Wind Advisory 24, NWS Bismarck, ND

Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bottineau County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burke County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Divide County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Renville County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Wells County, ND, Williams County, ND

267 
WWUS73 KBIS 130303
NPWBIS

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
903 PM CST Tue Dec 12 2017

NDZ001-009-017-031-131115-
/O.EXB.KBIS.WI.Y.0024.171213T0303Z-171213T2100Z/
Divide-Williams-McKenzie-Golden Valley-
Including the cities of Crosby, Williston, Watford City, 
and Beach
903 PM CST Tue Dec 12 2017 /803 PM MST Tue Dec 12 2017/

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST /2 PM MST/ WEDNESDAY...

The National Weather Service in Bismarck has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect until 3 PM CST /2 PM MST/ Wednesday.

* TIMING...tonight through Wednesday afternoon.

* WINDS...west to northwest gusting to around 45 mph.

* IMPACTS...Driving high profile vehicles will be difficult. 
  Working outdoors on elevated structures will be hazardous. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

NDZ002>005-010>013-018>023-025-032>037-040>048-050-051-131115-
/O.EXT.KBIS.WI.Y.0024.171213T0303Z-171213T2100Z/
Burke-Renville-Bottineau-Rolette-Mountrail-Ward-McHenry-Pierce-
Dunn-Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Sheridan-Wells-Foster-Billings-Stark-
Morton-Burleigh-Kidder-Stutsman-Slope-Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-
Adams-Sioux-Emmons-Logan-La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey-
Including the cities of Bowbells, Powers Lake, Lignite, Columbus,
Portal, Mohall, Glenburn, Sherwood, Bottineau, Rolla, Dunseith, 
Rolette, Shell Valley, St. John, New Town, Stanley, Parshall, 
Minot, Velva, Towner, Drake, Rugby, Killdeer, Halliday, Beulah, 
Hazen, Center, Garrison, Washburn, Underwood, Wilton, 
Turtle Lake, Mcclusky, Goodrich, Harvey, Fessenden, Carrington, 
Medora, Dickinson, Mandan, Bismarck, Steele, Tappen, Jamestown, 
Marmarth, Mott, New England, Elgin, Carson, New Leipzig, Bowman, 
Hettinger, Fort Yates, Selfridge, Solen, Linton, Strasburg, 
Napoleon, Gackle, Lamoure, Edgeley, Kulm, Wishek, Ashley, Oakes, 
and Ellendale
903 PM CST Tue Dec 12 2017 /803 PM MST Tue Dec 12 2017/

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST /2 PM MST/ WEDNESDAY...

* TIMING...tonight through Wednesday afternoon.

* WINDS...west to northwest gusting to around 45 mph.

* IMPACTS...Driving high profile vehicles will be difficult. 
  Working outdoors on elevated structures will be hazardous. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

696 
WWUS73 KBIS 130538
NPWBIS

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1138 PM CST Tue Dec 12 2017

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-131345-
/O.CON.KBIS.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-171213T2100Z/
Divide-Burke-Renville-Bottineau-Rolette-Williams-Mountrail-Ward-
McHenry-Pierce-McKenzie-Dunn-Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Sheridan-Wells-
Foster-Golden Valley-Billings-Stark-Morton-Burleigh-Kidder-
Stutsman-Slope-Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams-Sioux-Emmons-Logan-
La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey-
Including the cities of Crosby, Bowbells, Powers Lake, Lignite, 
Columbus, Portal, Mohall, Glenburn, Sherwood, Bottineau, Rolla, 
Dunseith, Rolette, Shell Valley, St. John, Williston, New Town, 
Stanley, Parshall, Minot, Velva, Towner, Drake, Rugby, 
Watford City, Killdeer, Halliday, Beulah, Hazen, Center, 
Garrison, Washburn, Underwood, Wilton, Turtle Lake, Mcclusky, 
Goodrich, Harvey, Fessenden, Carrington, Beach, Medora, 
Dickinson, Mandan, Bismarck, Steele, Tappen, Jamestown, Marmarth,
Mott, New England, Elgin, Carson, New Leipzig, Bowman, Hettinger,
Fort Yates, Selfridge, Solen, Linton, Strasburg, Napoleon, 
Gackle, Lamoure, Edgeley, Kulm, Wishek, Ashley, Oakes, 
and Ellendale
1138 PM CST Tue Dec 12 2017 /1038 PM MST Tue Dec 12 2017/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST /2 PM MST/
WEDNESDAY...

* TIMING...through Wednesday afternoon.

