Alert archive / New York / River Flood Warnings in 2017
River Flood Warning 23, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this river flood warning at Nov 5, 2017, 8:12 AM EST for Genesee County, Wyoming County, New York. It took effect at Nov 5, 2017, 10:55 AM EST. It was in force for 30 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 5, 2017, 8:12 AM EST (13:12 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 5, 2017, 10:55 AM EST
- Expired
- Nov 6, 2017, 4:39 PM EST
- In force
- 30 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Genesee County, NY, Wyoming County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 40 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Tonawanda Creek at Attica (ATTN6). The gauge peaked at 9.60 ft at Nov 6, 2017, 2:00 AM EST.
- Action stage
- 6 ft
- Minor stage
- 8 ft
- Moderate stage
- 10 ft
- Major stage
- 12 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04216418, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
146
WGUS41 KBUF 051312
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
812 AM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
...The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Flood Warning
for The following rivers in New York...
Cazenovia Creek Near Ebenezer
Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster
Tonawanda Creek At Attica
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC029-051912-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0021.171105T2248Z-171107T0052Z/
/EBZN6.1.ER.171105T2248Z.171106T1200Z.171106T1852Z.UU/
812 AM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a
* Flood warning for
the Cazenovia Creek Near Ebenezer
* from this afternoon to Monday evening.
* At 8 AM Sunday the stage was 6.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage late
this afternoon and crest near 11.1 feet Monday morning.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Moderate flood, localized flooding possible
in vicinity of Southgate Plaza in West Seneca; considerable
flooding in the Cazenovia Park area of South Buffalo and West
Seneca.
&&
LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858
4273 7857 4275 7870
$$
NYC029-121-051911-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0022.171106T0909Z-171106T2324Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.171106T0909Z.171106T1200Z.171106T1724Z.UU/
812 AM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a
* Flood warning for
the Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster
* from late tonight to Monday evening.
* At 7 AM Sunday the stage was 5.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage early
Monday morning and crest near 8.9 feet Monday morning.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flooding in lowlying areas
of Lancaster and Alden.
&&
LAT...LON 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864
4292 7848 4281 7846
$$
NYC037-121-051911-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0023.171105T1555Z-171106T2139Z/
/ATTN6.1.ER.171105T1555Z.171106T1200Z.171106T1539Z.UU/
812 AM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a
* Flood warning for
the Tonawanda Creek At Attica
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 8 AM Sunday the stage was 7.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage late
this morning and crest near 9.4 feet Monday morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Moderate flood, extensive flooding on
Propsect Street impacting the water treatment plant. Some
residential flooding on Water and North Streets and the south end
of Exchange Street in Attica village.
&&
LAT...LON 4270 7837 4282 7833 4293 7832 4293 7817
4282 7822 4270 7827
$$
HITCHCOCK6 follow-up statements
631
WGUS81 KBUF 051712
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1212 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Cazenovia Creek Near Ebenezer
Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster
Tonawanda Creek At Attica
Buffalo Creek Near Gardenville
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC029-052312-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0021.171106T1000Z-171106T1924Z/
/EBZN6.1.ER.171106T1000Z.171106T1200Z.171106T1324Z.UU/
1212 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Cazenovia Creek Near Ebenezer
* from late tonight to Monday afternoon.
* At 12 PM Sunday the stage was 7.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage early
Monday morning and crest near 10.7 feet Monday morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flooding can be expected
in low lying areas east of Orchard Park Road and south of Ridge
Road in West Seneca. Some inundation of Cazenovia Park in South
Buffalo.
&&
LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858
4273 7857 4275 7870
$$
NYC029-121-052312-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0024.171106T0448Z-171106T1255Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.171106T0448Z.171106T0600Z.171106T0655Z.NO/
1212 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Buffalo Creek Near Gardenville
* from this evening to Monday morning.
* At 11 AM Sunday the stage was 5.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage tonight
and crest near 7.2 feet late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 7.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flooding is possible along
the low lying areas next to Buffalo Creek, especially around the
farm fields downstream from Union Road.
&&
LAT...LON 4288 7889 4288 7857 4278 7856 4278 7861
4282 7867 4282 7887
$$
NYC029-121-052312-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0022.171106T1200Z-171106T1800Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.171106T1200Z.171106T1200Z.171106T1200Z.UU/
1212 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster
* from Monday morning to Monday afternoon.
