Alert archive / Nebraska / High Wind Warnings in 2017

High Wind Warning 1, NWS Hastings, NE

March 5, 20176 counties in Kansas; 24 counties in Nebraska

NWS Hastings, NE issued this high wind warning at Mar 5, 2017, 1:58 PM CST for 6 counties in Kansas; 24 counties in Nebraska. It took effect at Mar 6, 2017, 9:00 AM CST. It was in force for 10 hr. 31 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Mar 5, 2017, 1:58 PM CST (19:58 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 6, 2017, 9:00 AM CST
Expired
Mar 6, 2017, 7:00 PM CST
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Hastings, NE
All 30 counties

Jewell County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Smith County, KS, Adams County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Clay County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Howard County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Polk County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Valley County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 27 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Mar 6, 1:10 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 551 Ssw Smith Center, KSSMITH CENTER AIRPORT.
Mar 6, 1:10 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 55Smith Center Airport, KS
Mar 6, 1:53 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 592 Nne Norman, NE.
Mar 6, 1:53 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 592 Nne Norman, NE
Mar 6, 2:29 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 573 Sse Johnson Lake, NE.
Mar 6, 2:31 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 541 Nne Davenport, NE.
Mar 6, 2:31 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 541 Nne Davenport, NE
Mar 6, 2:35 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 562 Nne Aurora, NEAURORA AIRPORT.
Mar 6, 2:35 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 56Aurora Airport, NE
Mar 6, 3:08 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 621 Wnw Johnson Lake, NE
Mar 6, 3:08 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 623 Sse Johnson Lake, NECORRECTION TO LOCATION.
Mar 6, 4:00 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 54Stockton Airport, KS
Mar 6, 4:15 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 546 Ene Kearney, NE
Mar 6, 4:21 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 571 W Logan, KS
Mar 6, 4:25 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 583 Sw Cowles, NE
Mar 6, 4:33 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 571 Ne Juniata, NE
Mar 6, 4:42 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 60Hastings Airport, NE
Mar 6, 4:45 PM CSTHIGH SUST WINDS 431 Ese Campbell, NEAVG 1HR WIND ENDING AT 445 PM.
Mar 6, 4:45 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 572 Sse Prosser, NE
Mar 6, 5:03 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 563 W Sumner, NE
Mar 6, 5:15 PM CSTDUST STORM5 Ene Ayr, NE6 CAR ACCIDENT NEAR THE S CURVES ON SHOWBOAT. VISIBILITIES REPORTED NEAR 0 TO TOTAL BROWN OUT WITH BLOWING DUST.
Mar 6, 5:15 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 553 Wnw Lexington, NE
Mar 6, 5:20 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 55Phillipsburg Airport, KS
Mar 6, 5:20 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 582 Wnw Hastings, NEHASTINGS AIRPORT ASOS REPORTED A 58MPH WIND GUST AT 520PM.
Mar 6, 5:35 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 55York Airport, NE
Mar 6, 5:35 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 582 Wnw Lexington, NELEXINGTON AIRPORT AWOS REPORTS 58MPH WIND GUST AT 535PM.
Mar 6, 5:35 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 58Lexington Airport, NE
Mar 6, 5:35 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 593 S Lebanon, KS.
Mar 6, 5:38 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 633 Ese Kearney, NE
Mar 6, 5:45 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 541 E Odessa, NE
Mar 6, 6:22 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 55Grand Island Apt, NE

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 179 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2017-03-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2017-03-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -168 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3246 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-168 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-29 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

843 
WWUS73 KGID 051958
NPWGID

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Hastings NE
158 PM CST Sun Mar 5 2017

...High Winds Expected over Portions of South Central Nebraska...

NEZ039-046-060-061-072-073-082-083-060600-
/O.NEW.KGID.HW.W.0001.170306T1500Z-170307T0100Z/
Valley-Sherman-Dawson-Buffalo-Gosper-Phelps-Furnas-Harlan-
Including the cities of Ord, Loup City, Sherman Reservoir, 
Litchfield, Lexington, Cozad, Willow Island, Gothenburg, Kearney,
Elwood, Johnson Lake, Holdrege, Cambridge, Arapahoe, Oxford, 
Beaver City, Hollinger, Alma, and Orleans
158 PM CST Sun Mar 5 2017

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM CST MONDAY...

