Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2017

Flash Flood Warning 13, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

July 15, 2017Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jul 15, 2017, 5:52 PM MST for Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 15, 2017, 5:52 PM MST (00:52 UTC)
Expired
Jul 15, 2017, 8:45 PM MST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 157 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Phoenix, AZ (KPSR), launched 00:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 126 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phoenix, AZ at 00:00Z on 2017-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 791 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phoenix, AZ at 00:00Z on 2017-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 24 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
791 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-54 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2539 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
69 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

197 
WGUS55 KFGZ 160052
FFWFGZ
AZC025-160345-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FF.W.0013.170716T0052Z-170716T0345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
552 PM MST SAT JUL 15 2017

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Yavapai County in west central Arizona...

* Until 845 PM MST

* At 550 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  very heavy rain across the warned area, including Congress and 
  portions of Highways 89, 71, and 93. A large area has already 
  received 1 to 1.5 inches of rain with additional heavy rain likely 
  through 630 PM MST. Flash flooding is expected to begin shortly.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Congress and Yava. 

This includes the following streams and drainages...Bullard Wash...
Sycamore Creek...Hassayampa River...Woolsey Wash...Tank Wash...
Waterman Creek...Bland Creek...Eastwood Creek...Santa Maria River...
Kirkland Creek...Poplar Wash...Skull Valley Wash...Smith Canyon...
Quail Spring Wash...Cottonwood Creek...South Fork Santa Maria
River...Black Canyon Wash...Weaver Creek...Tonto Wash...Sols Wash...
Antelope Creek...Alkali Wash...Big Shipp Wash...Date Creek...Tank
Creek...Little Shipp Wash...Model Creek...Martinez Wash...Burnt Wash
and Martinez Creek.

This includes the following highways...
 State Route 89 between mile markers 258 and 272.
 State Route 71 between mile markers 98 and 109.
 Highway 93 between mile markers 170 and 196.
 State Route 96 between mile markers 10 and 21.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.

&&

LAT...LON 3450 11307 3464 11289 3462 11267 3422 11281
      3396 11259 3400 11274 3400 11288 3413 11310

$$
JJ
2 follow-up statements
424 
WGUS75 KFGZ 160236
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
736 PM MST SAT JUL 15 2017

AZC025-160345-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170716T0345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yavapai-
736 PM MST SAT JUL 15 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM MST FOR
YAVAPAI COUNTY...

At 724 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated that heavy rain has moved out 
of the warning area with only light rain continuing at this time. 
Radar indicated a large area received 1.00 to 1.50 inches of rain 
earlier this evening from just north of Wickenburg to Congress, and 
the Date Creek drainage in west central Yavapai County. Flash 
flooding is likely along Date Creek in mainly rural areas.

This includes the following streams and drainages...Bullard Wash...
Sycamore Creek...Hassayampa River...Woolsey Wash...Tank Wash...
Waterman Creek...Bland Creek...Eastwood Creek...Santa Maria River...
Kirkland Creek...Poplar Wash...Skull Valley Wash...Smith Canyon...
Quail Spring Wash...Cottonwood Creek...South Fork Santa Maria
River...Black Canyon Wash...Weaver Creek...Tonto Wash...Sols Wash...
Antelope Creek...Alkali Wash...Big Shipp Wash...Date Creek...Tank
Creek...Little Shipp Wash...Model Creek...Martinez Wash...Burnt Wash
and Martinez Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.

&&

LAT...LON 3450 11307 3464 11289 3462 11267 3422 11281
      3396 11259 3400 11274 3400 11288 3413 11310

$$
JJ
773 
WGUS75 KFGZ 160349
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
849 PM MST SAT JUL 15 2017

AZC025-160358-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FF.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170716T0345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yavapai-
849 PM MST SAT JUL 15 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR YAVAPAI COUNTY HAS EXPIRED...

The heavy rain has ended over the warning area including Congress 
and the Date Creek drainage in western Yavapai County. While storm 
runoff will continue overnight, significant flooding is no longer 
expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed any remaining 
road closures.

LAT...LON 3450 11307 3464 11289 3462 11267 3422 11281
      3396 11259 3400 11274 3400 11288 3413 11310

$$
JJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 5:26 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZYavapai3 hr
Jul 15, 5:34 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai26 min
Jul 15, 6:11 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ49 min
Jul 16, 3:31 AM MSTFlash Flood WatchFGZApache, Coconino, Gila, Navajo, Yavapai42 hr
Jul 16, 11:51 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ24 min
Jul 16, 12:25 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ35 min
Jul 16, 12:35 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ25 min
Jul 16, 1:01 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ29 min
Jul 16, 1:14 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai31 min
Jul 16, 1:35 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ25 min
Jul 16, 1:51 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai24 min
Jul 16, 2:12 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ33 min
Jul 16, 2:18 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai27 min
Jul 16, 2:27 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai31 min
Jul 16, 2:40 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ35 min
Jul 16, 2:54 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai24 min
Jul 16, 3:13 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai16 min
Jul 16, 3:20 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai28 min
Jul 16, 4:57 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ48 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2017Every flash flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.