* At 11 AM Sunday the stage was 6.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near the 8 foot flood stage
Monday morning.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flooding in lowlying areas
of Lancaster and Alden.
&&
LAT...LON 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864
4292 7848 4281 7846
$$
NYC037-121-052312-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-171106T1400Z/
/ATTN6.1.ER.171106T0451Z.171106T0600Z.171106T0800Z.UU/
1212 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Tonawanda Creek At Attica
* until Monday morning.
* At 12 PM Sunday the stage was 6.5 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage tonight
and crest near 8.5 feet late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Flood stage, flooding begins on Prospect
Street north of the bridge which may impact a commerical plaza
there. Flooding on the Attica rodeo grounds and youth athletic
field on Exchange Street.
&&
LAT...LON 4270 7837 4282 7833 4293 7832 4293 7817
4282 7822 4270 7827
$$
HITCHCOCK132
WGUS81 KBUF 052310
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
610 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Cazenovia Creek Near Ebenezer
Buffalo Creek Near Gardenville
Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster
Tonawanda Creek At Attica
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC029-060510-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0021.171106T1000Z-171106T1924Z/
/EBZN6.1.ER.171106T1000Z.171106T1200Z.171106T1324Z.UU/
610 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Cazenovia Creek Near Ebenezer
* from late tonight to Monday afternoon.
* At 5 PM Sunday the stage was 7.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage early
Monday morning and crest near 10.7 feet Monday morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flooding can be expected
in low lying areas east of Orchard Park Road and south of Ridge
Road in West Seneca. Some inundation of Cazenovia Park in South
Buffalo.
&&
LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858
4273 7857 4275 7870
$$
NYC029-121-060510-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0024.171106T0448Z-171106T1255Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.171106T0448Z.171106T0600Z.171106T0655Z.NO/
610 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Buffalo Creek Near Gardenville
* from this evening to Monday morning.
* At 5 PM Sunday the stage was 4.4 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage tonight
and crest near 7.2 feet late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 7.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flooding is possible along
the low lying areas next to Buffalo Creek, especially around the
farm fields downstream from Union Road.
&&
LAT...LON 4288 7889 4288 7857 4278 7856 4278 7861
4282 7867 4282 7887
$$
NYC029-121-060510-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.171106T1200Z-171106T1800Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.171106T1200Z.171106T1200Z.171106T1200Z.UU/
610 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster
* from Monday morning to Monday afternoon.
* At 5 PM Sunday the stage was 5.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near flood stage Monday
morning.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flooding in lowlying areas
of Lancaster and Alden.
&&
LAT...LON 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864
4292 7848 4281 7846
$$
NYC037-121-060510-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-171106T1400Z/
/ATTN6.1.ER.171106T0451Z.171106T0600Z.171106T0800Z.UU/
610 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Tonawanda Creek At Attica
* until Monday morning.
* At 5 PM Sunday the stage was 5.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage tonight
and crest near 8.5 feet late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Flood stage, flooding begins on Prospect
Street north of the bridge which may impact a commercial plaza
there. Flooding on the Attica rodeo grounds and youth athletic
field on Exchange Street.
&&
LAT...LON 4270 7837 4282 7833 4293 7832 4293 7817
4282 7822 4270 7827
$$
Thomas478
WGUS81 KBUF 060239
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
939 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Cazenovia Creek Near Ebenezer
Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster
Tonawanda Creek At Attica
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC029-060839-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0021.171106T0346Z-171106T1450Z/
/EBZN6.1.ER.171106T0346Z.171106T0600Z.171106T0850Z.UU/
939 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Cazenovia Creek Near Ebenezer
* until Monday morning.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 8.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage tonight
and crest near 11.7 feet late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Moderate flood, localized flooding possible
in vicinity of Southgate Plaza in West Seneca; considerable
flooding in the Cazenovia Park area of South Buffalo and West
Seneca.
&&
LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858
4273 7857 4275 7870
$$
NYC029-121-060839-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0022.171106T0350Z-171106T1732Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.171106T0350Z.171106T0600Z.171106T1132Z.UU/
939 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 8 PM Sunday the stage was 6.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage tonight
and crest near 9.2 feet late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Moderate flood, flooding of backyards,
basements and streets in Village of Lancaster. Some flooding of low
lying areas in Alden, Marilla, and Cheektowaga, especially near
Bowen Road and Transit Road. Some flooding possible near Union Road
too.