* WINDS...west to northwest gusting to around 45 mph.

* IMPACTS...Driving high profile vehicles will be difficult. 
  Working outdoors on elevated structures will be hazardous. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

KS

946 
WWUS73 KBIS 131031
NPWBIS

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
431 AM CST Wed Dec 13 2017

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-131800-
/O.CON.KBIS.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-171213T2100Z/
Divide-Burke-Renville-Bottineau-Rolette-Williams-Mountrail-Ward-
McHenry-Pierce-McKenzie-Dunn-Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Sheridan-Wells-
Foster-Golden Valley-Billings-Stark-Morton-Burleigh-Kidder-
Stutsman-Slope-Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams-Sioux-Emmons-Logan-
La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey-
Including the cities of Crosby, Bowbells, Powers Lake, Lignite, 
Columbus, Portal, Mohall, Glenburn, Sherwood, Bottineau, Rolla, 
Dunseith, Rolette, Shell Valley, St. John, Williston, New Town, 
Stanley, Parshall, Minot, Velva, Towner, Drake, Rugby, 
Watford City, Killdeer, Halliday, Beulah, Hazen, Center, 
Garrison, Washburn, Underwood, Wilton, Turtle Lake, Mcclusky, 
Goodrich, Harvey, Fessenden, Carrington, Beach, Medora, 
Dickinson, Mandan, Bismarck, Steele, Tappen, Jamestown, Marmarth,
Mott, New England, Elgin, Carson, New Leipzig, Bowman, Hettinger,
Fort Yates, Selfridge, Solen, Linton, Strasburg, Napoleon, 
Gackle, Lamoure, Edgeley, Kulm, Wishek, Ashley, Oakes, 
and Ellendale
431 AM CST Wed Dec 13 2017 /331 AM MST Wed Dec 13 2017/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST /2 PM MST/ THIS
AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...through Wednesday afternoon.

* WINDS...west to northwest gusting to around 45 mph.

* IMPACTS...Driving high profile vehicles will be difficult. 
  Working outdoors on elevated structures will be hazardous. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

KS

029 
WWUS73 KBIS 131228
NPWBIS

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
628 AM CST Wed Dec 13 2017

NDZ001-002-009-010-017-018-031>033-040-131330-
/O.CAN.KBIS.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-171213T2100Z/
Divide-Burke-Williams-Mountrail-McKenzie-Dunn-Golden Valley-
Billings-Stark-Slope-
Including the cities of Crosby, Bowbells, Powers Lake, Lignite, 
Columbus, Portal, Williston, New Town, Stanley, Parshall, 
Watford City, Killdeer, Halliday, Beach, Medora, Dickinson, 
and Marmarth
628 AM CST Wed Dec 13 2017 /528 AM MST Wed Dec 13 2017/

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Bismarck has cancelled the Wind
Advisory. 

Winds have dropped below advisory criteria.

$$

NDZ003>005-011>013-019>023-025-034>037-041>048-050-051-132030-
/O.CON.KBIS.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-171213T2100Z/
Renville-Bottineau-Rolette-Ward-McHenry-Pierce-Mercer-Oliver-
McLean-Sheridan-Wells-Foster-Morton-Burleigh-Kidder-Stutsman-
Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams-Sioux-Emmons-Logan-La Moure-McIntosh-
Dickey-
Including the cities of Mohall, Glenburn, Sherwood, Bottineau, 
Rolla, Dunseith, Rolette, Shell Valley, St. John, Minot, Velva, 
Towner, Drake, Rugby, Beulah, Hazen, Center, Garrison, Washburn, 
Underwood, Wilton, Turtle Lake, Mcclusky, Goodrich, Harvey, 
Fessenden, Carrington, Mandan, Bismarck, Steele, Tappen, 
Jamestown, Mott, New England, Elgin, Carson, New Leipzig, Bowman,
Hettinger, Fort Yates, Selfridge, Solen, Linton, Strasburg, 
Napoleon, Gackle, Lamoure, Edgeley, Kulm, Wishek, Ashley, Oakes, 
and Ellendale
628 AM CST Wed Dec 13 2017 /528 AM MST Wed Dec 13 2017/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST /2 PM MST/ THIS
AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...through Wednesday afternoon.

* WINDS...west to northwest gusting to around 45 mph.

