Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Watches in 2017

Flash Flood Watch 4, NWS Buffalo, NY

July 12, 201713 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flash flood watch at Jul 12, 2017, 1:53 PM EDT for 13 counties in New York. It took effect at Jul 12, 2017, 5:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 34 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 12, 2017, 1:53 PM EDT (17:53 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 12, 2017, 5:00 PM EDT
Expired
Jul 14, 2017, 3:29 AM EDT
In force
34 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Flood severity
None

Counties Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2017-07-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 835 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2017-07-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 0 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
835 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
605 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
0 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
63 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

855 
WGUS61 KBUF 121753
FFABUF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
153 PM EDT Wed Jul 12 2017


NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-130200-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FF.A.0004.170712T2100Z-170713T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Northern Erie-
Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-
Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, Newark,
Fair Haven, Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, Canandaigua, 
Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville, Orchard Park, and Springville
153 PM EDT Wed Jul 12 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of central and western New 
  York...including the following counties...in central New 
  York...Northern Cayuga. In western New York...Allegany... 
  Cattaraugus...Chautauqua...Genesee...Livingston...Monroe... 
  Niagara...Northern Erie...Ontario...Orleans...Southern Erie... 
  Wayne and Wyoming. 

* From 5 PM EDT this afternoon through Thursday morning.

* Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected to
  track across the watch area this afternoon through Thursday
  morning. Some of these showers and storms will have the
  potential to create torrential downpours across areas that saw
  heavy rainfall earlier today, resulting in an elevated risk for
  flash flooding.

* Urban areas, small streams, and areas in steep terrain will be
  at the highest risk for flash flooding thorugh Thursday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means the threat of flash flooding exists
along rivers and creeks. If you are in the watch area you should
monitor weather conditions closely. Be ready to move to higher
ground if flooding is observed or a warning is issued. Stay tuned
to weather radio or other radio and tv stations for further
updates.

&&

$$

WOOD
6 follow-up statements
203 
WGUS61 KBUF 122336
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
736 PM EDT Wed Jul 12 2017

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-130900-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-170713T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Northern Erie-
Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-
Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, Newark,
Fair Haven, Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, Canandaigua, 
Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville, Orchard Park, and Springville
736 PM EDT Wed Jul 12 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Western and portions of Central New York. 

* Through Thursday morning.

* Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected to
  track across the area through Thursday morning. Some of these
  showers and storms will have the potential to create torrential
  downpours across areas that saw heavy rainfall earlier today,
  resulting in an elevated risk for flash flooding.

* Urban areas, small streams, and areas in steep terrain will be
  at the highest risk for flash flooding through Thursday 
  morning.
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means the threat of flash flooding exists
along rivers and creeks. If you are in the watch area you should
monitor weather conditions closely. Be ready to move to higher
ground if flooding is observed or a warning is issued. Stay tuned
to weather radio or other radio and tv stations for further
updates.

&&

$$

Apffel
605 
WGUS61 KBUF 130757
FFABUF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
357 AM EDT Thu Jul 13 2017


NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-131600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-170713T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Northern Erie-
Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-
Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, Newark,
Fair Haven, Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, Canandaigua, 
Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville, Orchard Park, and Springville
357 AM EDT Thu Jul 13 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* Western and portions of Central New York. 

* Through this afternoon.

* Widespread showers and thunderstorms will move across the region
  this morning. A stalled boundary from near Buffalo to the Finger
  Lakes may act as a focus for locally very heavy rainfall and
  numerous storms training over the same locations, which may
  result in flash flooding. The flash flood threat will diminish 
  from west to east this afternoon.

* Urban areas, small streams, and areas in steep terrain will be 
  at the highest risk for flash flooding through Thursday 
  morning. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means the threat of flash flooding exists
along rivers and creeks. If you are in the watch area you should
monitor weather conditions closely. Be ready to move to higher
ground if flooding is observed or a warning is issued. Stay tuned
to weather radio or other radio and tv stations for further
updates.

&&

$$

Church
830 
WGUS61 KBUF 131527
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1127 AM EDT Thu Jul 13 2017


NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-132100-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-170713T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Northern Erie-
Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-
Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, Newark,
Fair Haven, Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, Canandaigua, 
Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville, Orchard Park, and Springville
1127 AM EDT Thu Jul 13 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central and western New York...including the 
  following counties...in central New York...Northern Cayuga. In 
  western New York...Allegany...Cattaraugus...Chautauqua... 
  Genesee...Livingston...Monroe...Niagara...Northern Erie... 
  Ontario...Orleans...Southern Erie...Wayne and Wyoming. 