&&
LAT...LON 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864
4292 7848 4281 7846
$$
NYC037-121-060839-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-171106T1419Z/
/ATTN6.1.ER.171106T0418Z.171106T0600Z.171106T0819Z.UU/
939 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
...Flood warning extended until Monday morning...
The flood warning continues for
The Tonawanda Creek At Attica
* until Monday morning.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 6.4 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage tonight
and crest near 9.2 feet late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Moderate flood, extensive flooding on
Prospect Street impacting the water treatment plant. Some
residential flooding on Water and North Streets and the south end
of Exchange Street in Attica village.
&&
LAT...LON 4270 7837 4282 7833 4293 7832 4293 7817
4282 7822 4270 7827
$$832
WGUS81 KBUF 060411
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1111 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Cattaraugus Creek At Gowanda
Cazenovia Creek Near Ebenezer
Buffalo Creek Near Gardenville
Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster
Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville
Tonawanda Creek At Attica
Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC029-121-061011-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-171106T1539Z/
/GDVN6.2.ER.171106T0405Z.171106T0600Z.171106T0939Z.NO/
1111 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Buffalo Creek Near Gardenville
* Until Monday morning.
* At 10 PM Sunday the stage was 6.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the creek is expected to rise above flood stage tonight
and crest near 8.4 feet late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Moderate flood, flooding is likely along low
lying areas near the Buffalo Creek, especially near Collins Avenue,
Elma Town Park, and in some sections of Elma Village north of the
Bowen Road bridge.
&&
LAT...LON 4288 7889 4288 7857 4278 7856 4278 7861
4282 7867 4282 7887
$$
NYC009-013-029-121-061011-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0027.171106T0546Z-171106T1500Z/
/GOWN6.1.ER.171106T0546Z.171106T0600Z.171106T0900Z.NO/
1111 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Cattaraugus Creek At Gowanda
* Until Monday morning.
* At 10 PM Sunday the stage was 7.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage late
tonight and crest near 10.2 feet late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, flooding along right bank a
half mile to a mile downstream from Gowanda, mostly in industrial
and commercial areas. Watch for developing problems along Thatcher
Creek in Gowanda and at Sunset Bay at the mouth near Lake Erie.
&&
LAT...LON 4262 7910 4251 7885 4259 7838 4247 7836
4238 7890 4254 7921
$$
NYC029-061011-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-171106T1450Z/
/EBZN6.1.ER.171106T0359Z.171106T0600Z.171106T0850Z.UU/
1111 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Cazenovia Creek Near Ebenezer
* Until Monday morning.
* At 10 PM Sunday the stage was 9.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage tonight
and crest near 11.7 feet late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Moderate flood, localized flooding possible
in vicinity of Southgate Plaza in West Seneca; considerable
flooding in the Cazenovia Park area of South Buffalo and West
Seneca.
&&
LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858
4273 7857 4275 7870
$$
NYC029-121-061011-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-171106T1732Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.171106T0357Z.171106T0600Z.171106T1132Z.UU/
1111 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 10 PM Sunday the stage was 7.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage tonight
and crest near 9.2 feet late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Moderate flood, flooding of backyards,
basements and streets in Village of Lancaster. Some flooding of low
lying areas in Alden, Marilla, and Cheektowaga, especially near
Bowen Road and Transit Road. Some flooding possible near Union Road
too.
&&
LAT...LON 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864
4292 7848 4281 7846
$$
NYC029-037-061011-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.171107T0000Z-171107T1430Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.171107T0000Z.171107T0600Z.171107T0830Z.NO/
1111 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville
* from Monday evening to Tuesday morning.
* At 10 PM Sunday the stage was 5.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage Monday
evening and crest near 8.5 feet early Tuesday morning.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Flood stage, some flooding begins along Aero
Drive from Holtz to Transit Roads in Cheektowaga. Also some
flooding along the flood control project area in Amherst such as
the bike path and golf course. Minor flooding in Ellicott Creek
Park. Little or no overall damage.
&&
LAT...LON 4293 7875 4301 7889 4304 7889 4304 7875
4295 7865 4293 7865
$$
NYC037-121-061011-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-171106T1419Z/
/ATTN6.1.ER.171106T0338Z.171106T0600Z.171106T0819Z.UU/
1111 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Tonawanda Creek At Attica
* until Monday morning.