The National Weather Service in Hastings has issued a High Wind
Warning, which is in effect from 9 AM to 7 PM CST Monday. 

* HAZARD...High winds.

* TIMING...Late Monday morning until early Monday evening.

* WINDS...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts close to 60 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will make driving difficult, especially
  on north-south roads. Minor damage to structures could occur.
  Some trees...fences and signs could be blown over. Lightweight
  outdoor objects could be blown away. Localized power outages
  possible. Visibility will be reduced in blowing dust.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

&&

$$

Kelley
5 follow-up statements
434 
WWUS73 KGID 060554
NPWGID

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1154 PM CST Sun Mar 5 2017

...High Winds Expected over Portions of South Central Nebraska...

NEZ039-046-060-061-072-073-082-083-061400-
/O.CON.KGID.HW.W.0001.170306T1500Z-170307T0100Z/
Valley-Sherman-Dawson-Buffalo-Gosper-Phelps-Furnas-Harlan-
Including the cities of Ord, Loup City, Sherman Reservoir, 
Litchfield, Lexington, Cozad, Willow Island, Gothenburg, Kearney,
Elwood, Johnson Lake, Holdrege, Cambridge, Arapahoe, Oxford, 
Beaver City, Hollinger, Alma, and Orleans
1154 PM CST Sun Mar 5 2017

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM CST
MONDAY...

* HAZARD...High winds.

* TIMING...Late Monday morning until early Monday evening.

* WINDS...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts close to 60 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will make driving difficult, especially 
  on north-south roads. Minor damage to structures could occur. 
  Some trees...fences and signs could be blown over. Lightweight 
  outdoor objects could be blown away. Localized power outages 
  possible. Visibility will be reduced in blowing dust. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

&&

$$

Billings Wright
832 
WWUS73 KGID 060934
NPWGID

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Hastings NE
334 AM CST Mon Mar 6 2017


KSZ005-006-017-018-NEZ040-047-062-074-075-084-085-061745-
/O.EXA.KGID.HW.W.0001.170306T1500Z-170307T0100Z/
Phillips-Smith-Rooks-Osborne-Greeley-Howard-Hall-Kearney-Adams-
Franklin-Webster-
Including the cities of Phillipsburg, Bellaire, Smith Center, 
Kensington, Codell, Plainville, Stockton, Osborne, Downs, 
Greeley, Spalding, Scotia, Wolbach, St. Libory, Grand Island, 
Minden, Hastings, Franklin, Campbell, Hildreth, Inavale, 
Red Cloud, Blue Hill, Rosemont, and Bladen
334 AM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CST
THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Hastings has issued a High Wind
Warning, which is in effect from 9 AM this morning to 7 PM CST
this evening. 

* HAZARD...High winds.

* TIMING...Today, Mid-morning through this evening.

* WINDS...West, 35 to 45 mph with gusts close to 60 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will make driving difficult, especially 
  on north-south roads. Minor damage to structures could occur. 
  Some trees...fences and signs could be blown over. Lightweight 
  outdoor objects could be blown away. Localized power outages 
  possible. Visibility will be reduced in blowing dust. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

&&

$$

NEZ039-046-060-061-072-073-082-083-061745-
/O.CON.KGID.HW.W.0001.170306T1500Z-170307T0100Z/
Valley-Sherman-Dawson-Buffalo-Gosper-Phelps-Furnas-Harlan-
Including the cities of Ord, Loup City, Sherman Reservoir, 
Litchfield, Lexington, Cozad, Willow Island, Gothenburg, Kearney,
Elwood, Johnson Lake, Holdrege, Cambridge, Arapahoe, Oxford, 
Beaver City, Hollinger, Alma, and Orleans
334 AM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* HAZARD...High winds.

* TIMING...Today, mid-morning through this evening.