* Until 5 PM EDT this afternoon.

* Widespread showers and thunderstorms producing heavy rain
  continue to move across the region today. Flooding has been 
  reported across portions of the watch area already. The flash 
  flood threat will diminish from west to east this afternoon. 

* Urban areas, small streams, and areas in steep terrain will
  continue to be at the highest risk for flash flooding through 
  Thursday morning. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means the threat of flash flooding exists
along rivers and creeks. If you are in the watch area you should
monitor weather conditions closely. Be ready to move to higher
ground if flooding is observed or a warning is issued. Stay tuned
to weather radio or other radio and tv stations for further
updates.

&&

$$

Wood
414 
WGUS61 KBUF 131745
FFABUF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
145 PM EDT Thu Jul 13 2017


NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-140145-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-170714T1900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Northern Erie-
Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-
Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, Newark,
Fair Haven, Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, Canandaigua, 
Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville, Orchard Park, and Springville
145 PM EDT Thu Jul 13 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* Portions of central and western New York...including the 
  following counties...in central New York...Northern Cayuga. In 
  western New York...Allegany...Cattaraugus...Chautauqua... 
  Genesee...Livingston...Monroe...Niagara...Northern Erie... 
  Ontario...Orleans...Southern Erie...Wayne and Wyoming. 

* Through Friday afternoon.

* Widespread showers and thunderstorms producing heavy rain
  continue to move across the region today. Flooding has been
  reported across portions of the watch area already. While the
  flash flood threat will generally diminish for a time this 
  afternoon, another area of low pressure moving across the area 
  tonight will elevate the flash flood potential across the region
  once again tonight into Friday.

* Urban areas, small streams, and areas in steep terrain will 
  continue to be at the highest risk for flash flooding through 
  Thursday morning. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means the threat of flash flooding exists
along rivers and creeks. If you are in the watch area you should
monitor weather conditions closely. Be ready to move to higher
ground if flooding is observed or a warning is issued. Stay tuned
to weather radio or other radio and tv stations for further
updates.

&&

$$

WOOD
374 
WGUS61 KBUF 140134
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
934 PM EDT Thu Jul 13 2017

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-140945-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-170714T1900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Northern Erie-
Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-
Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, Newark,
Fair Haven, Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, Canandaigua, 
Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville, Orchard Park, and Springville
934 PM EDT Thu Jul 13 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central and western New York...including the 
  following counties...in central New York...Northern Cayuga. In 
  western New York...Allegany...Cattaraugus...Chautauqua... 
  Genesee...Livingston...Monroe...Niagara...Northern Erie... 
  Ontario...Orleans...Southern Erie...Wayne and Wyoming. 

* Through Friday afternoon.

* An additional round of showers and thunderstorms is expected
  across the region overnight into Friday. This additional
  rainfall could be locally heavy and will fall onto already
  saturated ground elevating the potential for flash flooding. 

* Urban areas, small streams, and areas in steep terrain will
  continue to be at the highest risk for flash flooding into
  Friday. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.
If you are in the watch area you should monitor weather conditions
closely. Be ready to move to higher ground if flooding is 
observed or a warning is issued. Stay tuned to weather radio or 
other radio and tv stations for further updates.

&&

$$

TMA
611 
WGUS61 KBUF 140729
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
329 AM EDT Fri Jul 14 2017

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-140830-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-170714T1900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Northern Erie-
Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-
Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, Newark,
Fair Haven, Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, Canandaigua, 
Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville, Orchard Park, and Springville
329 AM EDT Fri Jul 14 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of central and western New
York has been cancelled. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to
form inland from the lake breezes by midday and early afternoon,
however these storms will move along fast enough, and over areas 
that received less rainfall yesterday, which will limit the flash
flood threat today. Area creeks and streams will continue to run 
high for the next day or two, but are expected to remain within 
bankfull.

$$

Church

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 12, 7:43 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFCattaraugus62 min
Jul 12, 8:37 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie, Genesee, Wyoming38 min
Jul 12, 9:03 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFGenesee, Livingston42 min
Jul 12, 9:42 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFMonroe63 min
Jul 12, 10:49 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFWayne41 min
Jul 12, 6:24 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF51 min
Jul 12, 7:12 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF63 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in New York, 2017Every flash flood watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.