* At 11 PM Sunday the stage was 7.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage tonight
and crest near 9.2 feet late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Moderate flood, extensive flooding on
Prospect Street impacting the water treatment plant. Some
residential flooding on Water and North Streets and the south end
of Exchange Street in Attica village.
&&
LAT...LON 4270 7837 4282 7833 4293 7832 4293 7817
4282 7822 4270 7827
$$
NYC029-037-063-121-061010-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.171106T1630Z-171107T1048Z/
/BTVN6.1.ER.171106T1630Z.171106T1800Z.171107T0448Z.NO/
1111 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
* from Monday morning to late Monday night.
* At 10 PM Sunday the stage was 4.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage late
Monday morning and crest near 9.5 feet early Monday afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Moderate flood, flooding along West Main
Street and South Main Street in Batavia and along the creek from
Batavia to East Pembroke, extending to the Tonawanda Indian
Reservation. Flooding will mainly impact roads, with some
residential and commercial flooding possible.
&&
LAT...LON 4299 7831 4305 7863 4315 7864 4315 7810
4293 7817 4293 7832
$$809
WGUS81 KBUF 060900
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
400 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Genesee River At Avon
Cattaraugus Creek At Gowanda
Buffalo Creek Near Gardenville
Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster
Tonawanda Creek At Attica
Cazenovia Creek Near Ebenezer
Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville
Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC029-061500-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-171107T0400Z/
/EBZN6.2.ER.171106T0443Z.171106T1200Z.171106T2200Z.UU/
400 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Cazenovia Creek Near Ebenezer
* until this evening.
* At 4 AM Monday the stage was 12.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate Flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the creek will continue to rise and crest near 12.2 feet
this morning.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Moderate flood, localized flooding possible
in vicinity of Southgate Plaza in West Seneca; considerable
flooding in the Cazenovia Park area of South Buffalo and West
Seneca.
&&
LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858
4273 7857 4275 7870
$$
NYC029-121-061500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-171106T2003Z/
/GDVN6.2.ER.171106T0449Z.171106T1200Z.171106T1403Z.NO/
400 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
...Flood warning extended until this afternoon...
The flood warning continues for
The Buffalo Creek Near Gardenville
* until this afternoon.
* At 3 AM Monday the stage was 7.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the creek will continue to rise and crest near 8.0 feet
this morning.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Moderate flood, flooding is likely along low
lying areas near the Buffalo Creek, especially near Collins Avenue,
Elma Town Park, and in some sections of Elma Village north of the
Bowen Road bridge.
&&
LAT...LON 4288 7889 4288 7857 4278 7856 4278 7861
4282 7867 4282 7887
$$
NYC051-055-061500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-171106T1819Z/
/AVON6.1.ER.171106T0454Z.171106T0815Z.171106T1219Z.NO/
400 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
...Flood warning extended until this afternoon...
The flood warning continues for
The Genesee River At Avon
* until this afternoon.
* At 3 AM Monday the stage was 34.0 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage this morning.
* IMPACT...At 33.0 feet...Flood stage, river overflows at many areas
from Geneseo to Scottsville, but mainly in agricultural lands with
little damage.
&&
LAT...LON 4290 7787 4306 7776 4306 7764 4292 7772
4279 7780 4278 7789
$$
NYC009-013-029-121-061500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-171106T1811Z/
/GOWN6.1.ER.171106T0434Z.171106T0530Z.171106T1211Z.NO/
400 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
...Flood warning extended until this afternoon...
The flood warning continues for
The Cattaraugus Creek At Gowanda
* until late this morning.
* At 3 AM Monday the stage was 10.0 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the creek is expected to fall below flood stage this morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, flooding along right bank a
half mile to a mile downstream from gowanda, mostly in industrial
and commercial areas. Watch for developing problems along Thatcher
Creek in Gowanda and at sunset bay at the mouth near Lake Erie.
&&
LAT...LON 4262 7910 4251 7885 4259 7838 4247 7836
4238 7890 4254 7921
$$
NYC029-121-061459-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-171106T1746Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.171106T0403Z.171106T0815Z.171106T1146Z.UU/
400 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
...Flood warning extended until early this afternoon...