* WINDS...West, 35 to 45 mph with gusts close to 60 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will make driving difficult, especially 
  on north-south roads. Minor damage to structures could occur. 
  Some trees...fences and signs could be blown over. Lightweight 
  outdoor objects could be blown away. Localized power outages 
  possible. Visibility will be reduced in blowing dust. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

&&

$$

Billings Wright
801 
WWUS73 KGID 061607
NPWGID

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1007 AM CST Mon Mar 6 2017


KSZ007-019-NEZ041-048-049-063-064-076-077-086-087-070100-
/O.EXA.KGID.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170307T0100Z/
Jewell-Mitchell-Nance-Merrick-Polk-Hamilton-York-Clay-Fillmore-
Nuckolls-Thayer-
Including the cities of Mankato, Jewell, Ionia, Burr Oak, Beloit,
Fullerton, Genoa, Central City, Stromsburg, Osceola, Shelby, 
Polk, Aurora, York, Sutton, Harvard, Clay Center, Edgar, 
Fairfield, Geneva, Exeter, Fairmont, Bostwick, Superior, Nelson, 
Hebron, and Deshler
1007 AM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Hastings has issued a High Wind
Warning, which is in effect until 7 PM CST this evening. 

* HAZARD...High winds.

* TIMING...All day and into the evening.

* WINDS...West, 35 to 45 mph with gusts close to 60 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will make driving difficult, especially 
  on north-south roads. Minor damage to structures could occur. 
  Some trees...fences and signs could be blown over. Lightweight 
  outdoor objects could be blown away. Localized power outages 
  possible. Visibility will be reduced in blowing dust. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

&&

$$

KSZ005-006-017-018-NEZ039-040-046-047-060>062-072>075-082>085-
070100-
/O.CON.KGID.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170307T0100Z/
Phillips-Smith-Rooks-Osborne-Valley-Greeley-Sherman-Howard-Dawson-
Buffalo-Hall-Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-
Including the cities of Phillipsburg, Bellaire, Smith Center, 
Kensington, Codell, Plainville, Stockton, Osborne, Downs, Ord, 
Greeley, Spalding, Scotia, Wolbach, Loup City, Sherman Reservoir,
Litchfield, St. Libory, Lexington, Cozad, Willow Island, 
Gothenburg, Kearney, Grand Island, Elwood, Johnson Lake, 
Holdrege, Minden, Hastings, Cambridge, Arapahoe, Oxford, 
Beaver City, Hollinger, Alma, Orleans, Franklin, Campbell, 
Hildreth, Inavale, Red Cloud, Blue Hill, Rosemont, and Bladen
1007 AM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* HAZARD...High winds.

* TIMING...All day and into the evening.

* WINDS...West, 35 to 45 mph with gusts close to 60 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will make driving difficult, especially 
  on north-south roads. Minor damage to structures could occur. 
  Some trees...fences and signs could be blown over. Lightweight 
  outdoor objects could be blown away. Localized power outages 
  possible. Visibility will be reduced in blowing dust. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

&&

$$
569 
WWUS73 KGID 061923
NPWGID

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Hastings NE
123 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017


NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-070100-
/O.NEW.KGID.DU.Y.0001.170306T1923Z-170307T0100Z/
/O.CON.KGID.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170307T0100Z/
Valley-Greeley-Nance-Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-
Hall-Hamilton-York-Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-
Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
Including the cities of Ord, Greeley, Spalding, Scotia, Wolbach, 
Fullerton, Genoa, Loup City, Sherman Reservoir, Litchfield, 
St. Libory, Central City, Stromsburg, Osceola, Shelby, Polk, 
Lexington, Cozad, Willow Island, Gothenburg, Kearney, 
Grand Island, Aurora, York, Elwood, Johnson Lake, Holdrege, 
Minden, Hastings, Sutton, Harvard, Clay Center, Edgar, Fairfield,
Geneva, Exeter, Fairmont, Cambridge, Arapahoe, Oxford, 
Beaver City, Hollinger, Alma, Orleans, Franklin, Campbell, 
Hildreth, Inavale, Red Cloud, Blue Hill, Rosemont, Bladen, 
Bostwick, Superior, Nelson, Hebron, and Deshler
123 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

...BLOWING DUST ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Hastings has issued a Blowing
Dust Advisory, which is in effect until 7 PM CST this evening.