* IMPACTS...Driving high profile vehicles will be difficult. 
  Working outdoors on elevated structures will be hazardous. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$
TWH

009 
WWUS73 KBIS 131508
NPWBIS

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
908 AM CST Wed Dec 13 2017

NDZ003-004-011-012-019>022-034-035-131615-
/O.CAN.KBIS.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-171213T2100Z/
Renville-Bottineau-Ward-McHenry-Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Sheridan-
Morton-Burleigh-
Including the cities of Mohall, Glenburn, Sherwood, Bottineau, 
Minot, Velva, Towner, Drake, Beulah, Hazen, Center, Garrison, 
Washburn, Underwood, Wilton, Turtle Lake, Mcclusky, Goodrich, 
Mandan, and Bismarck
908 AM CST Wed Dec 13 2017 /808 AM MST Wed Dec 13 2017/

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Bismarck has cancelled the Wind
Advisory. 

Strong northwest winds have weakened over the last few hours and 
will remain below critical magnitudes for the remainder of today. 

$$

NDZ005-013-023-025-036-037-041>048-050-051-132100-
/O.CON.KBIS.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-171213T2100Z/
Rolette-Pierce-Wells-Foster-Kidder-Stutsman-Hettinger-Grant-
Bowman-Adams-Sioux-Emmons-Logan-La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey-
Including the cities of Rolla, Dunseith, Rolette, Shell Valley, 
St. John, Rugby, Harvey, Fessenden, Carrington, Steele, Tappen, 
Jamestown, Mott, New England, Elgin, Carson, New Leipzig, Bowman,
Hettinger, Fort Yates, Selfridge, Solen, Linton, Strasburg, 
Napoleon, Gackle, Lamoure, Edgeley, Kulm, Wishek, Ashley, Oakes, 
and Ellendale
908 AM CST Wed Dec 13 2017 /808 AM MST Wed Dec 13 2017/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST /2 PM MST/ THIS
AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...through 3 PM CST Wednesday afternoon.

* WINDS...Northwest gusting to around 45 mph.

* IMPACTS...Driving high profile vehicles will be difficult. 
  Working outdoors on elevated structures will be hazardous. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

NH

521 
WWUS73 KBIS 131755
NPWBIS

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1155 AM CST Wed Dec 13 2017

NDZ005-013-023-025-036-037-041>048-050-051-131900-
/O.CAN.KBIS.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-171213T2100Z/
Rolette-Pierce-Wells-Foster-Kidder-Stutsman-Hettinger-Grant-
Bowman-Adams-Sioux-Emmons-Logan-La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey-
Including the cities of Rolla, Dunseith, Rolette, Shell Valley, 
St. John, Rugby, Harvey, Fessenden, Carrington, Steele, Tappen, 
Jamestown, Mott, New England, Elgin, Carson, New Leipzig, Bowman,
Hettinger, Fort Yates, Selfridge, Solen, Linton, Strasburg, 
Napoleon, Gackle, Lamoure, Edgeley, Kulm, Wishek, Ashley, Oakes, 
and Ellendale
1155 AM CST Wed Dec 13 2017 /1055 AM MST Wed Dec 13 2017/

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Bismarck has cancelled the Wind
Advisory. 

Strong northwest winds have weakened over the last few hours and 
will remain below critical magnitudes for the remainder of today. 

$$

NH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1234 PM CST Tue Dec 12 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1229 PM CST Tue Dec 12 2017

No major changes for the update. Westerly winds and clearing skies
are leading to temperatures in the 40s for most locations already.

UPDATE Issued at 845 AM CST Tue Dec 12 2017

Forecast on track with no changes other than blending to latest
obs.

UPDATE Issued at 646 AM CST Tue Dec 12 2017

Made some minor adjustments to sky cover, clearing the west a
little quicker than previously forecast. Otherwise no updates
needed other than populating the latest sensible weather elements
and interpolating to mid-morning values.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 410 AM CST Tue Dec 12 2017

A mild/tranquil day, then another potent clipper sweeps through
tonight with gusty winds and a wintry mix (mainly east central ND).

Early this morning, the latest fog/stratus satellite imagery loop
and surface analysis/observations continue to show a stratus deck
moving from north to south, and at the same time propagating
eastward, ahead of a low level warm front. Stratus is currently
bounded along and east of a line from Rolla to Rugby, and from
Harvey to Selfridge. Expect this area to exit the Turtle Mountains
and James River Valley 12z-15z today. Upstream into central and southern
Canada, scattered mid/high clouds will be directed south today via
a northerly flow aloft. Western and central ND will remain in the
warm sector today, thus expect another nice afternoon with plenty
of sunshine. Highs will mostly be in the 40s, with low and mid
50s in the southwest.