The flood warning continues for
The Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster
* until this afternoon.
* At 3 AM Monday the stage was 9.4 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the creek is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage late this morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Moderate flood, flooding of backyards,
basements and streets in Village of Lancaster. Some flooding of low
lying areas in Alden, Marilla, and Cheektowaga, especially near
Bowen Road and Transit Road. Some flooding possible near Union Road
too.
&&
LAT...LON 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864
4292 7848 4281 7846
$$
NYC029-037-061459-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.171107T0000Z-171107T1430Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.171107T0000Z.171107T0600Z.171107T0830Z.NO/
400 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville
* from this evening to Tuesday morning.
* At 3 AM Monday the stage was 5.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the creek is expected to rise above flood stage this
evening and crest near 8.5 feet late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Flood stage, some flooding begins along Aero
Drive from Holtz to Transit Roads in Cheektowaga. Also some
flooding along the flood control project area in Amherst such as
the bike path and golf course. Minor flooding in Ellicott Creek
Park. Little or no overall damage.
&&
LAT...LON 4293 7875 4301 7889 4304 7889 4304 7875
4295 7865 4293 7865
$$
NYC037-121-061459-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-171106T1553Z/
/ATTN6.1.ER.171106T0335Z.171106T0731Z.171106T0953Z.UU/
400 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
...Flood warning extended until this morning...
The flood warning continues for
The Tonawanda Creek At Attica
* until this morning.
* At 4 AM Monday the stage was 9.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the creek is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage this morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Moderate flood, extensive flooding on
Prospect Street impacting the water treatment plant. Some
residential flooding on Water and North Streets and the south end
of Exchange Street in Attica village.
&&
LAT...LON 4270 7837 4282 7833 4293 7832 4293 7817
4282 7822 4270 7827
$$
NYC029-037-063-121-061459-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.171106T1630Z-171107T1048Z/
/BTVN6.1.ER.171106T1630Z.171106T1800Z.171107T0448Z.NO/
400 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
* from this morning to late tonight.
* At 3 AM Monday the stage was 6.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the creek is expected to rise above flood stage late
this morning and crest near 9.5 feet this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Moderate flood, flooding along West Main
Street and South Main Street in Batavia and along the creek from
Batavia to East Pembroke, extending to the Tonawanda Indian
Reservation. Flooding will mainly impact roads, with some
residential and commercial flooding possible.
&&
LAT...LON 4299 7831 4305 7863 4315 7864 4315 7810
4293 7817 4293 7832
$$
Apffel503
WGUS81 KBUF 061103
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for The following rivers in New
York...
Cattaraugus Creek At Gowanda
Tonawanda Creek At Attica
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Genesee River At Avon
Buffalo Creek Near Gardenville
Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster
Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville
Genesee River At Rochester
Oatka Creek At Garbutt
Cazenovia Creek Near Ebenezer
Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC029-061703-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-171107T0400Z/
/EBZN6.2.ER.171106T0443Z.171106T1016Z.171106T2200Z.UU/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Cazenovia Creek Near Ebenezer
* until this evening.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 12.3 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate Flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the creek is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage late this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Moderate flood, localized flooding possible
in vicinity of Southgate Plaza in West Seneca; considerable
flooding in the Cazenovia Park area of South Buffalo and West
Seneca.
&&
LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858
4273 7857 4275 7870
$$
NYC051-055-061703-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-171107T0251Z/
/AVON6.1.ER.171106T0454Z.171106T1200Z.171106T2051Z.NO/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
...Flood warning extended until this evening...
The flood warning continues for
The Genesee River at Avon
* until this evening.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 34.0 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop below
flood stage late this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 33.0 feet...Flood stage, river overflows at many areas
from Geneseo to Scottsville, but mainly in agricultural lands with
little damage.
&&
LAT...LON 4290 7787 4306 7776 4306 7764 4292 7772
4279 7780 4278 7789
$$
NYC055-061703-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0030.171106T1648Z-171107T0100Z/
/RHRN6.1.ER.171106T1648Z.171106T1800Z.171106T1900Z.NO/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Genesee River At Rochester
* from this morning to this evening.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 13.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage late
this morning and crest near 15.1 feet this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 15.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flood, some residential
flooding begins in southern suburbs in Henrietta and Chili.