* HAZARD...High winds and blowing dust.

* TIMING...All day and into the evening.

* Winds...West, 35 to 45 mph with gusts close to 60 mph.

* Visibility...Around 3 miles, with locally reduced visibilities
  below one mile.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will make driving difficult, especially
  on north-south roads. Minor damage to structures could occur.
  Some trees...fences and signs could be blown over. Lightweight
  outdoor objects could be blown away. Localized power outages
  possible. Visibility will be reduced in blowing dust.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

A Blowing Dust Advisory means that blowing dust will restrict
visibilities. Travelers are urged to use caution.

&&

$$

KSZ005>007-017>019-070100-
/O.NEW.KGID.DU.Y.0001.170306T1923Z-170307T0100Z/
/O.CON.KGID.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170307T0100Z/
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-
Including the cities of Phillipsburg, Bellaire, Smith Center, 
Kensington, Mankato, Jewell, Ionia, Burr Oak, Codell, Plainville,
Stockton, Osborne, Downs, and Beloit
123 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

...BLOWING DUST ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Hastings has issued a Blowing
Dust Advisory, which is in effect until 7 PM CST this evening.

* HAZARD...High winds and blowing dust.

* TIMING...All day and into the evening.

* Winds...West, 35 to 45 mph with gusts close to 60 mph.

* Visibility...Around 3 miles, with locally reduced visibilities
  below one mile.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will make driving difficult, especially
  on north-south roads. Minor damage to structures could occur.
  Some trees...fences and signs could be blown over. Lightweight
  outdoor objects could be blown away. Localized power outages
  possible. Visibility will be reduced in blowing dust.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The Kansas Department of Health and Environment recommends that
you take preventative measures during this blowing dust event,
such as staying indoors or wearing protective breathing masks if
outside. High dust concentrations can cause respiratory problems,
decrease lung activity, aggravate asthma, and lead to potential
heart-related problems, especially with children, elderly, or
those with pre-existing respiratory conditions.

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

A Blowing Dust Advisory means that blowing dust will restrict
visibilities. Travelers are urged to use caution.

&&

$$
706 
WWUS73 KGID 070054
NPWGID

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Hastings NE
654 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-070200-
/O.EXP.KGID.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170307T0100Z/
/O.EXP.KGID.DU.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170307T0100Z/
Valley-Greeley-Nance-Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-
Hall-Hamilton-York-Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-
Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
Including the cities of Ord, Greeley, Spalding, Scotia, Wolbach, 
Fullerton, Genoa, Loup City, Sherman Reservoir, Litchfield, 
St. Libory, Central City, Stromsburg, Osceola, Shelby, Polk, 
Lexington, Cozad, Willow Island, Gothenburg, Kearney, 
Grand Island, Aurora, York, Elwood, Johnson Lake, Holdrege, 
Minden, Hastings, Sutton, Harvard, Clay Center, Edgar, Fairfield,
Geneva, Exeter, Fairmont, Cambridge, Arapahoe, Oxford, 
Beaver City, Hollinger, Alma, Orleans, Franklin, Campbell, 
Hildreth, Inavale, Red Cloud, Blue Hill, Rosemont, Bladen, 
Bostwick, Superior, Nelson, Hebron, and Deshler
654 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...BLOWING DUST ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CST THIS EVENING...

West winds are expected to continue to diminish during the next 
few hours, therefore the high wind warning will be allowed to
expire. With the winds diminishing, the blowing dust will settle
and visibilities will improve. 

$$

KSZ005>007-017>019-070200-
/O.EXP.KGID.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170307T0100Z/
/O.EXP.KGID.DU.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170307T0100Z/
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-
Including the cities of Phillipsburg, Bellaire, Smith Center, 
Kensington, Mankato, Jewell, Ionia, Burr Oak, Codell, Plainville,
Stockton, Osborne, Downs, and Beloit
654 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...BLOWING DUST ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CST THIS EVENING...