The tranquility will not last. Latest water vapor imagery indicative
of our next shortwave and associated surface cold front/clipper.
A compact/potent mid to upper low was vividly seen over central
British Columbia this morning, moving atop a persistent/highly
amplified upper level ridge which stretched from Nevada through
the northern Rockies. This upper low is similar to the one that
moved through 24hours ago, and will expect similar weather conditions
as Monday night. The shortwave will will arrive in northwest ND
near midnight tonight, and exit south central ND by 12z/6AM CST
Wednesday. In doing so, a quick but intense area of synoptic
scale ascent will push from northwest to southeast between
midnight and 6AM. A surface cold front will also shift from north
to south, as west to northwest boundary layer winds increase to
between 25kt to 35kt. BUFKIT soundings show top layer mixed winds
to around 40kt. Expect increasing winds overnight through
Wednesday morning, then diminishing in the afternoon. The 3 hourly
pressure rises are not as strong as Monday nights system, but
nonetheless, a strong west to east pressure gradient, and
strong/unidirectional winds within a well mixed layer will
transfer down to the surface resulting in windy conditions. Most
likely the sustained winds/gusts will fall within wind advisory
criteria, but will let the dayshift and possibly the evening shift
re-evaluate the timing and strength of the winds with the latest
upstream observations and guidance. In terms of precipitation with
this system, after collaborating with our neighboring offices, we
sided with the wetter ECMWF and GFS for precipitation. Soundings
show a wintry mix developing from the Turtle Mountains south into
the James River Valley tonight, extending west to near Bismarck.
Like we saw Monday night, with a well mixed boundary layer,
surface temperatures will remain above freezing except in the
Turtle Mountains and in the far northern James River Valley
through 6AM Wednesday. Light freezing rain and/or snow is the most
likely weather scenario, given we gradually lose ice production
aloft followed by weak omega/vertical motion within a low level
saturated/supercooled layer. Along with the Grand Forks Weather
Forecast Office, we will be issuing a Special Weather Statement
highlighting the wintry mix potential and strong winds.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 410 AM CST Tue Dec 12 2017

The long term remains active with successive clippers resulting in
periods of gusty winds and continued chances for precipitation.

As mixing heights increase by mid Wednesday morning, the saturation
level looks to get back into the -10C to -12C ice crystal growth
zone, resulting in a light snow/light freezing rain mix across
east central ND. Elsewhere it will be windy but dry. This will be
short lived too, as another shortwave and clipper in the northwest
flow aloft sweep through Wednesday night/Thursday. Winds not as
strong, and precipitation looks to be mainly in the form of light
snow. Central ND could see a dusting to a half inch through Thursday
morning. Another break in the weather Thursday night into Friday
morning, followed by the next clipper Friday afternoon into
Saturday morning, and another late Sunday into Monday.

Beyond this long term period, the weather pattern is still trending
much colder towards the end of next week. More on this in future
discussions.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1229 PM CST Tue Dec 12 2017

VFR conditions will continue through the rest of the day. MVFR
CIGS will develop later tonight as a cold front pushes from
northwest to southeast. Increasing west to northwest winds around
30 knots will develop from 00z-06z Wednesday. There will be a
brief period of low level wind shear as the front moves through
during this time.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...AJ
SHORT TERM...KS
LONG TERM...KS
AVIATION...AJ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
255 PM CST Tue Dec 12 2017

NDZ004-005-012-013-022-023-025-036-037-047-048-050-051-132100-
Bottineau-Rolette-McHenry-Pierce-Sheridan-Wells-Foster-Kidder-
Stutsman-Logan-La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey-
255 PM CST Tue Dec 12 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
North Dakota, south central North Dakota, and southeast North
Dakota.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Light rain, freezing rain and snow are possible tonight along
with gusty winds to 45 mph. The combination of strong winds and
patchy ice may result in difficult driving conditions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Light freezing rain and snow are possible through Wednesday
morning, along with strong winds to 45 mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

NDZ002-003-010-011-018>021-032>035-040>046-132100-
Burke-Renville-Mountrail-Ward-Dunn-Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Billings-
Stark-Morton-Burleigh-Slope-Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams-Sioux-
Emmons-
255 PM CST Tue Dec 12 2017 /155 PM MST Tue Dec 12 2017/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
North Dakota, northwest North Dakota, south central North Dakota,
and southwest North Dakota.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Gusty northwest winds to 45 mph are expected to develop tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Gusty northwest winds to 45 mph can be expected Wednesday morning,
then diminish in the afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

AJ