&&
LAT...LON 4306 7776 4327 7763 4324 7757 4315 7758
4306 7764
$$
NYC037-055-061703-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0029.171106T1500Z-171107T0600Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.171106T1500Z.171106T1800Z.171107T0000Z.UU/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Oatka Creek At Garbutt
* from this morning to late tonight.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 5.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the creek is expected to rise above flood stage late
this morning and crest near 6.1 feet this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 6.0 feet...Flood stage, general flooding of agricultural
land begins, some basement flooding in Scottsville and Garbutt.
&&
LAT...LON 4304 7771 4299 7771 4299 7794 4297 7798
4297 7802 4302 7798
$$
NYC029-121-061702-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-171106T1702Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.171106T0449Z.171106T0945Z.171106T1102Z.NO/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Buffalo Creek Near Gardenville
* until this afternoon.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 7.7 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the creek is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage this morning.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Moderate flood, flooding is likely along low
lying areas near the Buffalo Creek, especially near Collins Avenue,
Elma Town Park, and in some sections of Elma Village north of the
Bowen Road bridge.
&&
LAT...LON 4288 7889 4288 7857 4278 7856 4278 7861
4282 7867 4282 7887
$$
NYC029-121-061703-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-171106T1746Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.171106T0403Z.171106T0815Z.171106T1146Z.UU/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Cayuga Creek near Lancaster
* until this afternoon.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 8.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the creek will continue to fall...and is expected to
drop below flood stage this morning.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flooding in low lying areas
of Lancaster and Alden.
&&
LAT...LON 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864
4292 7848 4281 7846
$$
NYC029-037-061703-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0025.171107T0000Z-171107T1348Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.171107T0000Z.171107T0600Z.171107T0748Z.NO/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville
* from this evening to Tuesday morning.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 5.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage this
evening and crest near 8.3 feet late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Flood stage, some flooding begins along Aero
Drive from Holtz to Transit Roads in Cheektowaga. Also some
flooding along the flood control project area in Amherst such as
the bike path and golf course. Minor flooding in Ellicott Creek
Park. Little or no overall damage.
&&
LAT...LON 4293 7875 4301 7889 4304 7889 4304 7875
4295 7865 4293 7865
$$
NYC037-121-061133-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-171106T1553Z/
/ATTN6.1.ER.171106T0335Z.171106T0731Z.171106T1013Z.UU/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
The flood warning is cancelled for
The Tonawanda Creek At Attica.
* At 6 AM Monday the stage was 7.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river fell below flood stage early this morning and
will continue to fall to around 4.5 feet by Tuesday morning.
&&
LAT...LON 4270 7837 4282 7833 4293 7832 4293 7817
4282 7822 4270 7827
$$
NYC029-037-063-121-061703-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.171106T1630Z-171107T1048Z/
/BTVN6.1.ER.171106T1630Z.171106T1800Z.171107T0448Z.NO/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
* from this morning to late tonight.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 6.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage late
this morning and crest near 9.5 feet this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Moderate flood, flooding along West Main
Street and South Main Street in Batavia and along the creek from
Batavia to East Pembroke, extending to the Tonawanda Indian
Reservation. Flooding will mainly impact roads, with some
residential and commercial flooding possible.
&&
LAT...LON 4299 7831 4305 7863 4315 7864 4315 7810
4293 7817 4293 7832
$$
NYC029-063-061703-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0031.171107T2315Z-171108T1800Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171107T2315Z.171108T0600Z.171108T1200Z.NO/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
* from Tuesday evening to Wednesday afternoon.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 7.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage Tuesday
evening and crest near 12.2 feet late Tuesday night.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm areas
along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda Indian
Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby, and
Tonawanda Creek Roads.
&&
LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863
4315 7847 4302 7846
$$
NYC009-013-029-121-061133-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-171106T1811Z/
/GOWN6.1.ER.171106T0434Z.171106T0530Z.171106T0647Z.NO/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017
The flood warning is cancelled for
The Cattaraugus Creek At Gowanda.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 9.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river fell below flood stage early this morning and
will continue to fall to around 4.4 feet by Tuesday morning.
&&
LAT...LON 4262 7910 4251 7885 4259 7838 4247 7836
4238 7890 4254 7921
$$
ApffelWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Nov 5, 6:52 AM EST, 1 hour 20 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 5, 6:52 AM EST, 1 hour 20 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
652 AM EST Sun Nov 5 2017
.SYNOPSIS...
