east to southeast
at 5 to 15 mph with some gusts to around 20 mph. A low level jet has
set up and low level wind shear will be see at all Taf sites mainly
this morning. (59)

Prev Discussion.../ Issued 421 AM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017/

Main concerns in this forecast cycle are chances of strong to
severe storms later today and again on Saturday. Other major
concern is the amount of rainfall the northern half of AR will
receive and the flash flooding to river flooding potential. Flash
flood watch remains in effect from tonight through Sunday night.

Currently light convection is moving across northwest AR, as some
upper shortwave energy moves over the area. Over AR, temperatures
and dewpoint temperatures were both mostly in the 50s. The surface
high pressure was off to the east, and a south wind flow was
bringing more moisture back to AR. A warm front was over LA and is
expected to lift northward today. To the north, a cold front was
over KS and northern MO. Plenty of upper level moisture was
streaming into the region from the west and bringing clouds to the
area. 00Z KLZK sounding had a precip water value of less than an
inch, but this will be going up dramatically going into the
weekend.

SHORT TERM...Today Through Saturday Night

Today the location of the warm front as it lifts north, and the
cold front as it sags south will define the location of the
strongest convection and then eventually the area of heaviest
rain. Morning convection will be light and be mainly over northern
AR. Through today, the warm front is expected to lift northward,
and as upper shortwave energy moves across the region, additional
showers and thunderstorms are forecast, again especially over
northern AR. Models have the strongest storms over northwest AR
with a movement to the northeast. Also as the day goes, moisture
levels will increase with a south wind. Temperatures will be in
the lower 70s north, to the 80s south and breezy winds will be
seen in the afternoon. Tonight, additional upper shortwave energy
will move over the area that the cold and warm front come
together. This is where the strongest convection and heaviest rain
will be focused. Damaging winds and large hail will be the primary
threats, with a lower risk of tornadoes with any severe storms.
The Storm Prediction Center has northern AR in a Enhanced Risk,
while much of AR will have a Slight Risk. The threat of heavy rain
will also begin to be seen tonight and over the weekend, with
repeated upper level shortwave energy and increasing moisture
levels over the region. A flash flood watch remains in effect from
tonight through Sunday. On Saturday, additional possible severe
storms will be seen, mainly in the afternoon to evening, and into
the early overnight as upper lift moves into AR. The on going
heavy rain over the north will lead to some flash flooding to some
river flooding.

LONG TERM...Sunday Through Thursday

An area of low pressure will be over the Plains to begin the long
term period with southwest flow over Arkansas. This low will move
through Kansas Sunday morning and then into Iowa Monday morning
and through the Great Lakes Monday night and Tuesday. Northwest
flow returns to Arkansas Monday night and then becomes zonal
Tuesday night into Wednesday. An upper trough in the Plains
Wednesday will move through Arkansas Wednesday night and Thursday.
Northerly flow will be over Arkansas Thursday and Friday as the
trough moves to the east coast.

The cold front will be moving through central and eastern Arkansas
Sunday morning. A few severe thunderstorms will be possible Sunday
morning over eastern Arkansas. Expect the front to exit east
Arkansas by mid day Sunday. As a result rain chances will decrease
by afternoon. The low pressure system will continue to strengthen as
it moves away from Arkansas and expect gusty winds Sunday afternoon
through Monday morning. High pressure builds in at the surface
Monday night and Tuesday. A warm front develops over south Arkansas
Tuesday and shower and thunderstorm chances will increase north of
the front. Rain chances will continue through Thursday morning.
Mainly below normal temperatures are expected through the period.

&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flash Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through Sunday
evening FOR Arkansas-Baxter-Boone-Clark-Cleburne-Conway-Dallas-
Faulkner-Fulton-Garland-Grant-Hot Spring-Independence-Izard-
Jackson-Jefferson-Johnson-Logan-Lonoke-Marion-Monroe-Montgomery-
Newton-Perry-Pike-Polk-Pope-Prairie-Pulaski-Saline-Scott-Searcy-
Sharp-Stone-Van Buren-White-Woodruff-Yell.

&&

64

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
500 AM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-291000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-
Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
500 AM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A warm front will gradually lift northward over Arkansas today,
then become nearly stationary across northern to north-central
Arkansas. As an upper level weather system moves through the
region, showers and thunderstorms will develop mainly north of
Little Rock, especially during the late evening and into the
overnight hours. Isolated to scattered strong to severe storms
will be possible near the frontal boundary, with large hail and
damaging winds the main threats. An isolated tornado may also be
seen. Areas of heavy rain will also be seen especially over
northern Arkansas, which could lead to flash flooding across the
area. This weather will continue tonight over the northern half of
Arkansas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday Through Thursday

Severe thunderstorm chances will continue on Saturday, mainly in
the afternoon to evening, as Arkansas will be in the warm sector
with an approaching cold front. Large hail and damaging winds will
once again be the main threats, with an isolated tornado possible.
The potential for heavy rainfall will also exist, increasing the
concern for flash flooding and river flooding. Expect 3 to 5
inches over mainly the northwest and northern half of the state
with isolated heavier amounts Saturday through Sunday.

The widespread and very heavy rain may produce life threatening
flash flooding. Also, area river levels will rise, and some river
flooding will be possible. Interests along area waterways and
rivers should monitor the weather closely this weekend due to the
threat of possible flooding.

Forecast details are still being fine tuned, including where the
stationary front will set up today and Saturday, and the timing
of the rounds of very heavy rain. Please continue to monitor the
latest forecasts from your National Weather Service concerning
this potentially serious situation.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will likely be needed Friday evening and again
Saturday evening, and possibly Sunday due to the forecast of severe
weather and the flash flooding and river flooding potential.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

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