West winds are expected to continue to diminish during the next 
few hours, therefore the high wind warning will be allowed to
expire. With the winds diminishing, the blowing dust will settle
and visibilities will improve. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Mar 5, 11:57 AM CST, 2 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 5, 11:57 AM CST, 2 hours 1 minute before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1157 AM CST Sun Mar 5 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 812 AM CST Sun Mar 5 2017

We cont to closely monitor the fog situation. As is typical...
vsbys are worst just W of the bank of low stratus that has
enveloped much of the fcst area from Hwy 281 E.

A fcst update has been published to temper warm-up E of Hwy 281
where low clouds will retard the warm-up. We may not have been
aggressive enough. Stratus always lingers longer than expected.
The HRRR and HRRRX has it exiting to the E over the next 4 hrs.
I am skeptical espcly because it does not appear to be fully
reflecting obs right now (i.e., it's not far enough W).

UPDATE Issued at 646 AM CST Sun Mar 5 2017

Some areas of patchy fog have developed across central and south
central Nebraska this morning. Have included patchy fog in the
forecast. Some sites have dropped to a 1/4 mile, but do not expect
this to be widespread. Expect conditions to improve over the next
2-3 hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 348 AM CST Sun Mar 5 2017

There is a lot going on in this forecast, but the main two
concerns are winds and and dewpoint's. Not far behind is high
temperatures. Currently dewpoints and temperatures are warmer than
previously expected. The RAP has a fairly good handle on current
conditions with respect to temps/dewpoints and so followed the
RAP, especially for dewpoint's throughout much of the day with
only slight tweaks during the afternoon. Didn't quite go as high
with the temps as the RAP, but just a couple degrees off.

Overall in the bigger picture, the dryline is tightening it's
gradient and moving eastward into the area before it retreats late
this afternoon/evening back to the west. To the east very warm
moist air is advecting northward keeping dewpoints fairly high.
Stratus has advected northward overnight and expect it to persist
through at least a portion of the morning before moving eastward
today. While clouds could inhibit temps some this morning in the
east, still expect maximum insolation and gusty winds to mix down
and temps in the mid and upper 70s are expected areawide. The
highest temps are expected behind the dryline in north central
Kansas with extremely low RH values. Currently just shy of record
temperatures in the forecast for Hastings and Grand Island, but
not far, so they are in jeopardy. See the climate section for
details.

The strongest winds will be across eastern sections of the area
east of the dryline with winds becoming more southwesterly behind
the dryline. After Saturday's winds were not forecasted quite high
enough, thing again winds today may not be high enough, but have
tried to push them at least a knot or two higher than MOS guidance
from now through the day to account for the lower bias.

The combination of the strong winds and low relative humidities
will cause extreme fire danger across a portion of south central
Nebraska and north central Kansas where a Fire weather Warning has
been issued. Please see the Fire weather Section for more
details.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 348 AM CST Sun Mar 5 2017

Primary forecast concern and main focus was on Monday and Tuesday
fire weather issues.

At 12Z Monday, models are in good agreement showing sharper
southwesterly flow in place in the upper levels, with the main
trough axis starting to move onto the High Plains. This trough
axis looks to make its push through the area later in the day
Monday/Monday evening, with a closed low developing near the
US/Can border. This trough continues to affect the area into
Tuesday morning, but eventually more northwesterly flow develops.
The forecast continues to be dry, though precipitation chances
aren't far outside of the CWA, to the north (closer to the better
lift) as well as to the east (sfc frontal boundary). The
accompanying surface cold front timing hasn't changed notably the
past few days, ushering in west-northwesterly winds for the
midday/afternoon hours on Monday. A tightened pressure gradient
(thanks to the sfc low over the Dakotas), increased mixing and
strong winds aloft is expected to result in sustained wind speeds
over 30 MPH for the entire CWA, as well as gusts over 40 MPH.
There is some concern about reaching High Wind criteria (sustained
40+ MPH), mainly across western areas, but not all models/
guidance agree, so at this point opted out of any watch. Along
with the winds, this front is ushering in a notably drier airmass,
with forecast dewpoints falling from the 30s/40s in the morning
to the single digits/teens in the afternoon. Models have been
pretty consistent for the past few days showing this, and
resultant relative humidity values are forecast to fall below 20%
CWA-wide. Because of these RH values and the strong winds
expected, collaborated with neighbors to go ahead an upgrade the
Fire Weather Watch to a Red Flag Warning for Monday aftn/early
evening.