A warm front will cross the area early today with a few rounds of
showers and possible thunderstorms. A cold front will then slowly
cross the area tonight and early Monday with more rain and a
few thunderstorms. Some of this rain may be heavy. High pressure
will then bring mainly dry and cool weather Monday night and
through most of next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Rounds of showers and embedded thunderstorms continue to move
northeast across the region this morning as isentropic lift
increases aided by mid-level shortwave, weak warm front and nose
of a low-level jet. The most concentrated activity should be
through this morning, before the activity becomes more scattered
by afternoon, as best lift moves off to the north.
It will be an unseasonably warm day with temperatures reaching
the the mid 60s along the lake plains aided by downslope flow
within the warm sector, with upper 50s to lower 60s elsewhere.
Deep southwesterly flow within the warm sector will continue to
funnel higher theta-e air into the area tonight, as precipitable
water values increase to near one and a half inches over western
New York. While the greatest threat of severe weather will
remain south and west of the area in the better pool of
instability, there remains a small risk of strong to severe
storms, mainly across southwestern New york state, but perhaps
as far north as Lake Ontario as large scale ascent coupled with
decent mid level lapse rates could support strong convection
anywhere within the wedge of marginal/modest instability that
is able to spread into the area tonight. The main hazard appears
to be damaging wind gusts, especially in any organized line
segments that develop.
Very heavy downpours can also be expected with stronger storms
given the high precipitable water values. However, better threat
of widespread heavy rainfall appears to be focused south of
area where better cell training will likely set up early tonight
as an area of upper level diffluence develops over the Ohio
Valley, with low level forcing along approaching cold front
also settling into this region during this time frame. But due
to the uncertainty of where the axis of heaviest rainfall will
be, flood watch will remain in place for the entire area.
The rain and scattered storms will remain likely into the
overnight hours before cold front sweeps through the area
with passage of upper level shortwave to the north of the Great
Lakes, the greatest coverage of significant convection will
shift decidedly southeast by Monday morning.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
By daybreak on Monday a cold front should be somewhere near a
Watertown to Wellsville line with steady rain continuing along this
frontal boundary. The front will continue to move quickly to the
east with rain tapering to showers and giving way to mainly dry
conditions and partial sunshine by Monday afternoon. Northwesterly
cold advection is expected to bring a non-diurnal temperature trend
for the day with temps falling through the 50s into the 40s by days
end.
High pressure will expand across the eastern Great Lakes Monday
night, with dry weather and light northeasterly winds. However,
temperatures aloft will cool enough for some lake effect clouds, and
a sharpening mid-level boundary will result in increasing cloud
cover late Monday night. Variable cloud cover will make overnight
low temperatures tricky, with east of Lake Ontario the coldest where
mostly clear skies and light winds should allow temperatures to fall
well into the 20s. Elsewhere cloud cover should limit radiational
cooling some, with lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s.
Cloud cover will linger Tuesday which will limit daytime heating
resulting in highs in the lower to mid 40s. Model consensus tracks a
shortwave to our north and a wave of low pressure to our south late
Tuesday, which keeps our area dry despite the cloud cover. By late
Tuesday night clouds associated with the shortwave will slide to the
east providing an opportunity for radiational cooling with
temperatures falling below freezing in most areas Tuesday night.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
There is fairly high confidence that our temperatures will average
below normal during this period...as the infamous polar vortex will
direct a relatively quick shot of very cold air towards our region.
The large arctic mid level circulation will initially be centered in
the vcnty of Hudson Bay...but as we push to the end of the week...
the feature will make its way across the northern reaches of
Ontario. This scenario will allow a chunk of <-20c H85 air to charge
southeast towards our region. The good news is that the bulk of the
ECMWF ensembles suggest that the core of the coldest air will pass
to our north during which time it will have time to modify to the
minus teens c. The upshot of this while scenario is that it will
become cold...but not abnormally so. Since the cold air will be
accompanied by a relatively dry northwest flow...there is little (if
any) concern for significant lake snows. Breaking this all down...
The medium range ensembles are in good agreement as we start this
period...as surface based ridging is forecast to extend from the
central plains to the Lower Great Lakes and New England. While it
will certainly be chilly enough aloft to support some instability
over the lakes...a lowering subsidence cap from 5k ft and a very dry
synoptic environment will severely limit any lake response.
