River Flood Warning 111, NWS St. Louis, MO

133 
WGUS83 KLSX 301141
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
641 AM CDT Fri Jun 30 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri..
  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday

.This Flood Warning is a result of  up to 4 inches of rainfall the 
past 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC137-011141-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0111.000000T0000Z-170701T2300Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.170630T0639Z.170630T1100Z.170630T2100Z.NO/
641 AM CDT Fri Jun 30 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until Saturday evening.
* At  6:00 AM Friday the stage was 19.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  late this afternoon.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   19.37                                      


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$

093 
WGUS83 KLSX 301307
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
807 AM CDT Fri Jun 30 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday

.This Flood Warning is a result of up to 4 inches of rainfall the 
past 24 hours ...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC137-011307-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0111.000000T0000Z-170703T2123Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.170630T0639Z.170701T0000Z.170702T1923Z.NO/
807 AM CDT Fri Jun 30 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until Monday afternoon.
* At  7:30 AM Friday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 20.6 feet by this evening, then
  fall below flood stage Sunday early afternoon.

                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   19.46      19.2   18.0    7.3    4.9    4.6


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$

040 
WGUS83 KLSX 010303
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1003 PM CDT Fri Jun 30 2017

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday

.This Flood Warning is a result of 2 to 4 inches of precipitation the 
past 30 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC137-020303-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0111.000000T0000Z-170702T2000Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.170630T0639Z.170630T1630Z.170701T1800Z.NO/
1003 PM CDT Fri Jun 30 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At  9:30 PM Friday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact:  At 18.1 feet...Water exits the left bank downstream of the 
  State Highway A bridge.  Adjacent fields begin to flood.
* Impact:  At 17.5 feet...Water exits the right bank downstream of the
  State Highway A bridge.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   18.67      17.5   16.3    7.8    4.9    4.6


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$

082 
WGUS83 KLSX 011621
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1121 AM CDT Sat Jul 1 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday

.This Flood Warning is a result of heavy rainfall that fell over the basin last week...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC137-021621-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0111.000000T0000Z-170703T2351Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.170630T0639Z.170702T0600Z.170702T2151Z.NO/
1121 AM CDT Sat Jul 1 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until Monday evening.
* At 11:00 AM Saturday the stage was 19.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 20.3 feet by after midnight 
  tonight, then fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   19.60      20.0    6.8    5.0    4.6    4.5


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$

189 
WGUS83 KLSX 021435
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
935 AM CDT Sun Jul 2 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday

.This Flood Warning is a result of heavy rainfall that fell over the basin last week...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC137-031435-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0111.000000T0000Z-170704T0004Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.170630T0639Z.170702T0315Z.170702T2204Z.NO/
935 AM CDT Sun Jul 2 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until Monday evening.
* At  9:00 AM Sunday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  late this afternoon.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06  07/07

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   20.06       6.9    5.0    4.6    4.5    4.4


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$

150 
WGUS83 KLSX 030037
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
737 PM CDT Sun Jul 2 2017

...The flood warning continues for the following river in 
Missouri...
 
 
  Mid Fork Salt River 
  
      near Holliday
  

.This Flood Warning is a result of heavy rainfall across the
basin late last week...


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this developing situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC137-040037-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0111.000000T0000Z-170704T1048Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.170630T0639Z.170702T0315Z.170703T0848Z.NO/
737 PM CDT Sun Jul 2 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* Until late tonight.
* At 7:00 PM Sunday the stage was 19.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to fall back below flood stage overnight
  tonight.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06  07/07

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   19.39      15.3    5.5    4.6    4.5    4.4


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$

667 
WGUS83 KLSX 031507
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1007 AM CDT Mon Jul 3 2017

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday

.This Flood Warning is a result of heavy rainfall across upstream
portions of the basin last week...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC137-041507-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0111.000000T0000Z-170704T2024Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.170630T0639Z.170702T0315Z.170703T1824Z.NO/
1007 AM CDT Mon Jul 3 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At  9:30 AM Monday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.