Fire weather concerns will again be in place for Tuesday. Behind
the front, cooler air builds into the region, and forecast highs
for Tuesday are "only" in the 50s (this is still above normal!).
But because forecast dewpoints remain in the single digits/lower
teens, RH values are expected to drop below 20%. It will again be
windy, but currently not quite like Monday. This is 5 periods out,
so still some time to tweak forecast elements before addressing
headlines.

On Wednesday, expecting to have lower amplitude upper level
northwesterly flow across the region in the wake of Mon/Tue's
trough passage. The forecast remains dry. At the surface, winds
are expected to have diminished by morning, with more south-
southwesterly flow in place on the backside of an area of high
pressure over the Gulf Coast region. Wind speeds are not forecast
to be anywhere as strong as Mon/Tues, currently forecast around 15
MPH, though a few higher gusts may be possible (depends on the
model). Expecting a rebound in temperatures, with highs reaching
the mid 60s for most locations. Still a drier airmass in place,
and RH values during the afternoon are once again forecast to fall
to near/below 20%, but at this point the winds look to keep
critical fire conditions in check.

The forecast for Thursday through the daytime Friday remains dry.
Models showing continued low amplitude northwesterly to zonal
upper level flow across the region, but the potential for
disturbances to affect the area increases later in the day Friday.
At this point though, any precip chances look to remain out of
the CWA. Compared to the first few days of the work week, Thur/Fri
winds looking to be a break, with speeds currently forecast
around 10-15 MPH. High temperatures are forecast to warm back up
into the mid 60s to lower 70s.

Friday night and into the week, overall confidence isn't the
highest, as precipitation chances re-enter the forecast. Models
showing the potential for a couple of disturbances to pass through
the region in that zonal upper level flow, but there are some
timing/location differences between models. Made no changes to the
model blend. Highs through the weekend look to fall back into the
50s, still above normal for this time of year.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 18Z Monday)
Issued at 1157 AM CST Sun Mar 5 2017

...Strong Cross Winds and G50 kts Possible Tomorrow...

Significant Wx: LLWS tonight then cold frontal passage and strong
cross winds tomorrow with gusts close to 50 kts likely after 17Z.

This Afternoon: VFR. Just a few patches of 25K ft cirrostratus. S
winds 10-15 kts. Confidence: High

Tonight: VFR with multi-layered CIGs moving in AOA 12K ft. There
is some potential for IFR stratus to move back into GRI. But the
two best models keep it to the E...so kept GRI VFR. LLWS
develops. S winds increase 20-30 kts. Confidence: High

Mon thru 18Z: VFR. LLWS ends. Cold frontal passage. Then very
windy with WSW winds gusting 40-50 kts. BLDU could reduce vsbys to
MVFR after 17Z. Confidence: High

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 348 AM CST Sun Mar 5 2017

Today:
Fire weather continues to be a concern today with extreme/
critical fire danger across portions of north central Kansas and
south central nebraska. Similar to the last couple of days, the
lowest RH values and the highest wind values are in different
locations, but they do overlap south and west of a line from
Johnson Lake to Minden, NE to Franklin, NE to Beloit, KS. Some of
the eastern most counties in the warning are more marginal with
higher dewpoints/RH values possible, but winds will be the
strongest in those areas and decided to hedge the RH values with
the stronger winds. Outside of the extreme/critical fire danger,
very high/near critical fire danger is expected generally along
and east of Hwy 281 in Nebraska and Kansas.