Therefore fair dry weather will be the rule Wednesday and Thursday.
After this point...the mainstream guidance packages go in separate
directions. The 00Z GFS maintains a low amplitude pattern over the
eastern portion of the continent...while the GGEM and ECMWF based
ensembles remain consistent with depicting significant amplification
of the pattern. Will base the package from this point forward on the
a mix of the ECMWF and HPC...which will be a notably colder solution
than that from the GFS ensembles.
That being said...a very robust shortwave is forecast to dig
southeast from the Canadian prairies across the Upper Great Lakes
Thursday. This will drive a strengthening cold front in our
direction...with the front forecast to make its way across the Lower
Great Lakes Thursday night. We can expect at least scattered snow
showers Thursday night. A burst of snow is not out of the question
given the projected strength of the frontal passage.
The core of the very cold air will pass just to our north during the
day Friday...while an expansive area of high pressure will build
across all of the Great Lakes. Scattered snow showers will be found
southeast of both Lake Erie and Ontario...but again...a relatively
dry synoptic environment should limit any accumulations.
As the surface high drifts across our region Friday night and
Saturday...the lake snow showers will weaken to flurries. The bulk
of the region though will experience fair but chilly weather.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A warm front will cross the area early today, with showers and
embedded thunderstorms moving across the area from southwest to
northeast. The heavier showers will produce areas of MVFR CIGS.
Increasing low level moisture will lower CIGS to MVFR and IFR
across the higher terrain this morning. SSW downslope flow will
likely force the lake plains TAF sites to remain VFR this
morning.
Through the day today, scattered shower activity within the warm
sector will produce areas of IFR for the higher terrain, and
areas of MVFR at lower elevations.
Outlook...
Tonight...Widespread IFR with heavy rain. Chance of
thunderstorms.
Monday...becoming mainly VFR.
Tuesday through Thursday...Mainly VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
Moderate southeasterly winds will become south today. Fresh
southerly winds will produce Small Craft Advisory conditions on Lake
Erie and the east half of Lake Ontario. The fresh southerly winds
will continue through this evening before diminishing with a cold
frontal passage late tonight and early Monday morning.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Flood Watch from this evening through Monday afternoon for
NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Monday for LEZ040-041.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Monday for
LOZ043>045.
&&
SYNOPSIS...CHURCH/HITCHCOCK/TMA
NEAR TERM...TMA
SHORT TERM...APFFEL
LONG TERM...APFFEL/RSH
AVIATION...CHURCH/HITCHCOCK/TMA
MARINE...CHURCH/HITCHCOCK/TMAHazardous weather outlook, Nov 5, 4:18 AM EST, 3 hours 54 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 418 AM EST Sun Nov 5 2017 NYZ001>008-011-013-014-061000- Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Genesee-Livingston-Ontario- 418 AM EST Sun Nov 5 2017 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ010-012-019>021-085-061000- Northern Erie-Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie- 418 AM EST Sun Nov 5 2017 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Scattered thunderstorms are expected this evening and tonight. Some of these storms may contain strong gusty winds. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-061000- Lower Niagara River- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 418 AM EST Sun Nov 5 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario and Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-040-041-061000- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 418 AM EST Sun Nov 5 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Scattered thunderstorms are expected this evening and tonight. Some of these storms may contain strong gusty winds. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 12:52 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Erie | 53 min |
| Nov 5, 5:34 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | BUF | Wyoming | 3 hr |
| Nov 5, 8:12 AM EST | River Flood Warning | BUF | Erie | 36 hr |
| Nov 5, 8:12 AM EST | River Flood Warning | BUF | Erie, Wyoming | 34 hr |
| Nov 5, 11:03 AM EST | River Flood Warning | BUF | Erie, Wyoming | 25 hr |
| Nov 5, 12:38 PM EST | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 33 hr | |
| Nov 5, 3:40 PM EST | Special Marine Warning | BUF | 65 min | |
| Nov 5, 3:50 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Erie | 25 min |
| Nov 5, 5:00 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Niagara, Orleans and 1 more | 24 hr |
| Nov 5, 6:38 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie | 67 min |
| Nov 5, 6:45 PM EST | Special Marine Warning | BUF | 90 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in New York, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.