River Flood Warning 201, NWS Indianapolis, IN

817 
WGUS83 KIND 270305
FLSIND
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
1105 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

...A Flood Warning continues for portions of the following rivers in 
Indiana...

  Wabash River...White River...


.Lowland river flooding continues along the Wabash River in western
Indiana from Lafayette to near Vincennes and along the White River
from Anderson down to Ravenswood. River levels are expected to
rise again through the end of May and beginning of June. Less than a
tenth of an inch up to 1.75 inches fell across central Indiana
Friday evening and another half an inch up to two inches possible
through Sunday night. This latest high water is not nearly as
extensive as the floods of the first half of May.



Precautionary/Preparedness Actions...

Motorists should never drive into flood water. Turn around and go 
another way. Keep children away from flooded areas. Recreational and 
agricultural interests should remain alert to changing river 
conditions.

For detailed flood information go to weather.gov/ind on the web and 
click on rivers and lakes.



INC057-095-280305-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0200.000000T0000Z-170529T1536Z/
/ANDI3.1.ER.170525T1430Z.170526T0930Z.170529T0336Z.NO/
1105 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River at Anderson.
* until Monday morning.
* At 10:30 PM Friday the stage was 8.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise to near 12.5 feet by early Sunday morning.  The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Sunday before midnight.
* At 13.0 feet...Flood waters close Edgewood Park and Grand Avenue 
  between Alexandria Pike and Broadway.  If river is rising at this 
  level, the City of Anderson notifies residents along Hazlett 
  Street, near W 1st Street and Madison Avenue, near W 2nd Street and
  Sycamore Street, and along Riverside Drive to prepare for 
  sandbagging operations and possible evacuations.

&&

LAT...LON 4009 8564 4013 8582 4011 8596 4013 8598
      4015 8585 4012 8565             

$$

INC057-097-280304-
/O.CON.KIND.FL.W.0201.170527T1630Z-170530T0200Z/
/NBLI3.1.ER.170527T1630Z.170528T1800Z.170529T1400Z.NO/
1105 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River at Noblesville.
* from Saturday afternoon to Monday evening.
* At  9:45 PM Friday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 16.7 feet by Sunday early afternoon.  The 
  river will fall below flood stage by late Monday morning.
* At 17.0 feet...Extensive flooding occurs in both Riverbend and White
  River campgrounds.  High water affects two businesses near SR 19 on
  the west side of Noblesville.  Roads in residential areas of 
  Riverwood, Clare, and Strawtown begin to flood.  Flooding of roads 
  begins in residential areas of Trails End near E 116th Street, near
  East 146th Street, and in gravel pit areas along the White River 
  from East 96th Street north to Noblesville.

&&

LAT...LON 4011 8596 4008 8597 3995 8605 3996 8607
      4006 8602 4013 8598             

$$

INC097-109-280304-
/O.CON.KIND.FL.W.0202.000000T0000Z-170530T1400Z/
/RVNI3.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170529T0000Z.170530T0200Z.NO/
1105 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River at Ravenswood.
* until Tuesday morning.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 7.5 
  feet Sunday evening.
* At 7.5 feet...River Road floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3991 8609 3987 8613 3981 8619 3982 8621
      3988 8616 3991 8611             

$$

INC045-121-157-165-171-280304-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0190.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LAFI3.2.ER.170521T0100Z.170522T1846Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1105 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Lafayette.
* until further notice.
* At 10:31 PM Friday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.5 feet by 
  early Monday morning then begin falling.
* At 16.0 feet...Lowland flooding is in progress.  Flood waters near 
  SR 225 between Old SR 25 and Battleground.  Warren CR 350 N near 
  Black Rock Preserve and Tippecanoe CR 950 W in the Wabash Bottoms, 
  Janssen Tract area may be impassable.  Fort Ouiatenon grounds begin
  to flood.  Flooding at the Grandville Public Access site.