&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/04  07/05  07/06  07/07  07/08

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   17.56       9.5    4.6    4.5    4.4    4.4


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$

694 
WGUS83 KLSX 032046
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
346 PM CDT Mon Jul 3 2017

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC137-032116-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0111.000000T0000Z-170704T2024Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.170630T0639Z.170702T0315Z.170703T1613Z.NO/
346 PM CDT Mon Jul 3 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday.
* At  3:00 PM Monday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 11:13 AM Monday.
* The river will continue falling to 5.2 feet by tomorrow morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     07/04  07/05  07/06  07/07  07/08

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   14.53       5.2    4.6    4.5    4.4    4.4


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
1148 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

.SHORT TERM...  (Through Late Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 328 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

Convection continues to develop across west central and central MO
and head for the St Louis metro area this afternoon.  Some of this
convection was ahead of an MCV and along an outflow boundary from
morning convection.  Development should continue into the early
evening hours with daytime heating and instability.  Lot of model
differences with location and timing of another possible nocturnal
MCS for late tonight and Friday morning.  Will follow the NAM and
experimental HRRR model solutions which bring an MCS southeastward
into northeast and central portions of MO around midnight, then
through the rest of the forecast area late tonight and Friday
morning.  Warm and humid conditions can be expected tonight, then
slightly cooler high temperatures are forecast on Friday across
central and southeast MO and southwest IL due to morning cloud cover
and convection.  Could not rule out redevelopment of convection
Friday afternoon with the approach of an upper level trough and as
the atmosphere tries to destabilize again, although the effective
boundary may be southeast of much of the forecast area by this time.

GKS

.LONG TERM...  (Friday Night through Next Thursday)
Issued at 328 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

Cold front will slowly work through the area and exit the region by
Saturday afternoon then move into southern Missouri bootheel by
Sunday morning. The front will then lift north northward late
Sunday and pushes to just north of the I-70 corridor early Monday
afternoon.

Saturday will likely be dry for most areas with the exception of
area closer to the front. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
possible along and south of the warm front as it moves north on
Sunday. The front will be located roughly just south of the Missouri
and Iowa line by Tuesday morning then become qausi stationary. A
shortwave is forecast to push through the area Monday night into
Tuesday morning with a chance for scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms possible in central Missouri. A chance of scattered
showers and thunderstorms will linger through the 4th of July
holiday into early Wednesday. High pressure will slide into the
region by Wednesday afternoon and provide dry weather for the rest
of the period.

Temperatures are expected to be at or just below climatological
ranges for the duration of the extended forecast period.

Kelly

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 06z TAFs through 06z Friday Night)
Issued at 1140 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

Area of west-east oriented band of showers and storms should
slowly move south and east overnight tonight. Most of this
activity is just south and west of KUIN and believe it should
continue to stay south. KCOU should be impacted after 0700 UTC and
metro terminals (if it holds together) after 0800 UTC. This area
should move south and east of the area by early Friday morning.
Likely will be a lull before more isolated-scattered activity
tries and develop along the cold front Friday afternoon/evening.
After the frontal passage, winds should shift to the northwest
with dry/VFR conditions.

Storms tonight and on Friday will be capable of producing heavy
downpours and brief IFR visibilities. MVFR ceilings are also
possible early Friday morning, mainly for KUIN.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL:

Watching an area of showers and storms to the northwest of the
area which will try and slide overhead late tonight into early
Friday morning. Believe some weakening of this activity is likely
however before its approach so only have a VCTS group in for now.
Should be a lull late morning into early afternoon before
isolated-scattered showers/storms try and develop along cold front
Friday afternoon/evening. Winds will switch to the northwest
Friday night behind the front.

Gosselin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Saint Louis     74  87  70  86 /  50  50  40  10
Quincy          68  83  64  83 /  30  30  10   5
Columbia        70  83  65  84 /  50  50  20   5
Jefferson City  71  85  66  85 /  50  50  30  10
Salem           72  84  68  85 /  20  50  50  20
Farmington      69  82  67  84 /  20  40  60  20

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
IL...None.
&&

WFO LSX

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
807 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-301130-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
807 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Isolated severe storms are possible tonight. The main threats
with these storms will be locally damaging winds to 60 mph and
hail to the size of quarters. Locally heavy rainfall will be
possible across as well.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Another round of strong to severe storms are possible Friday
and Friday night, especially across central and southeast
Missouri.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed tonight. Spotters are encouraged
to report any severe weather, if observed, to the National
Weather Service.

Gosselin

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
913 PM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0323 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WASHINGTON              38.55N  91.01W
06/29/2017                   FRANKLIN           MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            NUMEROUS 6-8 DIAMETER TREE LIMBS DOWN THROUGHOUT
            WASHINGTON. NUMEROUS LIMBS ALSO DOWN AT WASHINGTON CITY
            PARK WITH ONE FALLING ON A MOTOR VEHICLE. TIME ESTIMATED
            FROM RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX1700523

GOSSELIN