Small Craft Advisory 39, NWS Anchorage, AK

519 
FZAK51 PAFC 121248
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
348 AM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-130215-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 12 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A TROUGH OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING. A
973 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 170 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK FRIDAY
MORNING...THEN MOVE TO NEAR WHITTIER AT 974 MB EARLY SAT MORNING.
AN ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF THIS AFTERNOON
AND MOVE TO THE NORTH GULF COAST BY FRI MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-130215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT E 40 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ120-130215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ121-130215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ125-130215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-130215-
PORT VALDEZ-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE EVENING. SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-130215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-130215-
VALDEZ ARM-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-130215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ130-130215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-130215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-130215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-130215-
CHINIAK BAY-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-130215-
MARMOT BAY-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-130215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-130215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FREEZING FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-130215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-130215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FREEZING FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

843 
FZAK51 PAFC 130010
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
310 PM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-131330-
310 PM AKST THU JAN 12 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A TROUGH OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST DISSIPATES MIDDAY FRIDAY. A
975 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK FRI MORNING MOVES ONSHORE OVER
SEWARD AT 972 MB FRI NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT SPREADS ACROSS
THE GULF OF ALASKA AND MOVES INTO THE NORTH GULF COAST FRI
MORNING AND THEN PUSHES INLAND BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-131330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
310 PM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR THE
COAST...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ120-131330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
310 PM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-131330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
310 PM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW WITH RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ125-131330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
310 PM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-131330-
PORT VALDEZ-
310 PM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-131330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
310 PM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-131330-
VALDEZ ARM-
310 PM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-131330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
310 PM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-131330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
310 PM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-131330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
310 PM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-131330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
310 PM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING 
TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ136-131330-
CHINIAK BAY-
310 PM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-131330-
MARMOT BAY-
310 PM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN WITH SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-131330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
310 PM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-131330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
310 PM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-131330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
310 PM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-131330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
310 PM AKST THU JAN 12 2017

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
511 AM AKST Wed Jan 11 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A large blocking ridge continues over mainland Alaska. Generally
fair skies were observed over much of the mainland. However, some
areas of low stratus and fog persist across parts of the Cook
Inlet region, including the Anchorage Bowl. Areas of low stratus
and fog continue to be observed along the southwest Alaska Coast
this morning as well. Cloudy conditions prevail across much of
the Bering Sea and Western ALeutians. With the exception of weak
outflow conditions across the eastern Kenai Pen and North Gulf
Coast, light winds continue to be observed across much of the
mainland. A weak frontal boundary along the central and western
Aleutians continues to bring gusty easterly winds to those areas.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models overall continue to be in good synoptic agreement. Some
minor differences arise in snow potential for the North Gulf Coast
Thursday afternoon, and more so for the Anchorage area in the
Friday to Saturday time frame. Models have started to converge on
a solution showing accumulating snowfall over the Anchorage area
and much of Southcentral within the Friday to Saturday time
period. However, timing and amounts vary depending on which model
you look at. Therefore, forecast confidence is high with regards
to seeing some accumulating snowfall by the end of the week and
into the weekend for Southcentral. Forecast confidence is still
low though with regards to amounts and timing of the snowfall due
to varying model solutions.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Some breaks in the fog are expected this morning. However,
IFR/LIFR ceilings and visibilities will be the general rule
through this afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Southcentral Alaska will remain under high pressure with mostly
clear skies and areas of fog near Cook Inlet the near two days.
In short, no real changes in the weather until Thursday night
and Friday when there will be a pattern change that will bring in
a chance for snow around Southcentral.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
An advancing upper level trough will begin to usher in increasing
northerly winds today as the closed high which had been entrenched
over the region departs into the Gulf of Alaska. This will help to
scour out any lingering fog or low stratus across Bristol Bay and
the Kuskokwim Delta by this evening as the stout low level
temperature inversions begin to erode with the arrival of colder
air aloft. After a slight warm up today, temperatures will plummet
once again by Thursday as 850 mb temperatures drop by as much as
15-20 degrees C from today. This will yield afternoon highs
struggling to reach double digits on Thursday, with overnight lows
falling well below zero area-wide on Thursday night as skies
remain mostly clear.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
Easterly winds will gradually shift to the northeast and
strengthen to Small Craft Advisory level across much of the Bering
through Thursday night as the pressure gradient tightens in
response to the digging mainland trough. This will also generate
more widespread shower activity as colder air filters into the
region.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
Since Monday, the models have made a relatively small but very
important change. The arctic trough that will dig through the
Southwest Mainland on Friday has trended further west, with
improving agreement that this will bring the surface trough
towards the north gulf coast. As a result the chance of
precipitation for the North Gulf from Whittier-Cordova was
increased significantly on Friday night, mostly likely falling in
the form of snow. Over Southcentral, confidence is much lower in
the snow forecast, but chances are increasing in at least a brief
period of snow. This is due to significant model spread in the
amount of snowfall reaching into Cook Inlet. The GFS has been by
far the most aggressive in bringing snow into Cook Inlet. On the
other side of the spectrum, EC and NAM are much further to the
east in bringing only a brief period of light snow but are
beginning to trend slowly west.

Once the chance for snow moves out of the area late Saturday-
Sunday, there is good confidence that this arctic trough will
bring in a deep layer of extremely cold air throughout most of
the area. Since this is coming from a trough there remains some
uncertainty as to how much cloud cover will be associated with it.
If enough clearing occurs over interior areas to create strong
inversions this system has the potential to bring some of the
coldest temperatures in recent years, especially to the lower
elevations of the Southwest Mainland. Once the cold air sets up
there is good agreement that it will continue through the middle
of next week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Heavy Freezing Spray 180 181.

&&