&&

LAT...LON 4054 8670 4040 8688 4033 8709 4040 8709
      4048 8688 4056 8673             

$$

INC045-121-165-171-280304-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0191.000000T0000Z-170603T0430Z/
/CVGI3.1.ER.170521T0600Z.170524T0745Z.170602T1630Z.NO/
1105 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Covington.
* until Saturday June 03.
* At  9:45 PM Friday the stage was 16.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.6 feet by 
  early Tuesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday
  early afternoon.
* At 20.0 feet...A few county roads begin to flood.  Higher 
  bottomlands begin to flood.  The first cottage upstream from U.S. 
  136 bridge may become isolated by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4033 8709 4017 8737 3997 8739 3997 8745
      4020 8747 4040 8709             

$$

INC121-165-167-280304-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0192.000000T0000Z-170604T1200Z/
/MTZI3.1.ER.170520T1530Z.170525T0545Z.170604T0000Z.NO/
1105 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Montezuma.
* until Sunday June 04.
* At  9:45 PM Friday the stage was 17.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.2 feet by 
  Tuesday early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Saturday evening.
* At 20.0 feet...Park in southern Montezuma begins to flood.  Higher 
  bottomlands begin to flood.  Water backs up most local tributaries.
  River water is at the top of some private levees.  Lowest county 
  roads begin to flood.  Parke CR 75 W begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3997 8739 3986 8734 3977 8736 3977 8740
      3985 8741 3997 8745             

$$

INC121-165-167-280304-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0193.000000T0000Z-170602T0600Z/
/CLNI3.1.ER.170529T0336Z.170530T1800Z.170601T1800Z.NO/
1105 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Clinton.
* until Friday June 02.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 19.2 
  feet Tuesday early afternoon.
* At 20.0 feet...Low bottomlands flood.  Water begins to back up local
  tributaries.  River road near Mecca is impassable.  Higher county 
  roads and bottomlands begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3977 8735 3967 8736 3960 8736 3960 8741
      3966 8742 3977 8740             

$$

ILC023-033-INC153-167-280304-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0194.000000T0000Z-170605T0051Z/
/HUFI3.1.ER.170521T0545Z.170525T2230Z.170604T1251Z.NO/
1105 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Terre Haute.
* until Sunday June 04.
* At 10:00 PM Friday the stage was 17.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Sunday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Residential property of about 50 river cabins begin 
  to flood.  North Lake and Izaak Walton Areas near West Terre Haute 
  begin to flood.  Flooding closes more county roads.  Lowland 
  agricultural flooding is in progress.

&&

LAT...LON 3960 8736 3943 8740 3930 8757 3932 8763
      3945 8747 3960 8741             

$$

ILC033-101-INC083-153-280304-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HUTI2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170527T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1005 PM CDT Fri May 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Hutsonville Legacy Power Plant Site.
* until further notice.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 19.8 
  feet tomorrow morning.
* At 20.0 feet...Leaverton Park in Palestine and park in Hutsonville 
  begin to flood.  Agricultural flooding spreads to higher land.  
  Seep water is noticeable behind levees.  Some elevated river 
  cottages are surrounded by water.  Several county or township roads
  east of Lincoln Heritage Trail between Palestine and Hutsonville in
  Crawford County Illinois are impassable.

&&

LAT...LON 3930 8757 3923 8754 3912 8762 3914 8768
      3922 8762 3932 8763             

$$

ILC033-101-INC083-153-280304-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVTI3.2.ER.170430T0033Z.170509T1245Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1105 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Riverton.
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 PM Friday the stage was 18.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.4 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon then begin falling.
* At 18.5 feet...High water surrounds elevated river cabins.  County 
  roads to these cabins are impassable.  Agricultural flooding is in 
  progress.  Seep water develops behind levees.

&&

LAT...LON 3913 8761 3899 8748 3886 8750 3885 8756
      3898 8759 3913 8767             

$$

ILC101-185-INC083-270335-
/O.CAN.KIND.FL.W.0116.000000T0000Z-170529T1200Z/
/VCNI3.2.ER.170501T1328Z.170509T1230Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1105 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Wabash River at Vincennes.
* At  9:45 PM Friday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 15.9 feet 
  early Sunday morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Some flooding at Kimmell Park in Vincennes.  
  Agricultural lands flood in the St. Francisville, Illinois area. 

&&

LAT...LON 3887 8750 3874 8746 3846 8764 3847 8778
      3871 8756 3886 8756             

$$

213 
WGUS83 KIND 271542
FLSIND
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
1142 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

...A Flood Warning continues for portions of the following rivers in 
Indiana...