Monday - Tuesday:
Dangerous fire weather conditions are forecast for Monday, and a
Red Flag Warning has been issued for the afternoon/early evening
hours across the entire CWA. A cold front pushing through the
region will usher in strong west-northwest winds and notably drier
air mass. Sustained speeds over 30 MPH and gusts near 45 MPH
(possibly higher?) are expected. There is some concern, mainly
across the west, that sustained speeds may be closer to 40 MPH,
but not all guidance is in agreement showing that. Dewpoints in
the morning are expected to be in the 30s/40s, but behind the
front through the afternoon, they are forecast to fall into the
single digits/teens. The resulting RH values are expected to drop
below 20% across the entire CWA.

For Tuesday, critical fire weather conditions will again be
possible. While high temperatures are forecast to only top out in
the 50s (still above normal), dewpoints in the single digits to
lower teens are expected to remain in place, bringing another
round of RH values near/below 20%. Northwest winds with sustained
speeds near 25 MPH and gusts over 30 MPH will again be possible.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 348 AM CST Sun Mar 5 2017

Record high temperatures for Today March 5th...

Grand Island: 78 degrees, set in 1978
Hastings: 75 degrees, set in 2009, 1950 & 1910

The forecast high temperature for both Grand Island and Hastings
is 73 degrees.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...Red Flag Warning from noon to 8 PM CST Monday for NEZ039>041-
     046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087.

     Red Flag Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for NEZ072>074-
     082>084.

KS...Red Flag Warning from noon to 8 PM CST Monday for KSZ005>007-
     017>019.

     Red Flag Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for KSZ005-006-
     017>019.

&&

UPDATE...Kelley
SHORT TERM...Billings Wright
LONG TERM...ADP
AVIATION...Kelley
FIRE WEATHER...ADP/Billings Wright
CLIMATE...Billings Wright
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 5, 9:59 AM CST, 3 hours 59 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Hastings NE
959 AM CST Sun Mar 5 2017

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
061600-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
959 AM CST Sun Mar 5 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Critical or near-critical fire danger will occur over the entire
area this afternoon. A Red Flag Warning is in effect where
conditions will be critical...along and southwest of a line from
Johnson Lake Nebraska to Minden to Franklin to Beloit, Kansas.
Please see the latest Red Flag Warning for details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Critical fire weather conditions will occur across the entire
area Monday and Tuesday. A Red Flag Warning has been issued for
Monday afternoon and early evening for the entire outlook area.
Please refer to the latest Red Flag Warning message for details.

Monday afternoon, strong west to northwest winds will occur across
the area. Speeds of 30 to 35 MPH are expected for many locations,
with gusts near 45 MPH possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

Kelley

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 5, 8:19 AM CST, 5 hours 39 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
819 AM CST Sun Mar 5 2017

NEZ039-046-060-061-072>074-051600-
Valley-Sherman-Dawson-Buffalo-Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-
Including the cities of Ord, Loup City, Sherman Reservoir,
Litchfield, Lexington, Cozad, Willow Island, Gothenburg, Kearney,
Elwood, Johnson Lake, Holdrege, and Minden
819 AM CST Sun Mar 5 2017

...Patchy Dense Fog Affecting Some Areas West of Highway 281...

Areas of dense fog have developed this morning...and visibility
was reduced to one-quarter mile or less...including portions of
Interstate 80 and Highway 6. Visibilities will be variable over
the next two hours...creating hazardous driving conditions.
Drivers should be prepared for drastic changes in visibility over
short distances. Use low beam headlights and leave plenty of
distance between you and the vehicle in front of you.

Visibilities will begin to improve after 10 am...and the fog will
be entirely fog by noon.

Kelley

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 5, 3:44 AM CSTRed Flag WarningGIDMitchell, Osborne, Phillips, Rooks, Smith9 hr
Mar 5, 3:44 AM CSTRed Flag WarningGIDJewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Phillips, Rooks, Smith40 hr

Nearby

High Wind Warnings in Nebraska, 2017High Wind Warnings in Kansas, 2017Every high wind warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.