  Wabash River...White River...


.Lowland river flooding continues along the Wabash River in western
Indiana from Lafayette to near Vincennes and along the White River
near Ravenswood. River levels are expected to rise in response to the
rain from Friday night. An area of a half inch to one inch fell
across Central Indiana generally north of Interstate 74.  

Rain is possible again Saturday night and again
Sunday night.  One to two inches of rain are expected with locally
higher amounts possible. This latest high water is not nearly as
extensive as the floods of the first half of May.



Precautionary/Preparedness Actions...

Motorists should never drive into flood water. Turn around and go 
another way. Keep children away from flooded areas. Recreational and 
agricultural interests should remain alert to changing river 
conditions.

For detailed flood information go to weather.gov/ind on the web and 
click on rivers and lakes.



INC057-095-271612-
/O.CAN.KIND.FL.W.0200.000000T0000Z-170529T1536Z/
/ANDI3.1.ER.170525T1430Z.170526T0930Z.170526T1809Z.NO/
1142 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The White River at Anderson.
* At 10:30 AM Saturday the stage was 8.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  2:09 PM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 9.3 feet by tomorrow 
  morning.
* At 10.0 feet...Flooding of Edgewater Park just across from gage site
  begins.  Some low farmland begins to flood.  At least one low city 
  street begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 4009 8564 4013 8582 4011 8596 4013 8598
      4015 8585 4012 8565             

$$

INC057-097-271612-
/O.CAN.KIND.FL.W.0201.000000T0000Z-170530T0200Z/
/NBLI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1142 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The White River at Noblesville.
* At 10:45 AM Saturday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 13.3 feet. The 
  river will fall to 10.7 feet by .


&&

LAT...LON 4011 8596 4008 8597 3995 8605 3996 8607
      4006 8602 4013 8598             

$$

INC097-109-280640-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0202.000000T0000Z-170528T0640Z/
/RVNI3.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170527T1800Z.170527T1840Z.NO/
1142 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River at Ravenswood.
* until late tonight.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 6.1 
  feet this afternoon.
* At 6.0 feet...Lowest portion of Ravenswood begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3991 8609 3987 8613 3981 8619 3982 8621
      3988 8616 3991 8611             

$$

INC045-121-157-165-171-281541-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0190.000000T0000Z-170531T2200Z/
/LAFI3.2.ER.170521T0100Z.170522T1846Z.170531T1000Z.NO/
1142 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Lafayette.
* until Wednesday evening.
* At 11:01 AM Saturday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 12.2 feet by 
  Monday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday 
  morning.
* At 12.0 feet...High water affects a few low river cabins and county 
  roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4054 8670 4040 8688 4033 8709 4040 8709
      4048 8688 4056 8673             

$$

INC045-121-165-171-281541-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0191.000000T0000Z-170601T0000Z/
/CVGI3.1.ER.170521T0600Z.170524T0745Z.170531T1200Z.NO/
1142 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Covington.
* until Wednesday evening.
* At 10:45 AM Saturday the stage was 17.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Wednesday morning.
* At 17.5 feet...Some low agricultural fields flood.  Backyard flood 
  of cottages a short distance north of U.S. Highway 136.  High water
  blocks land access to at least one residence.

&&

LAT...LON 4033 8709 4017 8737 3997 8739 3997 8745
      4020 8747 4040 8709             

$$

INC121-165-167-281541-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0192.000000T0000Z-170602T1912Z/
/MTZI3.1.ER.170520T1530Z.170525T0545Z.170602T0712Z.NO/
1142 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Montezuma.
* until Friday afternoon.
* At 10:45 AM Saturday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.8 feet by 
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Montezuma agricultural levee is overtopped.  Fourteen
  hundred acres of low bottomlands flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3997 8739 3986 8734 3977 8736 3977 8740
      3985 8741 3997 8745             

$$

INC121-165-167-281541-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0193.000000T0000Z-170531T0300Z/
/CLNI3.1.ER.170528T0000Z.170529T0000Z.170530T1500Z.NO/
1142 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Clinton.
* until Tuesday evening.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 18.8 
  feet tomorrow evening.
* At 18.0 feet...River road near Mecca and lowest areas of river park 
  at Clinton begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3977 8735 3967 8736 3960 8736 3960 8741
      3966 8742 3977 8740             

$$

ILC023-033-INC153-167-281541-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0194.000000T0000Z-170603T0400Z/
/HUFI3.1.ER.170521T0545Z.170525T2230Z.170602T1600Z.NO/
1142 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Terre Haute.
* until Saturday June 03.
* At 11:00 AM Saturday the stage was 16.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday early afternoon.
* At 17.0 feet...Water begins to rise in the Izaak Walton Lake.  Sheet
  flowing water begins in the wetland project between U.S. 40 and 
  I-70, and during a prolonged flood event project fills about 75 
  percent.

&&

LAT...LON 3960 8736 3943 8740 3930 8757 3932 8763
      3945 8747 3960 8741             

$$

ILC033-101-INC083-153-281541-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-170604T1312Z/
/HUTI2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170527T1800Z.170604T0112Z.NO/
1042 AM CDT Sat May 27 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Hutsonville Legacy Power Plant Site.
* until Sunday June 04.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 19.8 
  feet this afternoon.
* At 20.0 feet...Leaverton Park in Palestine and park in Hutsonville 
  begin to flood.  Agricultural flooding spreads to higher land.  
  Seep water is noticeable behind levees.  Some elevated river 
  cottages are surrounded by water.  Several county or township roads
  east of Lincoln Heritage Trail between Palestine and Hutsonville in
  Crawford County Illinois are impassable.

&&

LAT...LON 3930 8757 3923 8754 3912 8762 3914 8768
      3922 8762 3932 8763             

$$

ILC033-101-INC083-153-281541-
/O.EXT.KIND.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-170604T1525Z/
/RVTI3.2.ER.170430T0033Z.170509T1245Z.170604T0325Z.NO/
1142 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wabash River at Riverton.
* until Sunday June 04.
* At 11:00 AM Saturday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.4 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday before 
  midnight.
* At 18.5 feet...High water surrounds elevated river cabins.  County 
  roads to these cabins are impassable.  Agricultural flooding is in 
  progress.  Seep water develops behind levees.

&&

LAT...LON 3913 8761 3899 8748 3886 8750 3885 8756
      3898 8759 3913 8767             

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
1027 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

.UPDATE...
The AVIATION section has been updated below.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 152 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

An active weather pattern is taking shape for this weekend.

HIgh pressure over Indiana is expected to quickly move east...this
afternoon as a weak low pressure system over Illinois quickly
moves across Northern Indiana tonight. This will spread showers
and storms across the northern part of the state tonight.

A weak high pressure system will then settle across the area for
Saturday...bringing more dry weather for much of the day. Another
quick moving upper level weather disturbance will arrive in the
area on Saturday night. This will bring another round of showers
and storms to Indiana.

Dry weather is expected on Sunday morning before a cold front is
expected to pass on Sunday afternoon and evening. Once again, this
may bring a round of showers and storms.

Slim Storm chances will linger on Monday as broad cyclonic flow
will remain across the region...however many dry hours will be
expected.

With the exception of a secondary front bringing low chances for
storms Tuesday...expect primarily dry weather for much of next
week with seasonable temperatures.

&&

.NEAR TERM /Rest of Tonight/...

Issued at 934 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

Thunderstorm complex moved southeast across the area and has
produced severe weather. The storms are trending down at the moment
though. Have upped PoPs to reflect where these storms are and will
be in the next couple of hours.

Meanwhile, additional thunderstorms continue to develop to the
northwest of the forecast area. Unstable air continues to flow into
the area above the cold pool from the thunderstorms. Thus hail
remains a threat. After coordinating with the Storm Prediction
Center, have already expanded the Severe Thunderstorm Watch back
northwest across the forecast area. Will continue to monitor trends
to see if the watch needs to go all the way to 2 AM though.

Remainder of forecast looks ok with only minor changes to low
temperatures.

Previous discussion follows...

Surface Analysis early this afternoon shows a ridge of high
pressure over the Indiana/Ohio boarder. Compact Low pressure was
found over western Illinois...surging eastward. Southerly flow was
in place across Indiana with dew points in the 50s. Water vapor
imagery shows a short wave associated with the over
Iowa...drifting NE.

GFS and NAM suggests the short wave will progress northeast
across NRN Illinois toward Michiana. Rapid refresh depicts
convection development mainly across the northern parts of the
state from 22Z-03Z...progressing eastward. Southern parts of the
convection area may be overdone. Forecast soundings show
convective temperatures in the middle 80s and 700mb temps are near
8C...providing good cap. Thus the HRRR appears a bit over done
with the southern extent of the showers and storm development this
evening. Still Pop will be warranted given the dynamics...just
will limit the highest pops to the northern areas as those
locations will be in a better position to receive precipitation.
Furthermore will taper pops off by 05Z-07Z as the wave aloft
should be quickly departing by that time.

Models appear in good agreement on temps and will stick close to
the blend on expected lows.

&&

.SHORT TERM /Saturday through Monday/...

Issued at 152 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

Confidence in a dry Saturday is high. Forecast soundings and Time
heights reveal a dry column. Weak high pressure in the wake of the
departing low looks to be in place across the southern Great
lakes...providing northerly flow. However...this does result in a
warm front taking shape along the I-70 corridor...which will come
in to play later.

Thus will trend toward a partly cloudy sky on Saturday along with
a blend on highs which should result in an outstanding weather
day.

Things change on Saturday night as the high quickly departs and
another more organized shortwave pushes toward Central Indiana
from the Central Mississippi valley. Positioning for this wave is
much more favorable for Central Indiana...along with the some
surface convergence available due to the lingering boundary that
was previously mentioned. Models have backed off on the amount of
instability as compared to yesterday...with CAPES now generally
less than 1000 g/kg on Saturday night. While this will diminish
the severe threat somewhat...showers and storms still cannot be
ruled out given the expected dynamics. Will raise pops from the
MAVMOS here...and trend lows toward wetbulbs.

Confidence continues to grow for Dry weather on Sunday morning and
early afternoon. GFS and NAM suggest that Indiana will once again
be caught between two short wave at that time...as the Saturday
Night system will have departed and the the next wave appears to
be over Illinois...poised to arrive by late afternoon. Thus
forecaster builder willing...we will try to keep pops out of the
morning hours and begin a ramp up on Sunday mid-afternoon and
evening as the expected dynamics approach from the west. Again a
blend on highs will work fine.

GFS suggests the quick moving wave should depart the area by 03Z-
05Z. Forecast soundings suggest rapid drying and subsidence in its
wake. Thus will quickly taper pops toward dry on late Sunday
night...trending temps at or below the blend.

Models then depict broad cyclonic flow across the Great Lakes and
Indiana on Monday. Yet another short wave is suggested to push
through the circulation toward Central Indiana...but confidence for
precip will be low at this point given the generally expected
northwest flow of air to Central Indiana in the wake of the cold
front. Still at this time forecast soundings are suggesting steep
lapse rates and attainable convective temperatures...thus weak and
light instability showers in the afternoon do not appear out of the
question.

&&

.LONG TERM /Monday Night through Friday/...
Issued at 207 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

Ensembles in fairly good agreement during this period. An upper low
will gradually shift east across the upper Great Lakes during the
early parts of the extended, with the flow flattening out later next
week.

Ensembles suggest an upper disturbance may rotate through the area
around the upper low in the Tuesday night or Wednesday time frame.
Will put some chance PoPs in the forecast during those periods to
cover this feature.

Some of the ensembles suggest an upper disturbance may eject out of
the southwest into the local area by late next week. Will put some
chance PoPs in for next Friday at this time, however they may be
needed for Thursday as well if the faster solutions come to pass.

&&

.AVIATION (Discussion for the 270300Z TAF Update)...
Issued at 1027 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

Some convection continues not to far north of KIND, so kept the VC
mention. These should not hit the airport. Not sure about the timing
of the MVFR ceilings, but made no changes at this time.

Previous discussion follows...

Conditions expected to deteriorate to IFR overnight, then return to
VFR by 16-18Z Saturday. Scattered convection mainly within first
few hours of valid time.

Convection will impact KLAF through 01Z or so so have included that
in the TAF. Went MVFR but IFR is certainly possible. South of KLAF
uncertainty is high on how convection will develop. KIND has the
highest chance, but even there feel only VCTS is prudent at the
moment. Convection should exit the sites by 03-05Z.

Afterward low level moisture will move in and allow ceilings to dip
into IFR category. These will mix out during Saturday morning and
into early afternoon.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Puma
NEAR TERM...Puma/50
SHORT TERM...Puma
LONG TERM....JAS
AVIATION...50

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
413 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-271000-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-
Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-
Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-
Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-
Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo,
Crawfordsville, Anderson, Muncie, Indianapolis, Terre Haute,
Shelbyville, Bloomington, Columbus, Vincennes, Bedford, and Seymour
413 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Outlook: Strong to severe thunderstorms possible. A Tornado Watch is in
effect for Carroll, Howard, Tippecanoe and Warren counties through 9
pm.

Hazards: Damaging winds, large hail, isolated tornadoes, frequent
lightning, and brief heavy rain.

Timing: Severe 6 pm to Midnight. Lightning and brief heavy rain
possible overnight.

Discussion: A frontal boundary will combine with an upper wave over
northwestern Illinois to trigger strong to severe thunderstorms
tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Outlook: Thunderstorms are possible Saturday through Sunday and
again at times over parts of central Indiana Memorial Day through
Wednesday. Severe storms are possible Saturday afternoon and night
and Sunday afternoon. Cloud to ground lightning, heavy rain,
damaging winds and large hail will be threats. Isolated tornadoes
will also be a threat Saturday afternoon and night and Sunday
afternoon.

Discussion: A frontal system will move across central Indiana
Memorial Day weekend and spark strong to severe thunderstorms.
More storms are possible next week over all or parts of the area.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is possible at times tonight, Saturday afternoon
and night and Sunday afternoon.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
846 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0808 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CRAWFORDSVILLE          40.04N 86.90W
05/26/2017                   MONTGOMERY         IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL REPORTS OF TREES OF UP TO 12 INCHES
            IN DIAMETER WERE DOWNED ACROSS
            CRAWFORDSVILLE. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

AW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
853 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0846 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 NE PITTSBORO          39.89N 86.44W
05/26/2017  M75 MPH          HENDRICKS          IN   AMATEUR RADIO

            AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR WA9FD0 REPORTED A
            MEASURED 75 MPH WIND GUST.

&&

AW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
907 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0856 PM     HAIL             WHITESTOWN              40.00N 86.35W
05/26/2017  E0.50 INCH       BOONE              IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KEH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
935 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2017

INZ049-057-270215-
Rush IN-Henry IN-
935 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN RUSH AND SOUTHERN HENRY
COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 PM EDT...

At 934 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles southwest of New Castle, or 16 miles west of Cambridge City,
moving east at 60 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
New Castle, Knightstown, Carthage, Spiceland, Kennard, Lewisville,
Straughn, Dunreith, Greensboro, Falmouth and Mays.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 200 AM EDT for
central and east central Indiana.

LAT...LON 3987 8522 3979 8522 3979 8530 3970 8530
      3975 8560 3993 8556 3993 8520 3988 8520
TIME...MOT...LOC 0134Z 277DEG 53KT 3983 8548

MK

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
937 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2017

INZ021-029-030-270215-
Clinton IN-Tippecanoe IN-Carroll IN-
937 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2017

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

At 937 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Brookston, or 9 miles north of Lafayette, moving east at 35 mph.

Half inch hail will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Lafayette, West Lafayette, Delphi, Flora, Rossville, Battle Ground
and Burlington.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 200 AM EDT for
central, north central and west central Indiana.

LAT...LON 4058 8637 4051 8638 4032 8644 4046 8695
      4056 8692 4056 8677 4063 8677
TIME...MOT...LOC 0137Z 284DEG 29KT 4054 8682

MK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
954 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0846 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNW PITTSBORO         39.89N 86.48W
05/26/2017                   HENDRICKS          IN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            UTILITY POLES LAID DOWN, POWER OUTAGE
            REPORTS, AND TREES DOWN. TIME RADAR
            ESTIMATED.

&&

KEH